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Crowdsourcing to predict the future of computing

By | December 15, 2011, 5:48am PST

Summary: An experiment in predicting the future using crowdsourcing has predicted advances in technology, wireless, cloud intelligence, artificial intelligence and the mutation of super viruses.

When do you think that cars that drive themself will be the norm, or that you will be able to have a continuous wireless connection to the Internet through your brain?

When will computer viruses spontaneously evolve? When will we be able to use some form of ‘Universal Translation tool’ to communicate with your peers across the globe each speaking in your own language?

The New York Times imagines that the ‘future’ will actually begin in 2020, and has been running a crowdsourcing experiment. Science Times has been running an experiment, asking its readers to predict when events will occur.

Computer romance

Readers have predicted advances in technology, wireless, cloud intelligence, artificial intelligence and the spread of super viruses. We’ll find romance on the Internet, as will computers.

Voice recognition will become ubiquitous across devices. Voice recognition was a wild prediction in 2006, but now with Siri, asking questions of a device is now accessible to everyone with an iPhone.

Enterprise voice is a feature that has already been offered for several years by software vendors. Our universal phone number will ensure that we are accessible on every one of our devices, wherever we are.

Augmented reality will become more prevalent as users interact with 3D objects. Microsoft’s Holodesk system has a simulated see through display where you can interact with 3D shapes. ‘Minority Report’ touch surfaces will become common throughout our homes and places of work.

Wearable IT

We will have devices physically implanted in our bodies. These implants will make our lives easier removing the need for wallets, credit cards and other identity devices. We will be able to replace diseased parts of ourselves and regenerate our bodies. Technology automation will also play a big part in our lives. We will wear smart clothing and carry biodegradable devices.

But it looks like, even with this predicted utopia, we will still have to go to our place of work. Whilst there are plenty of predictions about the paperless office, crowdsourced predictions are also interesting for what they don’t include.

The predictions indicate that we will still be working in physical office buildings. We will still commute, we will continue to use devices to channel our productivity, and we’ll still be saving documents to cloud based or local storage locations.

I wonder whether by then it will actually feel like data is beginning to take on a life of its own and machines are becoming sentient.

Or is the machine already using us?

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Topics

Eileen Brown is a social business consultant who has been working with collaborative technologies for 20 years.

Disclosure

Eileen Brown

Eileen Brown is an independent consultant who works for Amastra. Her opinions are her own. She worked at Microsoft from 2001 to 2009. She has no other affiliation to any of the companies that she mentions here.

Biography

Eileen Brown

Eileen Brown is a social business consultant who has been working with collaborative technologies for 20 years. Eileen creates the social business, energises communities and ignites social commerce and social CRM. She develops social business strategy, customer reach and online branding. Her book, Working The Crowd: Social Media Marketing for Business, is available on Amazon. She is a regular speaker at conferences around the world, maintains a blog at http://eileenbrown.wordpress.com and can also be found on http://Twitter.com/eileenb, http://facebook.com/AmastraUK, and at http://gplus.to/eileenb

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Maybe about the time they start implanting replacement brains
klumper 19th Dec
@BillDem

Chew on that lofty concept for a bit (everything else you wrote is thought provoking to boot).
More likely the world will see major wars and devolve. It is human nature.
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I like the way you think
klumper 19th Dec
@gertruded

It's called shooting straight from the hip. wink
When you start implanting computing devices in people, it creates a huge number of medical, technical, and ethical issues. How many people will want to risk infection, rejection, or malfunction with an implanted computing device? How will computer viruses affect computing devices which are physically connected to a human? Can you imagine the possibilities for government monitoring and control over individuals if our brains are connected to a network? Implantable computers is one of those ideas which sounds good in rainbow-colored, candy-land world devoid of bad things and bad people. In the real world, the myriad potential problems outweigh the benefits.
@BillDem

Chew on that lofty concept for a bit (everything else you wrote is thought provoking to boot).

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