It's too early to declare Windows 8 an iPad killer

It's too early to declare Windows 8 an iPad killer

Summary: There's a lot of stuff that has to happen if Windows 8 is going to become a serious tablet OS, let alone make have any impact on the iPad.

SHARE:

Yesterday a few Windows pundits got overexcited at the sight of Windows 8 at the BUILD conference and started declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer.

Woah there ... REWIND!

It's way too early to declare Windows 8 an anything killer, let alone an iPad killer.

Here's an example of a pundits getting all prematurely, this is a tweet by Paul Thurrott:

I think Thurrott's got the stepladder out to hang up 'Mission Accomplished' banner already. Slow down! There's a lot of stuff that has to happen if Windows 8 is going to become a serious tablet OS, let alone make have any impact on the iPad.

#1 - Microsoft needs to make a compelling case for Windows 8 tablets

I know that it's easy to think that traditional computing (that is, 'doing it on a desktop or notebook') is dead, but it isn't. Not by a long shot.

One thing that Microsoft needs to start talking about is why we need the full Windows OS on a tablet. I know it's Windows, and I know that's a big deal for Microsoft, but what advantages does a full-blown OS on a tablet have over Android and iOS? What will having Windows offer over the competition?

Note: There are a number of very good reasons for why Microsoft wants to shoehorn Windows onto tablets - two that spring to mind instantly is 1) Microsoft makes a LOT of money from Windows, and; 2) There's no app ecosystem that has to flourish in advance of a release. However, these are two benefits for Microsoft, not the user.

So, Microsoft, why is Windows on a tablet the OS of choice?

#2 - OEMs have to play their part

If a Windows 8 tablet is to become successful then the big-name OEMs are going to have to do their bit. They're going to have to build good quality hardware and sell it at a reasonable price. OEMs are wary of putting a lot of time and money into speculative markets - take a look at how cautiously they're entering the ultrabook market. There's a lot of risk in new markets and devices (just ask HP about the TouchPad) and no one wants to invest in something that might flop.

And OEMs trying to sell Windows tablets are going to have a harder time that Apple as selling the iPad. What differentiates the product from one OEM compared to another? Usually it's just price, which means that Microsoft will see it's OEMs fighting one another, and that will kick off a race to the bottom in terms of price.

#3 - Windows 8 is still a ways off

There's many a slip 'twixt the cup and the lip.

Probably the earliest we'll see Windows 8 hit PC s is April 2012. That's a LONG way off in tech terms. It's at least one iPad iteration away, which means that there's no point looking at Windows 8, or even reference specs for tablets, and comparing them to the iPad 2. Any Windows 8 tablet is going to be going up against the iPad 3 ... and we don't know anything about the iPad 3.

#4 - Legacy support

One of the advantages of having Windows on a tablet is the fact that it'll have support for all your desktop/notebook software and hardware, right?

Well, maybe ... see the issue here is that Microsoft has been talking a lot about an ARM version of Windows for tablets, and this version won't offer legacy support.

Microsoft so far is being coy about the ARM version of Windows. The tablets that were given out to developers at the BUILD conference was an x86 machine running Intel Core i5 silicon. Also, there's no ARM version of Windows for download.

If tablets are going to be powered primarily by ARM processors, then there will be no legacy support ... so that kinda kills off one of the primary reasons for having a Windows-based tablet.

#5 - Will Windows 8 tablets have any effect on the iPad (or vice versa)?

Why does Windows 8 tablets have to compete with the iPad (let alone become a 'killer')?

The way I see it, the iPad stands alone. Apple doesn't even call it a tablet. Sure, it is a tablet but I think that when people are buying an iPad they're not thinking 'oh, I'm buying a tablet,' they're thinking 'oh, I'm buying an iPad!' Big difference.

Will a Windows 8 tablet affect the iPad? I don't think it will. The iPad is to well established and appeals to a different audience.

[UPDATE: Dwight Silverman has a good post over on TechBlog listing the Four things that will make - or break - Windows 8. He offers up four additional points that I think are equally valid. Check it out.]

Topics: Operating Systems, iPad, Microsoft, Mobility, Software, Windows

Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily email newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.

Talkback

83 comments
Log in or register to join the discussion
  • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

    "It is probably not as early as ZDNet writers declaring that desktop computing is dead!" he opined as he typed away at his desktop pc.
    GunbladeAddict
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @GunbladeAddict +1
      Your Non Advocate
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @GunbladeAddict

      Not to early to predict a total failure by Microsoft to even START.
      BrentRBrian
    • How many times have bloggers such as Mr. Kingsley-Hughes

      @GunbladeAddict
      himself pointed to a new product asking "is this the iPad/iPhone killer?"

      :|
      Tim Cook
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @GunbladeAddict

      ++1
      rdiablo
  • wrong killer

    iPad (and windoze) will be killed by android.
    The Linux Geek
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek You need help sir !!!
      1773
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      Please, do not M$turbate in public.
      paul2011
      • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

        @paul2011
        :D
        Ram U
      • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

        @paul2011 LMFAO :D
        MrElectrifyer
      • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

        @paul2011 That was goooooood :-)
        non-biased
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      yeah!! Its the year of the Linux Tablet! :P
      doh123
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      why paint yourself as a fool, get advise or help...
      owlnet
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      why paint yourself as a fool, get advise or help...
      owlnet
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      why paint yourself as a fool, get advise or help...
      owlnet
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @The Linux Geek
      Because Android is doing so awesome in the market now... 2 forks so far and none that are useable.

      and windoze... really? wow...
      mjlaverty@...
  • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

    Hmm, tough one, i have no doubt that W8 will do well on pc's and tablets, and iT will eventually be mostly at the expensive of laptops/netbooks and yes also the ipad. I do own an ipad2 and whilst it is a fun device, it is nowhere near capable enough to replace my "on the couch" laptop. A Windows tablet might be. Let's wait and see what pricepoint we will be looking at, but my first preference will definitely be an x86-64 tablet. If they manage to get it a price tag of say 600-700 bucks, my ipad will be shelved. I am not that thrilled about Arm in any case, and we see intek powered devices make up on the battery part, but for me that's not even that great concern, I mean even the ipad2 will not last long enough for my next transcontinental flight, so I will leave it at home in any case.
    sjaak327
    • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

      @sjaak327
      >> I mean even the ipad2 will not last long enough for my next transcontinental flight
      Wow ! you are going to be looking at that thing for more than 10 hours during your flight ?
      mKind
      • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

        @mKind

        The flight is 12 hours, battery life on the ipad2 is at best 7 hours, 10 hours is marketing talk, not a reality.
        sjaak327
      • RE: It's too early to start declaring Windows 8 an iPad killer

        @sjaak327 He asked if you were going to be looking at it for more than 10 hours, not questioning how long the flight was. Not sure where you get the 7 hours from but I know that we easily get 10 hours out of our iPad and so does everyone else I know that have either the iPad or iPad 2. Even if it only gets 7 hours your not going to take it because of that? What are you taking that gets better?
        non-biased