Internet Explorer should worry about Chrome, not Firefox: Blame Europe?

By | February 18, 2011, 2:43am PST

Summary: With Internet Explorer 9 set to be finalized in weeks, it is entirely possible that Microsoft should worry more about Chrome’s increasing marketshare, rather than focusing on its war with Mozilla.

The browser race is hotting up once again. With the Internet Explorer release candidate already out and prepped to be the most advanced, quickest browser to date, Mozilla is pushing forward its draft roadmap to complete four major revisions by the end of this year.

But if you take a look at the marketshare stats, and combine a free thinking mind of theory for a moment, the numbers may not be in either Microsoft or Mozilla’s favour for long.

Why? Blame Europe.

Since the browser ballot rollout across Europe in March 2010, where regulators forced Microsoft to issue an update to Windows giving users the option to switch browser, the browser marketshare in Europe has been steadily declining. The update is indicated below as the vertical red line.

It doesn’t quite explain the growth of Chrome, however. Arguably, had the browser ballot not been rolled out, Chrome’s marketshare growth would still have increased though not as exponentially as though seen.

The EU wser ballot has indeed shown to impact on the global marketshare. It is entirely possible that Europe, with a population nearly twice that of the United States, could make all the difference.

The current state of the marketshare from a worldwide perspective can be seen below. Internet Explorer has been on a decline since the browser ballot while Firefox maintains relatively consistently, as Chrome rockets nearly doubling its user base in as little as a year.

So where does this leave Microsoft and Mozilla?

On the presumption that both Internet Explorer 9 and Firefox 4, 5, 6 and 7 let us not forget have no significant impact on the marketshare, it is entirely possible that Chrome could kick the stool underneath the crown of Internet Explorer in Europe and take the top spot in as little as a year from now.

Around this time next year, based on some basic maths and averages, Internet Explorer could be taken over by Chrome. Then again, stats are notoriously difficult to predict.

The problem with the ongoing browser war is the vast number of variables involved, the technological guesswork behind the statistics and the natural fluctuation in people’s needs.

Yet the figures do show that in Europe, the browser marketshare has been impacted greatly by the browser ballot. Chrome’s jump in users will only perpetuate as the new kid on the block, while Firefox users are sticking to their guns on the most part, but in many cases are defecting to Chrome, which would explain the slight decline in their numbers.

Do you think Chrome be the true contender for Internet Explorer?

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Topics

Zack Whittaker, a criminologist who studied at the University of Kent, Canterbury, is a journalist, writer and broadcaster.

Disclosure

Zack Whittaker

I worked briefly with Microsoft UK in 2006 but no longer have any connection with the company. Regardless, I remain impartial and unbiased in my views.

I don't hold any stock or shares, investments or industrial secrets in any company, but have signed confidentiality agreements with a number of UK and U.S. organisations, whose names I am not at liberty to disclose.

I was involved with Kent Union, the University of Kent's student union, undertaking voluntary, non-salaried, elected positions between early 2009 and mid-2010.

No other company, body, government department, non-governmental organisation or third sector organisation employs me or pays me a salary in any capacity whatsoever.

As a freelance journalist, whenever expenses are given and taken by a company that is not CBS Interactive, these will be disclosed in each relevant post to ensure transparency.

I currently work with a UK law enforcement unit, but this is an entirely separate position which bears no connection to other work.

(Updated: 23rd October 2011)

Biography

Zack Whittaker

Zack Whittaker, criminologist who studied at the University of Kent, UK, is a journalist, writer and broadcaster.

After studying criminology at university, though still in his early-20's, he has already had a series unconventional work and voluntary positions. He has worked with researchers studying neurological illnesses like Tourette's syndrome (which he suffers from), has given lectures on the nature of disabilities in the public community, and occasionally ends up speaking on television and radio discussing the events of the day.

He first had academic work published at the age of 22, then still an undergraduate, and has been cited by a wide range of publications: from the Huffington Post, Business Insider, AllThingsDigital, The Atlantic Wire and CBS News.

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RE: Internet Explorer should worry about Chrome, not Firefox: Blame Europe?
Ez_Customs 1st Mar 2011
@programit@...

