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How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?

By | May 23, 2010, 7:43am PDT

Summary: Despite the hoopla surrounding its launch, Apple TV never gave cable companies much to worry about. Now another well-heeled interloper from the computer world is entering the living room in the form of Google TV. Will cable providers be able to brush this new competition aside, or does this represent a significant challenge to their [...]

Despite the hoopla surrounding its launch, Apple TV never gave cable companies much to worry about. Now another well-heeled interloper from the computer world is entering the living room in the form of Google TV. Will cable providers be able to brush this new competition aside, or does this represent a significant challenge to their hegemony?

While Apple pushed its set-top box as a way to expand its iTunes footprint, which went head-to-head with pay TV’s on-demand movie services—and mainly lost—Google’s approach is far more insidious. Its more open approach could yield a number of major partnerships beyond launch deals with Sony and Logitech, and it can even play nicely with pay TV’s set-top boxes. Logitech’s Google TV box communicates with your cable or satellite provider’s box to pull in its information and display it using the Android interface.

There are a couple of ways that Google could impact cable’s business model, neither of which would deliver a fatal blow, but both of which could crimp its growth. By buying a Google TV box for a one-time fee or a new HDTV with Google TV built in, you’re no longer resigned to pay an extra monthly fee when pay TV providers decide to add new features like Web integration to their packages (like Cox’s new offerings). In essence, these companies will be punished for dragging their feet on innovations that could finally bring programming guides and set-top boxes into the new millennium.

Then there’s the potentially bigger issue, which is that more subscribers won’t see the need to continue being customers, since much of their viewing needs could be met with online video they could watch through the Google TV platform. Considering that more people are already thinking about cutting back (or off) their pay TV subscriptions, this could further erode their customer base, especially if there’s some way its backers will let Hulu work with Google TV. (Don’t hold your breath.)

But Google TV isn’t necessarily a slam dunk. There still will be plenty of people who are perfectly satisfied continuing to order on-demand movies from their cable box instead of streaming them online from Netflix or Amazon. And people might find viewing the Internet on an Android-powered tablet (or iPad) while watching TV might be a better experience than trying to do both on their set.

If nothing else, the introduction of Google TV will provide another wake-up call to cable companies that they need to keep up with innovations in the living room—and that they need to do so soon. In theory, there’s no reason they couldn’t integrate Google TV services with their own, though the battle over related ad dollars might make for strange bedfellows.

Do you think the introduction of Google TV will affect your TV viewing? Which features would get you to give up your cable/satellite subscription if Google TV devices offered them? What can pay TV companies do in response to this new challenge? Let us know in the Comments section.

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Sean Portnoy is a freelance technology journalist.

Disclosure

Sean Portnoy

Sean Portnoy is a freelance technology journalist; currently, all work that Sean does is on a contractural basis. Sean has also written corporate communications documents for CA.

Sean does not accept gifts from companies he covers. All hardware products he writes about are purchased with his own funds or are review units covered under formal loan agreements and are returned after the review is complete.

Biography

Sean Portnoy

Sean Portnoy started his tech writing career at ZDNet nearly a decade ago. He then spent several years as an editor at Computer Shopper magazine, most recently serving as online executive editor. He received a B.A. from Brown University and an M.A. from the University of Southern California.

Talkback Most Recent of 17 Talkback(s)

  • Improved reception of local channels
    Our area: 45 miles away from *one* local set. Requires precise aiming of roof antenna. *Another* local set in quite another direction. Mountainous terrain. We are junkies for local news/broadcasts.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    fjpoblam
    23rd May 2010
  • Answer: NONE
    So far Google TV has shown no real content to be of any threat to cable or satellite right now. They have barely nothing and most of what they shown so far is not worth watching.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    wackoae
    23rd May 2010
  • The cable company is the best internet connection in my area.
    So I would still need them even if Google TV could provide everything I want.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    djcoderman
    23rd May 2010
  • Where do I get my internet connection from? How many accounts do I need?
    I buy my TV, Then I signup with Cable for my Internet connection, then I sign up with Netflix, and then an account with Amazon maybe, and whatever else I need. That's alot of diffent accounts to track and pay for.

