Apple's new iPhone could give September quarter pop

Apple's new iPhone could give September quarter pop

Summary: Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster estimated that Apple will sell 26 million to 28 million devices in its September quarter should its latest iPhone land 10 days before the end of the month.


Should Apple launch its fifth version of the iPhone in September the company is likely to sell 6 million to 10 million devices in the last 10 days of the month, according to an analyst.

Based on numerous news reports pointing to a September launch of the iPhone 5, Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster estimated that Apple will sell 26 million to 28 million devices in its September quarter. That projection is well ahead of current estimates, which account for slowing iPhone sales and roughly 22 million to 23 million units in the quarter.

Munster said:

While our model, along with most of the Street, assumes an October launch, we believe that a September launch could result in the final 10 days of the month generating 6-10 million iPhone 5 unit sales, which would likely shift out of December. We believe if iPhone 5 launches in September, Apple could sell 26-28 million units in the quarter (this takes into account iPhone sales slowing dramatically from September 12-20, which is announcement to availability). This would imply 8% upside to the Street's current $35 billion in revenue and 12% upside to EPS of $8.46.

For Apple, a September launch would allow it to top Wall Street estimates. In recent quarters, Apple fell short of projections even though it still has raked in tons of cash.

In the big picture, the iPhone 5 timing of units isn't that big of a deal---unless you hold Apple shares. Munster noted that he expects the iPhone 5 to be "the largest consumer electronics product upgrade in history."


Topics: Mobility, Apple, iPhone, Smartphones

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  • New iPhone "Could" give a sales pop?

    Ya think, Larry. Grin.
    • Samsung Youm phone renders iPhone5 old technology.

      Considering that Samsung will most likely unveil their flexible indestructible screen devices at the end of August (Samsung Youm). If iPhone5 has a rigid body, it will become archaic technology. One year will change the landscape even further, coupled with Apple's litigation strategy, it places Apple at risk of losing a lot of market share.

      I ask you all, would you like to have a foldable devices with a screen that never breaks? Or the same old iPhone with gimmicks. I'll take the foldable device.
  • Apple's new iPhone could give September quarter pop

    Not the brightest analyst is he? New product gets released, it sells. Analyst calls it a pop. More obvious things to be stated later.
    Loverock Davidson-
  • But For How Many Quarters?

    Previously Apple has been able to wring 3 good quarters out of each new Iphone introduction before the inevitable tail-off as customers wait for the next model. That kind of fell apart with the Iphone 4S, which only managed 2 good quarters before the sales decline set in.

    It seems pretty unlikely the next Iphone will be "magical" and "revolutionary" enough to stem this trend. Looks like Apple is becoming a seasonal seller.