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Are the iPhone and social networks making the classic Web and intranet obsolete?

By | October 25, 2009, 3:25pm PDT

Summary: There’s been an important and relatively sudden change taking place over the last couple of years in the way that we interact with the Web. While direct access or search activity has been (and still is) the most common way that we access the content and applications of the Web, new ways have been rapidly growing and competing with how we work online, both at home and at work. These new models, exemplified by social networking sites like Facebook or mobile apps on platforms like the iPhone, Palm’s new webOS, and Android, seems to be heralding a change in the way that we work with our IT systems in the enterprise. See what the implications are and what you can do about them.

Many as-yet-unforeseen new developments will create enormous societal, cultural, and business opportunities over the next decade, just as long as we don’t make irreversible decisions down the wrong path. There’s been an important and relatively sudden change taking place over the last couple of years in the way that we interact with the Web. While direct access or search activity has been (and still is) the most common way that we access the content and applications of the Web, new ways have been rapidly growing and competing with how we work online, both at home and at work.

Thus these new models, exemplified by social networking sites like Facebook or mobile apps on platforms like the iPhone, Palm’s new webOS, and Android, will ultimately herald a change in the way that we work with our IT systems in the enterprise.

The once relatively unified world of the Internet, with a few major top-level types of access directly connected to it (browser, e-mail, IRC client, newsreader, etc.) and a few key sub-apps such as search that virtually everyone online used have been extended — as well as fragmented — into popular new channels into which users are now rapidly moving en masse.

That’s not to say that direct usage of the Internet (loading up and using sites and apps via the traditional Web browser) is going away. It’s still far and away the most common way to interact with the Web today and will likely be that way for quite some time, if not forever.

But real shifts in both online platform alternatives and in the mobile market are beginning to usher in foundational new usage patterns by users. These new channels — of which the latest generation of mobile apps and social networking platforms, which are often tightly integrated with the Web but are not truly one with it, are just the two biggest examples — demonstrate what is probably a generational transformation of the vital border between us and the Internet.

And this is the crux of the point: Where the point of user attention and interaction resides and who controls it is one of the most important conversations between us and our “preferred intermediaries”, a fancy term for who we like to work with to interact with the Web. This in turn has significant implications for enterprise intranets, our often clunky yet essential local “Web” in our organizations.

Why are these changes happening? There are at least two major reasons:

The first is that user attention on the Web has been moving to social networks, best exhibited by Facebook, which has been the single largest gainer of online usage in the last 3 years, over all other applications. Even e-mail has been eclipsed in many markets and only search remains more dominant. Social networks, which are platforms in their own right — just like the Web, but also have touchpoints well outside of it — have come into their own as competing yet codependent platforms that sprawl across the Internet, telecommunications infrastructure, mobile devices, and desktop computers.

The second reason is the failure of Internet standards bodies and the larger development community to come up with an effective solution for the mobile Internet. Without an approach that let mobile device makers tap into the full power of their devices for the benefit of users, they were forced to come up with their own models for applications. That the best of these apps (and probably a near majority) use Web resources behind the scenes, yet provide their own local, non-Web user experiences (UX), provides serious and disruptive competition for direct usage of the Web. And though next-generation mobile app usage is just in its infancy, Apple can already claim that there have been two billion downloads of over 85,000 different apps from the App Store in a very short amount of time (less than two years.)

The new intermediaries are not really the Web

This should be a wakeup call to those that use the Internet and think about how to strategically apply it to their lives and business. As I’m fond of saying, the reason that Internet has been so popular up until this point is that it’s fundamentally system without an owner (though there are many who try) that is proven to be a (reasonably) safe, stable, and open global environment for us to make extensive commitments, whether that’s just the technologies for our personal or internal use or its business models to evolve and extend the our products and services.

The key here is that like the platform wars of old, and which is being revisited again with cloud computing, the same is likely going happen with our points of use and the Web/intranet. Our new preferred intermediaries, whether that is apps on the iPhone platform or personal/business interaction/app use on Facebook, are controlled by commercial entities and built on technologies and legal frameworks that they’ve created and own. These platforms have already become enormously powerful in their own right in the short time they’ve been here, with Facebook Connect driving the Web identity of thousands of other company’s apps and some iPhone UXs being the only, or least the dominant, front-end for some Web-connected apps. In this latter scenario, the Web becomes a dumb pipe for other, non-Web platforms. Users are increasingly using mobile apps instead of the Web. I know, I’m one of them.

