Between the Lines

Larry Dignan, Andrew Nusca and Rachel King

Netflix's mea culpa disaster: 'Seems like a panic move'

By | September 20, 2011, 9:13am PDT

Summary: Netflix’s apology to customers went over like a lead balloon. Analysts say Netflix looks like it’s panicking over backlash to pricing changes.

Netflix CEO Reed Hastings issues a mea culpa to customers and continues to be pounded over the head with it.

Late Sunday, Hastings delivered his apology and said that it will separate its DVD by mail service under the Qwikster moniker. The move was panned by widely panned by customers.

As analysts handicap the move, the consensus appears to be that Hastings and Netflix panicked after losing DVD customers and facing a backlash to its pricing changes. Indeed, a Frank N. Magid Associates survey found that 30 percent of customers are planning or at least pondering a Netflix exodus. Consider Netflix’s week so far:

Morningstar analyst Michael Corty said that Netflix looks like it clearly panicked.

Netflix sent a letter to customers announcing a formal split of the DVD and streaming video business. At first glance, this seems like a panic move by the company. The DVD business will be named Qwikster and have a separate website; customers who receive both DVDs and streaming will get two separate bills. The Qwikster service will also have a subscription tier that allows customers to access video game titles in addition to video content. By highlighting the two separate charges on credit card statements, ironically, more subscribers could opt to drop the plan that delivers the least value.

Indeed, Wall Street is still panning the stock. Here’s the 6-month view:

Corty said:

We’ve never really understood the company’s decision to demarcate the DVD and streaming business in the first place. There is room to invest in the streaming business and use DVDs to keep customers satisfied at the same time. We think the July price increase was necessary to help Netflix invest more in the streaming business, but it was a mistake to not offer a discounted price to customers taking both DVDs and streaming.

In other words, Netflix compounded a discount pricing blunder with a lame apology and a DVD business separation. Hudson Square analyst Daniel Ernst said:

Under a single company serving customers through a common portal, we believe Netflix has a better chance of cross selling the two services. Should a DVD only customer put a movie on his/her queue that is also available digitally, Netflix can suggest the “watch now” option, tempting the customer to upgrade his/her account. Similarly, should a streaming only customer wish to view a program not yet available through digital rights, Netflix can alert the customer to the availability of the disc on the DVD service. Under the separation plan we see this ability to cross sell and convert as greatly reduced.

The big question among analysts is whether the worst is over for Netflix. Short answer: Possibly. Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson said a sale of Hulu could be worrisome to Netflix.

One piece of negative news that could emerge in the coming weeks would be the sale of Hulu to a Netflix competitor. Despite the fact that it has been discussed in the media, if Amazon or Google purchases Hulu, shares of Netflix would likely respond negatively.

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Larry Dignan is Editor in Chief of ZDNet and SmartPlanet as well as Editorial Director of ZDNet's sister site TechRepublic.

Disclosure

Larry Dignan

Larry Dignan has nothing to disclose. He doesn’t hold investments in the technology companies he covers.

Biography

Larry Dignan

Larry Dignan is Editor in Chief of ZDNet and SmartPlanet as well as Editorial Director of ZDNet's sister site TechRepublic. He was most recently Executive Editor of News and Blogs at ZDNet. Prior to that he was executive news editor at eWeek and news editor at Baseline. He also served as the East Coast news editor and finance editor at CNET News.com. Larry has covered the technology and financial services industry since 1995, publishing articles in WallStreetWeek.com, Inter@ctive Week, The New York Times, and Financial Planning magazine. He's a graduate of the Columbia School of Journalism and the University of Delaware.

For daily updates, follow Larry on Twitter.

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Still waiting for my apology email, but since i cancelled my account last night, i guess it won't be forthcoming.
@dwhipple
Likewise, I too have had enough with Netflix recent changes and promptly cancelled my account. I loved the service up until now but I don't want to deal with a business that doesn't understand it's consumers.
@ian20x & @dwhipple
Amen to both!
Netflix beat out Blockbuster by understanding and catering to customer needs while Blockbuster focused only on their profits. All of the recent moves by Netflix demonstrate that they have completely lost their consumer perspective and customer focus. They are now focused solely on pumping up profits and deserve to follow Blockbluster into the trash bin of once great companies.

