Googling Google

Christopher Dawson, Sam Diaz and Matt Weinberger

Does a Verizon iPhone spell doom for Android?

By | August 17, 2010, 9:07am PDT

Android is exploding. It’s a great mobile OS, has Research in Motion in its sights, and is being sold on more new US smartphones than any other operating system. Hooray for Android, right?

Not so fast. Those same Nielsen rankings that show off-the-chart Android growth also show that everyone still really wants an iPhone. iPhone completely changed the smartphone landscape with a single, largely unpopular carrier in this country, essentially a single phone offering, and remains the one to beat in terms of brand loyalty and market share.  Plenty of Android users love their Android phones, but a full 21% of them want an iPhone for their next smartphone. Only 6% of iPhone owners want an Android phone.

And all of this market penetration has required more than 50 phones spread across all major US carriers just to catch up to the iPhone. On At&T.

The Verizon iPhone rumors continue to persist and even Bloomberg, not known for Apple rumor-mongering (or rumor-mongering of any sort, for that matter), is reporting that a Verizon iPhone is imminent. So what happens if the iPhone is suddenly available on a carrier that people generally like instead of one they tolerate to get iPhones?

What happens is that Android is going to get clobbered if it can’t break out of the geek chic in the same way that Apple has. Apple has managed to snag geeks, soccer moms, grandfathers, and everyone in between (some of whom don’t even realize that they’re using a smartphone) with its iOS. Android is an outstanding OS and even as I give some thought to buying a couple of MacBook Pros, I have no intention of defecting to the iPhone. I’m certainly not alone in that, especially as Android 2.2 adds serious speed and some very cool new features to my Droid Incredible when the update comes down tomorrow.

However, given that Google has hung its future hat on mobile, largely via Android, it has its work cut out for it if iPhone comes to Verizon. So do all the handset manufacturers that have flocked to Verizon and T-Mobile with great devices running Android. Android, simply put, will not only need to be better than iOS in every way, but be at least as compelling as the Apple marketing machine. Good luck, Google!

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Chris Dawson is a freelance writer and consultant with years of experience in educational technology and web-based systems. In 2011, he became the Vice President of Marketing for WizIQ, Inc., a virtual classroom and learning network SaaS provider.

Disclosure

Christopher Dawson

Christopher Dawson is the Vice President of Marketing for WizIQ, Inc., by day and a freelance writer and educational technology consultant by night. Well, most of his colleagues at WizIQ are based in India, so really he's working with them whenever he can stay awake. He has worked for his local school district as a teacher and technology director, for the Johns Hopkins University School of Public Health, and for Biogen, Inc. (now Biogen-IDEC, Inc.). He has also consulted with STATNet and Cytyc Corporation and retains close ties with X2 Development Corporation (now owned by Follett Software, the supplier of the student information system he administered for several years). Follett is paying him a monthly honorarium to act as a presenter for their "SIS Voices for Student Achievement" community (he produces occasional blog posts and hosts a monthly webinar on the use of student information systems to inform data-driven instruction and school-wide change. He regularly purchases and/or recommends Dell hardware. This is because Dell makes good hardware and has truly committed itself to education in innovative ways, particularly with their "Connected Classroom" initiative. It isn't because he has dealings with the company through his role at WizIQ (which he does) or because they have provided him with long-term loans of a variety of equipment for in-depth testing (which they have). Intel (reference designer for the Classmate PCs he has implemented in his local schools) has provided him with long-term loans of Classmate PCs for testing, as have Dell and Lenovo with their educational offerings. He may report on any of these companies as his experiences with them have direct bearing on educational technology; positive reports are not necessarily an endorsement and he receives no direct financial compensation from these companies or any others. Intel paid all expenses for his attendance at the 2009 Intel Classmate PC Ecosystem Summit which he attended as the sole representative of the technology press. He was invited to attend in 2010 but his wife would have killed him if he spent 3 days in Vegas geeking out and left her home alone with a new baby. Acer provided him with a 50% discount on an Aspire One netbook in early 2009 after he tested it for 30 days through their educational seed program. He liked the netbook at the time but it has since broken and sits unused in his office. Canonical sent him Ubuntu lanyards, t-shirts, and mousepads for his kids. He stole one of the lanyards and proudly hangs his keys from it and occasionally features his 8-year old wearing an oversized Ubuntu t-shirt on his Facebook profile. Gunnar Optiks sent him a pair of computer glasses to evaluate for a holiday gift guide. He is wearing them now as he types this because they never asked for them back and they rock out loud. Seriously - they work brilliantly and make it much easier to spend 20 hours a day staring at an LCD. If they ever asked for them back, he would fork over the $99 and buy a pair. Microsoft gave him 2 free copies of Office 2010 professional, a desktop clock, and a useless book on Office 2010 when he attended the launch of Office/Sharepoint 2010. He occasionally uses the SharePoint lanyard they gave him instead of the Ubuntu lanyard for his keys, but feels dirty afterwards. Adobe provided him with a pre-release version of the CS5 Master Collection for evaluation and ultimately provided a full, licensed copy for ongoing testing of educational applications of this admittedly expensive software. Like the Gunnars, if the license expires or they come out with CS6, he'd actually go out and buy it himself. Which is saying something, because he's actually pretty cheap. Any other companies wishing to send him cool things to evaluate, wear, or otherwise adorn his kids are more than welcome to; he promises to disclose it here if he keeps any of the stuff. Finally, because WizIQ is a virtual classroom and learning network provider, Chris, as VP of Marketing, frequently interacts with, seeks out deals with, and directly or indirectly competes with a whole lot of LMS, SIS, and other Education 2.0 companies. In general, he'll limit his reporting about these companies to news that does not impact his relationship with them or with WizIQ. If he reports on them, it's because what they are doing is newsworthy or worth the attention of his readers and not because he's trying to broker some deal, damage competition, or otherwise advance his position in his day job. LMS and SIS companies, along with other online learning communities, are a pretty important part of Ed Tech. If he stops reporting on them completely, there won't be a whole lot left. He'll be sure to call out any overt conflicts of interest if they are unavoidable. Finally, Follett Software Company pays him a little tiny honorarium every month to present on their SIS Voices webinars and to write the occasional blog or discussion thread for them. Since Follett recently bought X2 (maker of an awesome web-based SIS that Chris just happened to have used, served in advisory groups for, and frequently reported on), this is probably also worth disclosing.