Related: How the Web OS has started to reshape IT and business.

That this is a good thing or a bad thing is, of course, in the eye of the beholder. Successful social networks were created by private sector companies using the right online business models. So too have been effective, high quality mobile applications. The standards of the Web, key to the often wild success of the Internet, didn’t save the day for once. But the Internet has grown up and it’s a different place today, with a lot more variety from powerful rich user experiences and mashups to everyone trying to build their own platforms within — or right over — the Web platform. The latter is increasingly proving to be the most successful new model for 21st century digital businesses.

The new, new Web: Business-friendly, sometimes

There are a number of implications that naturally fall out of an analysis of this newly emerging set of quasi-Web platforms. Note that these are things, like the iPhone or social network platforms, which greatly benefit from the Web but aren’t really the Web. While these points can be argued to some degree, the overall direction is clear and there at least have been found ways to co-opt the Web. If this is true, all of us, personally and as organizations, need to be cognizant of what these shifts might mean. From what we can see, it is this:

  • The new “quasi-Web” platforms are a consumer world phenomenon in which businesses have limited participation. At least for now, you will encounter trouble adopting the standards and technologies of platforms such as Facebook and the iPhone for your individual business. Despite being such broad, popular phenomena, both can be extremely useful in a business setting. However,, they’re largely proprietary (though sometimes well documented) and there’s no open way to participate in their evolution. You also can’t today build internal business applications for either platform (you can build external ones for sure), at least without serious hacks that are unsupported either company. There are alternatives of course and OpenSocial for social networks while Android and RIM both allow custom-apps to be used at will, but the former has languished in some obscurity lately and the latter still requires an entirely new non-Web platform to be an intermediary. It’s also worth noting that the iPhone and Facebook are also the only platforms strong enough today to potentially control the shots at anything near a level playing field with the Web.
  • It’s about providing effective new user experiences. Social graphs & networks, activity streams, microblogging, mashups, apps that take full advantage of today’s mobile device capabilities, and so on are on their way to becoming tomorrow’s standard way of operating for business applications. We are learning that these new models can offer many potential benefits in usability, productivity, collaboration, and new and better ways of doing business. As long as the real cost in flexibility, choice, and giving up control isn’t too high that is. This is one area where the slow adoption of technology advances by businesses may actually turn out to be a good thing.
  • In the end, it’s more about who controls the data, and less where it’s experienced; new user channels strengthens this model. The strategic imperative of Web companies is to own the best class of data and become the indispensable provider for it. Opening it up and letting partners build upon it is a vital business model today, with strategies such as open APIs. By having many additional consumption points in the marketplace, from all Web-connected platforms and their associated apps, is now a key plank to online success. Thus fragmentation of Web UX can actually increase business opportunities, even as it makes it more tedious and difficult to get reach into the whole marketplace in the medium-term (long-term takes care of itself in the self-service partnership models of open platforms.)
  • The future workplace will be more social and more mobile, probably a lot more. It’ll take a while since IT inside of most organizations today still has limited competitive pressure (although increasingly off-premises SaaS is giving it a run for its money.) But users “vote with their feet to the platforms they prefer” and while consumerization of the enterprise isn’t a good goal for its own sake, more and more businesses I talk to are adding or preparing to add much better support for these new channels. While many companies now have internal social networks (usually in their infancy in terms of strategic use), mobile applications have much further to go in the enterprise but also highlight major opportunities.
  • Companies that have a strong commitment to open Web standards may be challenged to keep up with these trends. The trend, at least for now, is that many major developments related to the Web are being driven by the private sector and not Web organizations, standards bodies, open source projects, or other relatively benign entities. Time will tell if this is a lasting trend but open Web standards have been a critical direction that has given us an almost infinite cornucopia of benefits, despite some exceptions (the Flash platform being one of the biggest.) For now, it’s not likely that jumping on board these trends immediately will confer major strategic business advantage for enterprises, but there are significant opportunities to be had. Just be very careful of the slippery slope.

