Potential Lawson acquisition – How it could affect you

Potential Lawson acquisition – How it could affect you

Summary: What could a Lawson acquisition mean for you?

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A colleague once remarked to me “Software companies come and go but software products last forever”. Essentially, he’s right. The products often live on and on. Whether the acquirer does anything with the products except collect incremental license fees and maintenance monies, the products live on.

Lawson Software (LWSN) may soon join the list of acquired software firms. Apparently, the company has received an unsolicited tender offer of $11.25/share. Actually, “unsolicited” may not be correct as some sources indicate that the company was already in play. On March 8 of this year, Reuters indicated that Barclays was retained to find a buyer and that several high-tech firms were potential suitors. The article also identified Infor and Golden Gate Capital as potential suitors. Reuters either had some good sources or made an educated guess given how many software deals Infor has done in recent years.

A week later and we know that Infor and Golden Gate Capital are behind the current offer.

In June last year, I wrote about how Carl Icahn’s new stake in Lawson could mean any number of potential scenarios would unfold for Lawson.

In June, I cautioned firms considering a Lawson software deal to get material change of control language inserted into their contract. I hope someone heeded that advice.

If you don’t already know it, Infor is a major software player that has, by merit of acquisitions, become the owner of software product lines from: Baan, Walker (aka Elevon), Software 2000 (aka Infinium), SSA, Mapics, Marcam, and GEAC.

Golden Gate Capital stated in an old press release their application software deal making chops:

“Software companies that Golden Gate Capital has taken private include SSA Global Technologies; Systems Union Plc; NetIQ; Geac Computer Corporation; Datastream; Aspect Communication; Blue Martini; Mapics; QRS; Concerto Software; and Infor AG.”

Reading all of these software company names makes me nostalgic. Many of the high flying ERP vendors of the 1980s – 1990s are on that list.

What does all this mean? Here are some potential scenarios for people working at Lawson:

- The acquired firm will see some paring of its operations. Expect the Marketing and back office groups to see cuts in total budget and headcount. These cuts would help cut short-term costs and help the acquirer achieve a better return, short-term, on its investment. - The Product Development group could also face cutbacks. - Sales will be left alone but making sales to prospects post-acquisition could be tough. Prospective customers may defer decisions as they wait for clearer direction from the acquirer as to the future of the company and its product lines. Delays in sales closings could make life tough for these sales pros.

I'm not sure just how much cutting can be done at Lawson. A few years ago, a fair bit of their product development may have already been sent offshore. They really need a cloud solution (beyond a hosted version of their on-premise software) but this acquisition may be a sign that even the board realizes they've missed the market for a true cloud, multi-tenant product. A sale may have been the best alternative to an expensive product investment cycle.

For customers or prospective customers, I’d be really cautious. I suspect Lawson’s product line could be sold in whole or part. The new owners, for example, may not want the Intentia product line. Do you really want to license a product that could get flipped to an unknown buyer?

I’d also be worried that the new owners may have a different timeline for delivering new enhancements, upgrades or products than what the previous owners had communicated. You received assurances from management that may not survive the acquisition. Now is the time to dig out those contracts and see what leverage you have. If all you have is a salesperson’s word and a handshake, you’re in trouble.

Charles (Chuck) Phillips is now at Infor. He oversaw a massive number of acquisitions when he was with Oracle. Charles gets it when it comes to handling an acquired firm’s install base. I would be surprised that Infor would botch this acquisition if they get a chance to complete it.

However, when software mergers come with promises of delivering a new integrated or re-written product line, realize that the track record for these promises in the industry is very spotty. It’s easy for a vendor to craft a ‘vision’ for a new product line but it’s considerably harder to deliver it (and harder still to do so in a short amount of time).

I mentioned nostalgia a few paragraphs back. I miss the old Lawson Software – back when folks like the Lawson brothers, Mark Galloway, Judith Rothrock and many others used to be there. This deal pushes the company further away from its original roots. The old Lawson was a real competitor to JD Edwards on the IBM System 3X/iSeries platform for years. The old Lawson had one the very first all web, zero client footprint solutions. But, then the company went a different direction and now that company is taking a very different direction once more.

Topics: IT Employment, Banking, CXO, Enterprise Software, Software

About

Brian is currently CEO of TechVentive, a strategy consultancy serving technology providers and other firms. He is also a research analyst with Vital Analysis.

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5 comments
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  • Product line sold in whole or part???

    Brian, I would think it's very unlikely that Infor would sell all or part of the Lawson product if their takeover is successful. They have completed over twenty buyouts in nine years and they have never broken up or re-sold any of the companies they have bought. The Intentia software is a key part of the deal in my view, as it directly competes with many of the other Infor product lines.

    The educated guess that Reuters may have made would also have been influenced by the fact that Infor is probably the biggest System I software house and that the addition of S3/M3 makes them even bigger in this space.

    Lawson also have some tremendous add on products in the areas of HR, PLM etc and they have great penetration of vertical markets like Fashion etc.
    PeterCull
    • RE: Potential Lawson acquisition How it could affect you

      @PeterCull

      Actually, Peter, you might be right on that one. When I wrote the post, I still was thinking about how Carl Icahn might handle the deal but Infor is a different animal. I can't say I differ with your logic.

      Brian Sommer
      brians7364
  • product strategy

    Infor's track record on acquisitions is that it tends to keep the current product roadmap in place though generally at a much slower pace of delivery.

    What Infor has failed to deliver on for the System i base is any real "net new" innovation. There have been attempts to bring the XA technology stack to other product lines but generally this development has continued to lag any real or tangible value. I don't see the Lawson product lines changing this dynamic. They will most likely be folded into the System i business unit and just plod along like the other product lines in this business unit.

    Unfortunately I agree with you Brian, that Infor buying Lawson will only prove to be a further errosion of investment in these product lines.

    What I find interesting is that this is yet another "scale" aquisition that does very little to help Infor secure a true strategy for new product innovation. Infor needs to focus on driving sustainable license revnue and net new logo growth in advance of any type of public offering it may be considering. This acquisition would do little to address Infor's primary issue which is that it has no clearly stated or easily understood product strategy.
    jpralyea
  • Message has been deleted.

    Message has been deleted.
    james347
  • RE: Potential Lawson acquisition ? How it could affect you

    The article is very intriguing specially this part "For customers or prospective customers, I???d be really cautious. I suspect Lawson???s product line could be sold in whole or part. The new owners, for example, may not want the Intentia product line. Do you really want to license a product that could get flipped to an unknown buyer?"..but I know the government is doing something about this issue...

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    apollosan