LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

Summary: New Pike Research report predicts that lower costs, intelligent features will help LEDs capture 52 percent of the commercial lighting market by 2021.

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In the commercial market at least, lighting emitting diodes (LEDs) are gaining momentum as an alternative to incandescent and fluorescent technologies.

Even though the current marketshare of LEDs is pretty low, Pike Research predicts that the market share for solid-state LED lighting will reach 52 percent of the commercial lighting market by 2021. That is because the market research firm believes that costs for LED products will come down by 80 percent to 90 percent during that time period.

Said Pike Research analyst Eric Bloom:

"LEDs represent perhaps the most significant breakthrough of the last 130 years in lighting technology. The production of white LEDs, which began in the late 1990s, is starting to transform the lighting industry and the transition to this new technology is likely to occur very quickly. Rapidly-evolving technologies, such as semiconductors and software, are finding their way into the lighting market, catapulting this traditional, historically slow-moving industry into a new era of high technology."

Digital Lumens' latest technology includes integrated daylight harvesting. (Photo courtesy of Digital Lumens)

Digital Lumens' latest technology includes integrated daylight harvesting.

One recent example of what Bloom is talking about was released in mid-November by Digital Lumens, a Boston-based developer of intelligent LED lighting systems. The company's latest 18,000- and 26,000-lumen LED lighting fixtures come integrated with sensors that enable daylight harvesting features that help adjust and balance output according to specific lighting conditions. The LightRules control system built into the fixtures helps provide for individual control over fixtures to accommodate the conditions in specific rooms or locations of an installation.

Digital Lumens has said that its technology helps customers provide the same light output at only 10 percent of the energy cost of traditional fixtures. Daylight harvesting can provide up to 50 percent additional energy savings, according to the company.

(Photo courtesy of Digital Lumens)

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14 comments
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  • Way too pessimistic

    10 years to get 52% marketshare.
    I am willing to bet on a much higher number.
    Look at traffic lights.
    For commercial uses, it is not just the energy savings, but the longer life. Labor costs are a large part of total lighting costs.
    davebarnes
    • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

      @davebarnes "Look at traffic lights."

      And not just them - I'm seeing cars use LEDs for tailights, and don't forget the LED flashlights!

      It's mostly just a matter of mass production and bringing down costs IMO.
      CobraA1
  • Plus, no hazmat team

    We've replaced several quick-on, quick-off lights (the closet, the garage, the bathrooms... places where you're in and out in minutes) with LEDs. The CFLs have that annoying slow-to-ramp-up characteristic that made them near-useless in those applications. Now we get full brightness the minute we step into the closet. Much better.<br><br>Same thing with the outdoor motion-sensor lighting. We replaced all the CFLs with LEDs. They're much brighter, and instant-on.<br><br>None of these were economically justified by energy savings, or even labor savings. It's just that CFLs suck so badly for so many reasons.

    A fortune awaits the guy who invents a plug-in LED replacement for fluorescent tube lighting. So far all the ones I've found require re-wiring the fixture to get the 'ballast' out of the loop.
    Robert Hahn
    • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

      @Robert Hahn <br>Go to t8led.org<br>They have the drop in t8 LED lamps with no rewiring.<br><br>I've seen and purchased them a couple times. ohmlighting.com was another.<br><br>Cheers!
      LukeLafaque
  • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

    First responders better brush up on their mercury poisoning treatments.
    edkollin
    • Because woodchucks are passe

      @edkollin
      As part of our program to ask trick questions, we're going to ask you how much Mercury there is in an LED lamp.
      Robert Hahn
      • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

        @Robert Hahn Seriously. It's the fluorescent lights that have the mercury in them, not LEDs.
        Aerowind
      • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

        @Robert Hahn

        Gee I thought the danger was led poisoning ;-)
        tonymcs@...
    • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

      @edkollin You missed the "diode" part.
      davidr69
  • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

    When did they come out with a true "white" LED? I thought all "white" leds were really a combination of different colors that produced a white light?
    neca_florida@...
  • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

    Indeed LEDs are gaining market share in a large number of "niches" - but I do have to wonder about the prognostication by Pike Research that LED product costs can really come down by 80 to 90% over the next ten years. As I understand it, the margin in LED business is already really skimpy, so I think the reduction would have to come from material costs, process yield improvements and lower overhead. There is hardly any direct labor cost in the model already.
    Just my thought....
    Willnott
  • Robert Plant Is Going To Buy An Airship ...

    ... and cover it with these. And it will look pretty flying by in the night sky.

    But he can't think of a name for it. Any suggestions?
    ldo17
    • RE: LED lighting tech ready for commercial breakthrough

      @ldo17
      Robert Plant could afford to do it if anyone could...
      Suggestions... I get myself in trouble over puns!!
      mk2957
      • Re: Robert Plant Is Going To Buy An Airship ...

        @mk2957 He was with that band ... what was it called, again?
        ldo17