For my part, I don’t think these trends as a whole are necessarily bad ones. Hundreds of millions of people around the world benefit from them every day. But since all technology-based developments can be a two-edged sword, it’s up to us to make sure we’re making the right choices. I deeply believe social networks, cutting-edge mobile experiences, and many as-yet-unforeseen new developments will create enormous societal, cultural, and business opportunities over the next decade, just as long as we don’t make irreversible decisions down the wrong path.

Are you finding yourselves using less of the classic Web? Why or why not?

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Dion Hinchcliffe is an expert in information technology, business strategy, and next-generation enterprises.

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Biography

Dion Hinchcliffe

Dion Hinchcliffe is an expert in information technology, business strategy, and next-generation enterprises. He is currently Executive Vice President of Strategy at Dachis Group. A veteran of enterprise IT, Dion has been working for two decades with leading-edge methods to bridge the widening gap between business and technology. He has extensive practical experience with enterprise technologies and he consults, advises, and writes prolifically on social business, IT, and enterprise architecture. Dion still works in the trenches with clients in the Fortune 1000, government, and Internet startup community. He is also a sought-after keynote speaker and is co-author of several books on 2.0 subjects including Web 2.0 Architectures from O'Reilly as well as the upcoming Social Business By Design (due Spring, 2012.)
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sinemafilmizle Updated - 26th Mar 2011
@pupkin_z

What are you trying to achieve with that?

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Intranet???
wackoae 25th Oct 2009
How does social networking and the iPhone replacing a companies Intranet??

That is a ridiculous statement.

Slightly changing the way people do things is one thing. Replacing the safety and security of a corporate intranet is other.
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Intranet
Zoozagt6 26th Oct 2009
I totally agree, at least for now companies should continue to use their intranet.
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Weird title for a tedious article
jiagebusen 26th Oct 2009
Agreed. Why is Intranet in this title and why is iPhone there, too? The actual article only mentions iPhone ONCE, and that's in the first paragraph. What's this--jumping on a perceived bandwagon.

As for social networks, I wouldn't give a rat's ass for them.

Running a business, I don't care if my employees tweet or check facebook. I only have two requirements: get your work done on time and make sure the customer is happy. My BIGGEST concern for using the Internet is security and accessibility. I work in a third world country that throttles the internet. For me, the next big wave will be VPN--tunnelling through to businesses and to web sites otherwise unavailable here. As for phones, if they access the internet and a site is blocked here, it's the same.

This article is not thinking global enough.
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I agree
vilppuu@... 28th Oct 2009
"For me, the next big wave will be VPN--tunnelling through to
businesses and to web sites otherwise unavailable here."

yes! VPN is the only way to go, however I suspect that too will run its
round of compromises..
it is a hard shift. as a business owner, i am not fond of employees using a social network to preform business tasks. It is very distracting and at this point would not generate enough revenue to make it worth it.
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Controlling the data.
CobraA1 25th Oct 2009
"In the end, it?s more about who controls the data,
and less where it?s experienced"

Sadly true, and if ZDNet has its way (pray it
doesn't), then the only person who won't be
able to control your data is - well, you.

They want your information to be on servers around the
world. Where do they want your data to not be?
Well, on your own computer.

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Controlling the data only matters if the right people find it
david.fishman@... Updated - 25th Oct 2009
Control of data puts a premium on who controls search. More providers are charting their own destiny by building custom search, using open source enterprise search technologies such as Lucene and Solr. Netflix, Zappos, Myspace, LinkedIn and many others use these technologies to build custom search, because in enterprise search, accuracy is king: you must find the right document. In ad-driven search all you just need aggregate yields of clicks. blog.lucidimagination.com
The greatest benefit of Facebook is that it has many
groups on the site that you can join. So if you are
interested in Chicago Cubs you can research Chicago
Cubs in the groups section and you will be able to
find friends on there that like the Cubs. This is just
one example, I know that you can join groups of your
favorite football team, television show, or whatever
you want for the most part! If you can't find a group
for your interest, you can simply create one!

