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Microsoft's Richard Sprague eats crow on iPhone

In a blog post in 18 January 2007 Microsoft's Richard Sprague wrote:So please mark this post and come back in two years to see the results of my prediction:  I predict they will not sell anywhere near the 10M Jobs predicts for 2008.  Okay, it's possible there are enough Apple religious people to buy a lot of them at first, but even the most diehard Mac fans who buy one of these will secretly carry two phones.

In a blog post in 18 January 2007 Microsoft's Richard Sprague wrote:

So please mark this post and come back in two years to see the results of my prediction:  I predict they will not sell anywhere near the 10M Jobs predicts for 2008.  Okay, it's possible there are enough Apple religious people to buy a lot of them at first, but even the most diehard Mac fans who buy one of these will secretly carry two phones.  One to prove how loyal and "cool" they are, and the other to actually make and receive calls.

(Emphasis mine) Then, in a hardly-concilliatory post today, he writes:

Most of the reaction is just simple gloating: "ha ha, you idiot" kind of stuff.  But I'm curious what people really think.  What did I get wrong?  Was it the technology--the phone itself is just far, far better than anything else?  Was it the marketing?  Was it something else?

Note: I'm not a Microsoft spokesman, and I'm not affiliated with the Windows Mobile team.  I'm just another guy who wants to to understand an interesting problem about technology and the future.  So please, let me know your thoughts.

Feel free to send Richard your thoughts, just keep it polite, ok?