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Microsoft's innovation disconnect

By | February 8, 2010, 9:55am PST

Summary: Microsoft’s has had great difficulty creating new businesses that replace Windows and Office from a revenue standpoint. This is largely due to internal organization that makes it very hard for Microsoft to bring to market the good ideas that Microsoft develops in-house.

A few weeks ago, a former Microsoft colleague posted a link on Facebook to an article by Ina Freid that discussed Microsoft’s recent reshuffle of its Mediaroom (formerly Microsoft IPTV), Media Center and Zune software divisions. I worked at Mediaroom / IPTV for around three years, and though the division doesn’t get the kind of press that the revenue-critical Windows and Office divisions get, based on how it frequently pops up at various technology events, Microsoft clearly considers it important. Mediaroom, along with Media Center and XBOX, form the core of Microsoft TV efforts, which if you believe the organizational principles layed out by Ray Ozzie at technology conferences, forms one of the “three screens” that underpin its cross-device efforts throughout the company.

In Fried’s article (which was derived from a post by Mary Jo Foley), it appeared that the move undid a previous reorganization that placed those three divisions into one group. I can understand the rationale for attempting to merge them together, organizationally-speaking. Microsoft’s overall approach to televised entertainment should be cohesive and interoperable, both with each other and with other nodes within the larger Microsoft product catalog. The reality, however, is that trying to merge those three divisions was probably like trying to splice a zebra, an elephant and a parrot. Had Microsoft wanted to make those products work consistently and seamlessly with one another, they needed to start much further back in their respective evolutions than 11 months ago.

Should it be that difficult to merge three product divisions that, in theory, are a part of the same broad product category within the same company? In two words, “hell” and “no.” Understanding why it is, in fact, so difficult relates to the peculiar way Microsoft organizes internally a company that has, as of June, 2009, 92,000 employees.

Back in the late 1990s, management books discussing the secrets of Microsoft’s management principles were somewhat common. Back then, Microsoft was the undisputed (albeit much resented) king of the computing world. Apple looked like it might go out of business (an event Microsoft tried to prevent with a $100 million invest), and Microsoft’s antitrust troubles really got rolling during that period (which largely explains its Apple investment). A core organizational principle was the cultivation of internal “mini-companies” that were supposed to compete with each other as intensely as outside companies competed with each other and Microsoft.

In theory, this “competition” would inject the kind of dynamism that is hard to achieve in a large company. Big companies have a difficult time achieving the vigor of smaller competitors. Über-blogger Robert Scoble once described working at Microsoft as like being an ant on the side of a very large anthill. Truth be told, the analogy would apply to any large company. You work on large teams where it is hard to be heard, but it is easier to “hide,” the benefits are comfortable, and if the company is really successful, money is never an object. Those realities aren’t conducive to cultivation of the intensity that drives smaller companies.

Mini-company organization helps when entering new markets early, as it facilitates experimentation in the various ways of achieving the same technology goal. New technology can always be implemented a hundred different ways. In early days, none is the obvious better option. If you have the money (and Microsoft clearly does and did), it can make sense to try multiple paths to see what works best. Often, multiple paths prove productive in their own way, resulting in a merged product that is better than if only one of the paths had been pursued. The Office team was a notable practitioner of this approach, starting various competing projects to attack the problems of document automation from different directions, only to merge them later into a common product.

This model may have worked fairly well in the past, at a time when Microsoft was involved in fewer market segments and it had the guiding hand of a powerful founder to beat warring interests into line behind a common goal. However, that founder has moved on to much more important work, and Microsoft is now involved in far more products than when Gates had his hand on the keel.

To understand the importance of a single person with both good ideas and the power to force people to implement them, think Steve Jobs. Apple wasn’t the same company when he wasn’t around. Clearly, Steve Jobs has more good ideas than most people have in several lifetimes. Besides founding Apple, one of his side projects was Pixar, a company that redefined the meaning of animated entertainment. Bringing him back was critical to Apple’s success, in my opinion, because Apple wasn’t going to find someone easily with the good ideas and natural power of a Steve Jobs. Founders of successful companies have already demonstrated their vision (otherwise their company wouldn’t be a success), and as founder, they have power of a sort that is very difficult to duplicate.

