As much as I dislike Apple for their pricing, business model and approach to almost everything they take on, they've got a good point here. Flash is an outdated, mediocre program that does crappy on mobile devices and costs a lot of money for what it is. Given the lockdown mentality apple has particularly with the ipod/ipad, I can see why they'd want to discard it in favor of something that's free and works better.
My not-fully-informed prediction: Adobe is on its way to being obsolete as the general public realizes that open source/open standard products perform the same way and don't cost them money. In the major battles in the open-source movement (OS, browser, etc) one very real reason proprietary systems haven't already been rendered obsolete in the home user base is that it costs time and effort to install and learn to use the open source product, while the preinstalled Windows/IE or MacOS/Safari doesn't appear to cost anything extra and is already a known entity. On the other hand, installing, maintaining and learning to use Adobe products cost the same time and effort that the open-source alternatives do, with the added kicker of a fairly high price tag.
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