Completely wrong, the core of IE9 is built on Mark up 5. and really no one can say what you just did and back it up at all because well there isn't enough pages out there to knwo how much Mark up 5 IE uses. what matters now thoguh is the performance in what makes Mark up 5 so cool. One of those is Frame rates in Video, audio as well in streaming content. going to IE9 testing/benchmarking site, and any other one you may find, IE9 beats all versions of Chrome in all these Feilds that make Mark Up 5 so cool and useful.


It isn't a How much it can be compliant to right now, what is important is what it can do now, with what is available. With that note, Chrome fails to produce conclusive results. Sure it might load a tab bit faster on sthe layout and stream the first few moment sbetter, bu tthe second IE is done, roughly 3 seconds later, IE9 triples the frame rates, and clearity of the audio. Chrome doesn't do shat even close.
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Replace BLAME with CONGRATULATE.
johnfenjackson@... 18th Feb 2011
NT
@johnfenjackson@...

I second that.
@johnfenjackson@... NO, I like to BLAME Europe, any problem??
Its called choice, get over it.
It would be interesting to see the stats on the browser ballot choices people make. I am not convinced the browser ballot is the main factor driving the swing to chrome - I just think on Win XP (which most people still use) chrome is by far the best browser. Even on Win7, IE9 (which is very good IMO) is not offered in the browser ballot as it's not a released product. MS have built a really good product in IE9, which can compete with Chrome, but they really should have had a competing product out years ago.
Just downloaded IE9.. Great browser, fast as Chrome and very well integrated with Win 7. Google who's revenus are based on advertisengin should worry about the tracking protection feature found in IE9. Download IE9, turn tracking protection on and see what I mean.
@gbouchard99@...

IE9 *is* awesome. FF4B11 is awesome. And Chrome is awesome. No reason to critisize any of these browsers, all are doing excellent and innovative things. This is what competition does. Best case scenario: each browser winds up with about 1/3 of the market and keeps it! Great time to be browsing!
Safari, Opera. That would really spark innovation and standards.
neither chrome nor ff comes anywhere close to IE9 performance. They are orders of magnitude slower.
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20% for each?
Michael Alan Goff 18th Feb 2011
That'd be awesome, but I doubt it will ever happen.
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I'm proud of you DB
LiquidLearner 18th Feb 2011
@DB

I'm sure that was a difficult thing to say. I'll probably continue to use Chrome as my primary browser but I'll use IE9 for the sites that have the stupid embedded ads in text. I hate that, nothing worse than scrolling down a page and having a video pop up because your mouse hovered over some random text somewhere. IE9 is surprisingly fast, kudos to MS.

XP's marketshare will probably turn more people to Chrome. Sad to say I have a client we just setup on BPOS. One of their users is contracted to a major DoD and Aerospace company. He couldn't change his password because they still only allow IE6. Scary eh?
@gbouchard99@... You're right, Google will never implement a tracking protection feature in Chrome, so possibly you'll never have privacy in Chrome Browser. On the other side, IE 9 uses native hardware acceleration in IE9 since it access the Hardware graphics drivers the same way Windows games run the graphics card drivers natively, so depending on the graphics card you have it would increase your faster experience in IE 9 that most computers will run better in IE9 than on Chrome when running modern HTML5 canvas animation games.
I think it has been obvious for about a year that Chrome is the biggest threat because FF has been staying flat. I'm not sure how high Chrome can go though. For one thing its secret updating is going to keep it out of many a enterprise. Also those who value privacy will have great incentive to both use IE9 and to avoid Chrome. That is the case with me--my goto browser is IE9 and FF is my secondary.
updating is not secret, it is AUTOMATIC as it needs to be in order to make sure that all browsers are patched right away. The security problems for the enterprise lie in Windows and IE.
@DonnieBoy

We know that doing the opposite of anything you say would always be the best course so I rest my case.
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In Enterprise
LiquidLearner 18th Feb 2011
@DonnieBoy

Automatic updating can be a very bad thing, especially on a piece of software as critical as the browser. One of my clients had this happen recently, although they aren't an enterprise. Their software worked fine in Chrome 6 (I think, versions change so f'in fast...) but then one day about half their users couldn't work on the site. The next version of Chrome came out, updated, and broke compatability with the application. And yes, the vendor officially supports Chrome. Well, since there is no way to stop the update it became a big issue. Most switched back to IE8 unfortunately. Now that's an office with 20 people. Imagine if you had thousands of users and you were standardized on Chrome throughout. What a nightmare.

