2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?

By | October 27, 2009, 9:19am PDT

Summary: A sampling of social media predictions and forward-looking ideas from thought leaders, entrepreneurs and in-the-trenches workers.

Paula Drum, Gettington.com - @pauladrum

The good news is that consumers will continue to wield their power and word-of-mouth worthy brands will benefit exponentially. Social media has created a world of word-of-mouth on steroids. Companies like Dell and Ford have really turned themselves around by using social media to add personality to their brands. The bad news is that as the space becomes cluttered with traditional marketing messages, consumers will begin to tune out these social platforms. To avoid this, companies new to social media need to steer clear of the following:

  • Think of social media as a relationship, not a marketing campaign
  • Avoid relying on gimmicks to ride the social media wave- like using irrelevant trending topics such as #iranelection to spew promotional messages
  • Don’t hide paid relationships or your identity– for example paying for positive reviews or blogging about your company or service under a false name. What makes social media successful is authenticity.

Bert DuMars, Newell Rubbermaid - @bwdumars

With so much information and communication unencumbered by time, geography or borders, how we filter and organize the massive amounts of content and social interactions will be key to improving the social web ecosystem and making it more usable and useful in 2010. Whichever company(s), community(s) or person(s) who crack this puzzle will be the big winners in the next generation of the social web ecosystem.

The new, empowered customer requires that businesses be much more adaptive to their needs, wants and desires. The role of marketing is going to have to change from the current management mentality to an advocate or business ownership model that is more agile and responsive to the social web ecosystem. Social network or social media marketing can no longer be an experiment or silo in the marketing organization. Social web marketing must be fully integrated into the strategies and tactics of a variety of organizations within the business from marketing to customer contact to information technology for it to be truly successful.

Tom Eston, SocialMediaSecurity.com - @agent0×0, @socialmediasec

1. Personal information you share on social networks will be easier to find while privacy settings and privacy policies will grow more complex. One example is that Facebook will probably open up status updates to be searchable outside of Facebook to compete with Twitter. We have already seen Bing and Google ink deals with Twitter and search. This trend will continue with other popular social networks. While social networks like Facebook are making changes to application and privacy settings (Canadian Privacy ruling earlier this year), the settings presented to users will become more complex and make privacy policies more confusing to the average social network user.

2. Attacks using third-party applications will increase and become more sophisticated. For example, attackers will be focused more on exploiting popular Facebook games and applications because they are not coded by Facebook and Facebook does not do proper validation of the code. Many of these attacks will leverage trust relationships between friends and the applications they have installed.

3. Major increase in infrastructure attacks against social networks or the users of social networks. For example, we will see more attacks like the incident of Twitter, Facebook and LiveJournal being DDoS’ed earlier this year. Social networks will also see an increase in attacks against the administrators and owners of these sites. Weak passwords, use of publicly available information (even posted on their own social network), and social engineering will all be used in these attacks.

Susan Etlinger, Horn Group - @setlinger

In 2010, businesses will face two huge challenges: 1) how to make customer engagement scale; and 2) how to integrate social media effectively into transactional systems and processes. We’ll also see a greater emphasis on the organizational impact. And one day, not too long from now, the term “social media” will sound completely archaic — a remnant of a time before all media was social.

Next: Sarah Evans, Jason Falls, Laura Fitton, Rachel Happe –>

Topics

Jennifer Leggio, aka "Mediaphyter," writes about the "social business" side of social media - including enterprise, security and reputation issues.

Disclosure

Jennifer Leggio

Jennifer is employed full-time with Fortinet, a leading network security appliance vendor. She is also actively involved in the network security community and works with the Security Bloggers Network. She co-manages the annual Security Bloggers Meet-UP at RSA Conference.

Jennifer is also involved with Silicon Valley Tweet-Up, a philanthropic networking event that brings people together to raise money for local family-oriented charities.

The blog posts here are solely her opinion and do not represent her employer or any other organization with which she may be affiliated.

Biography

Jennifer Leggio

Jennifer Leggio (@mediaphyter) has been a communications professional for more than 15 years, focusing primarily on enterprise technology and security. She is currently the director of strategic communications for a leading network security vendor. Jennifer is also passionate about all things social media, especially enterprise, security, privacy and reputation issues, which is why she writes about these things for ZDNet.

A well-connected communicator, Jennifer has led or supported interactive social networking efforts for security industry conferences including RSA Conference, Black Hat USA and SOURCE Conference, and founded the Security Twits, a community for network security professionals. She also helps run communications for the Security Bloggers Network.

Finally, Jennifer co-hosts the Quick'n'Dirty social media podcast with Aaron Strout, is a founding member of Technically Women, a communal blog project, and manages marketing and public relations for Silicon Valley Tweet-Up, a networking group that raises money for family-oriented charities. Jennifer was profiled in Silicon Valley San Jose Business Journal's "40 Under 40" edition, as a rising star for 2009.

Talkback Most Recent of 16 Talkback(s)

  • Thank you - 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    Jennifer,

    I just wanted to thank you not only for including me in "2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?" but for doing the work to pull this together. It's a great piece that I really enjoyed reading. I've bookmarked so we can check back through the year and see who hit the nail on the head. With this crowd, I'm going to bet all of them in one way or another.