But, strictly speaking, the visionary doesn’t have to be a founder. Microsoft’s recent success with revamping its Windows product line with the well-received release of Windows 7 owes a huge debt to Julie Larson-Greene and the person who recognized her insight, Steven Sinofsky. Sinofsky gave her the power to impose a new UI on Office (resulting in the “ribbon” UI concept inaugurated with Office 2007), and when he moved on to a position in charge of the Windows team, he made sure she had the power to work her same magic there. Ms. Larson-Green had the ability to force disparate teams to hew close to a centrally-controlled user interface concept. Granted, Windows 7 isn’t merely a UI update, and if you listen to Mark Russinovich, the stuff under the covers was rather important to making the UI more responsive. Making the UI of central importance, however, helps to guide the kind of improvements upon which Microsoft’s “internals” experts focused. Giving someone with good ideas the power to implement them was critical to its success.

As a company grows, the presence of someone with both vision and power grows in importance. Big companies are, in many ways, like political constituencies in a country. Each group has its own interests, and each works hard to attract as much revenue as possible from the center. Combine that with the fact that big, well-funded companies are particularly attractive to people who like to be in charge, and meetings can end up every bit as fractious as the floor of the US Congress.

At software companies, code ownership is a critical component of power. In the absence of a guiding hand to ensure that development follows a path directly beneficial to the corporate whole, this has a tendency to create huge duplication of effort. I know of at least three Digital Video Recorder (DVR) implementations within Microsoft (I’m certain there are more), which to my mind is a direct outgrowth of a desire to OWN and CONTROL code. The longer teams are allowed to “compete” as mini-companies without any central vision imposed upon them, the more incompatible their creations become.

In fact, incompatibilities can actually end up being WORSE in a company organized around mini-companies. Outside companies, paradoxically enough, have some incentive to make things compatible with competitors (unless they are overwhelmingly dominant) if for no other reason than they are likely to operate in environments where products from different vendors must coexist. “Mini-companies” within a larger corporation are safely plugged into corporate revenue streams, and their interests align with minimizing opportunities for competing divisions to attract mindshare by leveraging parts of their infrastructure. Politics in big companies is often zero-sum.

This, in a nutshell, explains why Microsoft might have run into a few walls as it tried to make Media Center, Mediaroom and the Zune software platform (that latter of which, based on the XBOX team’s past behavior, is least likely to be consistent with other technology at the company) seamlessly consistent. Microsoft was trying to impose consistency far too late in the development process to think that it would be achieved in a mere 11 months. Microsoft needed someone with the power to impose a TV-oriented vision across its various television-related divisions five or six years ago (at least).

The past 10 years clearly shows that Microsoft has a disconnect between good ideas and implementation. Microsoft was in the mobile phone space years before any of its software company competitors, yet Windows Mobile is widely perceived as an also-ran to much more interesting and dynamic iPhone and Android (though as I noted previously, I don’t consider the situation unsalvageable). It was pushing the eReader concept back in 2000, but it was Amazon who brought it to life. Gates was pushing the Tablet concept years ago, and for whatever reason, they weren’t able to make it simple enough (or cheap enough) for the general public to embrace (we’ll see if Apple does any better). At Mediaroom, I ran across lots of very forward-looking technology that never saw the light of day for reasons that had more to do with politics than software design.

I think Microsoft’s isn’t doing a good enough job of imposing a sensible vision across product categories (as a general principle which has lots of exceptions; it clearly doesn’t explain Windows Mobile’s problems). That, I think, is the result of either not identifying (or misidentifying) the people with good ideas, and / or failing to give them power early on.

I don’t have a ready-made solution to the problem. Microsoft has, however, solved it in the aging divisions that are critical to the survival of the company - Windows and Office. They need to do something similar in their newer product lines. Windows and Office concentrate executive minds in ways other divisions don’t. Perhaps that is the reason other divisions haven’t grown into the sources of alternate revenue Microsoft had hoped they would become.

Am I saying that Microsoft should become Apple? Definitely not. I think XBOX has cloned too much of the Apple business model, and jettisoned too much of the core identity that makes a Microsoft product a Microsoft product. Control should be looser than it is at Apple, but that doesn’t mean Somalia is a vision of Capitalist perfection (just to make a weird analogy). Recognizing the power of visionaries doesn’t require an Apple-style top-down control any more than Capitalism requires the absence of government.

