David Chernicoff
Christopher Dawson
Opening Statements
Hardware is what makes it possible
Hardware and software existing in a symbiotic relationship, with each step, on either side, driving the other forward to build something bigger and better. Momentary ascendance of either side doesn’t mean that the other is in permanent descent. Regardless of the software technology, the underlying hardware is what makes it possible.
Every major consumer software advance has become possible because of the underlying hardware. The implicit competition between hardware and software brings out the best in innovation on both sides. And that is not going to change anytime soon.
Merely a matter of preference
Chris Dawson: As the world moves online, hardware has become nothing more than a religion. I tend to use Macs because I like the OS and the hardware takes the abuse I give it. On the other hand, I’m writing this on a PC in a web browser. I could just as easily dictate it on my Droid. Even in the enterprise, there is a general move to the cloud or cheap clusters of generic servers.
While there will always be a place for high-end hardware and pushing the performance envelope, the vast majority of what we do is now far more dependent on an Internet connection than on 8 cores of processing power or the latest version of Windows running on a Wintel system. How users access the web -- whether it be from a mobile device, a speedy Macbook, a Chromebook, or a DIY desktop -- has become a matter of preference.
The Rebuttal
Closing Statements
Alive and well, enabling software
David Chernicoff
While it’s clear that for consumer solutions it is mainly about the user experience, which is a software driven aspect of product design, it can’t be forgotten that merely adequate hardware does not make for a good long-term user experience. If for that reason alone, continued hardware innovation is critical.
It’s also obvious from our debate that continued hardware development in the areas of battery technology, mobile data delivery, and general networking bandwidth delivery are lynchpins in the continued growth of cloud services and mobile devices, two of the fastest growing technology sectors.
And I don’t believe that there was ever any question that continued technological development for datacenter hardware, upon which the cloud and related services will live, will continue to allow the growth of current and the development of future cloud technologies.
In short, hardware innovation is alive and well. While much, at the moment, might seem to be behind the scenes, it is still going on and enabling software to realize its developers’ dreams.
No awesome new advances
Christopher Dawson
Never have we seen more evidence that we are truly in a “post-PC era.” While hardware manufacturers are pushing ultrabooks hard at CES this year, the only place where exciting developments are actually occurring is in the cloud. In all seriousness, will you be buying an $1100 ultrabook? Because this isn’t just a post-PC era, it’s post-recession 2012, when value is king and businesses that want to compete must cut corners and introduce efficiencies wherever possible.
Consumers as well love their gadgets, but need those gadgets to be inexpensive, have solid ecosystems, great battery life, and access the web at high speed. While hardware innovation is tied up in this, the real story is software and Internet infrastructure, not awesome new advances in hardware. And frankly, awesome new advances have, appropriately, gone by the wayside in favor of evolutionary platform advances.
Practically a draw
Lawrence Dignan
As much as I agree with Dawson that hardware doesn't matter---and ultimately won't---I have to go with Chernicoff. I'm not about to say that hardware development is tapped out yet. In fact, if I had the option I'd call this debate a draw since both and Chris and David made good points. As we stand today, however, I declare Chernicoff the winner.
More from "The Great Debate"
As for phones, there are some pretty intense games on phones these days, which imposes a requirement on components.
So, you attempt to refute a claim showing where a change in hardware provided better performance...but your "reason" is because it provided a performance boost (i.e. better power handling).
And yes, power handling *is* a performance area. Otherwise, you wouldn't see laptop & tablet manufacturers doing all they can to minimize the power consumption of their chips & CPUs to make sure battery life lasts as long as possible...
This all-in-one world of PC's is finally coming to a reality. People like me who are two finger typist and have enjoyed playing games on their computers for years are coming to an end. Even an XBox 360 will be seeking further new technology with Crystal LED televisions in the near future to raise the bar and create a grandure revenue stream for the next, 'Next Generation'.
Apple moved from PowerPC because both Motorola and IBM failed them.
Intel processors have always been junk.
"I have a 2010 Macbook Air and it only has a 1.86Ghz dual core Intel"
Then perhaps you don't realize that there is certain hardware inside that particular device which makes that low-speed processor liveable.
Why would someone buy more than they "need"? Because it's faster, that's why. Sure, there's a law of diminishing returns that kicks in for the highest-end components (i.e. the fastest video cards, SSDs, and processors that no other company can match) but aside from that you usually get the speed you pay for (with the exception of Apple for obvious reasons, and if you're buying Apple, "need" is not a factor).
