Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?

Moderated by Lawrence Dignan | January 9, 2012, 7:00am PT

Summary: At the 2012 Consumer Electronics Show, hardware will take a backseat to software -- perhaps for good. Is hardware innovation alive and well?

David Chernicoff
It's alive and well
or
Hardware? Ho-hum
Christopher Dawson
Best Argument: It's alive and well
80%
20%
Audience Favored: It's alive and well (80%)

Opening Statements

Hardware is what makes it possible

David Chernicoff: No matter how interesting software is, or how exciting the user experience becomes, without continued innovation in hardware technologies, software will begin to stagnate. Consumers demand, and vendors promise, impovements with each generation of product, and the only way to meet those continued demands is for the hardware to continually improve to exceed the demands of the next generation of software.

Hardware and software existing in a symbiotic relationship, with each step, on either side, driving the other forward to build something bigger and better. Momentary ascendance of either side doesn’t mean that the other is in permanent descent. Regardless of the software technology, the underlying hardware is what makes it possible.

Every major consumer software advance has become possible because of the underlying hardware. The implicit competition between hardware and software brings out the best in innovation on both sides. And that is not going to change anytime soon.

 

Merely a matter of preference

Chris Dawson: As the world moves online, hardware has become nothing more than a religion. I tend to use Macs because I like the OS and the hardware takes the abuse I give it. On the other hand, I’m writing this on a PC in a web browser. I could just as easily dictate it on my Droid. Even in the enterprise, there is a general move to the cloud or cheap clusters of generic servers.

While there will always be a place for high-end hardware and pushing the performance envelope, the vast majority of what we do is now far more dependent on an Internet connection than on 8 cores of processing power or the latest version of Windows running on a Wintel system. How users access the web -- whether it be from a mobile device, a speedy Macbook, a Chromebook, or a DIY desktop -- has become a matter of preference.
 

The Rebuttal

Great Debate Moderator

Testing 1, 2, 3
Just doing a mike check.
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
Here
And good to go
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
I'm here
Ready to go at it
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Tapped out?
As we've seen in the tablet market, hardware can be copied but the software saves the day. Are we tapped out on hardware---more or less---so that advances are merely incremental?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
Not at all
By its very nature hardware changes tend to be incremental, though major jumps are possible as long as new technologies are being developed. The tablet market has been somewhat unique; the first really successful player set the bar very high with the software side, so that competitors with better hardware but lessor software are having a difficult time competing. But if Apple doesnt up their hardware ante, they will eventually fall behind.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
The key word is average
Obviously there is always room for advancement in hardware, but it???s increasingly irrelevant for most users. Incremental improvements in hardware will yield incremental improvements in the capabilities that software can exploit. However, most tablets, for example, can already show movies in full HD and support immersive gaming. Where else does the average consumer need to go? How about the average enterprise customer? This doesn???t just apply to tablets, but to all aspects of computing, setting aside the non-average exceptions.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

What's needed on the hardware front?
It is true that we always view hardware through our current good enough prism. What developments would be game changers in your view?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
It's all about power
The number one game changer right now would be significantly improved battery technology. It's mobile devices that seem to have the highest profile at the moment, and they are completely constrained by power availability.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
3D and the ability to leverage graphical horsepower for hybrid apps
Applications that leverage cloud computing scale running in a web browser and delivering far richer experiences (most obviously 3D) could be quite graphics intensive. Although a lot of heavy lifting can happen in the cloud, there could certainly be a place for some local horsepower. Perhaps the biggest barrier is bandwidth, though. If the ubiquitous broadband issues can be solved, then we'd have a game changer in the other direction, making local hardware even less relevant.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Cloud computing's role
How does cloud computing change the hardware equation? Given your mention of bandwidth and battery.
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
It "clouds" the issue
Cloud computing solutions for consumers are great until consumers realize that the infrastructure isnt in place to support every consumer moving key apps and requirements to cloud services. As ISPs continue to cap consumer bandwidth, the inability to utilize cloud services without additional cost will push people back to local resources. In my home near a major city, the ISP caps users to 250 GB/month in download, but at the home I have in the mountains, the only provider of fast Internet service caps users at 5 GB/month, which makes many current services useless if you do anything that streams video or data.

