The Apple Core

Jason D. O'Grady & David Morgenstern

Wired casts Andy Rubin as a modern Bill Gates in The Android Explosion

By | April 18, 2011, 12:01am PDT

Summary: Fred Vogelstein wrote an article for Wired about the Android Explosion which details the scrappy startup’s rise to stardom and compares Andy Rubin to a modern-day Bill Gates.

Fred Vogelstein wrote a feature article for Wired called The Android Explosion: How Google’s Freewheeling Ecosytem Threatens the iPhone that’s worth reading.

But if you’re an iPhone zealot, be warned. The news may be a little hard to swallow.

Vogelstein details Android’s rise to fame after being acquired by Google in 2006. After a slow start, Android’s long-term plan began getting some traction in late 2010 and early 2011 when it eclipsed the iPhone in global market penetration.

According to the article the 2010 Worldwide smartphone OS landscape broke down as follows:

  1. 38% - Symbian
  2. 23% - Android
  3. 16% - iPhone

(IDC expects Android’s global market share to hit 39.5% in 2011 and to explode to 45.4% in 2015.)

The funny part is that Andy Rubin, the father of Android, took a page right out of Microsoft’s playbook. In fact Rubin is compared to Bill Gates in the piece:

Gates saw the PC not as a single machine to be fussed over and perfected—the way Apple did with the Macintosh and arguably does with the iPhone and iPad—but as a category of devices that needed a common software platform. Instead of writing a program for thousands of different machines, developers could write it once for Windows and have it run on every PC, no matter who built it. The potential for such wide distribution persuaded developers to spend more time writing software for Microsoft’s operating system than for Apple’s. Eventually, the winner-take-all laws of platform economics kicked in—Windows machines could run a rich selection of programs, so customers gravitated to them, which further encouraged developers to ignore other platforms.

Another anecdote explains how Verizon gave a young ad agency, McGarry Bowen, one week to come up with an ad campaign for the Droid. The company defty pitched the menacing and industrial design of the Droid as the anti-iPhone:

…in early October 2009, Verizon and its new agency presented the Droid campaign to a group of 200 Android staffers. One ad featured stealth bombers dropping phones on a farm, in the woods, and by the side of a road. Another attacked the iPhone as a “digitally clueless beauty pageant queen.” A third listed all the things the Droid could do that the iPhone couldn’t. When they were over, the room erupted in applause. The Android team had been demoralized, but “when they decided they were going to do this full-on attack on the iPhone—that we were going to war—we got really excited,” says an Android employee.

In the 80’s and 90’s it was Apple vs. Microsoft in the battle for the personal computer. In 2011 it’s Apple vs. Google in a battle for the smartphone — which is possibly an even more important battle as smartphones become our primary computers.

Great article. Highly recommend reading.

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Topics

Jason O'Grady is a journalist and author specializing in mobile technology. He has published six books on Apple and mobile gadgets and his PowerPage blog has been publishing for over 15 years.

Disclosure

Jason D. O'Grady

Jason D. O'Grady is the creator and editor of O'Grady's PowerPage, which has been publishing mobile technology news since 1995. He maintains an advertising relationship with the following legacy advertisers on the PowerPage:

  • Amazon Associates
  • Google Adsense
  • Tekserve
  • Advertising on the PowerPage is brokered by a third-party agency (BackBeat Media) and he recuses himself from these negotiations.

Biography

Jason D. O'Grady

Jason D. O'Grady developed an affinity for Apple computers after using the original Lisa, and this affinity turned into a bona-fide obsession when he got the original 128 KB Macintosh in 1984.

He started writing one of the first Web sites about Apple (O'Grady's PowerPage) in 1995 and is considered to be one of the fathers of blogging. He has been a frequent speaker at the Macworld Expo conference and a member of the conference faculty. He also co-founded the first dedicated PowerBook User Group (PPUG) in the United States.

After winning a major legal battle with Apple in 2006, he set the precedent that independent journalists are entitled to the same protections under the First Amendment as members of the mainstream media.

O'Grady is the author of The Nexus One Pocket Guide, The Droid Pocket Guide, The Google Phone Pocket Guide, and The Garmin nuvi Pocket Guide (Peachpit Press), the author of Corporations That Changed the World: Apple Inc. (Greenwood Press), and a contributor to The Mac Bible (Peachpit Press). In addition, he has contributed to numerous Mac publications over the years, including MacWEEK, Macworld, and MacPower (Japan).

When he's not writing about Apple for ZDNet at The Apple Core, he enjoys spending time with his family in New Jersey.

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RE: Wired casts Andy Rubin as a modern Bill Gates in The Android Explosion
birumut Updated - 17th Aug
Well done! Thank you very much for professional templates and community edition
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Nah he cloned the iPhone and twiddled
guihombre 18th Apr 2011
The success of Android isn't really his success either. The basic front end of Android is fugly, it's HTC, Ericcson et al that put their shine on it.