It’s a balancing act. Apple has gone too far down the path of centralized control, which works for an initial product bang but has problems as the market matures and includes new competitors (in my opinion…but that’s a debate for another day). Microsoft, I think, has moved too far away from centralized control, at least internally. Historically, that wasn’t how Microsoft was organized, and the central vision imposed by its founder imposed order on his fractious corporate citizens. That central influence is replaceable, I believe, provided Microsoft manages to find more of the kind of people who turned around the Windows and Office flagships.

Granted, that’s not as easy to do as relying on the proven skills of a founder, but is achievable…as Microsoft has demonstrated in its success with Windows 7.

Footnote: After I wrote this article, Dick Brass, a person who had a lot more power at Microsoft than I ever did, wrote an op-ed for the New York Times that appeared last Thursday. It’s well worth a read, and offers more specifics than I’m willing to give.

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John Carroll has delivered his opinion on ZDNet since the last millennium. Since May 2008, he is no longer a Microsoft employee. He is currently working at a unified messaging-related startup.

Disclosure

John Carroll

http://blogs.zdnet.com/carroll/?p=1412

Biography

John Carroll

John Carroll has programmed in a wide variety of computing domains, including servers, client PCs, mobile phones and even mainframes. His current specialties are C#, .NET, Java, WIN32/COM and C++, and he has applied those skills in everything from distributed web-based systems to embedded devices. In his spare time, he enjoys the world of digital video, and served as director of photography and editor on a feature-length film produced in Limerick, Ireland, as well as a low-budget production filmed in Los Angeles that used Panavision digital cameras (the same ones used by George Lucas in the later Star Wars episodes).

John worked in Microsoft's Mediaroom division from May, 2005 to May, 2008. He is co-founder of ForgetMeNot Software, a creator of unified messaging software targeted at telecommunications providers, where he currently works as Director of Technology.

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RE: Microsoft's innovation disconnect
wh836 Updated - 16th Feb 2010
So you think, and it's hardly ground breaking, that Microsoft has too little central control even though you also think Apple has too much. No sensible commentator would disagree with the first half of this sentence.

Yet there is more. It is not just a failure at Microsoft. Pretty much everyone has failed against Apple from Sony to Dell to Motorola etc. Why?

Again it is obvious, but it clearly needs restating. Steve Jobs has demonstrated the crucial role aesthetics and design play in public appeal. In essence he is not geek- he is a designer. Microsoft, Google, Motorola and many other technology firms desperately need to shed their geeky cultures - think Ferrari vs Star Trek. Technology is a tool, not an end in itself.

Forget you worries over closed eco-systems and top down management styles. These arguments have their place, but they are secondary to the essential problem. Designers, not Nerds, will rule the 21st Century.

http://www.willyhoops.com/microsoft_vs_apple_history.htm
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M$ CAN innovate -
Ron Bergundy 8th Feb 2010
they found innovateive ways of raping the customers for more money!!
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We're tired of you, Loverock Davidson.
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
or is it Donovan Colbert?
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LOOK EVERYONE!!!*!!! HE MENTIONS ME!!!
Loverock Davidson 8th Feb 2010
3 times in one day this guy mentions me! I never would have believed it if I didn't see it for myself, but 3 TIMES HE MENTIONS ME! Much like the Sheetz commercials, I'm feeling the love happy
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if M$ want real innovation
Linux Geek 8th Feb 2010
they have to start by GPLeding their code.
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Yes...
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...the magic GPL makes everything work so well (and makes people LOTS and LOTS of money).

But you weren't making a serious comment.
It is good from M$ to spare us from going in to read through their code and see all the things they have been doing wrong.

They are being wise in hiding their lack of love for quiet elegance and their inability to write something without wasting huge amounts of resources. Inexperienced programmers might try to do things their way and that would be tragic.
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So says the billionaire...
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...which you are, of course.

Rather useless comments so far. Then again, I haven't blogged in awhile.
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So what made you change your mind?
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
You were doing so well, why the urge to blog again?
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I wrote: "... without wasting huge amounts of resources."

See? I care about careful use of resources.