Mobile users have to face current battery life issues; utilizing 4G technologies requires you to have a power outlet or spare batteries to make it through the day.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
It's the single biggest reason...
...that I believe hardware has lost any real importance to the majority of users. It changes the equation completely and utterly. The cloud runs quite happily on clusters of commodity hardware. Web browsers don???t need much in the way of processing or graphical power either, at least by modern PC standards with at least a couple of cores and several gigs of RAM. Again, incremental improvements in hardware will bring richer experiences as local computing power can augment cloud computing, but cloud-based software and programming is already much more important than anything happening on the desktop (or tablet, or whatever).
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

The consumer front
On the consumer front, does hardware matter relative to software?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
Not as much
Though there will always be those of us who like cutting edge performance and capabilities or niche activities such as video and high end photo editing. But for most consumers the hardware needs to be invisible and not impact the user experience; it needs to be able to handle whatever the user (and the software) throws at it and respond quickly and accurately. This means it has to be powerful enough and efficient enough to provide a good user experience; instant on and immediate response
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
For a minority, yes...
But for the majority? Not in the least. Look at console gaming. The gaming industry brings in many billions of dollars on new titles running on 5-year old hardware. The innovation is happening with the developers. The same goes for increasingly smart televisions and set-top boxes. They run Android or Linux on comparatively meager hardware (versus many desktop computers), but provide great experiences for consumers who, as their title implies, are more interested in consuming content than creating it. It doesn't take 8 cores to watch videos on YouTube, no matter what your resolution or screen size.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Kindle Fire, iPad
So Kindle Fire and iPad are the model to emulate for consumers?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
In some ways
Consider that the iPad was cutting edge hardware with a good ecosystem start from the iPhone app store. It was the combination of hardware and software that made it a success.

The Kindle Fire gives the user mediocre hardware and relies on the Amazon ecosystem and a low price to make it a compelling purchase.

If the iPad had mediocre hardware, it would have died outright. The Fire is dependent upon that aforementioned bandwidth and ease of connectivity in order to deliver its user experience.

The "right" model for future development still needs to be defined.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Yes, but more so the Fire
The iPad remains too expensive, providing a premium experience for premium users. That's a fine place in the market and has worked like a champ for Apple. However, the Kindle provides a good experience combined with a huge content ecosystem and, perhaps more importantly, its Silk browser leverages cloud computing muscle to improve the browsing experience rather than relying on the fastest hardware. It's also hitting the right price points since Amazon knows it will make its money on content and software instead of commodity hardware. Only Apple can command the sorts of margins required to make money on hardware any more.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

And the business side
On the business technology side, what's hardware's standing? Big data, analytics and all of that seem to require some serious throughput. And Watson needs some heft too I guess.
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
At the back end, hardware is king
Raw computing power will always have its place, and one of those places is the corporate datacenter. Continued innovation in delivering better performing, more efficient hardware is driving product sales along with improved power efficiency, higher rack densities, and bigger pipes to deliver and gather data.

Hardware innovation is alive and well at the backend, and it makes it easier for the end user to do their job. And that innovation is necessary for the success of the cloud, as well.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
None of which matter to Joe Datacruncher in his cubicle
Throughput? You bet? Horsepower? Of course. In a data center. Increasingly on clusters of cheap computers. Supercomputers are the exception to the rule and data security concerns for most organizations dictate that crunching numbers on a laptop that can walk away in a train station is rarely an option any longer. Sure, there are content creators who rely on a high-end PCs, but the data center and, by extension, the cloud, is where companies are investing. Even there, though, the ability to take advantage of many cores and clustered computers is a software issue that needs addressing rather than a computing horsepower issue.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Software and hardware advances
Do you think that software adequately takes advantage of those hardware advances?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
Not on the desktop/mobile side
There are still cycles being left unused and with the exception of certain software verticals that need every erg of power they can get, idle hardware is common.

It may not seem that way to the user, but many inefficiencies in software design and coding result in a failure to take full advantage of the underlying hardware
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Nope - how much software is truly optimized for many cores?
There's a reason that the big university computer science programs are partnering with the biggest Internet and software companies to build out massively parallel computing programs. There's also a reason that many desktop users are better off with 2 fast cores than 4 or 8 slower cores. Too much software still has not been optimized for advances in multicore technology or GPU processing. You can throw all the hardware you want at Word and it's still going to be Word. Curtis Cubicle can only type so fast.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Parallel computing
Where does parallel computing fit into the hardware innovation equation?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
In some very specific cases
A good multi-core system is able to handle multi-tasking better, presuming all of the software has been properly coded. As Chris pointed out , you can only type so fast, but it's nice to be able to continue to type and do your foreground tasks while in the background your photo editing software is batch processing the 200 pictures you took at the park that day.

In the HPC and academic computing worlds, massive parallelism will be the future for many projects, even as individual core performance continues to increase
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
For now, it doesn't
It's a software issue. I can build one heck of a cluster in my basement with cheap PCs and any number of Linux distros, but the software that can really take advantage of such a cluster isn't generally available at Staples. Or off the shelf at all in too many cases.