I'll use you as an example. Why on earth would you (or any other person who buys a computer to just surf the Internet and process Word documents) buy a 1100-dollar Macbook Air when PCs that cost 400 dollars can do the same thing?
The answer is, quite simply, the hardware. Does a better keyboard, better trackpad, better battery life, and a drive that makes the computer much more responsive to your commands translate into a better user experience? If it didn't, how could Apple even exist?
Plus, people usually don't run out and buy every single thing that comes out for the reason that it isn't much faster than the older stuff (you're only usually looking at a 10% increase in performance). For example, you don't have the latest 2011 Macbook Air- and it isn't all that faster than the one you have now.
But those 10% increases add up. So when you're looking at the 2015 Macbook models (assuming Apple sticks with Intel and everything's the same), you'll be looking at a much larger increase.
If it didn't, why replace old, still-living components?
My 1998-vintage ThinkPad 600E still does those jobs just as well as your MBA can. Yet I've effectively retired that machine from service because I needed something that does what it cannot at the hardware level. Just like my old smartphone- I want a device that responds faster when I tilt it and power it up so I've retired the old one (plus there are some things it simply can't run due to hard limitations).
So I don't think it's oversold because the more expensive stuff is nearly always better and it stays usable longer.
OK! What do you need the power for? Gaming? Hah! Modern games are written for the consoles then ported to PCs. They rarely take advantage of the superior hardware available! Video editing? Ah! here I don't really have an argument, as I don't do video editing. Yet, how many people do? I do touch up photos, but that doesn't need raw horsepower.
What people want is then best user experience! I am running an old Core 2 duo, with Windows 7 and 4 Gig of RAM. I consider that to be overkill!!! But what I have purchased that really adds to my user experience is a(n) SSD boot drive.
Turn the PC on and it's "there" in seconds! Programs start very quickly! Everything else is just fine! I can't type faster than the word processor, or the spreadsheet. My browser is constrained by the speed of my internet.
I used to be very interested in getting the latest (actually the 2nd to latest, as it's so much cheaper), and overclocking, and modding with 3rd party heatsinks, etc. But it wasn't being used.
I see, maybe, cloud computing being the future. A big grunting machine in the background, and light weight consuming devices in everyone's hands. Who actually needs a PC anymore? I can see Smart Phones and tablets taking hold in the user world, and servers in the background (Cloud, whatever)
Oh! My! IBM mainframes might make a comeback!
Hey! The vote button doesn't seem to work! I'm for Ho Hum!
All for under $1000. A bargain compared to the 'Air'. Then again, If you have lots of cash, and you like to show off, why not go with the High Profile you can use as a mirror.
And not just at the server end either. The Internet connection itself is hardware related. Faster switches, faster routers, even down to the physics and improvements in the cable. Or perhaps Chris Dawson believes cloud computing is done on actual "clouds"...
AI will be mainstream. Predictions, projections, classification and pattern recognition will change everyday things dramatically. Things you never thought
possible will become "ho-hum" events.
When significant money was invested in hardware costs - I remember paying ??1600 ($2500) for 16M of memory once upon a time, it was a major purchase. Now a decent laptop is ??300/$500 and this time next year I can buy a better one for the same money - probably the spec of today's ??500/$800 machine.
It's wh a growing number of my apps on my iPad2 wont run or run poorly on the iPad1......
Now if I could find a way to properly compact my AW Area51 into a tablet.....
Niiiice.......
If we didn't worry about speed than we would have stuck with 386's and DOS. Certainly you smart phone can do alot of things... but my high end desktop will eat it alive every time. I did try some lower power devices at one time like Zotac Mag... Atom based PC with Geforce GPU. While it does run what you need it to. It doesn't do it very well.
However, less and less focus is put on specifications, and more and more emphasis is put on how it 'just works'.
This is probably a result, partly due to the increasing popularity of Apple, and partly due to the fact that the computing device, be it a smart phone, tablet, or pc, has become a mainstream device. It is no longer the Geek's domain.
And as such, ease of use and reliability tend to take precedence to specs.
From the stupid consumer perspective it doesn't. The manufacturers love this because they can churn out barely-beyond-acceptable devices good enough for the near term paradigm. This means they sell more barely-beyond acceptable devices, almost annually, to the consumer who has no choice if they need to remain current.
Hardware should matter so that a more realistic less costly and wasteful 3-5 year replacement cycle can be the norm.
On the tower side, they're still upping the ante somewhat with new CPUs and GPUs, and I'm nowhere near convinced that graphics are at the quality they need to be yet. Sure, they are flashy and jaw dropping, but there's still a lot more (especially with vegetation and hair/fur) that isn't quite up to snuff yet. Go ahead, walk up to a tree in any modern game today and take a close look, and try to tell me with a straight face it's realistic.
