XP on the way out as businesses adopt Windows 7 at record speed

XP on the way out as businesses adopt Windows 7 at record speed

Summary: Forrester says "The New Desktop Standard Is Emerging With Windows 7". According to the US-based research company's new report, Updated 2010: Windows 7 Commercial Adoption Outlook, the business use of Microsoft's Windows 7 has already grown from 1% to 10%.

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TOPICS: Tech Industry
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Forrester says "The New Desktop Standard Is Emerging With Windows 7". According to the US-based research company's new report, Updated 2010: Windows 7 Commercial Adoption Outlook, the business use of Microsoft's Windows 7 has already grown from 1% to 10%. Although Windows XP is still dominant, the report's summary says:

"IT managers worldwide are preparing for a significant desktop transformation over the next three years. Why? As firms naturally refresh their PCs, IT managers are already deploying Windows 7 on 31% of new PCs today, and within a year the number will increase to 83%."

According to Forrester, almost 90% of companies will migrate to Windows 7, and almost 50% will move next year.

The numbers are based on a survey of 774 PC decision-makers at both large and small businesses.

When Forrester surveyed the market last year (Q3 2009) for its report on Windows 7 Commercial Adoption Outlook, it said that "66% of the firms we surveyed expect to migrate to Windows 7 eventually, although most don't have firm plans yet. That leaves just 27% of organizations that haven't yet looked into Windows 7 thoroughly enough and 2% that are considering alternatives to Windows 7, namely Windows 8, Mac OS X, and Linux".

Markets usually divide into early adopters, mainstream adopters and late adopters. Clearly the mainstream is already moving, and it's a good bet that the late adopters will soon realise that the XP holdouts represent an unsustainable minority.

Microsoft's Rich Reynolds, general manager of Windows Commercial, told me last week that Windows 7's adoption was running at least twice as fast as XP's, and at least three times faster than Vista's. He also said he expected the rate to increase next year as companies complete pilot installations and application testing and start full roll-outs. He cited Boeing as an example: "it will do 7,200 this year: next year it will do 120,000".

Microsoft also released statistic for some other organisations. It said the city of Stockholm has already switched 36,699 desktops (more than 85%) to Windows 7, and is aiming to reach 44,000 by the end of 2011. General Motors has roughly 30,000 users on Windows 7, increasing to 80,000 by the end of 2011. Samsung has finished deploying Windows 7 on its desktops in South Korea -- the majority of its workforce -- but still has to update the ones overseas to reach a total of 1150,000. Continental Airlines, which was on Vista, started by deploying 4,000 Windows 7 desktops in June and is rolling it out to a total of 18,000.

Separately, Intel has said it is "implementing a program to rapidly deploy Microsoft Windows 7 across our large enterprise environment, in order to realize benefits such as increased user productivity and enterprise security". It says it has deployed Windows 7 on 30% of its 100,000 PCs in the past nine months with a 95% user satisfaction rating. It has published a paper: Best Practices for Migrating a Large Enterprise to Microsoft Windows 7 (PDF).

Intel estimated that by migrating to Windows 7, it would save $11 million over three years, mainly in support costs, while getting "measurable productivity gains" and "a marked performance improvement".

Microsoft's Rich Reynolds said that, based on studies of total cost of ownership [TCO] with Baker Tilly, BAA and other organisations, "on average they're saying they can save about $140 per PC per year in TCO" by moving to Windows 7.

On NetMarketShare's numbers, Windows 7 has 18.33% of the market, ahead of Vista (12.93%) but a long way behind Windows XP (58.92%). However, companies should find it relatively easy to flip Vista PCs to Windows 7, which would bump it up to 31%. If companies switch 1% of their PCs from XP to Windows 7 each month, Windows 7 could be the market leader by the end of next year.

There will clearly be some companies using XP for a very long time, just as some are still using Windows 2000 and even NT4. But for the majority, it's on the way out.

Topic: Tech Industry

Jack Schofield

About Jack Schofield

Jack Schofield spent the 1970s editing photography magazines before becoming editor of an early UK computer magazine, Practical Computing. In 1983, he started writing a weekly computer column for the Guardian, and joined the staff to launch the newspaper's weekly computer supplement in 1985. This section launched the Guardian’s first website and, in 2001, its first real blog. When the printed section was dropped after 25 years and a couple of reincarnations, he felt it was a time for a change....