Farewell Netflix. I'll be the first to jump on board with the next company that provides what customers really want at a competitive price. Give us the flexibility to grab our movies in whatever format we want at a reasonable, all-inclusive price. Breaking services out at much higher individual prices was an insult to everyone who made Netflix successful. Their arrogance in the matter just made it worse. Empty words of apology won't cut it.
@BillDem - Part of the problem IS netflix (being anti-consumer by splitting and making the service more difficult to use), but part of it squarely lays on the hands of the MPAA, other content providers, and ISP's. All whom are making the transition to digital streaming difficult and charging exorbetant fees. The ISP's have a vested interest in BLOCKING more streaming because it would require them to reinvest in their infrastructure to support the increase in bandwith.
@ian20x Also cancelled - I hardly used it these days anyway so this was just the nail in the coffin. HBO provides better content & newer movies & is the same price as the combined DVD + Streaming from netflix.
@dwhipple
I'll hold off until they actually pull the trigger but then I'm out of here. I do not want the hassle of dealing with two companies. I am hoping Amazon is looking to buy HuLu becuase there are a ton of Netflix users just looking for someone who knows what customers want.

You don't often see this level of arrogance and ignorance that this CEO displayed. Netflix could have been the next e-bay or Amazon but now they will be a case study of how to destroy a great company. Nice work guys.
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Is this a "New Coke" Strategy?
ancientprogrammer 20th Sep
It seems like they're trying to use this marketing technique. Will it take 79 days for "Classic Netflix" to return?
Splitting netflix into two companies may make sense to an accountant. To the user it is inconvenient and does not make sense. Now if there is streaming and DVD company why not split them further into old release streaming, new release streaming, DVDs, Blue rays... four companies. Makes sense? Easy to do accounting I guess happy
Everytime Netflix increased prices it said it was to improve service with more options and better selection but it never seemed to happen. What many have not mentioned is that Mr. Hastings finally revealed the more options and better selection that we have been paying for all along. GAMES!
Great so I, and many many others, have been investing in a new company/product that I have no interest in. If Mr. Hastings wanted to start a games rental/streaming company he should have done so and he even could have called it "Quikster" (lame name btw) but he should not have done it behind his loyal customers backs (and with their money) and left them with LESS options and selection of the product that they came to Netflix for in the first place. MOVIES! Mr. Hastings has obviously never heard (or doesn not believe) the saying "if it isn't broken don't fix it." This will go down as one of the worst business decisions of the last 100 years and be used again and again to teach others how NOT to run a business. Of course sadly, like Mr. Hastings, some will not listen to it and think that they will be the one to do it right this time and then destroy yet another great company and the investments placed in it.
i cancelled the dvds and will keep streaming short term.
But the content is set to get worse not better, and as such when Netflix loses its starz deal I will cancel and use Prime instead..
@evilcart Hear hear! I did the same thing. But with the loss of Starz, a poor selection is getting worse. I only do it for the documentaries, etc. For movies, I've gone with RedBox: simple and ubiquitous, at least in my area (Orlando).
@evilcart
Your first mistake was going to streaming. You dropped the service that had more quantity of content and better quality picture and sound. You moved to the high profit-margin product like he (Hastings) had hoped. With streaming, Netflix could have a low-quality MPEG-2 copy off a mono-audio VHS tape on their server and when you complain about the quality, they can blame it on your ISP or on the network in-between. Whereas, with the DVD, you have DVD-quality audio and video always.
Until true high-speed unlimited internet is available EVERYWHERE, streaming is not a viable solution. Physical media is still the here and now, and will be for a good long number of years. The only substitute would be a net-ready device that stores a temporary download copy that's deleted once watched - then there's no concern about bandwidth restrictions, the movie is there in entirety BEFORE watching begins.
@reziol ... We live in an area where, depending on how much you feel like paying, true high-speed internet isn't always a very cost effective option, nor do I find the picture quality especially appealing. So DVD's do make sense for us. All the local DVD rental shops have closed down (Blockbuster, etc.) except for Red Box, so Netflix is certainly the best DVD option we know of at the moment.

Are there other DVD rental options available that are less well known?
@reziol
You do know when you download a movie it still uses the same amount of bandwidth you just get it with no buffering needed so no lag but you have to wait for entire movie to finish before watching amount of bd the
@evilcart

Also on prime! $40 a yr for students. I mainly got it for the free 2 day shipping (halloween costume buying season!) But I am looking forward to trying out the streaming, I know its a small library compared to netflix, but its pretty much free so i'll give it a shot.
I cancelled my DVD-only portion a couple of weeks ago and have only the streaming portion at the moment. I also signed up for Amazon Prime for a free month, which ended yesterday. I kept it and paid the fee. I also hope Amazon snaps up Hulu. I'll likely cancel my Netflix completely in the next month or so. I'm also waiting to see what happens to their content.
They have new pressure coming at them too. My ISP was one that got federal money for putting in fiber optic. The local telco/ISP has it installed and will be hooking it up next week to my home. (Oh yeah...)

