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App downloads exploding, tablets will fuel it further

By | January 26, 2011, 6:21am PST

Summary: The latest numbers from Gartner show how big a business apps have become, with $5.2 billion generated in 2010. The revenue generated by apps, both direct sales and ad revenue, is expected to almost triple in 2011 to over $15 billion.

Apple fueled an app revolution with the introduction of the iPhone and relentlessly informing us that “there’s an app for that”. Smartphone owners are downloading apps in increasing numbers, with the average user installing dozens of the little snippets of code for the phone. The latest numbers from Gartner show how big a business apps have become, with $5.2 billion generated in 2010. The revenue generated by apps, both direct sales and ad revenue, is expected to almost triple in 2011 to over $15 billion.

This is good news for app developers, who typically keep 70 percent of revenue for apps sold in app stores. The business model for apps is becoming more refined over time, with app sales only accounting for a portion of the revenue generated. Ad revenue is on the rise, fueled by the practice of using ad-supported free apps on the hot Android platform. Developers are also seeing more revenue from in-app sales, a practice bound to grow significantly as Google is set to allow the practice for apps in the Android Market.

The rise of the tablet should drive app sales, as consumers will be grabbing apps for these mobile devices. While some smartphone owners are reluctant to buy apps for the phone, the tablet owner will likely view the practice as business as usual given the perception that these devices are computers.

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Topics

James Kendrick has been using mobile devices since they weighed 30 pounds, and has been sharing his insights on mobile technology for almost that long.

Disclosure

James Kendrick

James Kendrick has no affiliations or relationships that need to be disclosed.

Biography

James Kendrick

James Kendrick has been using mobile devices since they weighed 30 pounds, and has been sharing his insights on mobile technology for almost that long. Prior to joining ZDNet, James was the Founding Editor of jkOnTheRun, a CNET Top 100 Tech Blog that was acquired by GigaOM in 2008 and is now part of that prestigious tech network. James' writing has appeared in many print publications: Smartphone and Pocket PC Magazine, Information Week and Laptop Magazine to name a few. James' coverage of the mobile technology sector has regularly appeared in the New York Times, Salon.com and CNN/ Fortune online. Not just a writer, James has filmed numerous video reviews and how-tos that have garnered well over a million viewers. He has appeared on local news segments and been interviewed by the Associated Press on mobile technology topics. Additionally, James has been podcasting about mobile technology for years.

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good idea about android
gavin.chan 20th Sep
A good post. Thanks for sharing.Hi, do you own a tablet pc? We supply kinds of tablet computers, including windows 7 tablet pc and windows 7 tablets. Buy windows 7 tablet pc from China at wholesale price.
Srbsj
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the rise of the tablets
banned from zdnet Updated - 26th Jan 2011
i am still convinced that there won't be a real "tablet market". people won't buy tablets, they will buy ipads. the usual clueless tech pundits and apple haters will be in for a rude awakening when in 2011 and 2012 they will find out that the tablet market goes the way of the mp3-player market with apple establishing itself as the only meaningful player with a constant 75% market share.
tablets will take at least 20% by the end of 2011.
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The vast majority of that $5.2 billion in app downloads went to iOS devices, but that little factoid was conveniently left out of the story, in a desperate attempt to prop up Android and make people think it's anything more than a poor man's iPhone.
iPhone, and Android 3 for tablets is about to be released. Well, for 2011 I do not see Android on tablets taking more than say 20% by the end of the year. But, long term, I see Android taking over 35% market share in tablets, maybe more. Honeycomb is the real deal, and like a freight train, it is coming.
@frgough

Not surprise Apple is not getting the credit here when mostly all the tablet specific apps are being developed for the iPad. Especially when Apple was the ones who pushed developers to rethink their apps for the larger screen (not simply settle for it being 'scaled-up' like on Android).
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@frgough : "Poor man's iPhone" is right. After all, look what Apple charges for the phone in addition to the kickback from the teleco! You need to spend quite a bit more for an iPhone over an Android or even a BlackBerry.