As David mentioned, the biggest place where we need to see further hardware innovation is in cooling, energy efficiency, and power density. We have the cores and they're pretty darned cheap already.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Smartphones maxed
Let's look at smartphones: Has hardware innovation stopped?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
The improvements continue
Multi-core CPUs, actual HD resolution displays, networking faster than many wired connections, and the beginnings of portable AI. I don???t think that innovation has stopped; perhaps some technologists have simply become jaded by the sudden wealth of smartphone options. Look at the history of mobile phone technology and consider what the phone will look like in a decade.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
It hasn't stopped completely, but how far can we go on 3G?
As with most things, the real bottleneck isn't the hardware, it's the bandwidth and the software. Android continues to lack the smoothness and responsiveness of iOS, for example, even on very fast phones. Similarly, those great 4G phones that promise the latest data-centric applications and rich browsing that can rival a desktop experience are utterly hobbled by ubiquitous 3G networks (or by expensive data plans that are far more lucrative for the phone companies than the phones are for OEMs). It's a chicken and egg problem. Why push the hardware envelope when the largest group of users struggles with platform fragmentation and poor optimization or spotty data connections? Or, for that matter, can't afford the sort of data plans needed to take advantage of the latest apps?
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Show me new form factors
What new form factors are necessary to really push the hardware innovation curve?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
This is a tough one
Function should almost always define form, so the intended use if the device should define what the future will bring.

That being said, the pattern always seems to be smaller, lighter, thinner, and faster (some appropriate combination) as the primary drivers in functionality. Vendors usually follow this, sometimes, unfortunately, to the extent that they negatively impact functionality, then the cycle starts all over.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Light, cheap tablets and clamshell tablets
If I want to leave my laptop behind, I need something on which I can type easily. A software/LCD keyboard that opens up on my tablet without adding to its weight would fill the bill. In the same way, that long-awaited $100 tablet is more important than a 4-core monster for $500.

As David has pointed out, battery life needs to increase drastically. I need to get more than 2 hours out of my phone when I'm hitting 4G networks hard with tethering.

Finally, truly usable, all-weather, foldable computers would be game changers. I want to access the web or applications anytime, anywhere on a device that I can fit into my pocket with a richness that requires at least 10" of screen real estate. For that, it needs to fold, roll, or bend and resist the elements in ways I'm not inclined to test with my iPad.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Yes it's another ultrabook question
For the record, I'm ultrabooked out right now, but I have to ask. Is the ultrabook a sign of hardware innovation? Why or why not?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
No
The ultrabook is only innovation in the sense that it is an attempt to commoditize what would previously have been high-end specialty components. Perhaps there will be a surprise announcement at CES that will show something truly innovative within the ultrabook products, but I'm not holding my breath.

Though something really impressive at a sub-$500 price point would really catch my attention...
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Nope...not at $1000 a pop it's not
When you can achieve similar performance in laptops that are half an inch thicker, a couple pounds heavier, and $500 cheaper, ultrabooks *so* don't represent hardware innovation. Thinner and lighter is great, but this is post-recession 2012. We need great performance, great battery life, and, more importantly, great value. If OEMs want to innovate, lets boost battery life and drop costs, not make devices that can slice tomatoes. I don't need another Ginsu 2000.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Tablets
How would you improve tablet hardware and how does software differentiate?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
Its all about usability
If I had to pick one thing it would be color screens with the readability of e-Ink screens in daylight and similar battery life. That battery issues certainly seems to be the common denominator here.

Software defines the user experiences, and on that front iOS is the clear leader. I'm not as down on ICS as a lot of folks, but a solid, stable OS is critical for tablet success.
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Make it cheap and take advantage of touch
The Kindle Fire gets people excited because of its price. We can go a lot lower on hardware that will still be durable and highly usable. Tablet hardware is actually quite compelling at this point; now Moore's Law needs to kick in.

Software, however, is the biggest differentiator. When the same old design principles go into applications as were used on desktop PCs, then you don't have anything that is better suited to a tablet in your hand than a notebook in your lap. Optimize that software to take advantage of touch and improve accessibility for all users and you have some very cool, innovative software.
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum

Great Debate Moderator

Hardware advances
What are your top three hardware advances in the last five years?
Larry Dignan 10th Jan
It's more the combinations of technologies than individual changes
From the consumer perspective, tablets, smartphones, multi-core CPUs
David Chernicoff 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
LCD technologies, 4G data, and drastic price reductions
The latest LCDs, whether on TVs, phones, tablets, or otherwise make for great entertainment and productivity experiences.

Once you've used 4G, 3G is totally painful, especially if you're trying to get work done.

And can you imagine what a 50" flat panel, if it had existed, would have cost 5 years ago? Or the performance equivalent of an iPad 2?
mrdatahs 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
Ends in:
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Closing Statements

Alive and well, enabling software

David Chernicoff

While it’s clear that for consumer solutions it is mainly about the user experience, which is a software driven aspect of product design, it can’t be forgotten that merely adequate hardware does not make for a good long-term user experience. If for that reason alone, continued hardware innovation is critical.

It’s also obvious from our debate that continued hardware development in the areas of battery technology, mobile data delivery, and general networking bandwidth delivery are lynchpins in the continued growth of cloud services and mobile devices, two of the fastest growing technology sectors.

And I don’t believe that there was ever any question that continued technological development for datacenter hardware, upon which the cloud and related services will live, will continue to allow the growth of current and the development of future cloud technologies.

