China to overtake US in e-commerce in 2013

Summary:Asian giant has grown at 71 percent on average from 2009 to 2012 hitting US$212.4 billion last year, compared to U.S's growth rate of 13 percent at $228.7 billion for the same period, according to Bain & Co. study.

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China's e-commerce market will experience a 32 percent annual growth and is set to reach US$539 billion by 2015.

China is set to overtake the U.S. in e-commerce to be the world's largest e-commerce market this year, led by shoppers from the rising middle class.

Consultancy firm Bain & Co. forecasted in a report released Wednesday the country has grown an average rate of 71 percent from 2009 to 2012, compared to 13 percent in America, Reuters reported.

China's e-commerce revenue is also expected to hit 3.3 trillion yuan (US$539 billion) by 2015, the consultancy firm noted. The country’s spending on online shopping hit US$212.4 billion in 2012 and in comparison, the U.S. hit US$228.7 billion.

"While beating the U.S. in a major milestone for e-commerce in China, there is no longer a meaningful distinction between retailers' brick-and-mortar , Web and mobile strategies," Serge Hoffmann, a partner in Bain's retail practice in China, and co-author of the report, noted in a separate China Daily report.

It was found that 71 percent of Chinese shoppers research products and compare prices online and offline, and across different online stores, with half of them citing price as the top reason for shopping.

Two-thirds of buyers also rely on smartphones to browse for or buy products , a proportion higher than that of the U.S.

For upper-income consumers with a monthly household income of 50,000 yuan (US$8169.55), the figure for shoppers who research and compared products and prices online was 75 percent.

The rising middle class has high expectations of consumer products and a need for product verification, Robert Theleen, chair of the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, said in the report.

"With the rise of e-commerce and social media, online marketing channels and Internet forums offer a platform for consumers to gather the intelligence they need to make informed purchasing decisions," Theleen noted.

Bain & Co's latest report echoes a separate research paper by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) in 2011, which stated China already had more Internet users than the U.S. and Japan combined and had 145 million online shoppers, and further exponential growth will propel the number of Chinese online shoppers to 329 million by 2015, making it the most valuable e-commerce market globally .

B2C can leverage C2C success, have physical store presence

The potential is huge for business-to-consumer (B2C) sites to woo shoppers from customer-to-customer (C2C) sites , Hoffman said.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for B2C platforms was 160 percent from 2009 through 2012, and is set to continue growing 53 percent annually through 2015. In comparison, Taobao.com, China's leading C2C platform grew by a CAGR of 65 percent throughout the period.

Given a choice, 82.9 percent of shoppers also prefer an online store with a brick-and-mortar presence compared to pure play sites such as Jingdong Mall, which only has online stores. This indicates a strong growth opportunity for "omni-channel merchants", Hoffmann said.

It was also found Web sites successfully fed store sales. More than 60 percent of shoppers said a retailer's online store will increase their spending at the same retailer's brick-and-mortar stores.

Building a dedicated digital team and investing in a world-class Web site are critical to grab a foothold in the e-commerce market, Hoffmann noted, citing Japanese apparel brand Uniqlo, who had outsourced development of its Web sites for its online store, as an example of streamlining entry into China's digital retail market.

Topics: E-Commerce, China

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Elly grew up on the adrenaline of crime fiction and it spurred her interest in cybercrime, privacy and the terror on the dark side of IT. At ZDNet Asia, she has made it her mission to warn readers of upcoming security threats, while also covering other tech issues.

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