ie8 fix
Click Here
madison

There's a massive mystery in Google's financial results

By | July 15, 2011, 12:24am PDT

Summary: Why are Google sites suddenly growing at nearly twice the rate of its partner sites? And why isn’t anyone asking this question?

Google [$GOOG] reported stellar 2011 Q2 earnings but Google’s partner sites, which used to account for half of its revenues, showed a massive lag in growth.

The partner sites are part of Google’s AdSense network and include large media companies such as The New York Times.

Google’s own sites, such as search, gmail, etc showed 39% growth in the most recent quarter compared with the year ago quarter, to $6.23 billion.

Google partner sites grew at nearly half the rate: just 20% compared with a year ago, to $2.48 billion.

This huge disparity between the growth rates of Google sites and partner sites is without precedent for most of its history. For example, in 2010, Google sites never exceeded the growth rate of partner sites:

- In Q1 Google sites grew 20% and partner sites grew 24%
- In Q2 Google sites grew 23% and partner sites grew 23%
- In Q3 Google sites grew 22% and partner sites grew 22%
- In Q4 Google sites grew 22% and partner sites grew 24%

Yet in Q1 2011 Google sites’ growth jumped suddenly and without any explanation: Google sites grew 32% and partner sites grew 19%.

For some strange reason no one has picked up on this change or noticed this glaring change in its business model. There is no explanation from Google or Wall Street analysts that I could find.

The payments to Google partner sites are not audited by any independent third parties. Google says it pays out about 80% of AdSense revenues it receives to its partners but not evenly. Some receive a higher percentage while others get much less than 80% because of special deals with large publishers.

This loss of parity with Google sites could cost Google partner sites more than $1 billion in lost revenues in 2011.

Why are Google sites suddenly growing at nearly double the rate of partner sites when they have historically maintained near parity?

Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily e-mail newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.

Topics

Tom Foremski reports on the business and culture of Silicon Valley at the intersection of technology and media.

Disclosure

Tom Foremski

Tom Foremski is the editor and publisher of Silicon Valley Watcher and Silicon Valley Watch. Tibco Software is an advertiser.

Biography

Tom Foremski

In May 2004, Tom Foremski became the first journalist to leave a major newspaper, the Financial Times, to make a living as a full-time journalist blogger. He writes the popular news blog Silicon Valley Watcher--reporting on the business of Silicon Valley.

Tom arrived in San Francisco in 1984, and has covered US technology markets for leading computer journals around the world.

17
Comments

Join the conversation!

Just In

RE: There's a massive mystery in Google's financial results
FAULKNE 13th Oct
Good day to confirm this comment I would appreciate T h e b e s t o f Z D N e t d e l i v e r e d your website very nice to everyone Yes, Oracle is the only one with shared-disk architecture, but that is there advantage. It means you can add or remove nodes and the database lives on. In a shared nothing architecture, if you lose a node, you lose the system. I'm sure Oracle appreciates EMC highlighting their advantage.I also desire to signal in your RSS feeds. Thank you as soon as once again and maintain up the great operate Awesome post! Thank you very much || thanks for nice content this is really benefit to me.
Because G$$gle are the new Micro$oft.
Google are slowly encroaching on other business as their insatiable appetite for growth continues. Both M$ and G$$gle's business models are based on low margins but high growth. As they saturate each market they must move into new ones. M$ did this with databases, consoles, Internet search, etc. G$$gle did this with phones and OS'es and now social networks. Beware the two behemoth,s as they roll into new markets and push out the small players.
@global.philosopher Yeah, because they are supposed to sit back and do nothing when they see emerging Technology?
@Peter Perry Sometimes it is worth just being the best at a few things...otherwise as time goes by more and more competitors line up against you and competitors that lose have a long memory. This is what happened to IBM, it is happening to M$ and one day it will happen to G$$gle. So what looks like a good long term business decision always comes back to bite.
0 Votes
+ -
@global.philosopher

Google ARE?
MS ARE?
Apple ARE?