    Thanks for the continued comprehensive work you do to help all of us keep up with and better understand social media in business.

    Thanks again!
    Christine Perkett
    PerkettPR
    http://www.twitter.com/missusP
    http://www.twitter.com/PerkettPR
    http://www.perkettprsuasion.com
    ZDNet Gravatar
    cperkett
    27th Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    I'd be more impressed (and more likely to read these predictions) if you had asked influential people whose primary job responsibilities are NOT social media.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    aep528
    27th Oct 2009
  • ZDNet Gravatar
    hkotadia
    27th Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    Paula Drum has it mostly right. But here's what was missed by all your participants: someone will actually bother to study how the average account holder uses these apps. Someone will thoughtfully pose the question - are social media apps necessary or just a passing fad? I can tell you I have an account, but most people I know use it as a form of a contact book and little more. Most discussions I've had with others about these sites is how to block the crap we don't want - corporate ads, chatterbox friends, news updates about how people are using products I'm not interested in and so on (fill out this quiz, play this game, join this cause, your received a X-mas ornament etc.). Just like Email, social networking is evolving into spam management for most users. My prediction, some major sites will fold, or merge ? just as we see in the news today about a possible MySpace/Facebook merger. Business will continue to ONLY speculate about the usefulness of social networking. The social network application space will shrink, and marketers will move on to the next advertising fad. Paula Drum has it mostly right.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    bhaydama
    27th Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    I agree that Social Media will become ubiquitous. However,
    K-12 & university education systems are not preparing
    students with the digital literacy skills needed to harness
    these Social Business opportunities.

    Academic accreditation & assessment success measures
    are based on old paradigms by organizations training
    students for jobs that won't exist & have not changed.

    Will the economic realities and paradigm shifts of Social
    Business create education change in 2010?

    Bill (Dr. William J. Ward) a.k.a. DR4WARD

    ZDNet Gravatar
    DR4WARD
    27th Oct 2009
  • 2010 prediction: Loverock's coming out:
    "uh people, I am actually a ZDNet employee"

    (like we didn't know...)
    ZDNet Gravatar
    CounterEthicsCommissioner-23034636492738337469105860790963
    27th Oct 2009
  • no
    loverock's coming out with a following sentence: "i'm a microsoft employee, and i'm a sex slave of bill gates and he's actually gay."


    like we don't know.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    ljenux-23043766007667558234416105604265
    30th Oct 2009
  • Everytime I have pointed this out...
    I get a nasty email and threats from ZDNet and of course, my comments in regards to this "Chatbot" gets removed...
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Kromaethius
    30th Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    A major stumbling block that is rarely addressed (especially
    in the bay area where companies are more progressive and
    casual), is that, by many estimates, 70% of the workplaces in
    the U.S. block social networking and social media sites.

    Yes, you can sit in your loft cubicle in SOMA and think the
    whole world is into social media, but the majority of people
    are sitting at work without access to many sites.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Twitterati
    27th Oct 2009
  • i've seen thousands of predictions
    and none of the "big predictors" actually has a crystal ball.

    ZDNet Gravatar
    ljenux-23043766007667558234416105604265
    30th Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    All of these are solid predictions from solid players.
    Here's one more: as marketers, brand managers and
    creative agency heroes begin to see social business as
    just one more integral piece of overall business, we
    may begin to see a slow down on product, process and
    even company names built with "e" and "i" prefixes, as
    well as other acronyms and nonsensical words. Instead
    of pressing the human language for "new and
    different," brand specialists should begin dialing in
    on language as human and, dare I say, social! (more on
    this at http;//nmash.blogspot.com)
    ZDNet Gravatar
    leep1441
    31st Oct 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    Ubiquitous yes, as important as air - no.

    Personal; accepting is different to embracing; bit like the 15th toaster as a wedding gift. Toasters are everywhere - but you only want to use it at breakfast.

    Business; social media is about trying to transform a business prospect into a close friend so as to lower the suspicion of advantage.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    muzza2005
    3rd Nov 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    Jennifer - Wow! What a wonderful project and tremendous gift to all of us social marketers. I have not yet consumed all of the content, but what I have so far has been very enlightening.

    In 2009 we witnessed a tipping point when traditional PR professionals and journalist that had resisted (for a short period of time) jumping into the social media waters. I think this has brought mainstream credibility to the "undeniable" value of social media and it;s "real time" and transparent qualities. This allowed corporate America to take a look.

    I think that 2010 will be a year full of new leveraging points for social media, new API projects, new forms of integration, and something new from facebook in the continuing battle for relevancy with Twitter. That will be interesting to watch! I also see some things happening with social video platforms that are new.

    Thank you for this amazing gift to the add to teh conversation!

    Be blessed!

    James
    http://Twitter.com/AskJamesHolmes
    ZDNet Gravatar
    AskJamesHolmes
    4th Nov 2009
  • How will social media alter organized learning?
    Less courses and seminars and more time spent on social media? From the above predictions this is my guess. Agree?
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Katinka RK
    14th Dec 2009
  • RE: 2010 Predictions: Will social media reach ubiquity?
    Great article. I wonder how many people actually read the nine pages. This article would definitely benefit from the Google Flip.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    LCappelli
    17th Dec 2009

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