In short, hardware innovation is alive and well. While much, at the moment, might seem to be behind the scenes, it is still going on and enabling software to realize its developers’ dreams.
 

No awesome new advances

Christopher Dawson

Never have we seen more evidence that we are truly in a “post-PC era.” While hardware manufacturers are pushing ultrabooks hard at CES this year, the only place where exciting developments are actually occurring is in the cloud. In all seriousness, will you be buying an $1100 ultrabook? Because this isn’t just a post-PC era, it’s post-recession 2012, when value is king and businesses that want to compete must cut corners and introduce efficiencies wherever possible.

Consumers as well love their gadgets, but need those gadgets to be inexpensive, have solid ecosystems, great battery life, and access the web at high speed. While hardware innovation is tied up in this, the real story is software and Internet infrastructure, not awesome new advances in hardware. And frankly, awesome new advances have, appropriately, gone by the wayside in favor of evolutionary platform advances.

Practically a draw

Lawrence Dignan

As much as I agree with Dawson that hardware doesn't matter---and ultimately won't---I have to go with Chernicoff. I'm not about to say that hardware development is tapped out yet. In fact, if I had the option I'd call this debate a draw since both and Chris and David made good points. As we stand today, however, I declare Chernicoff the winner.

 

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Of course it matters
davidr69 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
That's exactly why Apple moved from PowerPC to Intel.

As for phones, there are some pretty intense games on phones these days, which imposes a requirement on components.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
jscott418 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
@davidr69 Apple actually moved from Power PC chips to Intel for better mobile power handling and not really speed. Everyone knows the Power PC chip did very well against the intel chips except for power handling. Jobs finally got tired of waiting for them to reduce power consumption. Just as Apple has now embraced the A5 and A6 to come which may eventually replace Intel chips on some Mac's. Its all about power consumption these days.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
spdragoo@... 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@jscott418

So, you attempt to refute a claim showing where a change in hardware provided better performance...but your "reason" is because it provided a performance boost (i.e. better power handling).

And yes, power handling *is* a performance area. Otherwise, you wouldn't see laptop & tablet manufacturers doing all they can to minimize the power consumption of their chips & CPUs to make sure battery life lasts as long as possible...
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@davidr69

This all-in-one world of PC's is finally coming to a reality. People like me who are two finger typist and have enjoyed playing games on their computers for years are coming to an end. Even an XBox 360 will be seeking further new technology with Crystal LED televisions in the near future to raise the bar and create a grandure revenue stream for the next, 'Next Generation'.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
danbi 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@davidr69

Apple moved from PowerPC because both Motorola and IBM failed them.

Intel processors have always been junk.
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Does not matter for everyone
jscott418 Updated - 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
I think for a lot of home users. it really does not matter. After all you can buy a iPad with a low powered core CPU that runs IOS just fine. Even play games with it. Or you can get a cheap laptop and play video on it and the speed will be fine. Their was a time when you needed better hardware then you do today. Of course some who have demanding programs such as video editing, hard core gaming, and graphic design certainly need the better hardware. But I do think its over sold and why would a home user buy more then they need? I have a 2010 Macbook Air and it only has a 1.86Ghz duel core Intel and it does just fine for what I use it for. I think the hardware makers would like to convince you that for example a second generation chip is better then the first. On paper I am sure it is. But does that translate into a better end user enperience? Not neccessarily.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
luckyducky7@... 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@jscott418

"I have a 2010 Macbook Air and it only has a 1.86Ghz dual core Intel"
Then perhaps you don't realize that there is certain hardware inside that particular device which makes that low-speed processor liveable.

Why would someone buy more than they "need"? Because it's faster, that's why. Sure, there's a law of diminishing returns that kicks in for the highest-end components (i.e. the fastest video cards, SSDs, and processors that no other company can match) but aside from that you usually get the speed you pay for (with the exception of Apple for obvious reasons, and if you're buying Apple, "need" is not a factor).

I'll use you as an example. Why on earth would you (or any other person who buys a computer to just surf the Internet and process Word documents) buy a 1100-dollar Macbook Air when PCs that cost 400 dollars can do the same thing?

The answer is, quite simply, the hardware. Does a better keyboard, better trackpad, better battery life, and a drive that makes the computer much more responsive to your commands translate into a better user experience? If it didn't, how could Apple even exist?

Plus, people usually don't run out and buy every single thing that comes out for the reason that it isn't much faster than the older stuff (you're only usually looking at a 10% increase in performance). For example, you don't have the latest 2011 Macbook Air- and it isn't all that faster than the one you have now.

But those 10% increases add up. So when you're looking at the 2015 Macbook models (assuming Apple sticks with Intel and everything's the same), you'll be looking at a much larger increase.