You are a joke!
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You tell him, Mentalist!!!!!
Ron Bergundy Updated - 8th Feb 2010
People like us are so alike! we see the truth and know the world would be so better if Windoze was never invented!!

To bad there aren't more people who think like us, who can spread the word of Linux and put these Losers in their place!!!

Have at him Mentalist, I'm right beside you for the cause!!
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You are Loverock Davidson, or Donovan Colbert to be exact.
The Mentalist Updated - 8th Feb 2010
And don't use the word 'we' unless it is to put us in opposite camps.
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You insult me!
Ron Bergundy 8th Feb 2010
I'm NOT Loverock Davidson, or Donovan Colbert, I just like what it is you have to say - you have a hatred for anything M$ like I do, and you see the world as I see it, where Windoze and it's pathetic users are just here for our amusement, to be laughed at because they are too stupid to use something like Linux.

whats wrong with that???
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You're pathetic.
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
And you are in no way related to Linux.
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Better make that 4 times now
Loverock Davidson 8th Feb 2010
That's right everyone, its 4 times now that he has mentioned me in various posts. I think I got a stalker on my hands, but I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and pretend he's not stalking me just yet.
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Great article
timiteh 8th Feb 2010
This article is quite interesting ,as usual.
It is really too bad that there were not more people like Steven Sinofsky as he is really the kind of leader Microsoft needs.
I often think that perhaps he should also handle the Windows Mobile division ,as thanks to his methodology(especially in term of planning) and the contributions of Julie Larson-Greene, this O.S could undergo a needed reveolution or at least significant evolution.
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Not quite
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
I found the article very boring and stopped reading on the second paragraph.

Also, I disagree with you too. I think that microsoft needs more people like Ballmer, not like Sinofsky.
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Sure
timiteh 8th Feb 2010
For someone like you who hate that much Microsoft, the opposite would be surprising !
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Ho so?
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And yet...
msalzberg 8th Feb 2010
despite proudly not actually reading the article, you feel qualified to
comment on it.
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Who's commenting on it?
The Mentalist Updated - 8th Feb 2010
Not me.

P.S. I just checked and you are not commenting the article either. Did you manage to read past the second paragraph? I bet you couldn't.
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Your wish may yet come true
de-void-21165590650301806002836337787023 8th Feb 2010
Rumors are flying that Sinofsky will soon absorb the Windows Mobile team:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/01/24/microsoft_windows_mobile_sinofsky/print.html

Whether this comes true or not, we'll have to wait and see. However, all MS watchers should note how many of the "old guard" Microsoft has jettisoned in the last 3 years. Most of those responsible for the decisions that led to Vista's issues (technical and perception) are gone.

Sinofsky is building a really solid team who are lazer-focussed on building products that delight customers. If his magic can be applied to WinMo/WinCE teams too, then we could be in for a rather more pleasant future for WinMo et al.

I completely agree with John's thoughts here too - MS has not made enough of the right decisions about how to carve up responsibility for the technologies, products and features that the company ships until things really started changing a couple of years ago.

They're not done yet, but there are some important and very sensible changes going on internally now that will set the company up to be able to meet (possibly even exceed) market expectations in the coming years.

Make no mistake though - this is NOT an easy company to steer - there are A LOT of hugely talented, opinionated, smart and driven individuals in the company. Sometimes that's a hindrance because the politics gets insane, but if channeled correctly ... boy, there's some horsepower under the hood!
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Welcome back, John
rapson 8th Feb 2010
I see you've already run into the current generation of blog trolls, who think volume of posts and multiple pseudonyms replace actual discussion. The more things change...

Well-written article, as always. Good to have you back.

Carl Rapson
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Aaah... tchoo.   Sorry!
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
It's that I'm allergic to bullshit.
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I second...
msalzberg 8th Feb 2010
Carl's statement. Welcome back.
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Why?
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
What exactly makes you say that? Did you really read the article?
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Why does John bother you so much?
rapson 8th Feb 2010
You admitted that you couldn't read past the second paragraph, but you feel it necessary to criticize John for returning to blogging. Why?