It was a poor version of the iPhone.

No the reason Android is such a success is because Google has a whole bunch of excellent services on top of it, and people bought those to the extent there are almost no 'free' Android handsets shipping. (The basic OS minus the premium Google apps).

Also that 'going to war' thing is not healthy. They can end up so focussed on a single competitor they lose focus on the profits.
@guihombre: also, Apple's AppStore is 6-7 times bigger seller than Android Market. So not only quantity, but also quality means.
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@guihombre

I just signed up with T-Mobile and got my wife an LG Optimus (for free) and myself a Nexus S ($99.00). They are both Android phones. While the Optimus' look and feel is OK (not fugly, like you suggest), the "Pure Android" Nexus S is stunningly beautiful and functional. No carrier modifications needed!

Nothing against you iPhone users but I just feel personally that I should be able to use my "computer" for more than just a tool to get me to buy additional products from Uncle Steve. I also feel that "I" should decide if I want to view flash video on my device.

Marketing is about taking an ordinary device/object, comparing it to an extraordinary device/object, and convincing sheeple that they are being "protected" from the extra features that they can get on the extraordinary devices/objects. (and at a higher price!)

It would be funny, if it weren't so effective!
@guihombre

Looks and aesthetics are valued based on personal preferences. I personally like the standard Android interface over any of the 3rd party facing that goes on from the manufacturers. And I prefer it over the iPhone as well. But that is my choice; you may choose what you like, it doesn't make either of us either right nor wrong.

I do agree that Google's add-ons are a draw to Android but I suspect up front costs are the bigger driver for it's adoption (I know people who have Android phones and don't have a clue about that; they just know it is a smart phone and it does what they need it to do; they initially bought it based on price and the look and feel appealed to them). Also, I think the fact that until recently, iPhone wasn't available anywhere but AT&T has a lot to do with Android's rate of adoption. Apple's exclusivity contract with AT&T gave Google and Android phone manufacturers the perfect opportunity to reach out to the other carriers with an alternative smart phone that worked better than WinMo and Palm at a time when smart phone buyers were hungry for innovation. Google and the manufacturers took that opportunity and capitalized on it in a massive way!

With Microsoft on hiatus while they rebooted their phone OS, Palm in their death throws and Apple locked away at AT&T, Android had a huge market place to reach out to. That's what I think got them to where they are today.

JMHO
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think of where iphone would be without droid
paulhknight Updated - 18th Apr 2011
iPhone 4 is just a magnificent piece of design - I say that as an apple computer user, but an android phone user. Its superiority is a typically apple response to competition. How great will iPhone 5 be? But the frustrating thing about Apple is more and more they simply aren't interested in the majority - I'd love the third world to have iPhones, but they are going to get androids - probably as their first computer. Being middle-class and first-world is pretty much apple's entry ticket, and not much sign they could care less?
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@paulhknight Why didnt you choose iPhone?
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I did chose it because its cheap
paulhknight Updated - 18th Apr 2011
@otaddy my phone plan is more than a third less than the cost of the nearest iPhone plan - also I use the hotspot functionality quite a lot. It was never an issue of it being 10% better or worse than iPhone, it was that it was 90% more capable than any other phone in my budget.
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Fair enough..
otaddy 18th Apr 2011
@paulhknight I think all of apples products are overpriced. But obviously, most disagree with me.

I use Android too, but unless they clean it up and improve it, I may have to move to iphone as WinPH7 isnt developing well at all.
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Cheap is good
Imrhien 18th Apr 2011
@paulhknight Price is also the main reason I don't choose Apple. And I'm fond of Linux because it really could be the gateway to computing for the third world. Android, of course, is based upon Linux happy
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@Imrhien For me apple computers have always been worth the (sometimes) quite high tax... When I first moved to osX compared to WindowsME the difference was stark, but the difference between Android and iPhone is not as great as that was. iOS is definitely more polished and thought through - Android has nagging inconsistencies, but I quite like the funky looseness of it: certainly doesn't feel like you are being bullied and condescended to the whole time, as it did with the early Windows OS (until they slowed down and went gluggy)
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Not to diss linux..
paulhknight Updated - 19th Apr 2011
@Imrhien That said, I agree its great to see a channel for mainstream consumer use of Linux, I mean what a success story!
April Fool was 18 days ago....
There's no stopping Android on smartphones...

We heard Verizon iPhone was going to change everything but instead the Thunderbolt is kicking its Ass!

Every Apple fanatic when asked
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Yeah I see lots of those phones
otaddy 18th Apr 2011
@Peter Perry And 4G just blows away any features that apple has in its current lineup. Once you start using LTE, you wont want to go back.


EDIT: oh, you finished your comment below. Well, whatever ;D
There's no stopping Android on smartphones...

We heard Verizon iPhone was going to change everything but instead the Thunderbolt is kicking its Ass!