James
Email Marketing
Software
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blah...
ljenux-23043766007667558234416105604265 26th Oct 2009
don't be ridicilous.

get serious, this is IT news site and not some place for your crazy scenarios
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I get your point.
magallanes 26th Oct 2009
Most people think that how their personally play and use "x" gadget and their closed friends do the same, then they can extrapolate globally.

For example:
i have 1 pc + 1 notebook, my brothers have 1 notebook each one, and my fathers have 1 pc. So, i can conclude that :almost every person in the world have a pc or have access to one, and it is not true at all, in fact it is the opposite (no more that 5-8% of the population have access to a computer).
iPhone making the web obsolete? What are you on? A phone using the worst data service available, which has less than 1/3 of a percent of all web usage is making the web obsolete?

Get a grip and stop shilling for Apple.
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And yet...
dominigan 26th Oct 2009
iPhone traffic accounts for 75% of all mobile traffic to our web site.

While the iPhone will not "replace the web" (which is what the article vaguely hints at), I have seen several apps for the iPhone that put a mobile-friendlier client face on web sites. I personally use the Facebook, eBay, Amazon and Craig's List iPhone apps... which do just that.
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n/t
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sigh
sinemafilmizle Updated - 26th Mar 2011
@pupkin_z

What are you trying to achieve with that?

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The iPhone only adds to the mix, it does not replace it in any way, shape or form. Why do we always need a winner in IT? WE DON'T! Gees people, get a clue.
It is almost like everyone has a smart phone, and does social networking. 'Tis not true. Only managers around here are eleigble for a company smart phone, I doubt they have access to such on the corporate network. I personally do not have either. My phone doesn't even access the web, nor do I want to pay extra for it to, nor get one that does, I wouldn't use it enough to justify the cost. I don't use any of the social networks, nor do I plan to.
So no, they aren't going to replace anything soon. A mobile phone is even less secure than a laptop on a wireless network. Why would anyone do business that way?
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Dion's point was not to say the iPhone is taking over the world or that their phone service is the best.

If you are following the trends, you will see that he is (provactively) bringing up the idea that the concept of the "network" is changing. We all expect our devices to have the information we need no matter where we are. Today that is a browser on a smartphone, tomorrow it will be something different.

We all want to share and stay connected. Today that is a social networking application, what will it be tomorrow?

He is bringing up broader points about how the infrastructure will change. What are your ideas as a response to that point?
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Don't think that's going to happen. I love my iPhone but it really isn't that great for extensive web surfing. And as for Facebook, it is way too much mindless chatter and cluttering my email inbox, I'm about to cancel my account soon. At the end of the day, I'll stick with my desktop/laptop with Windows 7 for web surfing and untether myself from Facebook once and for all.
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One day...
rynning 26th Oct 2009
Some day your iPhone (or some other hand-held) will drive a full size monitor, along with a full size keyboard. The power of top-of-the-line mobile processor is how far behind a PC? 5-6 years? It won't be long.

(I read once that the PC is only about 20 years behind best-in-class super computers, and has been for 25 years.)
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true- but
unclefixer@... 26th Oct 2009
as technology gets smaller, someone will fill a larger case with more power stuffed in it. Which means the iphone sized device may drive a full sized monitor, but someone will build a machine the size of a modern desktop with the power of about 30 iphones.
It's happened before... and things go in cycles- smaller is cool, then bigger and more powerful is cool- on and on...
www.dfwsupergeek.com
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true, but...
rynning 26th Oct 2009
I'm sure software companies will find plenty of future uses for these more powerful desktops, but today's average user who browses the web and types emails/documents already uses only a fraction of the power of today's PC. That's why the netbook is powerful enough for them and, soon, the hand-held.

