Is cheaper thin film solar on the way? Oerlikon touts production breakthrough

By | September 7, 2010, 12:52pm PDT

Summary: Swiss company Oerlikon Solar is trumpeting the development of a new “ThinFab” thin film solar production method that it says could drive costs down to around 70 cents per watt for new manufacturing lines. If you’ve been following solar production costs, you know that the latest holy grail numbers have been about $1.00 per watt, [...]

Swiss company Oerlikon Solar is trumpeting the development of a new “ThinFab” thin film solar production method that it says could drive costs down to around 70 cents per watt for new manufacturing lines. If you’ve been following solar production costs, you know that the latest holy grail numbers have been about $1.00 per watt, a cost level that thin film leader First Solar achieved about a year and a half ago. We’ve been hovering at the $1.50 level for some time.

Oerlikon claims that ThinFab brings the following advances:

  • Thinner cell structures with the reduced potential for degradation or gas consumption
  • 10 percent module efficiency
  • New low-voltage module design

Chris O’Brien, head of market development for Oerlikon North America, he believes this development will “reinforce market confidence in thin film silicon technology and position the technology in the cost-efficiency leadership position.”

O’Brien says Oerlikon partners — it has 12 main ones — have so far sold about 600 megawatts of solar capacity, 75 percent of that is in commercial production. Oerlikon’s business footprint is mainly in Europe and China/Taiwan right now, but the company is actively seeking business across the western United States including California, Arizona and Nevada. Expect customer announcements soon, he predicts.

For perspective, First Solar expects to be behind about 1.4 gigawatts in capacity by the end of 2010.

Many of Oerlikon’s ThinFab innovations will be transferrable to existing customers with modifications to their production lines, O’Brien says.

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Talkback Most Recent of 5 Talkback(s)

  • Solar power's biggest hurdle..
    is cost-per-watt. To become a truly viable alternative source it needs overcome one of 2 problems. It needs to either cost about the same as new roofing to cover your entire roof or the individual units need to operate at a much higher efficency reducing the amount of space needed.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Scubajrr
    7th Sep 2010
  • No
    @Scubajrr

    If the price is the same as roofing, you'd get the power for free. Clearly not a necessary condition.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Economister
    7th Sep 2010
  • No, solar power's biggest hurdle is the fact
    that you'll NEVER be able to get more than 1 kW per square meter out of it, because that's all that's coming in from the sun.

    So at 100% efficiency, and dirt cheap, you're still covering miles and miles of land for the same output 10 acres of nuclear power plant would get you.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    frgough
    7th Sep 2010
  • And no
    @frgough

    Total energy reaching the earth is about 170 Petawatts and total energy consumption is about 15 Terawatts, a ratio of about 10,000 to one. Even if you adjust for energy lost in the atmosphere, absorbed by the oceans, conversion efficiency etc., the amount of land that would be needed for a 100% solar society is NOT prohibitive, and certainly not as conversion efficiencies rise in the future. Storage and transmission to certain parts of the globe could be issues however.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Economister
    7th Sep 2010
  • You are both right, and both wrong
    I agree with both Scubajrr and frgough above as to the issues with solar power, but you have to add another: Storage. Since solar power is intermittent, you have to store power for later use. Right now, that means batteries, and batteries are expensive, short lived, and contain toxic materials. When you look at the total cost of adding solar power to a building (because of frgough's argument it is not suitable for large scale), it is just not cost effective. We need a technological leap on the storage side to make it feasible.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    itpro_z
    7th Sep 2010

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