First 2009 SOA predictions arrive; see fading of the hype

Dave Linthicum has beat everybody to the punch and issued his predictions for the year ahead in service oriented architecture.These are good predictions, my thoughts added:1.

Dave Linthicum has beat everybody to the punch and issued his predictions for the year ahead in service oriented architecture.

These are good predictions, my thoughts added:

1. The interest in cloud computing will drive many enterprises toward SOA.

Agreed. Cloud computing and software-as-a-service (SaaS) will make SOA real for many business users. In the same vein, user-driven, self-service functionality, such as mashups, will also put SOA more front and center to the business.

2. The explosion in PaaS (platform-as-a-service) will leave many enterprise architects and CIOs scratching their heads.

Agreed, with additional thoughts. PaaS-style offerings may take some of the technical headaches out of IT infrastructure, and make things a lot cheaper. Integration-as-a-Service will offer a compelling alternative for SOA efforts as well.

3. The economy will recover, but most enterprises out there will focus on cost reduction.

Agreed. But the focus on IT cost reduction has never let up since the 2001 downturn. This is where SOA can potentially pack a punch.

4. There will be a larger focus on inter-domain SOA technology, or highly scalable and secure middleware technology that will provide scalable service and information access between the instances of SOAs within the enterprise, and perhaps intercompany as well.

Agreed. Most companies now have islands of SOA; expect more efforts to bring it together.

5. Jig will be up for poor SOA governance solutions out there.

Hmm. There are too many spaghetti oriented architectures and JBOWS architectures out there -- in other words, enterprises with NO governance solutions. We're not likely to see a letting up on these, or a move to well-governed SOA projects en masse any time soon. We're still in the early stages of this continuum, giving vendors some time to get things right.

6. Most failed SOA projects will be traced to unqualified SOA architects.

Hmm. Good SOA architects are in short supply; the rest will continue to muddle along, learning by the seat of their pants.

7. SOA the buzzword will become a bit less relevant and will begin to morph with concepts, such as enterprise architecture and cloud computing.

Agreed. Vendors will start to move on to new things. Other possibilities: Enterprise 2.0, Event Driven Architecture.