The set of users who will need "desktop" power will be gamers, video authors, math modelers, and other people doing things unimaginable today.
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Are you all not getting it?
CowLauncher 26th Oct 2009
What I take from the article is that mobile apps have an
advantage over data delivered through a traditional website
and this seems like a better way to go. If you look at
Facebook, YouTube, TED, any number of tech news (oddly
no ZDNet) mobile apps, it is easy to see the advantage
over the traditional website, especially for IT. You don't
have the security issues that the web browser has and you
have complete control of the app. You also have complete
control of the format. It makes a lot of sense. As good as
any mobile web browser is they can't compare to the
mobile app version for ease of use.
This is alot of meandering to say that the web is changing. Yes people use it totally different than 10 years ago. Where message boards were the big draw for many communities now communities use social networking if they don't just meet up on Facebook itself. This isn't some quasi-web however in my opinion. Its still the same old web. The only place maybe I could see a quasi-web is in the fact that ironically on smartphones the best way to interact with the web is through a native app that interacts with the site. This is more about processing power on these devices and screen sizes than any new idea. Google seems hell bent on trying to make the web as usable on small devices as it is on a laptop or desktop.

As for the the talkbacks. Ok lets give the anti-cloud crap a rest. I don't think this really boils down to moving things to the cloud. These same sorts of communication trends will find themselves on company networks at some point in the future so it would be smart to pay attention. Say what you want but I have had experience implementing some of these things at well known organizations. I was tasked with researching their usefulness on the intranet and developing applications where open source apps didn't exist or meet needs. From building a Facebook like experience on Sharepoint to building IGoogle, to building a social bookmarking app it was all being done or explored to handle connecting users with problems to users with solutions and making data more accessible. Sit there and cloud bash if you want but you'll miss the bigger picture.
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Quite often, it is a LINK to a classic web page which is being shared over the social networks, so I don't see how you see one as a replacement for the other. They are interwoven and mutually beneficial. Social networking boosts the usefulness of the web, it doesn't replace it.

What I -DO- wish is that "Web 2.0" would die a horrible death, specifically those active links which pop crap up every time my mouse accidentally passes over the link. Nothing is more annoying than scrolling through an article with the mouse wheel and having the text obstructed constantly as the cursor passes over all of those stupid active links. Even worse, it now seems that most of them are now advertisements. Active links were the stupidest idea anyone has ever had. If I want to see what is being linked, I'll click on it, thank you very much. Stop shoving it in my face and ruining the reading experience for the content I am already viewing.
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AMEN (nt)
toe cutter 26th Oct 2009
(nt)
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In order to think that mobile devices are
unclefixer@... 26th Oct 2009
changing the way people and businesses use the web, you have to assume that corporate tasks and personal entertainment is going to be exclusively by watching videos of people's pet mice, and reading shout outs to other people's "dawgs"
It adds a dimension, but I don't think the iphone and netbooks will ever fully dominate the market. In fact, I think it will turn around again in a couple of years and it will be cool to have real computers, hot-rodded with big cinema displays again-
IMHO
www.dfwsupergeek.com
Mobile data is too expensive in my neck of the woods.
Twice as high as DSL and 5 GB caps all over the place.
mobile won't get far around here until price and caps
become reasonable.
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PLEASE, DEFINE INTRANET.
magallanes Updated - 26th Oct 2009
Because apparently there is a misconception in the meaning of Intranet.



And for the heaven sake, why do you miss to say BLACKBERRY. Blackberry has been more corporate than many other cellphone.

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Blackberry
levinson 26th Oct 2009
He said "iPhone" to try and draw flamers. He should have said
"smartphones," but that wouldn't have gotten as much interest.
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I don't see it as a replacement,
merc2dogs` 26th Oct 2009
It's an addition.
I see people using smart phones in much the same way people used to use laptops.Simply because they have become more capable.
But as a replacement? No, they are being used when away from home, when people get home, the vast majority fire up the desktop and proceed as normal.
IF ZDnet shows a reduction in PC/browser use it may just be that people who visit on their breaks using the smartphone, have no reason to head back when they get home.

Ken.
Actually, I havent found a 'compelling' need to fumble with a itty bitty little hand held net object. My 22" monitor works just fine for me and in this fubberedup economy I certainly dont need another internet related expense of 1500-2500$ yr.
Only socially. For search, long messages, etc. your
computer rules.
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I am able to access our office servers and workstations from just about anywhere using a VPN connection and VNC. True, I wouldn't want to put in a full 8 hours using a device like this, but you can't always be in the office, or have access to a internet connected computer. Really came in handy on a recent "working vacation".
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Call yourself a journalist?!
seaniepie 26th Oct 2009
Seriously, Dion. You need to consider getting a new job. Your
article has no relevance in the real market. The iPhone is such a
small share (as do any mobile device). Pathetic
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Observations
IslandBoy_77 Updated - 26th Oct 2009
While I agree that there most certainly has been a shift in the way users interact with each other and the "web" itself, the drivers of the change are relatively small in their number, if influential in their effect of change.

