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Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?

By | July 16, 2010, 9:20am PDT

Something has been bugging me since earlier this week, when I covered the far-reaching GE press conference about its activities with respect to the smart grid (what General Electric Chairman Jeff Immelt likes to refer to as “digital energy technology”).

Sometime during his remarks about digital energy, Immelt remarked that it was likely that nations outside the United States — ones that don’t have an infrastructure that is almost 100 years old — are likely to ahead most quickly with smart grid technologies. He joked that the “pilot” test for one of the Chinese utility companies is 50 million meters.

Think about that number for a second.

Most of the U.S. pilot projects that I hear about involve maybe hundreds of meters or consumers, let alone thousand. Our biggest challenge, of course, is that we are used to the way things have been running for decades. The only time we wonder about how things are run is when the electricity stops running. When our air-conditioners and computers rooms and networks sap demand on ultra-hot days and we finally hit “peak usage.”

Seriously, did you know that we’re always generating to the peak? Think of all that wasted capacity being generated when we’re NOT at that consumption rate.

A few days ago, market research company ABI Research predicted that smart grid spending will reach approximately $46 billion by 2015. The bulk of that money — a whopping $41 billion — will go to the transmission and distribution infrastructure. Slightly less than $5 billion will go to the smart meters themselves.

So, I find myself wondering, how much of our smart grid funding is focused on the rights sorts of activities and where should our government stimulus dollars really be spent? On the smart meters, where we need to do TONS of education, or on the transmission systems that are woefully out-of-date. Here’s some perspective from ABI Research analyst Larry Fisher, part of the team that published “Smart Grid Applications: Smart Meters, Demand Response and Distributed Generation:”

“Most of the electric utility infrastructure deployed int he industrialized world was built between 60 and 80 years ago. Much of this infrastructure is outdated, and with the continuing increase in demand for power year after year, the grid cannot safely and reliably manage the loads of today and tomorrow without significant upgrades.”

Think about how painful a network upgrade is, and you’ll get a teeny sense of how painful this might be.

This whole scenario is why I feel we should be accelerating our investments in microgrid technologies and technologies that help us add renewable generating sources. Sure, metering is a holy grail, but if there isn’t enough power to meter, that’s an even bigger problem.

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Heather Clancy is an award-winning business journalist with a passion for green technology and corporate sustainability issues.

Disclosure

Heather Clancy

Writing publicly about what the high-tech industry is actually doing to help itself and the world get greener or more sustainable is one way I figure I can contribute more meaningfully to said effort. I am also a big OMG-kind-of-fan of smart leadership, which is why the goodly folks who publish this blog let me go on about this topic and why I am always on the hunt for forward-looking business management ideas.

My daily writing is focused on looking for topics for my blogs, GreenTech Pastures and Business Brains. I also write often about emerging technology trends such as mobile computing, unified communications and cloud computing. Occasionally, I will pop up at an industry conference in some sort of speaking capacity. In cases where a speaking engagement involves a sponsor that may be covered in this blog, that fact will be disclosed in coverage as appropriate.

My corporate writing work usually consists of crafting research white papers about some aspect of technology. In the event that my commentary (in written, audio or video form) mentions a company for which I have provided consulting advice, I will disclose that fact. However, there is no connection between these projects and the topics that I am covering in my blog.

Biography

Heather Clancy

Heather Clancy is an award-winning business journalist with a passion for green technology and corporate sustainability issues. Her articles have appeared in Entrepreneur, Fortune Small Business, The International Herald Tribune and The New York Times. In a past corporate life, Heather was editor of Computer Reseller News, where she was a featured speaker about everything from software as a service to IT security to mobile computing.

Heather started her journalism life as a business writer with United Press International in New York. She holds a B.A. in English literature from McGill University in Montreal, Quebec, and has a thing for Lewis Carroll.

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Fall behind???
wackoae 17th Jul 2010
Is it even in the race??
0 Votes
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Please explain
Economister Updated - 16th Jul 2010
What do "generating to the peak" and "wasted capacity being generated" mean?

Are you saying that more energy than required by the grid is being generated?
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RE: Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?
brendan@... 16th Jul 2010
@Economister
Of course, that's the only way to avoid brownouts when power use spikes. A problem exacerbated by the fact that most large scale generators take a long time to adjust in the face of changes to demand.
That's one of the reasons power companies are interested in energy storage technology - Green or not, the ability to quickly store and access grid level amounts of power would let any power generation facility operate much more efficiently.
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No it is not
Economister 16th Jul 2010
@brendan@...

With massively integrated grids (which they are in North America), spikes happen relatively slowly and the generators adjust automatically. You CANNOT generate more than is required. If you tried to do that you would force the frequency above 60Hz which would cause all kinds of problems. That is in fact how they maintain the frequency - by balancing the generated power exactly to the load.

Energy storage is really a totally different topic than a smart grid. A smart grid will automatically adjust individual small loads to try to keep the total system load from varying too much. This can prevent brown outs and distributes the load more evenly over time, increasing the efficiency of the generators.

I really wanted Heather to answer my question, because I have no idea what she is talking about.
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RE: Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?
IfUInsist Updated - 16th Jul 2010
@Economister

I suspect that the author meant to say that utilities build generating capacity to the peak, but actually generate to the real-time consumption rate. When she says, "Think of all that wasted capacity being generated when were NOT at that consumption rate," the author hopefully recognizes that electricity cannot be stored efficiently, so the capacity to generate must be built to provide the consumption when it is needed. So she's correct to say that it's the additional capacity that is "wasted" but there is no additional genertion.
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Thanks
Economister 16th Jul 2010
@IfUInsist

You are probably correct. I just wasn't quite sure what she was driving at. Frankly, I think a smart grid makes a lot of sense. How the "intelligence" will be applied can be debated, from fully utility controlled to fully consumer controlled, with pricing depending on the peak load or the time of day.
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RE: Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?
hayneiii@... Updated - 16th Jul 2010
I definitely hope so. The smarter the grid, the more open it is to manipulation and sabotage. The gains are not worth the risks. A nice big solar storm could complete destroy the entire smart grid. Whether we lead in the technology or not is would be better to figure a way to harden it from EMP before we distribute it.
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Why waste stockholder money on smart meters?
Yagotta B. Kidding 16th Jul 2010
Bear in mind that smart grid investments aren't recoupable by utilities -- they get paid for capacity, not conservation. That's one of those things about regulated monopolies.
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Rubbish
Economister 16th Jul 2010
@Yagotta B. Kidding

It is EXTREMELY expensive to build capacity to meet peak loads. A smart grid would allow utilities to build less (peak) capacity and still meet demand. They could save a fair amount of money which could be passed along to the consumers, at least in part.
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RE: Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?
CodeCurmudgeon 16th Jul 2010
The local utility is deploying smart meters, thanks to a DOE grant. Thousands of 'em, maybe even tens of thousands, assuming they switch out every meter in town like the publicity said.

The nearby rural power co-op has had electronic meters for years which signal their readings back through the lines. If those aren't the same as smart meters, I don't know exactly what the difference is. The electronic meters have saved the co-op a bundle by eliminating meter readers.
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RE: Will U.S. fall behind in smart grid?
Enough2Bdangerous Updated - 16th Jul 2010
For smart gird market research reports, contact rarsenault@marketresearch.com or visit www.sbireports.com or www.marketresearch.com
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Well if the electronics in their appliances is any indication of their abilities we will be having a lot of blackouts.
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Fall behind???
wackoae 17th Jul 2010
Is it even in the race??

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