Cloud, circa 2023

Summary:4 views on the shape of things to come with cloud computing: IT inseparable from cloud; 100% cloud-based companies making it into the Fortune 1000.

In his latest InfoWorld post, Dave Linthicum spculates that 10 years down the road, we'll be cruising along in our flying cars, wondering what happened to cloud. He makes a couple of interesting predictions about the state of cloud computing by 2023. Actually, I wouldn't even call them predictions — let's just call them the shape of things to come.

World Trade Center NYC Aug 2012 2 Photo by Joe McKendrick
Photo credit: Joe McKendrick

As noted in my previous post , Morgan Stanley says enterprise cloud will be a $152-billion-a-year market, much of it dominated by Amazon Web Services, which will rein over corporate IT departments. Going with this assumption, it suggests that a great deal of IT will end up being external to enterprises.

Dave's world in 2023:

IT and cloud will be synonymous: Pervasive cloud services will be the IT building blocks from which everything is assembled. "We will leverage core services that either exist within our enterprise or from public cloud providers to assemble and reassemble business solutions," Dave points out.

Data will have context in the cloud: Much of the data we use and analyze will reside in the cloud instead of in on-premises, siloed systems. The cloud-based data will have context attached to it, enabling its use across a wide array of applications.

My additional thoughts on what cloud will bring by 2023:

Cloud providers will come from sectors outside of traditional tech: Amazon, the online retailer, is already proof of this, and many other "non-IT" providers — from aircraft manufacturers to educational establishments — will be providing online services to customers and partners. They may not even be running their own servers — they may be brokering cloud services from another provider.

All-cloud companies will emerge in the Fortune 1000: By 2023, we will see some big emerging companies that are running entirely on cloud services on the list. Currently, Google, Amazon Facebook, Yahoo, et al, are on the list, but they are providers who run their own server farms. Expect to see "non-tech" companies with no resident IT assets (not counting BYOD) scaling these financial heights as well. 

Topics: Cloud, Business Intelligence, Data Centers

About

Joe McKendrick is an author and independent analyst who tracks the impact of information technology on management and markets. Joe is co-author, along with 16 leading industry leaders and thinkers, of the SOA Manifesto, which outlines the values and guiding principles of service orientation. He speaks frequently on cloud, SOA, data, and... Full Bio

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