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Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

Holiday prediction - The Kindle Fire will be a huge hit

By | October 10, 2011, 5:58am PDT

Summary: This year it’s not going to be games consoles or iPods or PCs that are going to be the big holiday gift … it’s going to be Amazon’s Kindle Fire.

The holidays are coming … oh yes … but don’t panic, you’ve a fair few shopping days left. But it’s still close enough to start thinking about what’s going to be hot and what’s not this year.

My first prediction - Amazon’s Kindle Fire will be a huge hit. Massive.

What am I basing this prediction on? Well, for starters, as has been reported elsewhere, the Kindle Fire is already the most wished for, most gifted and the best seller in the electronics category … and it’s not even out yet!

Note: It’s worth noting that Kindles absolutely dominate Amazon’s best seller, most gifted and most wished for top twenty lists under electronics, but are nowhere to be seen in in the two twenty top rated electronic items.

See, I told you no one would care that it was a revamped RIM PlayBook.

So there’s already massive demand. What’s the second reason? Price.

That $199 price tag is sweet. That’s the same price as a 4GB Xbox 360 on Amazon, $50 cheaper than the 160GB PS3, cheaper than any other tablet (unless they’re junk), and a whole lot cheaper than any PC or Mac. Under $250 would have been sweet, but being under $200 adds a cherry on top.

Finally … and this is important … no one has a Kindle Fire yet. Unlike the iPod (where everyone who wants one already has three), all and the games consoles and computers and tablets, the Kindle Fire is new and exciting. That freshness will be a huge selling point (just like it will be for the iPhone 4S)

Amazon’s not going to be making stacks of cash from each Kindle Fire sold, but that doesn’t matter since the device acts are a direct two-way pipeline - bringing Amazon to the users, and sending their cash direct to Amazon.

One caveat to my ‘Kindle Fire will be a huge hit’ thing - that Amazon has the supply chain figured out and can keep up with demand. If the Kindle Fire goes out of stock within seconds of release not to be seen again until after the holidays, then I guess Amazon’s blown it.

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Adrian Kingsley-Hughes is an internationally published technology author who has devoted over a decade to helping users get the most from technology.

Disclosure

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

All opinions expressed on Hardware 2.0 are those of Adrian Kingsley-Hughes. Every effort is made to ensure that the information posted is accurate. If you have any comments, queries or corrections, please contact Adrian via the email link here. Any possible conflicts of interest will be posted below. [Updated: February 23, 2010] - Adrian Kingsley-Hughes has no business relationships, affiliations, investments, or other actual/potential conflicts of interest relating to the content posted so far on this blog.

Biography

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes is an internationally published technology author who has devoted over a decade to helping users get the most from technology -- whether that be by learning to program, building a PC from a pile of parts, or helping them get the most from their new MP3 player or digital camera.

Adrian has authored/co-authored technical books on a variety of topics, ranging from programming to building and maintaining PCs. His most recent books include "Build the Ultimate Custom PC", "Beginning Programming" and "The PC Doctor's Fix It Yourself Guide". He has also written training manuals that have been used by a number of Fortune 500 companies.

Adrian also runs a popular blog under the name The PC Doctor, where he covers a range of computer-related topics -- from security to repairing and upgrading.

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RE: Holiday prediction - The Kindle Fire will be a huge hit
LoverockDavidson_-24231404894599612871915491754222 11th Oct
@ldo17
Its Loverock and they are still a fad, they just aren't an expensive fad.
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RE: Holiday prediction - The Kindle Fire will be a huge hit
LoverockDavidson_-24231404894599612871915491754222 10th Oct
I could have told you this when it was first announced. At $199 its got a much better price tag than other tablets, its not overpriced like you find from just about every other manufacturer. I'd like to see the specs of the rumored Nook to compare to the Kindle Fire.
@LoverockDavidson_ Big climbdown from your previous position, eh?
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RE: Holiday prediction - The Kindle Fire will be a huge hit
LoverockDavidson_-24231404894599612871915491754222 11th Oct
@ldo17
Its Loverock and they are still a fad, they just aren't an expensive fad.
Not gonna lie - I've added it to my list.
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Many others, no doubt, will too
thx-1138_@... 11th Oct
@Cylon Centurion .. the Kindle range is about to shake a whole lot of trees in mobile computing land.
I wonder if it is a huge hit, Apple won't sue the living crap out of Amazon? wink
Completely agree! The Kindle Fire will post huge numbers making it the first real competition the iPad has seen. While not outselling the iPad it will most likely sell more units than all the other Android competition combined. Come by http://KindleFireForums.com and join the premier Kindle Fire community as we follow the explosive sales of the Kindle Fire and report on all the news, apps and accessories while learning from other Kindle Fire owners.
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Kindle Twinkle
eco733 10th Oct
Before you think of getting a Kindle Fire, here's what you need to consider:
- Kindle Fire doesn't have microSD slot that, for example, Nook Color has thus it is stuck with 6 GB usable internal storage unlike Nook Color that can get up to 32 GB card in. Kindles are made to be almost like a "dumb terminal" of the past to make sure you're tied up to Amazon's storage on the
web (for which you need Wi-Fi connection to get to) and you can only store content you get from Amazon there, not other files. Quoting Amazon on Kindle Fire: "Free cloud storage for all Amazon content". Get it, Amazon content?
- The stats of how long the battery can last (Kindle Fire theory is 8 hours) are taken with Wi-Fi off. You can only imaging how much less Kindle Fire battery will last if you use it to access content from their Cloud storage over Wi-Fi.
- Amazon can spy on your web activity through their new cloud-integrated web browser of Kindle Fire.
- VERY IMPORTANT ??? lack of microSD slot means that if you decide to root your Kindle Fire, you???ll have to root the actual device thus there will be no coming back. On Nook Color, you can make it boot from a ???rooted??? microSD card and if you want to get back to the original Nook you can just take out the card and
reboot.
- Kindle Fire doesn't have a camera.
- Kindle Fire has about 70% less usable screen area than iPad 2.
- Kindle doesn't support eBooks in ePub format that is the most used format in the world.
- Kindle app store contains only Amazon approved apps and it does not include (and will not include) Netflix app that iPad has and Nook Color is getting thus again you're stuck with Amazon content only.
- Amazon confirmed that you cannot download anything to Kindle Fire when traveling abroad.
- Amazon says it will review every app in its Appstore for Fire compatibility, as part of an automated process. Rejected apps will include those that rely on a gyroscope, camera, WAN module, Bluetooth,
microphone, GPS, or micro SD. Apps are also forbidden from using Google's Mobile Services (and in-app billing), which, if included, will have to be "gracefully" removed. In terms of actual content, Amazon has outlawed all apps that change the tablet's UI in any way (including theme- or wallpaper-based tools), as well as any that demand root access (it remains to be seen how the company will treat the root-dependent apps already in its store).
- I'd recommend waiting for a couple of weeks as Nook Color 2 is rumored to be released by Barnes & Noble.
@eco733 B&N better do its release soon or it will be too late to cancel a kindle fire preorders. B&N may have already lost the race even if does a better product -- Christmas does not wait.

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