iPhone - The bets are on!

BetUS.com has posted odds on a variety of scenarios for the iPhone.

BetUS.com has posted odds on a variety of scenarios for the iPhone.  I've added my thoughts and comments below each entry in italics.

  • Consumers are reported camping out waiting for an iPhone - 3/1 Almost a certainty.  I can even think of a few on the ZDNet crew who might have to get the sleeping bag out!
  • Initial iPhones get recalled - 30/1 I'd have placed this as nearer 200/1.  Any recall would surely shake investor confidence in Apple and short of iPhones going China Syndrome on people, I don't see a recall being likely.
  • iPhone sells at least 12 Million units in 2008 - 5/6 No way.
  • Apple’s stock jumps at least 10% in value in regards to the price on 6/30/07 - 1/2 Possible, but I'll be surprised if the peak isn't followed by some sort of correction.
  • Consumers pay at least three times the original price ($1500) on ebay - 2/1 Sure, there are plenty of suckers about.
  • The screen breaks/cracks like first generation nano - 150/1 I think that there will be stories of breakage, but these will be isolated cases or as a result to stress-testing.
  • There are mass reports of the battery life being less than the promised 8 hours -10/1 Likely ...
  • Someone is trampled while trying to get an iPhone - 20/1 Nah, Apple users are a gentle sort.  Well, as long as you don't say that Leopard looks like Vista ...
  • iPhone spontaneously combusts - 150/1 I hope not, for Apple's sake.
  • How many iPhones will Apple sell in the first month? Over 1.2 Million Units - 5/6 Under 1.2 Million Units - 5/6 My money would go on Apple selling about 1 million in the first month.

Note:  For the record, I don't own any Apple stocks and I don't plan on placing any bets.



You have been successfully signed up. To sign up for more newsletters or to manage your account, visit the Newsletter Subscription Center.
See All
See All