At least with IE you can use WSUS and do your own testing before pushing the update out. I really think that's where FF and Chrome need the most work, enterprise environments.
@DonnieBoy
In an enterprise with a Windows network I can control every aspect of IE with GPOs. Absolutely nothing can happen unless I allow it. I specify which add-ons can be used, I control the security settings, I can even prevent users from downloading files. Can't do that with any other browser. Upgrading to the next version without losing user bookmarks or config is no problem with IE. Not so with the others.
@cmartell wow, i hope i never have you as a sysadmin, that sounds ridiculous
@DonnieBoy

It's not just security that enterprise worries about. IT departments want to plan updates so they can prepare for the unexpected. No IT department wants to walk in one morning to dozens of emails and voicemails from half the company who can't do this or that because the browser got updated.
@DonnieBoy

Poor Donnie, you have become a Lab rat. Google owns you boy. Chrome has no defense to anything inside the google partner shares. Maybe outside the shares, but the partners are 100% access, and the browser updating is an mask to hide what else is going on. It is so generic and excepted it is disgusting. Look into what it is updating. Is is Browser engine updates, core elements, or is there something else like profiles being updated to support a different angle? You need to be aware of the Google activities. I make a lot of money on Ignorant google supporters, and many sense switching from Chrom to Avant/Orca Browser, and or FF to IE have stopped having issues with slow loads!! This is a personal fact on my experience, but rather strong one at that. I still help these customers on other things, so why is there speed and performance not an issue anymore after removing Chrome? They haven't changed there personalities and behaviors online at all and in-fact I encouraged them to be more irresponsible, and there are fewer risks I find in there PC's during maintenance!!
@Mythos7

in the real world the Statistics in Chrome has to only be related to the massive advertising that is attributed to chrome downloads. Every page you are on your see Google Chrome. What do I think about this? Well here is it! Based on how every 3rd webnsite i goto I see a Chrome Ad, and never a google ad, this suggests to me that there are a lot of advertisign companies ou tthere supporting chrome because of partnerships to Google, or teh easy hidden abilities to track the user. These features will never be very strong and un-bias, because google isn't a search but advertising company! Yes this si a Strong Word, but really look at the Search results while using google, how many on the first page are personal websites vs. corporate sites, then compare that to the others. Lets face it, just because we are on the internet browsing, doesn't mean that we are shopping.

My Preferences are IE9 which seconds to Orca Browser. Orca Browser uses Mozilla and Webkit, so I can get the best of both worlds.
The browser ballet screen gives users an equal choice of what browser to install. How does this explain why users choice Chrome?

Chrome is increasing through word of mouth and agressive Google marketing (billboards, on their website etc...).

It's the European Union not Europe who sets out these directives. Plenty of European countries aren't in the EU (it's unlikely Turkey will ever join) and plenty of Brits (other Europeans likely too) didn't see there being a problem in the first place.
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Google staff
Martmarty 18th Feb 2011
Google Chrome is really a polished piece of software in my opinion. Probably because all gifted and powerful MS coders were poached by Google.
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@Martmarty
as it looks like all gifted and powerful coders are leaving Google for better oportunities
@John Zern

just based my info from the local papers.
some related link below:

http://www.internetnews.com/bus-news/article.php/3521501/Microsoft-to-Google-Stop-Poaching.htm

now where's your link to backup your claim
@Martmarty

Bet you didn't knwo jus thow much MS influenced Google Chrome Development. Did you knwo that Gogole Chrome code is low level Windwos 7 because it was suyppsoe to be a integrated option in Windows 7 in early W7 Development? Probably not. So how much of that stuff is still present in Chrome. We may never know, but one thing is for sure MS disowned the choice long before any of you read about it. Yahoo lost to but mainly because Yahoo refused to change some things in there interfaces to suite Windows Feel. This is a Public Document about the progress and Market share progress related to development of Windows Vista to Windows 7 migration in development. It is some of the first talk of Windows 7 as for the public notes. Chrome 10 show's no real threat, in my opinion, and googels public opinions do show some lowering opinions, well when you look at the search engine anyway. unpredictable updatign will make public opinions even worse.
@Ez_Customs

