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What will MS-DOJ mean to Mac?

Wall Street sees Judge Jackson ruling as a plus for the Mac OS, but any real effect may not be clear for months -- even years.
Written by Wendy Mattson, Contributor
U.S. District Court Judge Thomas Penfield Jackson's findings of fact in the Department of Justice's Microsoft antitrust trial are receiving copious coverage in print, TV and online venues. However, any effect on Apple, the Mac OS, and its users and developers may not be clear for months or even years.

In the lengthy findings published Friday, Judge Jackson concluded that Microsoft Corp. used its monopoly power in the computer industry to wipe out potential threats from competitors and that the company's tactics harmed consumers.

The findings include numerous references to Apple's and the Mac OS' roles as competitors to Microsoft and Windows. The document includes discussions of competition between QuickTime and Microsoft's own multimedia software, and a section entitled "Foreclosing Apple as a distribution channel for Navigator" sheds light on how Internet Explorer was selected two years ago as the default Web browser that continues to ship with the Mac OS.

Apple spokeswoman Rhona Hamilton said Monday the company has no comment at this time on the findings.

Wall Street, however, seems to be taking the news as auspicious for Apple and the Mac. Industry analyst Tim Bajarin of Campbell, Calif.-based Creative Strategies Inc. said the latest rise in Apple stock -- which closed Monday at an all-time high of 96 3/8 -- is due to what he called a "knee-jerk reaction among investors" to Jackson's findings.

"The assumption is that Apple will gain from Microsoft, and that's a fallacy," Bajarin said. While there is "no question Apple will sell more iMacs, that's because the company is doing the right thing, not because of any loss of Windows systems.

"The holidays will show the strongest hardware sales ever, with 92 percent of computer buyers choosing Windows systems," Bajarin said.


Regardless of Jackson's verdict, which is due next year, "it will be business as usual, with no change for at least six to 12 months," Bajarin said, adding that a final resolution in the Microsoft antitrust trial could take years.

Apple developers also weighed in with opinions on the Microsoft findings.

Jeff Martin, CEO of ReportMill Software Inc. in Cupertino, Calif., said, "The findings show that Netscape was truly trounced" in trying to compete against Microsoft's Internet Explorer Web browser.

With the facts unveiled in the findings, Martin said, "maybe venture capitalists will be more open now in their mind-set, and people won't be so afraid to buy Macs instead of Windows" machines.

Dan Wood, a senior consulting engineer at Oakland, Calif.-based Bear River Associates Inc., said it's "nice to see that the judge mentioned Apple's involvement and to see the Netscape news aired."

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