They are each a single company.

Google IS
MS IS
Apple IS

I consist of millions of atoms/molecules, but still singular.
@global.philosopher
Awesome 3 Taking them! replica watches
0 Votes
+ -
So they are likely channeling people towards their own sites before a partner site.

I think the EU is looking into just that at the moment.
0 Votes
+ -
Causation vs Correlation?
facebook@... 15th Jul
Why would the growth of Google Sites be a causative factor in the growth of partner sites? Until now, there has been a loose correlation. But what leads you to believe that the growth would continue to be linear?
It is clear that Google is now able to spy on many more users than in the past. The expansion of the use of Android has greatly augmented their base of customers to be spied on. Chrome browser and Gmail have also expanded their user bases dramatically.

If one considers that Google's aim is to better profile their users so as to better target advertising, this increase in user base should seriously increase the efficiency of their profiling algorithms. Perhaps, this has enabled them to monetise their direct customer base more than their indirect base.
Investors don't give a damn. They'll just sit back and take their 13% share value rise without a care in the world. Sweet for Google shareholders when Wall Street gives a company a free pass with no questions asked.
I also desire to signal in your RSS feeds. Thank you as soon as once again and maintain up the great operate! nccma cooler
I used to be more than happy to seek out this internet-site.I wanted to thanks in your time for this glorious read!! I positively enjoying each little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you weblog post. this thread is amazing i like your work and i appreciate you that you have share a useful stuff thanks for sharing the i shop abatwa
I used to be more than happy to seek out this internet-site.I wanted to thanks in your time for this glorious read!! I positively enjoying each little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to check out new stuff you weblog post.Bookmarking now thanks please consider a follow up post. power sa shop
I think the representation of this article is actually superb one. This is my first visit to your site. Thanks a lot and keep sharing the information. Keep updating the information for all of us. Thanks ZDNet Government was launched as the brand's first industry vertical, with a mission to cater to IT professionals in the public secto I agree with your post. However, do you have any sources I can cite for my paper wheel car com bury
Well welcome, hopefully you can become a vital member of the community and really help to push far ahead of google. Which Im sure the development team would love. This will of course earn you alot points too and get you on the leaders board. z d n e t t h a n k Im not sure i come to an agreement with you on every level, howevor it absolutely was a good posting, many thanks for taking the time to put up your ideas.
Thanks nice info z d n e t I really liked your current article write more..let me add you to its favorite The articles you have on zdnet s i t e are always so enjoyable to read. Good work and I bookmarked it.
Fantastic news about the new release.I positively enjoying each little bit of it and I have you b o o k m a r k e d to check out new stuff you weblog post.Im not sure i come to an agreement with you on every level, howevor it absolutely was a good posting, many thanks for taking the time to put up your ideas
Good day to confirm this comment I would appreciate T h e b e s t o f Z D N e t d e l i v e r e d your website very nice to everyone Yes, Oracle is the only one with shared-disk architecture, but that is there advantage. It means you can add or remove nodes and the database lives on. In a shared nothing architecture, if you lose a node, you lose the system. I'm sure Oracle appreciates EMC highlighting their advantage.I also desire to signal in your RSS feeds. Thank you as soon as once again and maintain up the great operate Awesome post! Thank you very much || thanks for nice content this is really benefit to me.

Join the conversation!

Formatting +
BB Codes - Note: HTML is not supported in forums
  • [b] Bold [/b]
  • [i] Italic [/i]
  • [u] Underline [/u]
  • [s] Strikethrough [/s]
  • [q] "Quote" [/q]
  • [ol][*] 1. Ordered List [/ol]
  • [ul][*] · Unordered List [/ul]
  • [pre] Preformat [/pre]
  • [quote] "Blockquote" [/quote]
ie8 fix
Click Here
ie8 fix

The best of ZDNet, delivered

ZDNet Newsletters

Get the best of ZDNet delivered straight to your inbox

Facebook Activity

White Papers, Webcasts, & Resources
ie8 fix
ie8 fix