If it didn't, why replace old, still-living components?
My 1998-vintage ThinkPad 600E still does those jobs just as well as your MBA can. Yet I've effectively retired that machine from service because I needed something that does what it cannot at the hardware level. Just like my old smartphone- I want a device that responds faster when I tilt it and power it up so I've retired the old one (plus there are some things it simply can't run due to hard limitations).

So I don't think it's oversold because the more expensive stuff is nearly always better and it stays usable longer.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
ddferrari 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@luckyducky7@... Well put and spot on!
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
I am Gorby Updated - 10th Jan I'm Undecided
@luckyducky7@... I have been saying for quite a while that the latest hardware (actually 3 to 4 years ago, or more) is more than adequate!

OK! What do you need the power for? Gaming? Hah! Modern games are written for the consoles then ported to PCs. They rarely take advantage of the superior hardware available! Video editing? Ah! here I don't really have an argument, as I don't do video editing. Yet, how many people do? I do touch up photos, but that doesn't need raw horsepower.

What people want is then best user experience! I am running an old Core 2 duo, with Windows 7 and 4 Gig of RAM. I consider that to be overkill!!! But what I have purchased that really adds to my user experience is a(n) SSD boot drive.

Turn the PC on and it's "there" in seconds! Programs start very quickly! Everything else is just fine! I can't type faster than the word processor, or the spreadsheet. My browser is constrained by the speed of my internet.

I used to be very interested in getting the latest (actually the 2nd to latest, as it's so much cheaper), and overclocking, and modding with 3rd party heatsinks, etc. But it wasn't being used.

I see, maybe, cloud computing being the future. A big grunting machine in the background, and light weight consuming devices in everyone's hands. Who actually needs a PC anymore? I can see Smart Phones and tablets taking hold in the user world, and servers in the background (Cloud, whatever)

Oh! My! IBM mainframes might make a comeback!

Hey! The vote button doesn't seem to work! I'm for Ho Hum!
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
RayInLV 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
2 things compete of home users attention. Battery life and probably more important, price. So my solution is a nice Windows Laptop lower price, and quad core regular PC, then just do your video editing on the PC and that which needs to be portable on the laptop. Use DropBox and TeamViewer to Share and remotely access.

All for under $1000. A bargain compared to the 'Air'. Then again, If you have lots of cash, and you like to show off, why not go with the High Profile you can use as a mirror.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
rjm56 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Even with that work being done by Internet connection, there is still hardware involved.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Bozzer 12th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@rjm56

And not just at the server end either. The Internet connection itself is hardware related. Faster switches, faster routers, even down to the physics and improvements in the cable. Or perhaps Chris Dawson believes cloud computing is done on actual "clouds"...
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
winddrift03 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
the next major innovations will come when hardware is finally up to the task of propelling artificial intelligence into the mainstream. As always, new and creative software begs for more powerful hardware. Its all part of the cycle of a technology that has yet to mature fully. Unfortunately, so called smartphones and similar devices, seem likely to slow that development
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Skullyvick 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@winddrift03 - I agree when hardware has the power (along with 64 bit software) to propel AI to (2 to the 64th) gradient steps of decision making
AI will be mainstream. Predictions, projections, classification and pattern recognition will change everyday things dramatically. Things you never thought
possible will become "ho-hum" events.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
yipsalon 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Hardware matters.
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Question is does it do the job?
tony@... 9th Jan I'm Undecided
I no longer care about the hardware details most of the time - I used to years ago. Now my main concern is does it do the job, and after that, how little power does it use, and are there hardware features that improve security.
When significant money was invested in hardware costs - I remember paying ??1600 ($2500) for 16M of memory once upon a time, it was a major purchase. Now a decent laptop is ??300/$500 and this time next year I can buy a better one for the same money - probably the spec of today's ??500/$800 machine.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
jnowski 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
The more that you expect from your software, the more you will need more capable hardware.
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That's obvious
rhonin 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@jnowski
It's wh a growing number of my apps on my iPad2 wont run or run poorly on the iPad1......
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
MacFarland 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
For people on the consuming end, it may not matter- but for people and organizations that produce products and services for profit in a competitive environment, hardware certainly does matter.
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Hardware does Matter!!!
rgeiken@... 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Just try to run some of the modern software on 5 and 10 year old computers!!!! That should be a good enough object lesson. Every time I get around an old XP computer with 1 gig of ram and a single core processor, I get pretty frustrated in a hurry. My current Lenovo has an i 7 core processor (effectively 8 cores) and 8 gig of ram. It is really enjoyable to use a computer with this much power, and what is available in 4 or 5 years might make this look old fashioned. An i pad cannot even come close to doing what my i 7 Lenovo does and would not be as convenient for the user either. People trying to claim that an i pad will cure all of society's ills must be taking something stronger than I do. All of the devices currently manufactured can do tasks that they are great at, but when it comes to full featured devices, a powerful laptop or desktop will be at the top of the heap!!!!
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Hmmmmm
rhonin 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
@rgeiken@...
Now if I could find a way to properly compact my AW Area51 into a tablet.....
Niiiice.......
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
gruntfuttok@... 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Smaller,faster,cheaper, It's alive but is it well.
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Do The Math
paulstanley 9th Jan I'm Undecided
I purchased my most recent desktop computer (2.5GHz dual-core, 2GB, 500GB, DX10) for $299. At the Microsoft Store, Windows 7 would now cost you $119 (steeply discounted from its previous pricing) - that's 40% of the total cost of my system.
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Hardware is it!
jfarr1978 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Look, faster is king. Don't care how you slice it. No matter what task I choose to do the faster I get it done the better. In this busy society we can't allow slow devices in our way.