Biography

Christopher Dawson

Christopher Dawson grew up in Seattle, back in the days of pre-antitrust Microsoft, coffeeshops owned by something other than Starbucks, and really loud, inarticulate music. He escaped to the right coast in the early 90's and received a degree in Information Systems from Johns Hopkins University. While there, he began a career in health and educational information systems, with a focus on clinical trials and related statistical programming and database modeling. This focus led him to several positions at Johns Hopkins, a couple-year stint in private industry, teaching high school math and technology, and 2 years as the technology director for his local school district. Most recently, he started his own consulting business and is now the Vice President of Marketing for WizIQ, Inc., a virtual classroom and learning network provider. He lives with his wife, five kids (yes, 5), 2 dogs, and a hateful cat in a small town in north-central Massachusetts. Although he is no longer teaching, his roles with WizIQ and ZDNet allow him to continue helping students and teachers add value to education with technology rather than merely adding to the bottom line.

Talkback Most Recent of 78 Talkback(s)

  • RE: Does a Verizon iPhone spell doom for Android?
    This is my opinion. No. We need variety. The whole Product A killer (weather it be Android or iPhone) is getting mighty old too.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Zc456
    17th Aug 2010
  • Does a Verizon iPhone mean anything?
    I choose not to buy an iPhone for many reasons and while ATT's crappy data service ranks high among these, it's not the biggest reason. The BIG reason has to do with App lock in by Apple and the need to rely on iTunes for a number of important tasks with the utterly closed platform. When I am able to buy an iPhone App from any vendor, at any time without going to Apple.com, then I might consider one. Until then, mePhone will not be an iPhone...
    ZDNet Gravatar
    jacarter3
    17th Aug 2010
  • Android spells iphone doom
    iphone on verizon will be a spike and final doom. Most users at verizon have used android, and android had so many more options than iphone, thatonce users see this they wul realize that an iphone us old tech and most aster a week will head back to goggles camp.

    Why, cause I've rated this on 20 average day people, who dislike technology. Have them android devices for a week, than provided them with a 3g sand a couple had the chance too use a 4g. Ask but one prefered android.

    Chime on spoke, give usyour best shot. it really won't mat ter iphone RIP.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Uralbas
    17th Aug 2010
  • what?
    @uralbas

    what was that? some kind of poetry performance?

    anyway, more than 50% of verizon customers want an iphone:
    http://www.morpace.com/Omnibus-Reports/Morpace%20Omnibus%20Report-iPhone.pdf

    ouch.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    banned from zdnet
    17th Aug 2010
  • RE: Does a Verizon iPhone spell doom for Android?
    Nope, i don't think so. It may become one of the top seller, but it would not kill any brand

    Ben
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Ben_rockwood
    17th Aug 2010
  • Sorry to burst your bubble...
    ...but not "everyone still really wants an iPhone." I don't want one, and I would bet that I am not unique. I do know people that have iPhones, and all are not happy. One of my sons even has one, and has to carry a second phone for when he actually wants to make calls. How much of the much ballyhooed problems with the iPhone are AT&T, and how much are just that the iPhone is a crappy phone? When, and if, it is available on other providers we will know for certain.