It's nice being biased and/or brainwashed by the Apple brand, eh?
@Gis Bun While I don't think that "Poor man's iPhone" was necessarily the best phrase to use it doesn't change facts. You seem to think the iPhone is so expensive compared to Android phones but that's simply due to your closed minded attitude toward the device. A quick look at the carrier websites will clue you in a bit, the iPhone is priced the same or within a small difference to any comparable Android phone that I saw. Sure you can get a cheap Android phone but it's not comparable to the iPhone or the higher end Android phones so they don't count in the comparison.
time. And, of course that makes Legacy Windows Obsolete even though it is still selling well for now.
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I wonder if the MCSE get's it yet
Richard Flude 26th Jan 2011
Can they see the App store revolution yet? I doubt it;-)
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Interesting, $5.2 billion on tip calculators. Tablets will not do much, they will see some growth over the next year then its going to level off once people realize they don't have a need for them. Pay $600 + apps just to have this electronic device sit on your coffee table. You also get to worry about your bad back afterwards as well.
@Loverock Davidson
@doctorSpoc : Or maybe just Steve Jobs rubbing his hands and seeing his stock going up. [a.k.a. ripping off people]
@Loverock Davidson
I'm sorry,Loverock, but I have to ask. But before that, let me make a few things crystal clear. I make it a iron clad rule not to attack a person thru his stated opinions. And, having said that, I actually admire your loyalty towards the Windows ecosystem.

Still, I have to ask .. do you actually believe the stuff you write?
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At least he's consistant
oncall 26th Jan 2011
@kenosha7777

Though I did notice he finally dropped the "It can't be doing well because I haven't seen one in the wild" routine, I guess he's finally getting out of the house a bit.
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@kenosha7777
Yes I do.
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@oncall

I still haven't seen one in the wild. I honestly don't know where these things are.
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@Loverock Davidson

But coffee shops and airports are probably two good places to start. There were at least several on the last flight I took a few months ago and that was in coach.
P.S. and I cannot rule out one or both of us is suffering from a little "preconception bias" here.
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@oncall

I don't drink coffee and don't fly as much as I'd like to.
@Loverock Davidson Tablets namely the ipad already have done well, very well infact. So well that both google and microsoft have developed/modified their mobile OSs to compete with iOS. Several hardware manufactures have entered into the tablet space as well. The ipad, and potentially tablets based on moblile OSs are deffinately a disruptetive technology, and will continue to change the face of computing. I am sorry to inform you that tablets are not going to sit on the coffee table collecting dust. They are here too stay.
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@jhuddle
Says you, but the reality will be different. Tablets are overly expensive for what they do. You can get a more capable laptop for less money than a tablet. There is no real need for a tablet except in a few niche markets. Once the consumers buy them they will wonder why they did, after a month when the newness wears off its going to sit on the table and collect dust.
@LoverRock Your argument is flawed. Tablets in general, and ipads in particular are not subsitute products, they are complimnetary products. Therefore the fact that you can purchase a more powerful laptop for less money is moot. The reason the ipad is successful is because it is better or at least more convient for performing certain tasks. My personal experience with the ipad is that the newness does not ware off, in fact the longer I have the device the more it is used. It will not replace my laptop, but it does get used to complete tasks I would have previously used my laptop for. In fact I don't feel like the platform has even come close to realizing its potential.
Now I could be a three headed monster who's experience is way out of line with the general public, but I don't think that is the case. In fact all of the people I know who own an ipad love the thing and use it more and more the longer they own it. This is my reality based on actual use and real people who have used the ipad. This is quite different from your prediction. It seams as your reality is based on pure speculation.
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@jhuddle
Tablets in general, and ipads in particular are not subsitute products, they are complimnetary products.