Carl Rapson
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Because John's analysis is too immature
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
If you managed to read past the second paragraph failing to notice that then something's wrong with your judgment.
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Because The Mentalist is a moron
markbn Updated - 8th Feb 2010
who lives in his Mom's basement

That's why
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Dancing around the real issue
Economister Updated - 8th Feb 2010
Your blog was interesting and lists a litany of issues that essentially without fail point in one direction - the corner office and the board. You seem extremely reluctant to point out the blatantly obvious - that Ballmer is not doing an adequate job. He has been at MS since day one and in charge for the last decade or so. If MS still has the kind of problems you outline (which they obviously do), then the solution is rather obvious. Either Ballmer must go OR (if there is no suitable replacement) MS must be reorganized and broken up.

I am not sure it makes a lot of sense any longer to try to completely control the entire SW stack for server, desktop and mobile when MS does not control the HW. There are too many nimble competitors attacking MS from all sides. It will become harder and harder to make money on SW. Apple makes its money on the HW while Google makes its money from advertising. Their SW is just a vehicle to strengthen their primary revenue streams. In addition, the Windows/Office hegemony, while still very profitable, makes it virtually impossible for MS to be radically creative. Most radical and visionary paths will in some way or another potentially threaten the Windows/Office cash cows. As long as that remains the case, MS will be unable/unwilling to be really creative.

If MS split itself onto more sensible entities, I believe the stockholders may finally start to see their investments increase in value. By the time the corporate raiders smell blood, it may be too late.
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The whole software stack
John Carroll Updated - 8th Feb 2010
Granted, I agree...there is less opportunity to control the software stack from top to bottom. The market is so big now that there will ALWAYS be a viable alternative, particularly in something as personally identifiable as phones. I just don't see Apple acquiring a 90% market share any more than I can see Porsche acquiring a 90% share, either (or GM, or Toyota, or Honda, or).

On the other hand, the only way you learn the needs of disparate devices is by operating in all those markets. For instance, Sun had a heck of a time making a play in the desktop space because they were, at core, a server company. That's a hindrance to success, IMO, because they lack inputs that make it easier to implement a decent desktop strategy.

Microsoft's presence in so many markets can be useful if they have someone with a clear sense of what in the heck they plan on doing in all those markets (and how they will interoperate).

If they don't have that clarity, then you are right...Microsoft should break itself up. They aren't leveraging the knowledge advantages which come from operating in multiple markets, and paying a huge price in terms of politics and internal warfare.

That is an IF, though, not something I think must happen. I still see value in Microsoft being a large company that serves huge numbers of markets.
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Yup
Economister 8th Feb 2010
Your third paragraph nails it. Unfortunately, so far, your tiny little "if" (no condescension implied) has turned out to be a huge, capitalized billboard "IF". I guess that was my point. It is partly Ballmer and partly the Windows/Office "trap". So far, they do not seem to have found a good strategy for the transition to the future of IT.
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Economister = The Mentalist
markbn Updated - 8th Feb 2010
Both are the same person who has personality
disorder
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"I am not sure it makes a lot of sense any longer
to try to completely control the entire SW stack
for server, desktop and mobile when MS does not
control the HW."

There must be something to it since this is
exactly the path Google it taking: Apps, Mail,
Search, Browser, OS, Phone, all driven by Google
servers.
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A show of hands...
Axsimulate 8th Feb 2010
How many people hate the "Ribbon" in Office 2007?

I'll start, I do!
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I will hate it if it ever come to Linux
Linux Geek 8th Feb 2010
No need for for M$ clutter here.
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The question is...
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...not whether you hate it, but whether most people hate it. Clearly, that's not the case, and Office 2007's success shows it.

There is always someone who hates a new UI concept. Personally, I HATE menus (which is, consequently, why I'm not fan of the Mac desktop experience).
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@John Carroll
Axsimulate Updated - 8th Feb 2010
"...not whether you hate it, but whether most people hate it. Clearly, that's not the case, and Office 2007's success shows it."

Hence, the reason I'm asking the question.

I'm not convinced that Office 2007's success is just because people like it. I think it's more to do with Microsoft's Software Assurance program. I know some companies that upgraded just so that they didn't waste the money they already put in the program and no other reason.

Isn't that Business 101, Screw the customer and make look like they got a good deal?
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Regarding Office 2007
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
Lots of people still use Office 2003 and down, including big companies. In fact, I still have to regularly send my docx files as doc files, just because it is still so common to find older versions of Office in the market.

