My Ten Things List - A mashup of course :-) and in no particular order of importance. Some predictions and some observations.
1-In 2006, blogging and the blogosphere will be recognized for being one of the most important contributions to civilization period.
And Time magazine got it wrong in their pick of persons of the year--it should have been bloggers--not Bill G, Bono and Melinda. Props to them for giving away billions of dollars but, the blogosphere did way more good--if good is Time's measurement.
2-I learned that blogging is the most honest form of self-promotion bar none--because you have to walk the walk and talk the talk otherwise you will not get the clicks.
3-Yahoo Music is a fantastic product, I'm actually listening and discovering music again. But, what will it do to radio?
My favorite radio station was playing loud, annoying ads, it was giving me a headache. I went to the radio station web site, looked at their playlist and punched it into Yahoo Music.
Same thing sans ads. A bit disruptive don't you think?
4-There is no web 2.0, it is internet 2.0. Oh, and BTW, it is internet 0.2 anyway. We're barely out of diapers when you think about it.
5-The enterprise market will go away, mostly, eventually, and surprisingly quickly. The "new dotcoms" what I call new rules enterprises will eat their lunch, dinner, dessert, and their children.
6-The last mile problem is now an asset and the choke point. The telephone and cable companies will be the gatekeepers and they have the government on their side.
Plus, they will get more government help as legislation next year will work in their favor. The last stand of the disrupted industries will be on The Hill.
7-Journalists will become highly paid and highly sought after, at least the technology-enabled journalists, or what I call media engineers. Check my math: we have a plethora of software engineers and a scarcity of media engineers.
And now, it is all about technology-enabled media. Every company, to a degree, is a media company. It tells stories to itself, to its partners to its communities to its new hires. A company is both publisher and publication.
8-Google and Yahoo will launch 1000 new services in 2006, a redshift acceleration in their business models. It'll take the world years to catch up and figure out what to do with all the services.
9-Google will buy a wirless Telco and invest in wimax in a big way to punch through the gatekeepers of the last mile.
10-Technology will fade into the woodwork because we have so much of it, it's easier than ever to use, and it's not supposed to be about the technology anyway. Technology is an enabler.
Finally, the cart will be before the horse. No farting and dumping rump to look at, just gorgeous vistas of bright futures :-)