As I thought it about it all, I came to a few conclusions:
1) The driving force is largely coming from the under-30's: people who will pay almost anything to be "now and hip", who easily and wantonly get into debt to achieve their "nowness and hipness", and are largely part of the new "entitled generation".
2) A good number of those not part of this "new wave" can't really see any point in it, as they are just as happy to pick up the land-line phone, write a letter (remember those?) or actually go visit their friends - they tend to prefer real human interaction.
3) The US population is not reflective of other "western" countries, nor many other population groups (but I would hazard a guess that the US pop is similar to many Asian populcaes)
4) For those in sub-developed countries like the Oceania area, a major stumbling block to adopting the "new wave" (whichever number that wave is...) is price: poor infrastructure and monopolistic providers make any adoption of online living expensive or sorely lacking in performance: usually both
5) There are still more people in the world (but quite some margin) who don't care about all the new "hip" stuff, and prefer not to have their lives enmeshed with "having" to have access to the web.
6) There are still more people in the world for whom getting enough to eat today is their prime driving force in life - and for whom toys like computers, tricked-out phones and a facebook account are the stuff of fancy and dreams only.

For myself, I already spend too much time surfing for stuff and wasting time on the web: being attached to it while I'm away from my PC would add far too much a sheen of unreality and detachedness to real life, cramming it even more so with information and kludge. I struggle to understand why so many people seem hell-bent on having to have access to the whole planet 24/7 - is it that they don't want to be alone with their thoughts? Are they insecure within themselves that they need a constant barrage of "interaction" to keep themselves "sane" or amused?
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Not soon. presently the function of social sites and mobile apps do not significantly overlap what I do for my job and at home research or entertainment. I use a social app at home, I cant use it for what I do at work. I don't think the economics will support it in the near future (before I retire).
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Maybe in 20 years...
TeamDrunkenPanda 26th Oct 2009
After all the mid-40 year old IT managers have retired.

We can't even get our IT manager to migrate to VOIP to more easily facilitate telecommuting and all BlackBerries are used for is checking e-mail on the road (can't access the intranet from them).

The official reason is because "it would cost too much to upgrade." The blank expression on the IT mgr's face when I was talking to him about some of this stuff once told a different story, though.
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While I see other sides of this discussion as well, I thought this article, in concept, was timely: After the recent (and for some "regular" -- i.e., non-mobile -- users) layout changes in Facebook, looking up the reasons for them led me to discover (and ;status update comment') thusly:

"Ah. I see these new 'Everyone/Status Update' vs. 'News Feed/Live Feed' and other "simplified" page changes are designed (supposedly) to make FB easier to use for mobile users. I see where the target demographics are going."

IMO, simply the -title- of this article speaks to the same target demographics, much less to any revolutionary development we've got going here.
There is a clear disintermdiation occurring here.
The disintermdiation is occuring between gen-y and their money.

Until technology gets us to the point where even moderate visual impairment can be redressed permanently by cheap and effective means, or the visual interface of these devices is through a biological implant, the uptake of these devices as the medium for accessing the web will be restricted to that subset of geny that has 20/20 vision.

The clearest change that has occured with the emergence of the "social networking" phenomenon is the dilution of the meaning of the word "social".

Incresing socialisation of the workplace is predicated on an increase in meaningful person to person interaction. A chorus of tweets is a cacophony that does nothing to add value to workplace interaction.

The jury is definitely still out on this one.
Social networking maybe but mobile devices, really? Well I think the key is as you say "it?s up to us to make sure we?re making the right choices" - Much like netbooks, users are already questioning devices like the iPhone. In my organisation I'm already hearing that the screen is too small for the web, on screen keyboard/stylist are awful to use etc... Now that the glossy veneer is wearing off, more and more I hear things like "I'd like a real keyboard" etc.. So any kind of meaningful use that requires user input beyond a tweeting a sentence, I would seriously question mobile devices like the iPhone! How long do you think these sorts of apps will be entertaining for?