    Or at least with the cable company, I have 1 bill for everything, and I can on demand HD right thru the box.

    Done.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    AllKnowingAllSeeing
    23rd May 2010
  • RE: How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?
    You don't need a fancy set top box and software ... people have been using their big screen TV for internet video for years ... just plug an hdmi cable from your PC or laptop to the TV and you can watch Hulu all day long and use a media center remote to change shows or navigate the menus .. surf the net .. whatever ... want to watch cable or other video source just change the input on the tv remote ... Its not rocket science!
    ZDNet Gravatar
    toddlorensinclair
    23rd May 2010
  • It won't affect mine
    I think most people rely on their cable providers for high speed internet. Assuming, and this is a huge IF, Google TV started making serious inroads and bandwidth issues arose I think we could all expect to see bandwidth throttled or limited.

    But, as I have said in other discussions, I personally don't think Joe public is interested in having the web on their TV. Sure, the techies ate it up, and maybe even a few will buy out of curiosity. IMHO it won't take off for the same reason other similar devices haven't: it is yet another device when people already have too many devices attached to their TV's right now. So, unless Google TV will allow people to toss out one of the established (cable box, DVD, or x-box) from the get-go I think it will not catch on.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    oncall
    23rd May 2010
  • Good luck with this one, Google
    With Google TV, Google is "inventing" a solution to a problem that was solved years ago. The solution was called a DVR, which allows you to watch whatever you want whenever you want. The problem for Google was that with TiVos or DVRs supplied by cable/sat companies, Google wasn't able to mine data about your TV viewing habits and use that data to target ads and increase their revenue. With Chrome, Android, and search, they have a lock on your web-surfing info. But they didn't have access to your TV-viewing info. Google TV is their attempt to get that info. It solves a problem for them, but adds nothing to the user experience. This one has failure written all over it.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Userama
    23rd May 2010
  • Google TV won't work; ISPs will throttle service.
    Mind you, I'd like for Google TV to take off and be a huge success but if companies like, say, Comcast or Time Warner Cable decide not to play along by letting Google into their business model, they could simply destroy the venture by throttling back internet speeds.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Theseus
    23rd May 2010
  • Google TV will fail
    The cable companies own the cable lines and the Internet service and the DVR (except for the few with TIVO). Cable companies have encrypted even the content of cables without the cable box. Nearly everything has to go through their big and small cable boxes.

    Google TV is an attempt to take profits away from the cable companies. They won't stand still for this if the threat became significant. Like what happened to TIVO, the cable companies will simply come up with a similar solution to what Google TV is doing and build it into the cable box/DVRs that customers are already paying for. This will shut out Google period.

    Cable companies learned long ago what Apple learned recently: they have to own the technology that runs their business to own their future.

    Google will never own the future of the Cable companies. They have the legal monopoly.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    jameskatt
    23rd May 2010
  • RE: How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?
    Google TV, or its ilk, WILL transform the way we watch TV. Yes, we're always going to need an ISP of some sort, and yes, the cable companies are going to try to make things difficult for them by throttling or otherwise making the service less desirable. However, ultimately, this will fail. Here's why....

    Currently we have a fragmented population of viewers. The younger generations and techies are used to Hulu and other types of on-line video while the older and less tech savvy are planted in the strictly cable TV world, where the cable box with its OSD is about as fancy as they care to get. However, an increasing number of people are getting familiar with web video and are comfortable with that delivery mechanism.

    While it is possible to simply plug a laptop into the TV, only a small fraction of the TV watching public wants to do it. If you have a family, you're not going to convince your household that this is the way to do things.