If we didn't worry about speed than we would have stuck with 386's and DOS. Certainly you smart phone can do alot of things... but my high end desktop will eat it alive every time. I did try some lower power devices at one time like Zotac Mag... Atom based PC with Geforce GPU. While it does run what you need it to. It doesn't do it very well.
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Life Expectancy
MichaelWells 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
While Chris touts the web as his primary argument, it has long been accepted that the average lifespan of a PC is around five years. I agree with rgeiken, in that most software and even a lot of modern websites currently do not run well on older PCs. At my job we are in the midst of evaluating how to properly upgrade our PCs which are 05 and 06 era, so that they can handle the software and franchise based web applications that we through at them. On the home end, I did some pretty extensive research before upgrading my wife's 2007 (old body style) MacBook Pro to Lion; before I did I was sure to upgrade her to 4GBs of RAM. Sure enough stories come out saying that while Lion will run on 2GBs, but it runs much better at 4GBs. We all remember the Vista debacle when it first came out. It was a hardware issue. Vista ran fine on computers with at least 2GBs of RAM, but was an absolute buggy dog on anything less and I would not recommend running on anything less than 3. My own home PC is a late 2008 MacBook Pro 2.93 Core2Duo, 4GBs of RAM with a 7200 RPM HD; this was a CTO, best you could build at the time and I see the performance hit that it has taken since then due to the higher processor and RAM demand from software and certain JAVA and Flash rich environments. For innovation to continue hardware will have to keep up. So what is leading innovation? The web. Chris is framing it as using Office on the web, but there is more to it than that. Sites where your family shops, communicates and does other daily tasks on the web are becoming more and more content rich and therefore require more power to render them fast. I will concede to Chris that if you don't mind slowing down some and taking longer to load pages, then sure stick with older hardware; because the newest crop of browsers from Chrome and Firefox are extremely fast, but they can only render as fast as the PC will let it. My closing statement is real simple, yet a very undeniable truth; as long as a Mac user sees the Spinning Beach Ball or a Windows user sees the Clock or the little Rotating Circle while they wait for something else to finish using your processor so you can move on to what you are doing, then hardware will always be relevant.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
pabdool 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
The software, the user and the bandwidth are driving most activities today. We do need something to touch to send or emit the message and something to read it on... but do those matter? I'm with Chris. It is all about preference.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
trm1945 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
If it doesn't belong to you, it doesn't matter. The plane you catch is less important than the car you drive. Your property matters, your opinion matters, your vote matters. Everything not yours gets a thought but a lot less emotion. Hardware matters if you bought it but someone else's hardware is background noise.
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Matters to me
ancillaDomini 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Try playing RIFT or using Lightroom on an older computer.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
shsdarwin 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
While hardware matters greatly, specifications seem to metter less now than they used to. We all want hardware that can run our software without problems. We don't like it when the hardware slows down the operation of the software, simply because it is too slow.

However, less and less focus is put on specifications, and more and more emphasis is put on how it 'just works'.

This is probably a result, partly due to the increasing popularity of Apple, and partly due to the fact that the computing device, be it a smart phone, tablet, or pc, has become a mainstream device. It is no longer the Geek's domain.

And as such, ease of use and reliability tend to take precedence to specs.
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Seriousy stupid question
brainburst 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
The question should be, SHOULD it matter anymore!
From the stupid consumer perspective it doesn't. The manufacturers love this because they can churn out barely-beyond-acceptable devices good enough for the near term paradigm. This means they sell more barely-beyond acceptable devices, almost annually, to the consumer who has no choice if they need to remain current.
Hardware should matter so that a more realistic less costly and wasteful 3-5 year replacement cycle can be the norm.
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it is becoming less and less about CPUs and chipsets and more and more about the whole experience. Backlit keyboards, glass trackpads, aluminum vs. cheap plastic, etc.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
CobraA1 Updated - 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
It's alive and well.

On the tower side, they're still upping the ante somewhat with new CPUs and GPUs, and I'm nowhere near convinced that graphics are at the quality they need to be yet. Sure, they are flashy and jaw dropping, but there's still a lot more (especially with vegetation and hair/fur) that isn't quite up to snuff yet. Go ahead, walk up to a tree in any modern game today and take a close look, and try to tell me with a straight face it's realistic.