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Yeah....Right,.LMAROTF
mrdood_99205@... 26th Oct 2009
Commerce and free enterprise rule the net. Until phones become as powerful as desktops, and able to project your media in HD(1080p), against a 6'-12' screen. It is not likely to happen. That is not to say phones are not an important social networking, and communications tool with rising capabilities. Just that it would be hard for Photo and Video editors, along with gamers to drop their desktops in order to edit their phots and play their games on a 3" screen? Ha ha ha ha haha...
@mrdood_99205, the point of this story is not desktop computers are becoming obsolete. This story is about the current trends we are seeing in how the Internet is being used and how content is being delivered. It is obvious, and I do agree, Internet content is beginning a shift from the desktop.

If you use a Roku, Apple TV, or connect a laptop to an HDTV to stream video, you are no longer using the Internet as it has traditionally been used in the past. If you have ever used a smartphone with a real web browser you would understand why Internet traffic by these devices has been increasing rapidly. It is easy, the Internet is always with you, and it is always on.

The paradigm is changing. Whether or not it will continue to change is up to the device makers.


Trends in Internet usage by the iPhone:

http://marketshare.hitslink.com/report.aspx?qprid=9&qpcustom=iPhone

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You got it right
mswift@... 11th Dec 2009
I agree that tiny screens and bad input devices won't go too far. It won't be too long until we can get handhelds units that project a regular monitor sized screen on the wall behind your desk and a keyboard on the surface of your desk. There are a few units being shown with one of these capabilities and soon units with both of those features.
I gave up half way through because I had no idea what you were talking about.
Very good article. Given the speed of change and the inclusion of millions of more users and pioneeres today's dominant platforms will change or become obsolete.

Just like cloud computing, millions of minds will create things no one mind can accomplish, and do it at far greater speed than an individual may be able to comprehend.
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People are just exclaiming "revolutionary" because they are part of the small (thus elite) group that can currently afford the Iphone and similar high-end mobile smartphones.

Facebook and Twitter differs from its technological social networking predecessors (snailmail, telephone, email) mainly in that so much of the material is not private between specific addressees. So much more public attention has to be paid to issues of obscenity and exploitation of posted information. However even there, the national Postal Services have dealt with and provided much of the pattern for the issues of distribution of obscene material, standardized formats, and exploitation schemes (fraud, underadged pen pals, etc) as have telephone and email in their time at the top of the heap.


The Iphone is a wireless mini-computer and is very nice. Portability and thus real time availability is up. But it is really NOT an unexpected and revolutionary direction in computing. The social networking aspect is not even new to the Internet as the original DARPA project was immediately "chatty" about the work and lives of users exchanging science data packets.

Changes in display sizes and formats can also be expected to continue and to influence usage as long as computing advances.
LOL - social networking companies like FACEBOOK "Controlling" or influencing social activity? Gee I did not think people would forget about email SPAM and the side effects of good and bad anti-SPAM efforts already.

Well yes FACEBOOK is more exhibitionist and thus fashionable with the "in" crowd. Everyone can view your info. And the high rate of personal pictures posted makes it easier to make friends...or think you have made friends...even with celebrities.

But you know, I suspect FACEBOOK is vulnerable to a good free/cheap, home computer website hosting-authoring program. Off with the censorship.

Of course that program would need to include a few automatic keywords equivalent to FACEBOOK (MY_DIARY?) and key information fields for search engine purposes.
time consuming process, just like the first wave of Email, it
will pass once it gets clogged and frequently compromised
and hacked.
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Dear sceptics
besserwisser 28th Oct 2009
Intranets are already moving in this direction:

- More data presented in real time with powerful search and filtering.
- Easily customizable and highly relevant interfaces with ubiquitous communication.
- Everything stored in private cloud, available everywhere and on any device.

To the dinosaurs neglecting the relevance of this, still speaking of VPN (yesterday lol), do you not realize the opportunities this presents to businesses? Even if there is no direct ROI, do you not see how effective information and communication can cut costs while increasing productivity?
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The ability to send spam 24/7?

lehnerus2000

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