Who will win the Windows 7 release date prediction pool?

Who will win the Windows 7 release date prediction pool?

Summary: With this week’s confirmation by Microsoft that it plans to release Windows 7 to manufacturing “in the second half of July,” it’s time to take another look at the entries in my Windows 7 release date prediction pool, which ran from April to September 2008. Out of all entries, only 11 TalkBack commenters hve a shot at claiming bragging rights. Who made the cut?

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With this week’s confirmation by Microsoft that it plans to release Windows 7 to manufacturing “in the second half of July,” it’s time to take another look at the entries in my Windows 7 release date prediction pool.

The rules were pretty clear: Enter the complete date – day, month, and year – when you believe Microsoft will officially announce the release to manufacturing of Windows 7. I opened the pool for entries on April 9, 2008, and the official window for predictions closed on September 15, 2008. As I wrote in a follow-up post, the crowd predicted September 30, 2009; that's impressively close to the actual on-sale date of October 22, 2009. Assuming Microsoft hits its stated RTM deadline, one of the following people gets to claim bragging rights:

I’ll take a bow for my initial analysis in the posts, which flagged July 29 as the RTM date and was based on a post I wrote at the beginning of 2008:

My prediction? I’m sticking with what I wrote back in January. Windows 7 will be released to manufacturing on July 29, 2009, exactly 1000 days after Vista’s November 2, 2006 RTM date.

As promised, I’ll send a signed copy of Windows 7 Inside Out to the commenter who nails the date (or gets closest without overshooting it).

Topics: Windows, Microsoft, Operating Systems, Software

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5 comments
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  • My prediction

    It will be August 1, because its my birthday, and
    unlike all previous Windows versions which i
    liked, i LOVE windows 7 :)
    vineeth_pulari
    • Sorry, contest is closed!

      Thanks for the entry, but the contest is over! (And if Microsoft fails to hit the July target, someone already has August 1.
      Ed Bott
  • RE: Who will win the Windows 7 release date prediction pool?

    July 23, 20009 :)
    shellcodes_coder
  • RE: Who will win the Windows 7 release date prediction pool?

    As I've Twittered for months and months, this has become one of the dumbest PR mistakes yet to NOT release Windows 7 on July 7 at 7:00 AM. The marketing spin potential is astronomical. It's marketing 101, but whatever, just another dumb Microsoft marketing decision.
    skatterbrainz
    • But it won't be ready yet

      The people on the Windows team are pretty disciplined with their schedules. If they say it's going to be ready inthe second half of July,that's because they need that much time to complete testing and other necessary processes. You really want them to skip a week or two of that so they can have a press conference at 7AM the day after a three-day holiday in the United States?

      Seriously, you're living up to your handle. ;)
      Ed Bott