The future of TV is 4K
I have seen the future of TV and it's 4K. Don't get me wrong I love my 1080p HDTV, but 4K's 3,840×2,160 pixels, aka Quad Full High Definition (QFHD), blows it out of the water.
It's not just the four times better definition. I see 4K TV becoming a blockbuster because it will be bundled with organic light-emitting diode (OLED) technologies with their exceptional color reproduction.
Yes, there are two major problems. First, it takes a heck of a lot of bandwidth to move 4K video
. Lossy video codec technologies, such as the just approved High-Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC)
is going to bring that down to 100Mbps broadband speeds.
The other problem is that OLED 4K TVs are more expensive than some cars. Those prices will go
So why is 4K's going to win anyway? Because, I'm taking the long view
. By 2015/6 Gigabit Internet connections will be more common. Simultaneously, I see 4K TV prices will drop into the 2-grand range.
4K will still only be for hardcore TV fans, but it will be a mass market. It happened with HDTV, it will
happen with 4K as well.
4K sets need more space
Jason Perlow Unless you've been living under a rock -- or have been blissfully unaware of the goings on at this last CES, you'd know that the products at the front and center of every major consumer electronics manufacturer (save Apple) have been the latest and greatest 4K, ultra-high definition TV sets. And right now, they are crazy expensive, starting at around $25,000 each.
I'm not here to argue that people won't own 4K UHD sets, or that we won't see 4K being used in computer displays or even tablets in the near future. In fact, I'm absolutely certain that the prices of these things are going to come down and become commodities and low margin products -- just like the current generation of 1080p HD displays are today.
In three years or less, I won't even be surprised to see 4K screens on a full-size iPad, a 10" Android device, or even a Windows RT tablet.
My issue is not the price of the screens themselves, it's how the content that will be delivered to the displays will be achieved. And right now, if you examine the state of consumer broadband in the United States, most households are barely able to stream 720p movies reliably, let alone 1080p, which is Blu-Ray quality.
To move 4K movies across the Internet, we're going to need to move bureaucratic mountains at the state and municipal government level to get gigabit connectivity to the last mile in every major metropolitan area, unless we are prepared to distribute content on 128GB high-speed flash drives at Wal-Mart or figure out how to free up broadcast spectrum that doesn't exist.