Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
Summary: Apple's post-PC era will create demand for more storage, not less. And different kinds of storage, as well as great opportunities for Apple to improve our online lives.
Apple's post-PC era will create demand for more storage, not less. Why? Because easy replication - which is what iCloud is all about - creates its own demand.
But that storage will look very different: the home media server will find a mass-market; for the few with PCs our backup requirements will be minimal; and, finally, cloud-based de-duplication will reduce bandwidth and storage requirements.
Easy replication Easy replication creates its own demand as Xerox showed back in the 60s with the advent of fast photocopying. We've been drowning in paper ever since.
The iCloud system will make it easy to synchronize music collections between PCs, Macs and I devices. iCloud and Airdrop will also simplify synchronizing and distributing a variety of other content, including document versions, contacts, e-mail and other content.
The net effect: many more gigabytes of replicated data across cheaper and more capacious mobile devices. And you won't even have to think about it - the best news yet for storage manufacturers.
Flash, or newer nonvolatile storage - such as ReRAM - will continue to win. And, as the replication of data proceeds, the convenience of having more capacity will continue to rise.
Backup With all this replication the need for backup will decline. Will backup disappear? No. But my need to back up a couple hundred gigabytes of music and documents and applications will.
But there's more. Apple's Music Match is a specialized form of de-duplication. What if that technology were applied to other commonly replicated content, such as commercial e-mail, spam, chain letters, YouTube videos and web content?
Apple's cloud could store millions of these replicated documents - storing only changes, such as addresses - to download only when and if you wanted to see them.
Home media server The unspoken assumption about all this auto magic synchronization and copying is that all devices have the capacity to maintain all the synchronized content. But for many this will not be the case.
For example, I have 200 GB of music and MPEG video that I would like to have on all my mobile devices. But my iPhone is 32 GB and my iPad2 is 64 GB.
This is where an iCloud aware media server would make sense. The media server would synchronize with the cloud, enable me to use all of my content at home, and and allow me to choose the content I wanted on each mobile device without the use of a PC.
The Storage Bits take All new technologies have unintended consequences. As Steve Jobs said the cloud is not just a big hard drive in the sky.
The post-PC era is real. The convergence of communications, computing and content is upon us.
The impact on data storage technologies, markets and demand will be profound. Maintaining persistent data is one of the hardest problems in computing. Making it invisible to consumers will drive more demand - and creative uses - than we've ever seen before.
Comments welcome, of course.
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Talkback
Apple in general has totally different idea of what the cloud is, comparing
That means that iCloud would need all your devices be "always-on"
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
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RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
If I leveraged the iCloud as envisioned, I would be paying overage charges every month to ATT. Luckily atm, I have "unlimited data" knowing that it will eventually evaporate and I will have a finite limit.
This single item precludes me from using the "cloud" for more than just convenience storage. :(
If some or most people are like myself
That may not be a big issue. Take music for instance. I carry around 1000 songs on my iPhone out of a collection of almost 4000. I carry so many because, well, when I want to listen to music I want it now. Photos as well. However, I could probably carry around much much less. The reality is, unless I am going on a trip, I will listen to less than a half-dozen songs off my iPhone on any given day. My phone is filled with GB of data that I probably will never access.
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
There's always WIFI... you can use ATT's wifi at Starbuck or places like BN..
The MS ecosystem appears to be better
Stressing a private home cloud over a public home cloud architecture is very important, because it is the way vendors can make the most money - through software licenses, server apps and services revenue, etc. Windows Hub PCs would form the back bone of families' and individuals' information processing, and mitigate so much of the security, privacy, and other issues of public clouds, pundits try hard to forget.
As for the Post-PC era, that is rubbish. It should be called the new PC era. The local processing of data will always be king. The new PC era just places new importance on user experience, and the enhancement of the local processing of data with communication and remote processing.
I think Windows 8 looks fantastic! Besides supporting traditional tablets and slates, it opens up the possibility for desktop PCs to have touch screens which can be used to interact not only with consumption oriented apps, but also productivity apps. Also for those who see the need to interact with some productivity, touch oriented apps with a mouse a keyboard for speed and accuracy, they will be able to do so. All they'll need to do is adjust their screens up vertically, and then interact with their apps in the traditional GUI way. Windows 8 is therefore ingenious for allowing users to have their cake (i.e. use fully touch oriented apps) and eat it too (use them with a mouse and keyboard if they feel so inclined).
Things therefore seem very bright for the PC ecosystem, and I believe that the PC ecosystem has a brighter future than the Apple ecosystem.
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
I use windows home server as my personal cloud...
Great!
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
Sounds like you "borrowed" my idea from a post I made yesterday,
Now, when it comes to the "private cloud" idea, I'm with you, but not totally on all the pieces.
The structure you mentioned sounds okay, but not the backup to the bigger cloud, away from your private cloud. I would opt for the private cloud which has all of your gadgets able to communicate from anywhere and anytime, but, I wouldn't have any of them using or backing up to the clouds being provided by Microsoft or Google or Apple or anybody else. I would have my personal storage in my PCs and tablets and whatever other gadgets, but, my backup system would include a remote connection to a "storage system" where my own private disk storage is available to "serve up" whatever I requested or wanted to back-up. That "private storage system" could be like a data bank, in a remote location, but with the capabilities to communicate with the rest of my private cloud infrastructure. That remote server, or disk drive system, would have limited computing capabilities, and would consist mostly of I/O and communications and security capabilities. So, my personal "storage system" could consist of a remote "smart storage system" where I could have a bunch of drives or just one, but with storage capabilities which couldn't be served up by a Microsoft or Apple or Google. Most importantly, my data would be mine to do as I wished, whenever I wished, and I wouldn't have the burden of trying to move from one cloud vendor to another if I so wished.
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era
RE: Storage in the iCloud & post-PC era