Global tablet PC shipments predicted to hit 455 million by 2017

Global tablet PC shipments predicted to hit 455 million by 2017

Summary: Falling prices are expected to boost tablet PC adoption, but notebooks and ultraslim PCs are expected to rise in price.

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TOPICS: Hardware
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Analysts love gazing into their crystal balls and coming up with far flung predictions about the tech landscape. The latest prediction from NPD DisplaySearch suggests that tablet PC shipments will skyrocket to 455 million by 2017.

The demand, according to a new report by NPD DisplaySearch, is predictably price. Worldwide tablet PC average selling prices are forecast to fall from $311 in 2014 to $296 in 2017, which will in turn boost adoption.

Global shipments of tablet PCs in 2014 is expected to be 315 million units, making up more than 65 percent of the market. By 2017 tablet PC shipments will, according to the report, climb to 455 million units, accounting for nearly 75 percent of the mobile PC market.

"Momentum for the tablet PC market is in full swing as they have become the dominant mobile PC form factor," said Richard Shim, senior analyst at NPD DisplaySearch.  "Competition is expected to increase as traditional notebook PC brands, including Lenovo, HP, and Dell update their product portfolios to emphasize tablet PCs. Increased competition will mean more attention on, and development of, various segments of the market, which will ultimately lead to greater choice and devices that better fit the needs of consumers."

Worldwide Mobile PC Shipment Forecast by Application
(Source: NPD DisplaySearch)

Following weaker than expected shipment demand from the back-to-school and holiday seasons in 2013, notebook PC OEMs have slashed their shipment estimates for 2014, with an expected year-over-year fall of nearly 7 percent. Also, touch panel integration in notebook PCs has not increased demand as much as previously expected.

The overall result is weaker than expected demand for standard notebook PCs and ultra-slim PCs. Standard notebook PC shipments will decline from 155 million units in 2013 to 105 million units in 2017. Ultra-slim PC shipments will rise from 26 million units in 2013 to 57 million units is 2017.

This, in turn, is driving up prices.

Standard notebook PC prices are expected to rise from $667 in 2013 to $693 in 2014 while ultra-slim PC prices are expected to rise from $885 to $936 in 2014. The report claims that features such as new designs and higher resolution displays will be used to justify higher selling prices.

Topic: Hardware

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14 comments
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  • Ain't gonna happen

    LD says tablets are a fad
    Economister
    • Oh no you didn't

      You called up the Shill'n (the Cracken of shills) and he will be here soon.
      anonymous
      • Yep

        And he'll tell us all about Microsoft Windows from Microsoft, and maybe even about his Microsoft Windows Phone 8 phone. And he'll probably thank us for being "fans".
        Smalahove
    • Well, it hasn't happened yet, and LD may turn out to be correct,

      whereas, your basing your joy on a prediction, which apparently, you don't understand the difference between a prediction and reality.
      adornoe
  • Stimulating Windows store productivity apps

    What would probably be nice, is if MS places a minimum price on apps (say $5) in the business and productivity sections of the Windows app store. All the free apps in these sections could be moved into a miscellaneous / utility section of the store. This small adjustment would probably do a lot to stimulate productivity apps, which are needed to sell higher end touch based PCs. Also, add considerably more functionality to OneNote to produce a lite version of the app, and sell it for about $50 (discounted price, $70 regular price) to maintain the price levels of productivity software, found on the desktop.
    P. Douglas
  • MOBILE IS HERE TO STAY, MICROSOFT IS GOING AWAY...

    I always dreamed of the day, because how could a company produce such crap for so long and still produce a CEO who was and still is the richest man in the world?

    Intel is no better. The abject greed of Wintel knew no bounds.

    Goodbye PC era... may Wintel burn in hell.
    orandy
    • Sorry Dude ...

      '"Momentum for the tablet PC market is in full swing as they have become the dominant mobile PC form factor," said Richard Shim, senior analyst at NPD DisplaySearch. "Competition is expected to increase as traditional notebook PC brands, including Lenovo, HP, and Dell update their product portfolios to emphasize tablet PCs. Increased competition will mean more attention on, and development of, various segments of the market, which will ultimately lead to greater choice and devices that better fit the needs of consumers."'
      P. Douglas
    • Do you understand what a tablet PC is?

      It runs Windows (at least for today) as opposed to Android or iOS. Personally I would like to see come competition in this space with Linux and even MacOS going touch.
      Rann Xeroxx
    • Do you understand what a tablet PC is?

      It runs Windows (at least for today) as opposed to Android or iOS. Personally I would like to see come competition in this space with Linux and even MacOS going touch.
      Rann Xeroxx
  • Global tablet PC shipments predicted to hit 455 million by 2017

    Tablets are a fad. I'll tell you all about Microsoft Windows from Microsoft, and my Microsoft Windows Phone 8 phone. Thank you for being fans.
    Loverock.Davidson
    • Tablets

      Tablets will be on a decline by 2017. People will have enough time by then to realize they do not need one and the notebook/PC sales will be up. Tablets are too limited of a device to be bought in such a mass quantity.
      Loverock.Davidson
      • You forgot to mention Microsoft in your post

        Getting sloppy?
        Smalahove
    • you rock

      N/t
      Ram U
  • So, what is the definition of "tablet-PC"?

    Without a good definition, it would seem that, tablet PC could by anything that resembles a PC and comes in the small form-factor as tablets. It tablets of today are being redefined as tablet PCs, then the silly prediction above will be way off the mark.

    About 2 weeks ago, right here on ZDNet, reports were that, worldwide tablets sold and in use for the last 4 years inclusive, were "just" 285 million. Meanwhile, PCs for each of the last 4 years sold more than 300 million, or at least 1.2 billion for those 4 years. For tablets to catch up or be anywhere near PC sales, a major miracle will be needed for sales to overtake PC sales. So, somebody is smoking something very powerful at NPD DisplaySearch, or they're just wishing out loud in order to try to make their predictions come true. Neither dreaming nor reality, can back up the NPD predictions. And, why the heck is a prediction called "research"? It's mostly wishful thinking and dreaming.
    adornoe