What Office 2007 managed to do is get a suprising number of people to upgrade. GIven the critical role Office plays in many companies, most won't do that just because it is "free" (as in paid for as part of a volume contract). They do it because there is value in doing so, particularly given that products like 2003 had a ridiculous number of features (so many that it needed a UI redesign, IMO).

Microsoft's biggest competitor is Microsoft in the Office space. The fact that they managed to compete so well with old versions of Office led to a revenue bump, and that is a success.

Software assurance is not the force for guaranteed upgrades it once was.
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@John Carroll
Axsimulate Updated - 9th Feb 2010
"What Office 2007 managed to do is get a suprising number of people to upgrade."

Surprising? hardly. The company I work at did just as I said, they upgraded so they didn't loose the money they already put into Software Assurance many years ago. Most users hardly even use 10-20% of features built into 2003 much less what was added to 2007. You say Microsoft is not a bad today as they were, but remember Office 2007 is three years old already and many put their money into Software Assurance before that, somewhere as long as 6 years ago. When it comes to software and hardware, 6 years is a long time.
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Giving more power to designers
P. Douglas 8th Feb 2010
I think MS in general should give a whole lot more power to designers. Designers tend to have a more holistic view of a product from the perspective of users. Therefore a product design manager could look at competing internal products, and decide how the final synthesized product should look and act; then a product manager could decide the internal components that are used to create the product. Generally the product manager would follow the lead of the product design manager regarding the look, features, and behavior of the product - from the perspective the user. After that, the product mangier would be free to do whatever he judges is correct regarding the implementation of the product. Maybe someone above them should broker disagreements or issues between the two.

So MS could possibly continue to have internal competition; then a team of two guys (a product design manager and a product manager) could review the work that was done, and the product design manager could take the lead in how the final product is shaped and designed.

I imagine a number of people at MS may not like this, but the computer market is changing, and consumers are demanding great user experiences from their products, and designers are the ones who can lead this effort. The most vital and much larger share of the work will still be done by programmers, and I suspect things will remain that way for a long, long time.
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I agree
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
Design is vastly more important today than it was 20 years ago. Design was critical to salvaging Windows from the wall that was hit with Vista.

On the other hand, when I look at how different teams compete from a simple technology standpoint, I see unnecessary wall-building against OTHER teams within the same company (I'm talking protocol-level stuff, competing signaling technologies, competing DRM, competing web browsers, etc). That speaks to an ideas person who believes in a consistent and integrated television strategy who has the power to walk into any team and force them to hew a consistent company line.

Finding someone with ideas that are good enough that you would feel comfortable giving them that power is hard. But, if Microsoft doesn't find it soon, I fully expect that television will be the next place Microsoft had an early lead, only to be gazumped when another company less riven by internal conflict had clarity of vision and brought a concept-changing product to market.

Internal teams will always compete, but never mistake it for the kind of competition that exists between companies. It has to be controlled in a way the outside sort does not.
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I agree as well
P. Douglas 8th Feb 2010
The idea is to have a top designer and a top product manager presiding over each competition; then these guys would decide how to shape the technolgies which were developed, into a final product.

By the way, great to see you back with this guest post!
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My blog is actually back in action
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...I'm just not going to post nowhere near as often as before, as I'm stupid busy these days. I'm aiming for once a week, which I think is achievable.

I have missed writing.
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Great!
P. Douglas 8th Feb 2010
I'll look out for your blogs.
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Windows Mobile is unsalvageable
gjafg Updated - 8th Feb 2010
Windows Mobile is going to fail in the market.

There is already a huge momentum against it. Handset OEMs and software developers have abandoned Windows Mobile. Because they tried it once, got their fingers burned, and left, they are not going to automatically come back when WinMo7 is released. They're going to wait-and-see.

Added to this, Microsoft will alienate its business users by scrapping the existing NetCF programming environment, forcing all apps to be rewritten in Silverlight. Microsoft could have made such a transition 5 years ago. But not now. The heat from the competition of other platforms is too intense. Android and iPhone are very established, with positive momentum.

For Microsoft to dislodge Android and iPhone now, would take an extraordinary and revolutionary product (like the original iPhone was). Microsoft just can't do that.