Just like the netbook was, look how that turned out. History repeating itself again. We can safely say my argument is not flawed but it stands because it is based on fact.
@jhuddle
Funny thing is I actually am using my iPad as a substitute more often than not. I only use my home desktop when I need to work on something where I need a larger screen and mouse. (which usually involves bringing work home etc.)
It is much more convenient and comfortable to use the iPad for most things.
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My experience as well
oncall 26th Jan 2011
@Tigertank

I use my iPad far FAR more than I ever used any laptop or desktop, it's not even close. If fact, I am kind of bothered any more when I have to use my 13" Macbook at all because the kids and wife have taken over the iPads.
@loverock net books are substitute products to laptops. Hence your argument is still wrong. As others are posting it seams as though your theory has more holes than you care to admit.
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@jhuddle
Wrong. ZDNet bloggers and talkbackers said it wasn't a laptop substitute but complimentary to laptops and the home PC, just like your argument for the iPad. Again, look how that turned out. I can never tire of being right all the time.
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You predicted?
oncall 26th Jan 2011
@Loverock Davidson

That the iPad would be a substitute for laptops and desktops? OK, color me skeptical but I'll have to take your word for it.
@loverock. If that is what zdnet bloggers and others said, they are just as wrong as you. Netbooks are simply smaller less powerful laptops. Netbooks run the same OS and apps as laptops. They are substitutes for laptops, and that is a big part of why they failed. Tablets and iPads run mobile OSs and mobile apps designed for the form factor. These are compliments to laptops, and are the reason they are succeeding. So again you are wrong. Now I am growing tried of proving you wrong.
@Loverock Davidson To quote you, "Says you". Tablets are at a price point that you can not justify buying one and think that there is no use for them. Guess what, not everyone has the same criteria and use cases that you do. Trying to fit everyone into one persons view of things will always lead them to the wrong conclusions. Nobody knows what the future holds but I know better than to think that what I think should/will happen based on based exclusively on my preferences is any way to make a prediction.
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@Loverock Davidson
"I can never tire of being right all the time. "

And how exactly would somebody tire from something that rarely, if ever, happens?

Sorry, couldn't help but to take a swing at it since you made it so easy
@Loverock Davidson You state that you actually believe what you post but by posting something like "Interesting, $5.2 billion on tip calculators." all you have succeeded in doing is show how little knowledge you have about what you are posting.
Tablets and mobile in general are in the process of mostly replacing Desktops people just love taking their computing everywhere and the ease of downloading apps. The Business adaptation will never be 100% and the trend there might reverse as they figure out it is a security nightmare to have your financial s on a app that goes anywhere.IPAD will be like Coke in its hayday dominating the market as the others figure out how to catch some co tail.
Will the app explosion slow down as mobile website capabilities advance? Interested to know your thoughts.
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@BusyGuy52
I don't understand your premise. An increase in free mobile WiFi hot zones and/or an increase in their capabilities could only further the adoption of WiFi enabled mobile devices. Also, an increase in 4G adoption should increase the adoption rate for smartphone and/or tablet use.

Of course, I'm assuming mobile devices which can use mobile apps for the rational behind my comments above.

If you mean will greater web app functionality curtail the development of specialized apps for mobile devices, I would have to disagree.
@BusyGuy52
If you mean a "best case scenario" where everyone adopts the Google Chrome OS/netbook model, people will still use smart phones and tablets in conjunction with their app collections.
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I agree completely
CowLauncher 26th Jan 2011
@BusyGuy52 as HTML 5 development applications mature we will more sophisticated web apps. So much easier to support 1 web app as opposed to several native mobile apps where fragmentation is getting worse all the time.
@BusyGuy52


I think native apps will trump cloud based or HTML5 based apps for the foreseeable future. Sure as we become more and more mobile, web apps and its capabilities will continue to grow. But when it comes to games or other graphically heavy apps (games are the top downloaded apps today), consumers will always gravitate towards native/locally stored apps. Until that changes, web apps won't be displacing anything.
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@dave95. I agree. While HTML 5 will advance the web app something to keep in mind is that carriers (at least in the US) are clapping down on data usage. While a web app may not use that much data if I switched from using all my native apps to equivalent web apps I guarantee my data usage would make a big jump upward.
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"While some smartphone owners are reluctant to buy apps for the phone, the tablet owner will likely view the practice as business as usual given the perception that these devices are computers."