BTW your gonna have to find it yourself I dont' care enough to get it for you to support this article like that, but I am just placing my 2 cents here on the topic. after today there is a big possibility you will not see another post here from me
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We should all worry about Chrome
John Zern 18th Feb 2011
because I've noticed that they made sure it works best with their sites, so how long before it has trouble at sites such as MS, Apple, Adobe, Intuit, Facebook, ect?
fit the square arses of their employees. You have it all wrong.
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No need to worry about Chrome
daikon 18th Feb 2011
Chrome runs just fine on MS, Apple, Adobe,Intuit, Facebook, ect.
@daikon

No it doesn't. Displaying the page comes up wrong, it will ask you to download a compatible browser for much of the site, and that is just a few things.
Exactly, blame the EU for all of these troubles. There was nothing wrong with Microsoft doing its users a favor by including IE so they wouldn't have to get another browser. If you notice the one company that whined and cried the whole time is flatlining and that is Opera. This did not help them at all and I still will never recommend Opera to anyone.
Chrome gains because every person who surfs internet navigates to google.com almost daily and these folks have chorme marketing on the home page. Plus they have it in youtube too, which is another advantage and on top of it they have the ads on most of the other major websites. Its pretty simple to figure out that even if few people install chrome over a period of time, the market share is only bound to increase. happy And yes, Chrome is a good browser too, hence it explains why they increase market share.
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Really?
itpro_z 20th Feb 2011
@animageofmine1, I use the internet every day, both professionally and personally, and I absolutely never visit google.com. Google is not the internet, and is not even the best search engine. Google is simply where those who know no better go, and get what they deserve: spyware and poor search results.
@itpro_z

I agree, all my sites block google and never will be coded in a compatible Chrome code. The Spiders are blocked as well because I will not contribute with sporting garbage to un-expecting users. There are so many entries in the google Database that the search is flooded with nothing but Spew.
@animageofmine1

not everyone has google as a home page, my home is Google Free, and PC's I catch in my house using Google anything get blacklisted and banned, and just because everyone uses something or though to use it, doesn't make it good.

Googles biggest problem is the ability to customize it, and Actually even more so is that google is going towards what you all hate, Bloatware. Yeah so what default the browser doesn't' install that much, but with all the unmonitored plug-ins you can install, well your bloating your wonderful Google Chrome making it worse then IE. BTW isn't that why you left IE in the first place, Bloatware? Doesn't matter if you installed it yourself or not, your still bloating it with useless garbage that you probably rarely use
While I agree that Chrome is growing rapidly, and is an excellent browser - I do need to point out that basing projections on linear trend lines is a fundamentally flawed methodology. Linear trend-lines only gets you so far; if you follow those same trend lines to their extremes - then IE will have less than 0% in under 3 years, and Chrome will have over 100% in about 8 years.

agree that Chrome will continue to grow and IE will continue to decline. But both will eventually plateau to their new equalibrium points - it will not be linear long-term.
@DBEvans

IE will never disappear to the users, unless MS stops developing it, or the world is filled with ridiculously stupid people. Chrome is a Decent browser as a whole, but in no way is it as good as you people make it. One thing that is repetidly proven is that it only loads faster then others, after that, well Page to Page with none cached pages, Chrome failed, and even the Cached pages are comparable to others, and not all cached pages load faster. People with security in mind don't' allow cached pages so speed in cached pages doesn't' matter!!
Chrome rocks, I have permanently switched from Firefox to Chrome but I might give a chance to Firefox 4 x64
I like Firefox and there isn't much Microsoft or Google can do to stop that. IE is proprietary, as is Chrome (I think Chromium is partially open though). Firefox opens fast enough for me (3.6) and for as long as I've used it it has always had lots of extremely useful add-ons. About a year ago when I tried Chrome it didn't seem to have much of anything.
With IE, I still associate IE with the awfulness that was IE6 (security and otherwise).