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  • Let's hope the block screen of death issue is fixed permanently first...
    300118-5d60d
  • Microsoft investigated reports that its security updates made changes to permissions in the registry that resulted in system issues for some customers. The company found those reports to be inaccurate and our investigation showed that none of the updates were related to the behaviour described in the reports (the “Black Screen of Death”). While we were not contacted by the organisation that originally made these reports, we did proactively contact them with our findings. The company that started the claims of the issues posted a public apology to Microsoft: http://www.prevx.com/blog/141/Windows-Black-Screen-Root-Cause.html.
    Nick Morris
  • The point is not who caused the 'Black screen of death' rather that it can happen at all. The issue has been raised. The next step I look forward to is the analysis of how it can happen and why the operating system allows it. Followed by a fix from Microsoft that corrects this behaviour. It should simply not be possible for it to occur. How does a clean operating system, regularly patched and protected by up to date AV software and firewall, sitting behind a hardware firewall and never having been exposed to anything more sinister than BBC iPlayer develop this problem? Driver problems? How can this be? How can this suddenly develop after a few months of trouble free operation? The operating system should ensure that it is never possible for a software driver or other software issue to effectively lock a user out of their computer. Even a video driver failure should result in nothing more than a degradation to a default even if this is not optimal. In this case, users can be left with a black screen but with control over mouse, keyboard and screen pointer, suggesting that video drivers are not at fault. So let's see the investigation. I don't want to hear that Microsoft received an apology, nor do I want to hear that Microsoft determine that it's not windows update that is to blame. What I want to hear, the thing that would give me and, I'm sure, users worldwide, confidence is that Microsoft will investigate and replicate the issue and will then develop a hotfix to both correct it and ensure it can't happen in the future. Unfortunately, I'm not hearing this today. All I can find are suggestions to do a restore, start in safe mode and work forwards, turn off services etc. No good to me, I don't have time to do this investigation for you guys, and nor do thousands of corporate IT departments. I expect the OS to just work - the promise the Microsoft gave when it released Windows 7. An issue has been raised that affects usability of the OS. Please investigate it, keep the user community informed of progress and let us know what needs to be done when you find the cause and resolution.
    300118-5d60d
  • This is just one thing though and there are others too. Got Office 2010 64bit? Don't expect to be able to USB sync with Windows Mobile 6.5 then. Official response? "No plan to update mobile device centre to support Office 2010 64bit. Please reinstall Office 2010 using the 32bit version". Nice, thanks for that. Shame Microsoft didn't print that on an advisory before installation or as a warning during installation, no, I only found that one out once I'd installed, updated and then connected my mobile device, only to have all my mobile device contacts, tasks, calendar deleted for me. Was glad I had Win XP with Office 2003 (32bit) on a backup machine to restore from. NIL points Microsoft, NIL points.
    300118-5d60d
  • BTW. I sometimes use Ubuntu, but am not about to try to permanently jump ship from MS products. I'm a PC, not a MAC. I want to carry on using MS products - because in general they give me the functionalities I need and want. I believe it's not unreasonable to expect to have to pay people for their development work. But I also believe that by paying for something, it should be reasonable to expect the company I purchased from to make every effort in ensuring I get consistent quality and that issues raised are corrected in a timely manner.
    300118-5d60d
  • @300118, Good luck, but I wouldn't hold my breath. MS will tell you what you need, and don't need. They couldn't care less if you have problems. After all you signed the EULA, and assumed ALL responsibility for their software, so it is now your problem.
    ator1940
  • Now there are plenty opportunities for IT managers to move to Windows 7, no wonder they are taking advantage of programs like Zinstall XP7 (that allows all the company to move to Windows 7 instantly with no re-installs). I think this is the best time to migrate, since now the technology has developed enough to have fair solutions for these type of problems - which BTW, MS didn't bother providing.
    Peter Ch
  • do you know i have no trouble with windows xp at all but now i put a bigger hard drive in my computer and now i can not get they to to the ativation my legal install number at all i was hung up about 58 times and was told i would have to buy windows 7 (vista 2) but alot of apps and games will not install or says not a windows 32 bit grogram and microsoft and the game company says i have more then what it takes to run them so it is vista and windows 7 (vista 2) that is at fault not the hard ware or video cards or printers it is microsoft vista and windows 7 (vista 2) that is at fault these to windows are out in left field
    and that is what is wrong and no there is no fix or patch that can fix it they will have take it out of the stores and remake it so it will work if not then we are left with out any computers that will work right at all
    ttx19