Funny that you mention smart phone owners are reluctant to buy Apps for their phones. Would those smart phone owners happen to be Android owners? Certainly iOS owners are not reluctant to buy and download apps with Apple just announcing their 10 billionth download.

If Google doesn't make the whole process of purchasing apps as easy as iTunes one-click payments infrastructure, then it will be no different than what we've seen with apps on Android smart phones. Many users just won't bother buying, settling instead for annoying ad supported free apps. Developers as a result feel they have no choice but to go with the ad supported model (see Angry bird which is just .99 on iOS but forced ad supported on Android, crazy). In fact, Rovio out of frustration said they will be creating their own in App payment system to make it easier for consumers. Makes you think if this was done on purpose by Google so developers and users alike will get accustomed to ads ads ads

"Rovio CEO Peter Vesterbacka said the initiative was born out of frustration with Androids payment system, which prompted Rovio to offer Angry Birds for free with ads on Android." http://gigaom.com/2010/12/10/fed-up-with-android-market-angry-birds-flies-to-carrier-billing/
@dave95.
Good points. While James is on record as having an iPad, he is also on record as prefering Android based mobile devices. His comments can certainly be interpreted in view of that choice.
@kenosha7777

Yeah think it's clear which way he leans wink

I just read that Google finally is admitting it's 'downright not happy' with the App Market when compared to Apple and will make some changes. We shall see how much they improve it though.

http://www.engadget.com/2011/01/26/google-not-happy-with-android-market-purchase-rates-many-chan/
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@dave95. I have to wonder based on what I have read if it has more to do with payment processing hassles or the lack of interest in paying for apps. I have never used the Android market myself so can not speak from experience but have only read a copy of pieces about the poor payment system there. On the other hand I have heard numerous times about how it harder for devs to make money on the Android market because users are less likely to pay for apps there and expect to get what they want for free.
@Loverock Davidson
I wouldn't know about this fruitful discussion here not having an iPad. I wouldn't dare to open my Mac again in the evening just to touch the surface of the news world, to check where's what interesting and funny. Not after working on it for previous ten hours. It's the iPad's turn, it's my private Tv, bookshelf, artboard, faithful companion... Whatever. This is it for me. And this ain't no fashion, it's just the beginning of a new platform.
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@Ondrax
Its also a fad and you will get bored with it once you see its limitations and start having posture problems due to its design.
What a nicr profit for Apple for doing nothing. They control [some say] 90% of the market. So if the Apple's app store's revenue was $5 billion [just for the sake of rounding], Apple took home $1.5 billion [30% of the revenue] just for doing nothing except having a web site. They didn't sell anything. You don't see them advertizing anything on other sites either.

This is like what Ticketmaster does with e-tickets. A human never touches what was sold off the Internet - but they still charge $5+ in their own fees [in addition to any others].
@Gis Bun They did nothing? So they didn't create the OS which in turn created a platform for the developers to create applications for? They didn't create a simple to use single payment repository for all these apps? They didn't build data centers and maintain them to provide that repository? Yeah, sure sounds like they didn't do anything at all. Sorry you hate Apple and can't stand that they are successful but you can't change facts to fit your world view.
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good idea about android
gavin.chan 20th Sep
A good post. Thanks for sharing.Hi, do you own a tablet pc? We supply kinds of tablet computers, including windows 7 tablet pc and windows 7 tablets. Buy windows 7 tablet pc from China at wholesale price.
Srbsj

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