On the notebook side, battery life is a biggie, and it still needs to be improved. Hardware is definitely one way to get there, and IMO there's still a lot that can be done to reduce power requirements.

On the tablet side, it's new hardware with loads of promise. We've just seen the beginning.

On the phone side, we're seeing some interesting stuff. They can do 3D on a phone, and I think that's just the beginning. Also, it sounds like they still need to work out battery life with 4G, which will require hardware advances.

With consoles, they're almost 10 years behind PCs, and their age is showing. They're long overdue for a refresh.

IMO it's too tempting to talk about the "average" person and the lowest common denominator.

The truth? Nobody's average.

And even the theoretical "average" people will still benefit from increases in battery tech and better power management. And I'm sure they won't mind better looking games, either.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
eMJayy 9th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
Hardware matters to some people (like those many visitors to this site who have niche uses for PCs), but it doesn't matter to most PC users anymore. Anyone who thinks otherwise needs to get out and meet some average folks.

10 years ago, my primary reasons for upgrading my PC were inadequate gaming performance, inadequate resources for running newly purchased applications (especially my digital audio workstation software) and the need to use new peripherals or peripheral technologies that were not supported with my old hardware (eg. transitioning from USB to USB 2 or a PCI card which required a newer CPU). I can remember clearly one time many years ago (back in the days of the earliest Pentium processors) when I upgraded a machine because Microsoft had released a new version of its media player and my primary machine couldn't handle the visualizations smoothly! I was so pissed at the performance, the next day I bought a new motherboard, ram, and a Pentium 2 CPU etc. just so that I could use the new media player. That scenario will never happen today....and that's my point.

These days, I use consoles for gaming, and there's no compelling reason for me to use a modern high end processor. The low end desktop processors are all at least 5 times faster than what we were using just 7 years ago. I now use AMD processors rather than Intel for all but two of my tower PCs (I have 6 in total). This home-built machine that I'm using now, for example, runs on an Athlon ll X2 250 dual core processor. Once upon a time, it was possible for a newly released application to demand so much CPU resources that the PC slowed to a literal crawl once it was loaded. Now, most applications used by consumers don't come anywhere near to choking a four year old PC, much less a modern low end budget PC. Even on this 'low end' machine, it's rare for the processor cores to ever reach 100% use even when running several applications simultaneously.

Hey, if you don't believe me, just bear this point in mind - The average consumer application's system requirements have frozen over the last several years. That's the big telltale sign that hardware doesn't matter much anymore.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
CobraA1 10th Jan I'm Undecided
@eMJayy

"Anyone who thinks otherwise needs to get out and meet some average folks."

I have. None of them were really "average." I'd say most of them would at least enjoy better battery life and power management.

"These days, I use consoles for gaming,"

, and they need an upgrade too. In fact, I think there have been some recent announcements.

Not to mention just because you have stopped using consoles for gaming doesn't mean PC gaming has died. It's alive and well, thanks, I happen to play games on my own PC quite a bit.

"Even on this 'low end' machine, it's rare for the processor cores to ever reach 100% use even when running several applications simultaneously. "

Don't confuse % utilized with performance. A PC with a faster CPU will be faster regardless of utilization.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Captiosus Updated - 9th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
I need an option for "Hardware still matters, just not as much as it did 10 or 15 years ago" . Some of this has to do with economic matters: Both enterprise and personal consumers are stretching the lifespans of their electronic devices (with exception to smartphones) and not upgrading as much as they did in the past to save money. Some of it has to do with hardware overkill: My 70 year old mother doesn't need a Core i7 to surf the web and check her email, but that doesn't mean she doesn't see immediate, real, benefits from getting a Core i3 to replace an aging old Celeron system.

I mean, hell, I still use my 9 year old PowerBook G4 Ti as a lounge-around-the-house system, but when I need to get a significant amount of tasks done, I'm back to my Windows 7 Intel Core Series desktop.

Hardware innovations and software innovations are joined at the hip. Just because it doesn't matter as much and people are holding on to technology assets longer doesn't mean hardware is irrelevant.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
ForeverSPb 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
It is same as with cars - why does it matter that a particular car can reach 180 mph when the speed limit is 55? Because underpowered cars, while drivable, are not enjoyable.
Underpowered computers are likewise, usable, but not as much fun.
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Isn't the real point...
GrizzledGeezer 10th Jan I'm Undecided
...that hardware and software change so often that a trade show makes little sense?
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
trust2112@... 10th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
Not as long as people are happy with their little apps on their weak powered dumb phones. I'll be impressed when I can play Crysis on one. Until then, I'll just live in the past with my old computer that can laugh at any X-box or PSWhatever and play real Computer games.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Anynamesleft 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
"The Cloud" is not for me - I am still an individual, my e-mails are mine, anything I write is mine, my photos are mine - and putting everything in the hands of another entity who could impose storeage fees, use charges, or simply say "sorry bud, its OURS" is not for me. I want to know where MY STUFF actually IS ..... I want hardware and I buy ahead of the curve so I dont have to buy again for several years. I do not want to buy anything that will be obsolete in three. I am a busy person and I am impatient and when I want something I like to see it up on the screen, like now! I pay for cable access - although you could say I do not "need" it for my life it is necessary. I am sure I am not alone.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
napaeric 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Just reading about Kinnect for Windows. Mentioned being able to take measurements for custom made cloths which would take online cloths shopping to another level. Hardware needs enough power. When we have too much power for everything we can do with computers then hardware upgrades will no longer matter.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Unrealmaster287 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
The best line i ever heard!
"You can throw all the hardware you want at Word and it's still going to be Word. Curtis Cubicle can only type so fast"

