Gartner says Vista to ship in 2007

Gartner says Vista to ship in 2007

Summary: Gartner is at it again, with a report that predicts Microsoft will miss its end-of-year ship date for Windows Vista. The teaser copy reads: Microsoft's track record is clear; it consistently misses target dates for major operating system releases.

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TOPICS: Windows
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Gartner is at it again, with a report that predicts Microsoft will miss its end-of-year ship date for Windows Vista. The teaser copy reads:

Microsoft's track record is clear; it consistently misses target dates for major operating system releases. We don't expect broad availability of Windows Vista until at least 2Q07, which is nine to 12 months after Beta 2.

I don’t feel like ponying up $195 to read the whole thing, so I’ll rely on this MSNBC report for additional details:

Microsoft Corp.'s long- awaited release of the upgrade to its flagship Windows operating system will likely be delayed again by at least three months, research group Gartner Inc. said Tuesday.

The research note, released to clients Monday, said the new Windows Vista operating system is too complex to be able to meet Microsoft's targeted November release for volume license customers and January launch for retail consumers.

A Microsoft spokeswoman said the company disagreed with the Gartner report and it was still on track to meet its launch dates.

I’ve lost count of the number of times Gartner has been off with similar predictions. This is the same company that called Windows XP “a minor service release for Windows 2000” and predicted that Microsoft would deliver an interim release of Windows (XP Reloaded) in the second half of 2005 (they weren’t the only ones to blow that call, of course). Gartner’s crack analysts, working hand in hand with Microsoft also were the first to report that Microsoft's enterprise server products would be released in late 2001 under the name Windows 2002. Oops. They got that right except for the name and the date.

Of course, it's hard to go wrong predicting a delay in any release of Microsoft software. But this one doesn't seem grounded in too many cold, hard facts. So let’s call this “prediction” by its real name: a WAG. Or maybe a SWAG.

Topic: Windows

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  • I'd say they were right calling XP a "minor service release"

    Though the use of the word "service" is a bit strange. It definitely was a minor release (NT 5.1 over 2000's NT 5.0).

    Other than that I agree with the rest of your posting.
    PB_z
  • Late is late...

    As can be seen here:

    http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/03/22/microsoft_vista_delayed/page2.html

    Here is a sample (with some major snippage):
    You read the schedule goes from this:
    > '... 2001, ... By the fall ... "2003 is the next major milestone for us in terms of the Windows release," said Gates.'

    To this:
    > "Microsoft has pushed back the consumer release of Windows Vista to January 2007"


    Is this good, bad? Damned if I know, or particularly care for that matter. But the product is late and Gartner said they've been late before and will again.
    Cardinal_Bill
  • Gartner is just one of the better known members

    of a crowd of selfserving, self-appointed experts. Whether they're right or wrong in their predictions/analysis hardly matters. The public has a short memory. Gartner makes bold statements that are widely quoted and this can't help but bring in more revenue from the sheep that can't figure anything out for themselves.
    If it weren't for Microsoft, I doubt Gartner, and others like them, would even exist. Liken them to lamprey eels that attach themselves to sharks to feed off them, i.e., just parasites, and should be thought of accordingly.
    mustangj36@...