Every Apple fanatic, when asked how iOS is better, simply say it is easier to use... When you ask Android Fans about their platform, there's a long list of advantages to the platform.
@Peter Perry
Well that's the reason you the consumer has the choice- you can go with Android, WIN7PH, iOS! You can even go back to time and still buy blackberry!

I had Android Samsung and it was a frustrating experience!! so I went back to Apple, where believe it or not things really do work better and my battery lasts way longer!
@Peter Perry
'Every Apple fanatic, when asked how iOS is better, simply say it is easier to use.'
Try "security". ALL other phones beat Haemorrhoid 2.2+ hands down. Especially iOS
Hilarious!
Bill Gates made his BILLIONS by SELLING his software.

Andy Rubin GIVES his software away. Let me know when he hits his first MILLION, assuming Larry is paying him that much.
@Stark_Industries "Let me know when he hits his first MILLION"

You are so right you've missed the point entirely. M$ has the 'patent' business model: they charge cash for everything they can, and fail to adequately support those that they cannot charge for - Google uses the 'advertising' business model - they give EVERYTHING away.

It takes longer to reach the first million revenue - but the profit rate is much higher and it keeps on coming.

They sneered at YouTube's losses; they ain't sneering now. Google's model is right for the fast-moving telecoms market, and will eclipse both M$ and Apple over time.

Google are patient; they aren't obsessed with the first million - they'll take their time and take all the other millions.
@Stark_Industries He's like Bill Gates in terms of Vision, not bank balance, lol
I agree with most of the comments...

the thing that seems to be missed is that little Billy spent his entire career in thievery, starting with dumpster diving for Unix source code and continuing with lies, theft and rackets that continue even today. At the other end he charged outrageous prices for software that was substandard at best and deliberately faulty at worst!

Open source can not be compared to that. Security holes are patched practically the moment they are found for free as opposed to Billy's love of hiding them for years and then forcing you to buy the latest bug fix that the crook laughingly calls a version.
@cadstarsucks

Wow, ignorance is truly bliss isn't it?
@cadstarsucks
Android isn't Open Source. Only for the phone manufacturers. And they're not going to do updates themselves for the OS.
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@seaniepie
@cadstarsucks
LoL, it amuses me how people just roll out their wallets every time M$ says here's a new 'version' of Office or whatever and people suddenly imagine they cannot live without the newly added bogus features that had never crossed their dull minds in the first place. Still, its their money, and Bill aint no fool. He'll take all he can get.
jason this is silly. palm, microsoft, nokia and RIM went through this years before apple and google were in the business.

android would be just another linux branch if it weren't a data-mining loss leader for the biggest advertising company in the world. its fat budget makes it prettier than usual, and its zero price and high 'customizability' (read: supplication to carriers) fit snugly in the existing user-unfriendly business models of the manufacturers and mobile providers.

in other words google basically said to the carriers and manufacturers: "we don't make our money on the equipment or the software. we make it invading your users' privacy." and the carriers and manufacturers said, "our users' privacy is our property to sell as we see fit." and a boom was born.
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It is so different,
Synthmeister Updated - 18th Apr 2011
I don't know where to start.
1. Mac never had the market share that iPhone has
2. Macs never had the retail distribution
3. Macs never had the peripherals
4. And Macs NEVER EVER had the developers/apps that the iPHone has. iPhone has the cream of the crop in apps and everything else too.
5. Macs never had the economies of scale that the iPhone has.
6. Macs were never bringing in 50% of the profits in PCs
7. In the SteveJ-less era, Apple probably had some of the worst management in the world. Now they have one of the best teams in the world.

The iPhone and Android are both feasting on the remains of dumb-phones, WinMO, Nokia and RIM. I doubt Apple could grow the iPhone any faster no matter what they did. iPhones are only one part of the platform, Google still has no answer for the iPod touch, the iPad or AppleTV.

Finally look at the app stores: Google app market had $102 million in revenue in 2010, which is quite pitiful considering the explosive growth in devices. Both RIM and Ovi stores had more revenue. Meanwhile, Apple's app store brought in $1.7 BILLION in 2010. Developers will continue to flock to the iUniverse. That was simply not the case with Macs.
Likening him to Gates is valid, but not in the clever way you put it. As a previous poster put it, Gates was a thief. So is Google. Read up on how Android became so iPhone-like. They stole it from Apple, just like Gates stole Windows. Both have resulted in crappy renditions of elegant ideas. Both, for different reasons, are succeeding. Both were a race to the bottom of the barrel and are succeeding at that as well.
Why do people get so entrenched in an Android vs iPhone war? Each has its own features that make it compelling for a user. Choice is good.
To quote Harry Truman:

"The only thing new in this world is the history that you don't know."

Human beings love to make the same mistakes over and over, It's the only that's made us such prolific breeders for the last million years.......
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If you count iPod Touches, which are wifi capable and run the same iOS and apps as iPhones and iPads together then iOS as a platform dominates Android by 56%.
Well done! Thank you very much for professional templates and community edition
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