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Three important post-recession IT trends

By | October 29, 2008, 6:16am PDT

Summary: With the economy lingering on the brink of recession, understanding the future becomes more important than ever. Here’s what IT can expect.

Post-recession IT

With the economy lingering on the brink of recession, understanding the future becomes more important than ever. As this photograph shows, IT organizations can expect three important trends going forward:

  • Project failures. Project failures will decline as centralized, hierarchical control increases. Detailed instructions from the boss will outlaw failed projects, basically solving the problem.
  • Social networking. The trend to eliminate cubicles in favor of open seating will increase, reducing office space costs and fostering community among IT workers. Real-life social networking will play an important role in keeping vital team spirit alive.
  • Green computing. Recessionary economics will drive further reductions in the size of hardware; smaller packaging means lower cost. Note how screens are integrated directly into keyboard units, saving valuable desktop space while simultaneously lowering electricity consumption. Also many light ceiling light fixtures remain off, further saving energy.

Although no one can predict the future with total accuracy, pictures are indeed worth thousands of words.

[Image via Shorpy.com: November 24, 1924. Washington, D.C. "Bonus Bureau, Computing Division. Many clerks figure the amount of the bonus each veteran is entitled to." Reference via FedBlog.]

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Topics

Michael Krigsman is a recognized authority on the causes and prevention of IT failures.

Disclosure

Michael Krigsman

Michael Krigsman writes and speaks about technology in a manner that most observers consider to be fair and balanced. Michael believes that writing about IT failures, which often have complex causes, creates a unique obligation to be reasonable and accurate in both reporting and analysis.

Michael maintains active personal and professional relationships with enterprise technology buyers, vendors, analyst firms (or individual analysts), consultants, and system integrators. As CEO of Asuret, Michael sells and delivers paid services to members of these same groups.

Vendors regularly reimburse Michael's out-of-pocket travel expenses to attend industry conferences and events. Conference organizers frequently waive entry fees when Michael attends industry events. Michael often speaks at industry conferences and events.

He is a member of the Enterprise Irregulars, a loose association of consultants, investors, industry representatives, analysts, and users of enterprise software.

For daily updates on Michael's activities, follow him on Twitter.

Biography

Michael Krigsman

Michael Krigsman is CEO of Asuret, Inc., a consulting company dedicated to reducing technology implementation failures. Asuret's suite of software tools improve the success rate of enterprise software deployments by quantifying and measuring governance issues that cause most project failures. Michael led the research effort underlying Asuret's model of collective intelligence and its practical application to reducing IT failures in consulting environments. He is a recognized authority on the causes and prevention of IT failures and is frequently quoted in the press on IT project and related CIO issues. He is considered an enterprise software industry "influencer" and provides advice to technology buyers, vendors, and services firms.

Previously, Michael served as CEO of Cambridge Publications, which develops tools and processes for software implementations and related business practice automation projects. Michael has been involved with hundreds of software development projects, for companies ranging from small startups to Fortune 500 organizations. Michael graduated with an M.B.A. from Boston University and a B.A. from Bard College. He is a Board member of the America's Cup Hall of Fame and the Herreshoff Marine Museum in Bristol, RI.

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Contributr
Bone-headed bloggers
mkrigsman@... 29th Oct 2008
Yes, some bloggers write tongue-in-cheek posts making them sound totally serious. I'm one of them sad
0 Votes
+ -
Completely wrong
frgough 29th Oct 2008
Green is expensive.

Here's what will happen. during the recession: layoffs. After the
recession: hiring.

The main question is: how long the recession. That depends on
which political party is in office come next year. Vote Obama, and
you get to watch the Carter years happen all over again.
0 Votes
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Interesting
mr1972 29th Oct 2008
I would like to see progress in general project management but I don't see that one ever getting fixed. Projects fail for a variety of reasons and most of them are not hardware/software related. People are people, they will always have unrealistic goals, they will always want more. Until you fix the human you wont fix the problems in project failures.

I don't mind going green but so far everyone seems to want to do their work on a cell phone sized device. I can barely read a simple web page on even the most sophisticated cell phones. I would shudder in horror if I had to be productive with a device that small. The solution would of course connect a larger screen and input devices. But we already have a device like that, it is called a laptop or even desktop.Bottom line I don't mind mobile, but I am not going to work on a screen smaller than 12 inches and I would prefer 3-4 24 inch screens for real work. The day somebody invents a solar powered 24 inch touch screen that folds up so it fits in my pocket is the day I go green.

Social Networking like all hot tech topics will be come a niche and nothing more. People have always been social and always will be social. As far as the tech goes, if I can have set up anywhere for the day and do my work, I will just end up at a desk in a quiet place. Kind of like an office. Working at Starbucks sounds cool and trendy but I can only get so much done when someone is constantly talking to me. Social networking is great for meetings and some team building. Meetings rarely get anything done, they are justification for management to seem to be earning their pay. The job gets done out of the meeting room.High level organization requires collaboration but realistically business has gone crazy with meetings. 20 minutes to make your point and get some quick constructive feedback is about all a meeting should be about.Social networking will help but by itself it won't build cars.
0 Votes
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Ahh if were only so easy Michael.

Fun tongue-in-cheek post though. Thanks happy
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Contributr
Bone-headed bloggers
mkrigsman@... 29th Oct 2008
Yes, some bloggers write tongue-in-cheek posts making them sound totally serious. I'm one of them sad

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