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Sun-Oracle FAQ: Did IBM make a big mistake?

Tim Ferguson silicon.com | April 22, 2009 11:36 AM PDT

Summary

The deal gives Oracle control over the Unix-based Solaris operating system and Java programming language. A silicon.com panel of experts predict how this will affect the tech industry.
Oracle's proposed $7.4bn acquisition of Sun Microsystems has shaken up the tech industry.

The mega-deal, which comes soon after IBM's bid for Sun fell apart, strengthens Oracle's hand in the software market and gives Oracle control over the Unix-based Solaris operating system and Java programming language. More dramatically, it could pave the way for database giant Oracle to become a systems vendor.

So what are the challenges for the players involved, and the implications for the industry as a whole? We asked a panel of expert analysts to weigh in on various aspects of the deal.

See also: Special Report: Oracle buys Sun - and Java

How will the deal change Oracle and how is Sun's technology likely to be used?

Stefan Ried, senior analyst at Forrester Research, said: "Oracle will value Sun's software stack and use the open source alternatives to complement their portfolio of mostly commercial software products today. Oracle will be able to turn the Sun deal into a best practice of the packaged apps [and] hardware combination and be a serious threat to IBM."

Phil Dawson, research VP at Gartner, said: "I think the real choice is Oracle becomes a systems vendor. How far they go with the hardware is the question. Oracle don't generally sell things you can touch."

David Mitchell, senior VP of IT research at Ovum, said: "The hardware business in an interesting one. Where I see that going to add value is in the development and deployment of a number of appliances. It gives [Oracle] a good open source community base which I think is a valuable thing for any software vendor at the moment. Sun has a strong support and maintenance revenue stream associated with both its hardware products and its software ones. That's quite an attraction to Oracle."

What impact will the deal have on other tech industry players?

"[The acquisition] isolates IBM straight away because IBM didn't buy Sun. Two weeks ago IBM could have dominated nearly two-thirds of the Unix market and this week they'll be lucky to dominate a third of it. IBM missed the boat here. I think Solaris is a real threat here for IBM," Gartner's Dawson said.

"[Red Hat was] close with Oracle then Oracle did unbreakable Linux. Now Oracle might say let's move everything to Solaris X86 - it's unbelievable. It makes a very complex portfolio but it also means people are very, if not loyal, tied to Oracle."

Research firm Technology Business Research (TBR) said in a note: "Oracle may spin off or sell off some parts of Sun’s hardware and software business following the acquisition. Likely purchasers of Sun's hardware business include Fujitsu, EMC, Dell and HP."

What about the industry in general?

Ovum's Mitchell said: "The market's really condensing into four large players at the moment - IBM, HP, Microsoft and Oracle, after this acquisition, are really the largest around. It's moving [Oracle] into that category."

TBR said: "[The deal] allows Oracle to remain the great white shark of the IT industry, driving growth through a voracious appetite for leading technology companies".

What implications is it likely to have for Sun and its customers?

"The Sun guys are going to be a little happier. They know that they're going to have an enterprise Unix strategy moving forward. They know they've still got Solaris. It makes a very complex portfolio but it also means people are very, if not loyal, tied to Oracle," according to Dawson.

Mitchell said: "Oracle is a very commercially astute company - they are unlikely to do anything to damage customer satisfaction and the way that they support customers."

This article was originally posted on silicon.com.

Talkback Most Recent of 7 Talkback(s)

  • Oracle should buy Apple...
    Just to put the straw that broke the Camel's back.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Giovanni_Cardona
    22nd Apr 2009
  • Except that Apple is bigger than Oracle
    Apple's market cap. is bigger than Oracle's market cap.: 108 billion vs. 96 billion.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    archerjoe
    23rd Apr 2009
  • What's Market Cap got to do with it?
    Market cap is a function of the total stock that can be traded in a stock exchange. A $10 Billion company can have a smaller market cap than a $10 Million company if the latter has all of it's shares trading on the market, while the former put say $1M worth of shares up for trade.

    The real benchmark is turnover/ profits/assets. I believe Oracle has more assets than Apple. Elison just chose not to put a huge part of the company up for trade in Oracle's IPO (and subsequently). Apple did. Doesn't mean anything.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Aw1234
    26th Apr 2009
  • Oracle should buy SCO
    If you're going to kick IBM in the teeth, why not join someone that is already doing it? Not only will Oracle own Sun, but Oracle will OWN UNIX. That bodes well for indemnification money . . .
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Roger Ramjet
    23rd Apr 2009
  • IBM didn't make a mistake
    This is probably a better move overall for IBM. They would have had to discard most of Sun due to the overlapping product lines.

    No only that, but being under the scrutiny of the FTC would have been enough to cut any profit made after the purchase of Sun.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    nucrash
    23rd Apr 2009
  • RE: Sun-Oracle FAQ: Did IBM make a big mistake?
    IBM screwed up heavily on this one. Just because many companies are currently undervalued doesn't mean you have to attempt low balling an acquisition.

    Alani Kuye
    Phantom Data Systems Inc.
    Norwalk CT
    ZDNet Gravatar
    astonct
    27th Apr 2009
  • RE: Sun-Oracle FAQ: Did IBM make a big mistake?
    I agree Oracle should buy SCO and should also buy Novell
    and end these Unix lawsuits as well as finally create a Unified
    Unix with IBM and HP.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    yeyeogun
    18th Apr 2010

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