madison

Vonage IPO analysis: they better execute-or else

By | February 8, 2006, 12:14pm PST

Summary: In light of Vonage’s IPO- just announced today, I feel I should elaborate on something important. How successful Vonage is in terms of enhancing and expanding their service  will be greatly influenced not only by how well they execute, but how much money Vonage has to work with. Here are some clues from information in the filing: Vonage’s [...]

vonagelogo.jpgIn light of Vonage’s IPO- just announced today, I feel I should elaborate on something important.

How successful Vonage is in terms of enhancing and expanding their service  will be greatly influenced not only by how well they execute, but how much money Vonage has to work with.

Here are some clues from information in the filing:

Vonage’s revenue was $167.3 mil. for the first nine months of 2005.

Vonage posted a net loss of  $189.6 mil. for the first nine months of 2005. Seems as though "financing activities" (I guess that means VC money) seems to be filling that breach. In the filing Vonage said its net cash flow from financing activities for the first nine months of 2005 was $195.9 mil.

Vonage ended the first nine months of 2005 with 1.062 mil. customers, up from around 391,000 at year-end 2004. For the first nine months of 2005, the average monthly revenue generated per line was $26.63 for the first nine months of 2005.

In terms of the financial obligations hanging over Vonage’s head, the key to me is how quickly they can sell enough stock to generate the type of excitement that will keep their initial venture capital "financing activities" partners in a positive mindset. What Vonage doesn’t want to do is gum up execution and stub their toe against a raft of nimble competitors- slowing down subscriber growth and stunting the stock price as a consequence.

If that happens, well with the exception of "a woman scorned," hell hath no fury like a disillusioned VC. 

Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily e-mail newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.

Topics

Disclosure

Russell Shaw

http://blogs.zdnet.com/ip-telephony/?page_id=1879

Biography

Russell Shaw

Russell Shaw passed away in March 2008. He was an enterprise computing journalist, analyst and author based in Portland, Oregon. A specialist in open source architectures and strategies, Microsoft applications, wireless networking, and multimedia content creation, Russell covered these fields regularly for several IT, business and consumer publications, including Investor's Business Daily and the syndicated IT news site NewsFactor.com.

Talkback Most Recent of 3 Talkback(s)

  • They'll do fine
    Vonage will make it....at least for the ime being.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    nusigmaforce
    8th Feb 2006
  • Why would anyone invest in a doomed paradigm?
    VoIP is a wonderful thing, I think everyone would agree to that. But is there a long term revenue generating paradigm behind it?

    I use a PC and VoIP software (actually a couple of them) and don't pay a penny for their use. As the internet expands and delivery goes wireless, why would anyone pay to use it?

    Keep in mind that mobile WiMAX is coming down the track like a freight train and once that happens, well bits are bits so it doesn't matter if it's a picture of aunt Mary or a conversation with her.

    No folks, find a an investment with a future. The VoIP thing we see today is not what it will be very shortly and these companies will be shorter lived than Palm...
    ZDNet Gravatar
    No_Ax_to_Grind
    8th Feb 2006
  • They also better start to clarify
    to their audience what the hell it is they offer and WHY it is
    important. Everyone I have asked has simply responded "I dunno".
    These are business people who understand a benefit when they
    hear it -- IF they hear it. So far, they hear only "phone service
    $24.95 per month -- big deal, I have a phone at home. Ay work
    though we use VoIP". Duh! Vonage could make better inroads if
    their advertising did a bit more to explain the service benefits and
    a layman's version of how this is different. But I'm just an Ad guy,
    so what the f##k do I know, right?
    ZDNet Gravatar
    999ad@...
    8th Feb 2006

Talkback - Tell Us What You Think

Formatting +
BB Codes - Note: HTML is not supported in forums
  • [b] Bold [/b]
  • [i] Italic [/i]
  • [u] Underline [/u]
  • [s] Strikethrough [/s]
  • [q] "Quote" [/q]
  • [ol][*] 1. Ordered List [/ol]
  • [ul][*] · Unordered List [/ul]
  • [pre] Preformat [/pre]
  • [quote] "Blockquote" [/quote]
Click Here

The best of ZDNet, delivered

ZDNet Newsletters

Get the best of ZDNet delivered straight to your inbox

Facebook Activity

White Papers, Webcasts, & Resources