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I don't see it.
CobraA1 14th Aug 2010
I'm not really sold on the idea of the technological singularity. Why? Because Moore's law is not really a law. It's an observation. One that is not guaranteed to hold true. There are various fundamental, foundational limits to the laws of physics as we know them. And frankly, silicon has been hitting walls - I'm not seeing the Moore's "law" like progress we experienced in the past. We hit a heat wall, tried to toss in a few cores, but ended up going nowhere. Devices are getting a bit smaller now, but not really getting more powerful.

I'm also not convinced we're anywhere near discovering some sort of strong AI. The AI people have been predicting a lot and producing very, very little. The progress just isn't there.

My computer today may have shiny new graphics, but it's just as stupid as the 486's we had. And I'm not seeing any news on AI at all. We are making, for all intents and purposes, no progress with AI.

Sorry, but just having vast amounts of processing power doesn't mean we know how to create AI, or mean that technology is gonna spiral "out of control" for some unknown reason.

Can we control our tech progress? Sure we can. None of our machinery, no matter how powerful, is running out of control, magically doing things we don't want it to do. All of our machines are still machines - doing exactly what we programmed them to do.

The idea that machines mysteriously become intelligent out of sheer processing power makes for great movies - but it is not a reality.

I don't see a singularity in my lifetime or in the lifetime of our children, sorry.
ie8 fix

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