One of the things I have to do is make a decision if I want to go with their streaming services. I am seriously considering it and kicking Direct TV, Netflix and Hulu to the curb. Their prices are a lot more competetive, I just need to see how well it works before I wave goodbye to my current providers.
"The big question among analysts is whether the worst is over for Netflix."

Let's see . . .

-Forced to make a price hike
-Stock is going down

If they can't figure out a way to get back on track, I'd say the worst has just begun sad. They "needed" to raise the price, but the decline in stock is likely to negate the price increase . . .
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Netflix is becoming a pain
DontBeEvil 20th Sep
A serious question to Larry Dignan and other readers/commenters.

I am tired of Netflix too and wont mind jumping ship if an equal or better alternative is available. Can any one suggest an alternative to Netflix Streaming?
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Nice
vang1234 21st Sep
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Yeah the whole games thing kind of throws me off. Movies and video games are really two very different brands of entertainment. Granted there is a crossover in the audience but the percentage of folks that would use that service to full benefit probably already have a GameFly account. If the price is better (cheapest GameFly option is $16 a month) I could see it as an add-on service.

All in all I really don't mind the more a la carte style of plans. If Netflix doesn't fowl it all up I should save money in my yearly "entertainment budget" because you can turn on or off services as you need them. In most cases I really only need the streaming or the DVDs for the month not both. By timing it right I should be able to save about $22 a year. However I really doubt most folks put that much though in to their entertainment a month in advance. Ideally if Netflix wants to save their old customers they should offer a bundle like any two services for $14 a month, say games and streaming. (I'm going to guess that games will be the same price as their other options.) Or even a mega-bundle, DVD+Blu Ray, games and streaming for $20-22.
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This move may be part of an acquisition deal. Google or Amazon think a Netflix (without DVD business--especially Amazon) would be an attractive acquisition.

netflixmay be more attractive than Hulu, and in addition, if Google or Amazon buys Hulu, the other may consider buying Netflix to stay competitive.

If an acquisition was part of the plan, Hastings really botched the job (unless he is trying to drive down the stock price to make Netfix more attractive to acquire--not that a CEO would ever be involved in some type insider trading information:).
I really believe moving to 100% streaming is the right idea - just about 5 years too early. The licensing doesn't seem to be in place; the infrastructure is not in place in a lot of America; etc.

Netflix should have raised the price AND explained that this was necessary due to the demands of the movie and TV studios. Never understood why they kept the studios out of the blame game.
@lambtron__40

It is not a good business strategy to public badmouth or blame the vendors you are trying to get more and/or better deals from.
The recent note made matters worse, not better.
I paid $10/mo for DVDs and happened to be able to access streaming. This is how I viewed it, as I streamed maybe 4 shows in a year. So, for me the increase was simple, just go to the web and update to DVD only and I just saved $2. But I'd be able to add streaming in June for my daughter pretty easily, and pay if I thought it worth it.
The apology letter announces a split that does impact me, it looks like I'm going to be dealing with a new company. New site, whatever. But I doubt I'd bother dealing with a second site to stream when the summer comes. After dealing with a public relation disaster, this letter did nothing to help matters and likely hurt.

I said elsewhere - when they added streaming, they gave it away, a free adder. It's really tough to monetize something you've already promoted as free.
They missed the boat. They could have limited the number of streams, one or two per month, perhaps. Or some small charge per stream, say $0.50 or $1. So now, the DVD user would still have an option to stream and provide some revenue. As I said, I'm $2 to the better, and don't care. I'm looking at this as a B-school case study, in the same way I looked at "New Coke" years ago.
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Consumers are screwed if we leave
lefty.crupps 21st Sep
I'm not happy with this situation but Netflix killed all of my other DVD options if I want anything older than what RedBox has. No more rental stores out there, no valid streaming options for most movies, this all is only pushing former customers to the most convenient option: downloads.
>>> "The move was panned by widely panned by customers."

Too much panning. Should be "The move was widely panned by customers."
@jsmith2113: I agree. That writing seemed like a panic move to try to get the headlines out first. Wish I could work as copy editor for these pundits.
I still like the content available on Netflix. I confess I've moved more toward the convenience of streaming. If the sites are really divorced, it will significantly reduce the utility (and the draw) of Netflix as a company. Can't believe Hastings would completely ignore the negative comments. I am not mad or sarcastic, but would consider dropping one of the services if it is no longer compelling.
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When I heard about ANOTHER price increase from NetFlix coming I decided that was enough and that I would cancel my account. However, the unfortunate reality is that there isn't any alternative to provide the same service (whether it's from single or multiple providers).

I have already been using RedBox for cheap DVD and Blu-ray movies and although it is a great service it is really only good for new release moves. You really can't get everything you want. A nice supplement to Netflix but definitely not a replacement.

