Who will win the Windows 7 release date prediction pool?

Summary:With this week’s confirmation by Microsoft that it plans to release Windows 7 to manufacturing “in the second half of July,” it’s time to take another look at the entries in my Windows 7 release date prediction pool, which ran from April to September 2008. Out of all entries, only 11 TalkBack commenters hve a shot at claiming bragging rights. Who made the cut?

With this week’s confirmation by Microsoft that it plans to release Windows 7 to manufacturing “in the second half of July,” it’s time to take another look at the entries in my Windows 7 release date prediction pool.

The rules were pretty clear: Enter the complete date – day, month, and year – when you believe Microsoft will officially announce the release to manufacturing of Windows 7. I opened the pool for entries on April 9, 2008, and the official window for predictions closed on September 15, 2008. As I wrote in a follow-up post, the crowd predicted September 30, 2009; that's impressively close to the actual on-sale date of October 22, 2009. Assuming Microsoft hits its stated RTM deadline, one of the following people gets to claim bragging rights:

I’ll take a bow for my initial analysis in the posts, which flagged July 29 as the RTM date and was based on a post I wrote at the beginning of 2008:

My prediction? I’m sticking with what I wrote back in January. Windows 7 will be released to manufacturing on July 29, 2009, exactly 1000 days after Vista’s November 2, 2006 RTM date.

As promised, I’ll send a signed copy of Windows 7 Inside Out to the commenter who nails the date (or gets closest without overshooting it).

Topics: Windows, Microsoft, Operating Systems, Software

About

Ed Bott is an award-winning technology writer with more than two decades' experience writing for mainstream media outlets and online publications. He has served as editor of the U.S. edition of PC Computing and managing editor of PC World; both publications had monthly paid circulation in excess of 1 million during his tenure. He is the a... Full Bio

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