Will open source be lost in clouds in 2009?

Will open source be lost in clouds in 2009?

Summary: Open source is seen as very very good in the cloud, and the cloud is seen as being very very good to open source. It's really an extension of the enterprise market, where professionals see the value in writing checks so they can play grill the coder.


Clouds by John F. Blankenhorn, summer 2008, Great Smoky MountainsHard times make for hard choices.

The loss of control implied by cloud computing, which may have been inconceivable in 2008, may become much more appealing in 2009.

(My son took this picture on a hiking trip in the Smokies this summer. So credit John F. Blankenhorn.)

The Yankee Group sent over an e-mail recently predicting this will take the form of desktop virtualization.

Mass workforce consolidations as a result of the economic downturn, especially in the financial services market, will force enterprises to look for ways to provision vast amounts of desktops to absorbed workforces in a fast, cheap and secure manner.

I, for one, welcome our new virtual overlords. The best way to make sure the new minions are on the same page is to push the pages to them. They're easier to pull back when you later push the people out the door.

Open source is seen as very very good in the cloud, and the cloud is seen as being very very good to open source. It's really an extension of the enterprise market, where professionals see the value in writing checks so they can play grill the coder.

So how much of the market will cloud computing take in 2009? And how much of the cloud will be on open source?

Topics: Cloud, CXO, Open Source, IT Employment

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  • Cyber-Terrorists must be rubbing their hands at the opportunities afoot. nt

  • More like "cloud" ing judgement

    See my very nice reply to the issue of desktop virtualization here:

    Roger Ramjet
    • Was that the one where you illustrated you did not understand the topic?

      Perhaps it was an attempt at humor or self ridicule?
  • You could do remote Ubuntu desktop on Amazon cloud today

    I imagine it would not be hard to do remote Ubuntu desktop on Amazon EC2 cloud. It only costs $.10 an hour to make an instance of Ubuntu server plus the costs of data transfer. I want to do that one of these days but I cannot seem to find the time.
  • RE: Will open source be lost in clouds in 2009?

    I just found a company that is in beta for Desktop Cloud computing the site is www.tvwgroup.net looks like a very generic site but they are in beta.
  • Open Source will be castle-in-the-sky

    I think Open Source software will find a nice comfy home in cloud computing. I don't see a 20% market share as being too difficult a target, especially since our most useful tools in the desktop world already have their roots in Open Source. Remember, the worldwide web owes its existence to it.

    As with all important 'net transactions, verifying authenticity for both server and client is the key.

    Although I see benefits in retaining private, desktop software as well, I say, "Bring on the clouds!"
  • Open Source did not start the WWW

    "Remember, the worldwide web owes its existence to it."

    WWW started about 1989, at that time stallman was trying to work out HURD and was unable to get it working, and Linus Torvalds had not even started Linux yet, let alone have anything working.

    So when the WWW started Open Source was not in the picture to make much of an impanct at all, but lets not let trivial things like facts get in the way of a good "story". :)
    • For most people...

      ..the WWW started in 1993 or there about. Mosaic is considered Open Source.

      From Wikipedia: Scholars generally agree, however, that the turning point for the World Wide Web began with the introduction[10] of the Mosaic Web browser[11] in 1993, a graphical browser developed by a team at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (NCSA-UIUC), led by Marc Andreessen. Funding for Mosaic came from the High-Performance Computing and Communications Initiative, a funding program initiated by the High Performance Computing and Communication Act of 1991, one of several computing developments initiated by Senator Al Gore.[12] Prior to the release of Mosaic, graphics were not commonly mixed with text in Web pages, and its popularity was less than older protocols in use over the Internet, such as Gopher and Wide Area Information Servers (WAIS). Mosaic's graphical user interface allowed the Web to become, by far, the most popular Internet protocol.
  • RE: Will open source be lost in clouds in 2009?

    Hmmm - I sure hope that absorbed workforces do get
    provisioned (rather than deprovisioned, as we all fear.)

    Wouldn't you think, though, that the proportion of open
    source software that shows up in the cloud will be roughly
    equivalent to the proportion currently in enterprises?

    Seems to be a reasonable first approximation...
  • "Left Behind"

    Looks like I'll be left behind, and glad of it. I want my computer running my software on my harddrive where I can reach, touch, configure control all of it myowndarnself keep your paws off, no, I don't trust you, you're not me. (pant pant)

    The good thing about current generation "netbooks" is that they, until they're turned into internet "dumb" terminals, will allow people to maintain their independence and sovereignty, at least for the time being.
  • RE: Will open source be lost in clouds in 2009?

    I got this bridge for sale in my back Yard here in Manhattan ...
  • Cloud computing has not overcoming *basic* hurdles.

    The bugaboos of cloud computing have not gone away--nor can.

    Reliability, security, and flexibility just aren't there. And while flexibility (customization) might be addressable, reliability and security can not be.

    No matter how good security becomes you're putting hundreds (or thousands) of customers in one basket (the provider). Crack that one basket and the foxes will have an egg smorgasbord.

    The cloud strips away physical security redundancy. It's one thing to compromise a single company's systems--crack Acme and Zeta is still secure. In a cloud situation crack Cloud Kookuland Provider. and everyone falls together. Have a Kookuland employee go bad and it's game over for *everyone*.

    Then there's the whole hardware and cable reliability thing. Backhoes are not your friend...

    Cloud computing sounds wonderful in theory. But, as they say, the devil's in the details.