Microsoft will attempt to keep Windows Mobile 6.5 / 6.6 on the market at the same time as WM7, but this will be impossible, as its own shrinking market share will finish it off.
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Not arguing that its easy
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
Granted, this isn't the position Microsoft was in the 80s and early 90s. Microsoft is the one with smaller market share, and the app count advantage certainly goes to Apple (less so Google, at least not yet).

However, Microsoft's advantage are the legions of .NET programmers who would find it interesting to write for a .NET phone worth writing for (I really see no point in writing C++ apps for a Windows device, so WIN32 skills matter less to me). They have an "in," in other words, matched by world class development tools.

Granted, it's not the kind of "in" Apple had (they just had spectacular design, which was enough to get people to look past their less than exemplary developer technology). It is, however, an in...

...and in my opinion, we are at an inflection point in mobile phone technology. No platform can be considered overwhelmingly dominant yet. RIM is ahead of Apple, marketshare-wise, and is, suprisingly enough, making serious inroads in developing markets. RIM has the global presence that Apple doesn't have...yet. Symbian isn't quite dead yet (half the smartphone market is nothing to sneeze at, and is ahead of EVERYBODY...though Symbian is fragmented as all hell). Combine that with Google (growing fast) and to a much lesser extent, Palm, and you have an extremely fragmented market.

Microsoft has to have a great phone, don't get me wrong, that attracts buyers looking for something personally identifiable (as phones are). But, I think they could quickly bridge the application gap with Apple, particularly if they work hard to make sure their disparate product library works well with a Windows phone. In that regard, they have to be an example, something they've been very bad at for the past decade.

That would invovle an honest-to-god, cross-division and cross-device strategy that tried to do something useful with the fact that Microsoft makes so many different kinds of softare, something they haven't done very well thus far. But I think it is highly achievable.

Whether it is or isn't achieved comes down to finding the right person (or persons) with correct vision and power.
Microsoft has plenty of ideas, however, they seem to fail to take those ideas and make them into products. Why?

That's because the ideas that get picked to become products need to be sponsored by someone high enough up inside M$ or they will not be able to push through the support they need. That's the way M$ works, if it were any different then it would not be M$.

I think there are many good ideas at Microsoft but there aren't enough visionaries in management to support them, so, most of them end up going nowhere... until someone else (think Apple, Google) picks the idea and turns it into a product, of course.

Edit: I'm making a distinction between M$ and Microsoft, to me those are two different entities.
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Looks like you...
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...should have read the rest of my article, as you just restated exactly what I said there.

I think there are stacks of visionaries at Microsoft. The thing they haven't figure out is how to a) identify them, and b) give them power, which is harder to do in a company with 92,000 employees.
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Size is not the problem, attitude is.
The Mentalist 8th Feb 2010
Their dog eat dog culture worked well in killing off their old competition but today it is nothing but an anachronism.

M$ current rivals are largely immune to the aggressive tactics M$ developed in the past. Today the biggest victim is M$ itself as their culture is destroying M$ from the inside.
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And Apple...
John Carroll 8th Feb 2010
...doesn't want to utterly and completely destroy Google, at least in the phone space.

Good companies are aggressive. What makes good companies innovative, however, comes down to internal organization and how they identify the people with the ideas that attract customers and make them stacks of cash.
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RE: Microsoft's innovation disconnect
wh836 Updated - 16th Feb 2010
So you think, and it's hardly ground breaking, that Microsoft has too little central control even though you also think Apple has too much. No sensible commentator would disagree with the first half of this sentence.

Yet there is more. It is not just a failure at Microsoft. Pretty much everyone has failed against Apple from Sony to Dell to Motorola etc. Why?

Again it is obvious, but it clearly needs restating. Steve Jobs has demonstrated the crucial role aesthetics and design play in public appeal. In essence he is not geek- he is a designer. Microsoft, Google, Motorola and many other technology firms desperately need to shed their geeky cultures - think Ferrari vs Star Trek. Technology is a tool, not an end in itself.

Forget you worries over closed eco-systems and top down management styles. These arguments have their place, but they are secondary to the essential problem. Designers, not Nerds, will rule the 21st Century.

http://www.willyhoops.com/microsoft_vs_apple_history.htm

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