    For now, I am quite happy with my existing phone, which actually works for making calls. To me, that is far more important than playing games and downloading iFart apps.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    itpro_z
    17th Aug 2010
  • Yeah and all those satisfied iPhone users are imaginary:P
    @itpro_z
    Even the whole Antenna flap thing has not dented iPhone 4 sales in the least. Um your son carries around two phones!?! Does that say more about your son or the iPhone? Not sure myself but it sounded silly to me. Almost like you were trying to come up with some fable that would make the iPhone sound bad but the tale was so poor it backfired on ya:)

    Glad you like your phone cause one more complaint from you and I'd have been forced to ask for your address in order to send you a cheese wheel to go along with all that whine:P

    Pagan jim
    ZDNet Gravatar
    James Quinn
    17th Aug 2010
  • Poor Jim
    @James Quinn

    Sorry, Jim, for raining on your parade. I know several iPhone users, and the common consensus is that it is a wonderful multi-use device, but a horrible phone. Is that AT&T, or the phone? My son carries two phones because his iPhone (company provided) simply does not work outside of metro areas, and he travels a lot to remote sites. His second phone (personal) is a Verizon phone, and works pretty much everywhere. Once again, phone, or service?

    Was I whining? Of course not. I don't have one of the iPhones (that are pretty much useless where I live and work), and am very happy with the phone that I have. Back when the iPhone first came out, I warned that by trying to be a jack of all trades the iPhone would probably suck as a phone. Talking to users and reading about all the problems, I think I can safely say that my warning was pretty much on the mark. Of course, if all you want is a shiny toy to impress the ladies and don't care about actual phone calls, then I am sure you and many others are very happy with your iPhone.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    itpro_z
    17th Aug 2010
  • Glad to hear that companies are giving their workers
    @James Quinn
    iPhones. I did not at this time think the iPhone had made such in roads into the enterprise so again thanks for the info. As for your son and those others sounds like the area and coverage of AT&T in said area. I live in a basement apartment and my bars are iffy at best but to date and i've had my iPhone for almost two years now no call problems. Also I've read a whole lot of reviews that pretty much say the same thing as I. Far less are the stories that come in the same vein as yours. You know if you'd do the research I'm certain like 100 percent that you'd find as many if not more complaints from all brands of phones to do with AT&T, Verison, and T-Mobile as well and their coverage as well as the phone type weather it be BB or Nokia you name it you'll find the "witness" who find the reception of the phone to be iffy. Now you do have an interesting point about the jack of all trades smartphone industry and I want to know is your phone a smartphone?

    Pagan jim
    ZDNet Gravatar
    James Quinn
    17th Aug 2010
  • Re: Jim
    @James Quinn

    Jim, the company my son works for is multinational. My son is a field tech, and travels extensively. He really likes the iPhone, just not as a phone as it rarely works in the boonies where he often ends up at job sites. That is pretty much my issue as well, as I live and work in a very rural part of the country. I am one of those people who you could never pay enough to attract me to a city. To each his own.

    When I get a phone, I am mainly interested in voice calls. I research call quality, battery life, and weak signal performance. That automatically eliminates most smart phones right off the bat. I choose the service based on what my family uses (free calls!) and service quality in my area. That eliminates AT&T all together as they are primarily a city service.

    To answer your question about my phone, I do not currently have a smart phone, for two main reasons besides what I listed above. I have looked at BBs and others, but don't see myself using the service enough to justify the extra expense of a data plan. Sure, internet would be nice on my phone, but not at the price they want. It is not that I can't afford it, just that I can't justify the expense (a lesson that Washington needs to learn). Second, I don't like to carry a big phone, and most of the smart phones are now in a race to see who can be the biggest. I give BBs to my users at work, but I don't carry one. There is such a thing as being too connected.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    itpro_z
    17th Aug 2010
  • Actually of all the people I know that have an iPhone
    All have gone from, V2 to V3 then to V4.

    So it sure looks as though sales are great for Apple, but actuall users appear to have remained a bit stagnent.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    John Zern
    17th Aug 2010
  • Actually of all the people I know that have an iPhone
    All have gone from, V2 to V3 then to V4.

    So it sure looks as though sales are great for Apple, but actuall user base appears to have remained relatively stagnent.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    John Zern
    17th Aug 2010
  • RE: Does a Verizon iPhone spell doom for Android?
    @James Quinn Sounds like operator error. I have one phone, the iPhone 4 and I don't have problems with calls.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    cyberslammer
    17th Aug 2010
  • RE: Does a Verizon iPhone spell doom for Android?
    @itpro_z
    I am one iPhone owner that can't wait to get something else. I will almost certainly stay with AT&T. I am sure an acceptable Android or WP7 phone will be available when I can upgrade without penalty. The Apple UI, software and hardware are really not that good - more crude and derivative than people seem to think. I am looking forward to an upgrade.

    Great troll food.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Schoolboy Bob
    18th Aug 2010
  • How does Android fare against iPhone in other countries?
    US is one of the few countries where you don't have your choice of carriers if you want an iPhone. How well does Android compete with iPhone in countries where you can buy an iPhone on any carrier? Answer that question and I think you will have answered yours.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    NonZealot
    17th Aug 2010

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