On the notebook side, battery life is a biggie, and it still needs to be improved. Hardware is definitely one way to get there, and IMO there's still a lot that can be done to reduce power requirements.
On the tablet side, it's new hardware with loads of promise. We've just seen the beginning.
On the phone side, we're seeing some interesting stuff. They can do 3D on a phone, and I think that's just the beginning. Also, it sounds like they still need to work out battery life with 4G, which will require hardware advances.
With consoles, they're almost 10 years behind PCs, and their age is showing. They're long overdue for a refresh.
IMO it's too tempting to talk about the "average" person and the lowest common denominator.
The truth? Nobody's average.
And even the theoretical "average" people will still benefit from increases in battery tech and better power management. And I'm sure they won't mind better looking games, either.
10 years ago, my primary reasons for upgrading my PC were inadequate gaming performance, inadequate resources for running newly purchased applications (especially my digital audio workstation software) and the need to use new peripherals or peripheral technologies that were not supported with my old hardware (eg. transitioning from USB to USB 2 or a PCI card which required a newer CPU). I can remember clearly one time many years ago (back in the days of the earliest Pentium processors) when I upgraded a machine because Microsoft had released a new version of its media player and my primary machine couldn't handle the visualizations smoothly! I was so pissed at the performance, the next day I bought a new motherboard, ram, and a Pentium 2 CPU etc. just so that I could use the new media player. That scenario will never happen today....and that's my point.
These days, I use consoles for gaming, and there's no compelling reason for me to use a modern high end processor. The low end desktop processors are all at least 5 times faster than what we were using just 7 years ago. I now use AMD processors rather than Intel for all but two of my tower PCs (I have 6 in total). This home-built machine that I'm using now, for example, runs on an Athlon ll X2 250 dual core processor. Once upon a time, it was possible for a newly released application to demand so much CPU resources that the PC slowed to a literal crawl once it was loaded. Now, most applications used by consumers don't come anywhere near to choking a four year old PC, much less a modern low end budget PC. Even on this 'low end' machine, it's rare for the processor cores to ever reach 100% use even when running several applications simultaneously.
Hey, if you don't believe me, just bear this point in mind - The average consumer application's system requirements have frozen over the last several years. That's the big telltale sign that hardware doesn't matter much anymore.
"Anyone who thinks otherwise needs to get out and meet some average folks."
I have. None of them were really "average." I'd say most of them would at least enjoy better battery life and power management.
"These days, I use consoles for gaming,"
, and they need an upgrade too. In fact, I think there have been some recent announcements.
Not to mention just because you have stopped using consoles for gaming doesn't mean PC gaming has died. It's alive and well, thanks, I happen to play games on my own PC quite a bit.
"Even on this 'low end' machine, it's rare for the processor cores to ever reach 100% use even when running several applications simultaneously. "
Don't confuse % utilized with performance. A PC with a faster CPU will be faster regardless of utilization.
I mean, hell, I still use my 9 year old PowerBook G4 Ti as a lounge-around-the-house system, but when I need to get a significant amount of tasks done, I'm back to my Windows 7 Intel Core Series desktop.
Hardware innovations and software innovations are joined at the hip. Just because it doesn't matter as much and people are holding on to technology assets longer doesn't mean hardware is irrelevant.
Underpowered computers are likewise, usable, but not as much fun.
"You can throw all the hardware you want at Word and it's still going to be Word. Curtis Cubicle can only type so fast"
Honestly even though im against mrdatahs some of his responded are nice
Either Mr. Dawson will admit that now, OR go back to working on a 5-10 year old Macbook, and a cheapo non-smartphone. And you know what: 5 years from now there's no way he'd want to work on current hardware.
OK, time to say something maybe a bit shocking:
The web browser isn't just a fancy terminal anymore.
Nope, it isn't. It has computational power and local storage, thanks to recent web technologies. It's expected to work, even while offline or with a crappy connection.
So the simplistic "you're just a window to a server" isn't true anymore.
Sorry to disappoint.
The negatve attitude of hardware not being important is myopic, silly and would stagnate the industry.
I mean, what does he think "cloud computing" runs on, actual clouds???
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Hardware, The Backbone of Any Device.
RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
RE: Hardware: Does it really matter anymore?
And not just at the server end either. The Internet connection itself is hardware related. Faster switches, faster routers, even down to the physics and improvements in the cable. Or perhaps Chris Dawson believes cloud computing is done on actual "clouds"...