Did I explicitly mention Firefox is open source? Google and Microsoft have an agenda with their browser. Google wants your data, and Microsoft probably does too, or at least they're doing it to tie you down to Windows in some way. They have got to find some way to make people think twice before jumping ship to OS X, Gnu/Linux or BSD. On an aside, the way they are (not) promoting PC gaming is bringing me one step closer to using BSD or GNU/Linux exclusively.
@sgtmattbaker
I know its free, opensource - great....
but it seems to me that the Firefox agenda is to make the slowest most bloated software possible.

Chrome is FAST.
IE is functional
@sgtmattbaker
but on the PC gaming side of things I agree completely! Alternative OS's are getting REALLY good....
@sgtmattbaker

Your out of the loop, IE isn't proprietary better get your facts straight, or better yet get off XP lamer, there is no reason to use it. XP sucked hella before it was released, and definately proved it when it was, and continued to today. there is no reason to use XP, and with that note, Chrome only working in XP well means Chrome will die out with XP! this is fact. Most Chrome users are XP users. Loyal users are XP users, and People who continue to use Chrome in Vista and 7 use more then one browser respectively. If I am wrong then well Flame me to all hell by replying here. I will take the heat, but time and time again, more modern users use more then one browser.
Careful what you write. Microsoft might actually pay attention. I switched from IE to Firefox years ago, then about two years ago I switched to Chrome. Whether IE 9 is faster than Firefox doesn't really matter. Chrome is much faster then Firefox or the new IE9. Yes I have all three, but that's just for comparison. When a new version of Firefox or IE comes out I quickly download them and just as quickly go back to Chrome which is noticeably faster then either's latest improvement. Pity Google doesn't have a downloadable OS, I'd switch in a minute. But hanging everything in the cloud is not something I see myself doing - ever. The cloud is fine for some things but when it comes to my data I want it on my computer where no one can get at it.
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I completely agree with you
mauryparra 18th Feb 2011
@shanedr
@shanedr

Chrome only loads faster, your PC must suck and is improperly configured. and no don't reply with Oh I have this really expensive 3 grand PC. Ah Heads up you could have a 4 grand PC and it can still suck Chrome won't even load everything on a webpage 100% of the time, and I myself in comparison reviews, have even seen chrome not load log in frames, leaving the page useless, and even seen chrome loose authentication to a page I had logged into not 10 minute earlier. If a browser is doing that then well something is wrong!! It is no wonder Chrome is faster.
Zack, are those graphs right? For example, look at the difference in IE users in Jan 2011. The first graph for Europe has 38 units, and the second graph for the world has 48 units. Are there really more users in Europe than in the rest of the world? And what units is the vertical axis measured in?
Correlation does not equal causality, and in this case there isn't even causality. chrome's upward trend started way before Europe's transition, as clearly shown on the graph. NT
Unfortunately IE9 just doesn't support the new standards (typical MS) such as HTML 5 and CSS 3. As reported they only support only a fraction of the HTML5 spec. ... "the test is very limited. Even better, it?s limited to things IE9 is good at."
@programit@...

Completely wrong, the core of IE9 is built on Mark up 5. and really no one can say what you just did and back it up at all because well there isn't enough pages out there to knwo how much Mark up 5 IE uses. what matters now thoguh is the performance in what makes Mark up 5 so cool. One of those is Frame rates in Video, audio as well in streaming content. going to IE9 testing/benchmarking site, and any other one you may find, IE9 beats all versions of Chrome in all these Feilds that make Mark Up 5 so cool and useful.


It isn't a How much it can be compliant to right now, what is important is what it can do now, with what is available. With that note, Chrome fails to produce conclusive results. Sure it might load a tab bit faster on sthe layout and stream the first few moment sbetter, bu tthe second IE is done, roughly 3 seconds later, IE9 triples the frame rates, and clearity of the audio. Chrome doesn't do shat even close.

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