Honestly even though im against mrdatahs some of his responded are nice
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
qunungnauraq 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
HO-Hums are the downfall of civilization. While Americans "ho-hum", hardware production is "alive and well" in China.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
qunungnauraq 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
HO-Hums are the downfall of civilization. While Americans "ho-hum", hardware production is "alive and well" in China.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
han@... 10th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Mr. Dawson will probably blame losing on this being a site for tech-heads, instead of recognizing that all the cool stuff his Mac currently does, and in the super lightweight form factor, with super nice screen, with a day long battery life, is all due to hardware progress.

Either Mr. Dawson will admit that now, OR go back to working on a 5-10 year old Macbook, and a cheapo non-smartphone. And you know what: 5 years from now there's no way he'd want to work on current hardware.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Adobki 11th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
Every Techie and gadget user I know (myself included) always looks to the brand (OS) first, then specs second. For instance, I'd always reach out for a Windows Phone even though I know the Droid eqivalent would be packed with better hardware specs. Hardware specs. are important, yes, but they are still second place. . .
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
CobraA1 11th Jan I'm Undecided
"On the other hand, I???m writing this on a PC in a web browser."

OK, time to say something maybe a bit shocking:

The web browser isn't just a fancy terminal anymore.

Nope, it isn't. It has computational power and local storage, thanks to recent web technologies. It's expected to work, even while offline or with a crappy connection.

So the simplistic "you're just a window to a server" isn't true anymore.

Sorry to disappoint.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
Adobki 11th Jan I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
Every Techie and gadget user I know (myself included) always looks to the brand (OS) first, then specs second. For instance, I'd always reach out for a Windows Phone even though I know the Droid eqivalent would be packed with better hardware specs. Hardware specs. are important, yes, but they are still second place. . .
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
tom@... 11th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
If the people who think hardware is irrelevant, they seem to forget that such a case would cease further adbancement of hardware; effectively drawing a technical line in the sand beyond which hardware capabilities could never change. In less than a decade, there would be a gnashing and grinding of teeth for better hardware that would support what the software could be capable of. Say that atttude pervaded the video card industry before the 3-D stuff became possible at a reasonable price. You could quit keeping track of video card vendors, but you could also forget using the 3-D and many other capabilties that came along with it.
The negatve attitude of hardware not being important is myopic, silly and would stagnate the industry.
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RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
mheartwood 12th Jan I'm for It's alive and well
We can't always rely on the cloud to do what we want. Local resources are and will always be important. Faster, cheaper, longer battery life, are what we all want.
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RE: Cloud computing
Bozzer 12th Jan I'm Undecided
Interesting that Chris Dawson keeps going on about "cloud computing" yet at the same time claim hardware doesn't matter.

I mean, what does he think "cloud computing" runs on, actual clouds???
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Hardware, The Backbone of Any Device.
sourav_dey 25th Feb I'm Undecided
No hardware? Then where do you install your software? Hardware is alive and well.

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Comments from the floor

  • Hardware, The Backbone of Any Device.
    No hardware? Then where do you install your software? Hardware is alive and well.
    sourav_dey 25th Feb
    I'm for It's alive and well
  • RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
    Its all going to the cloud, It is the most secure, and safe from all the hardware Viruses and hardware breakdowns and Your programs can be run from most devices .
    doverland320 13th Jan
    I'm for Hardware? Ho-hum
  • RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
    This is blatant false advertising. This "debate" isn't about hardware vs. software at all. It's just another PC vs. Apple view collector. Think otherwise? Then explain how software runs without hardware. It's a false dichotomy.
    Vesicant 13th Jan
    I'm Undecided
  • RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
    @Bozzer Good point - all of this "cloud" stuff isn't really getting rid of the need for power, it's simply pushing it to the servers. Although if clients are expected to be able to function offline, they're still going to need a decent amount of power.
    CobraA1 12th Jan
    I'm Undecided
  • RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
    @rjm56

    And not just at the server end either. The Internet connection itself is hardware related. Faster switches, faster routers, even down to the physics and improvements in the cable. Or perhaps Chris Dawson believes cloud computing is done on actual "clouds"...
    Bozzer 12th Jan
    I'm for It's alive and well

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