As for the streaming content I immediately signed up for a trial Hulu Plus subscription. My experience: frustrating rip-off. Without getting into too many details, here are the problems as I see: you still have to watch advertisements (seriously?!), the UI is frustratingly clunky, huge lack of content on shows they advertize as being available. My experience with Hulu Plus was so bad that I happily went back to Netflix.

Had my experience with Hulu Plus been a good one I would have left Netflix in the dust. Although I "happily" went back to Netflix after trying Hulu Plus it was not because of a sense of how awesome Netflix was but instead a sense of how horrible any alternatives are in comparison.

So, as much as I would like to show my discontent with Neflix by canceling my account the reality is that I will be staying with Netflix until there's another service that can provide an acceptable alternative.
I don't know why you folks act like Netflix is the only game in town. Blockbuster's Blu-Ray by mail is cheaper than Netflix and has a faster turnaround.

Blockbuster doesn't have free streaming, but streaming is visually unappealing on a decent sized TV anyway.
@allargon - For the few streams we viewed, the picture was superior. On a 50in 1080P screen.
If the streaming offering were 100%, I'd drop DVDs and go with streaming. I'd say that for the heavy user family, that $8/mo is a bargain. NetFlix was a PR error, not a technology blunder or pricing error.
Down with Netflix! I'm so over you! I'm moving on to Amazon, Vudu and the occasional Redbox.
I am going to cancel the DVD service. With the one DVD out at a time plan, I was able to watch maximum 6 DVDs for $7.99. I can go to Redbox across the street and do that in $6 maybe even less when I get coupons.
Adios Netflix or Qwikster whoever you are.
Bravo, trampling on the back of existing Netflix customers to launch their Independent Streaming-only Netflix! What do they take us for.... CANCEL!!! CANCEL!!! CANCEL!!! Just another company where customers are numbers, not people.
Sad - that about sums it up for me... I enjoyed the convenience and stuck with them for several years and endured price increases that offered up marginal improvements at best.

This whole fiasco reminds me of 'New Coke'. If they're smart, they'll reverse course and then promptly roll out the red carpet with perks/rewards for their loyal customers. I understand that prices go up - inflation happens. But a bad business model is a bad business model.
I got the free trial for Netflix about a year ago and found the content to be terrible. I cancelled before my free month was up.
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Netflix pulled a bit of a dirty trick and now that its worked for them on one level, in their next effort to bring their company up to what they likely seen as the next level, the long term outcome of the plan just blew up in their face.

The first part of their plan was to offer the service they provide at a low rate, thus driving similar competing businesses out of the business. And we have seen the resulting efforts of that by way of the impact it has had on Blockbuster for one. While Blockbuster claims piracy has the most to do with their troubles one has to take into account the impact Netflix has had on them. Just ask people who subscribe to Netflix if they used blockbuster more/less/same after signing onto Netflix and thee response as you will see is practically always "less often" to "no more at all".

Once they felt they had a large enough customer base that was more reliant then ever on them they changed the game into something they seen as having a better long term profitability for them, but clearly all was not as well as they had hoped.

It seems that while there were plenty of users of the Netflix service that many of them were less then enthused about the long term offerings they had been subjected to, and those who were hanging on (which appears to be quite a few) in the hope that sooner or later available selection would increase, found the new pricing schemes only served to infuriate them about a service they already had some significant concerns about.

Its blow back of the worst kind due to someone at Netflix having a bit too much confidence in the commitment of their customer base and the status of their own company as a leading content provider.

Its kind of like the captain of a ship convincing the crews of many ships around him to mutiny against their own captains with what looks like a good offer from him to get them to come around to his way of doing things. Then once they do, our captain figures now he has enough of them on board its time to change the good offer into one thats a little better for him. The problem comes up when unbeknown to our dear captain the crews were already looking sideways at him because things needed improvement and instead there is not only no immediate improvement in sight, and after such a long time too, that the captain has gone and changed the original offer...not good. It comes from the captain not really knowing enough about who he is dealing with, but thinking he does.

Mistake.

Its situations like this that can suddenly result in a quick meltdown, unless something is done quick to rectify things in the minds of those disgruntled customers. The unfortunate thing for Netflix is that they are dealing in a service that has them reliant on others, the content providers, and there is not really nearly enough leverage on the part of Netflix that would allow them to force the hands of the content providers to pony up for deals that would provide the benefits needed for Netflix users in any kind of a big hurry.

It really strikes me that somewhere along the line Netflix should have been looking at resolving the kinds of content issues they seem to be experiencing a very long time ago. And if in fact they have been trying for a long time and this is as far as they have got...wow. Things are perhaps worse then they even seem.
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