    The integration of web and TV as shown by Google is one of those pivotal "aha" moments. They've opened Pandora's Box with that idea, and it will be so compelling, that people will be sucked in, especially if their new TV has it built in. If I want to watch an episode of a show with my wife, we're not going to huddle around my laptop, we're going to "tune it in" on our TV. With the near infinite variety of video on the web, this eliminates waiting for prime time or for the half-hour, to watch your show. Yes, we have TiVo for that too, but it's a baby step in comparison.

    And remember, Google is giving away these technologies to hardware companies that can modify it as they like. So it's compelling for them too. They save millions in R&D and licensing costs, and focus on differentiating their hardware.

    The media companies won't go along easily - they'll kick and scream, but the inevitability of this solution will ultimately drag them into it, turning virtually all TV viewing into an on-demand format.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Antigone42
    23rd May 2010
  • absolutely useless
    i have comcast and we are allowed just 250GB/30 days. with multiple users that just isnt a whole heck of a lot of bandwidth. h

    have a family of 4 and that means 60GB/user

    i have a netflix account and because of the limits on bandwidth i cant stream video from there..kinda defeats the purpose
    ZDNet Gravatar
    richvball44
    23rd May 2010
  • No to Google TV, yes to Apple's HDTV
    Cable plus streaming/Blu-Ray from Netflix sere me well now. What I really want is to use my iTouch as a remote for a remote for my Apple HDTV and access to iTunes. IMagine one remote to rule them all - one made easy by Apple. I can use the TV to deliver playlists of music for parties or videos or play movies I own. That would be wonderful.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Minnesota Steve
    23rd May 2010
  • RE: How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?
    Last night I did try to watch an internet TV show, but the video needed Silverlight, so it went unwatched. I am already considering cutting back (maybe scrapping altogether, but probly not) cable TV monthly subs: we just don't watch that much TV anymore; there are just as many ads as on free-to-air TV; and there is a greater reliance on repeating and time shifting to give the impression of more choices.

    There's PC games, console games, DVDs and unfortunately (Cable) TV just isn't stacking up - even the news shows. Its really a lot more obvious now when they are pushing a line or beating up a story, and its a turn off (literally).

    We can usually find more up-to-date and accurate info online. I usually have to turn the news off because they are so inaccurate and just seem willing to repeat what they are told without checking.

    Nowadays we have other sources, and they show TV News and Current Affairs up as being very poor quality information most of the time. The actual series etc etc are still good, but many of them are also available through the local video store, Netflix etc, iTunes, and on various websites, so cable will have to up its game significantly to continue competing.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    jendelui
    23rd May 2010
  • RE: How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?
    If i had an HD screen TV... if i was smart enough to hook my computer to it... if i was smart enough to tie in my sound system... if i could NOT be at my computer to direct the whole thing {maybe by wifi if i weren't scared of privacy issues}... if i could run the thing like i am used to doing with regular TV channel surfing, etc., then why would i want to continue being a slave to Comcast and more? T

    Comcast is so cunning in how they incrementally - yet continually - raise their rates with variable % increases... such that the Skinnerian "Extinguish Behavior" response is negated and not possible. Their bean counters studied their Skinnerian Behavior Modification psychology classes exceedingly well... didn't they.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    the_IRF
    5th Jun 2010
  • RE: How much of a threat is Google TV to cable providers?
    When you search for a movie, does the googleTV software also scan across your own LAN (looking for NAS shares on your own network)?

    If so I think it's more of a threat to devices like HTPC's running WMC, netgear and boxee, and other assorted video/media players. More of a threat to Apple TV. As I'd be surprised if the media and movie barons that control cable television will lie down without a fight...

    If GoogleTV offers a good GUI and an easy way to stream my own content, then I can envisage keeping my cable box (it will hopefully pull info from this anyway) and ADD GoogleTV...perhaps in an upgrade of my DVD player or TV set....

    So I think it will complement cable. Not compete with it...
    ZDNet Gravatar
    lexieb
    5th Jun 2010

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