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Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

What will the end to the iPhone exclusivity arrangement mean to AT&T?

By | August 10, 2010, 1:18pm PDT

Summary: AT&T has given a hint in its latest 10Q filing to the SEC that the iPhone exclusivity arrangement it has with Apple might be coming to an end soon. What will this mean to the carrier?

AT&T has given a hint in its latest 10Q filing to the SEC that the iPhone exclusivity arrangement it has with Apple might be coming to an end soon. What will this mean to the carrier?

Here are some of the highlights from the filing:

“Offering a number of attractive handsets on an exclusive basis distinguishes us from our competitors. As these exclusivity arrangements end, we expect to continue to offer such handsets (based on historical industry practice), and we believe our service plan offerings will help to retain our customers by providing incentives not to move to a new carrier.”

“Although exclusivity arrangements are important to us, such arrangements may not provide a competitive advantage over time, as the industry continues to introduce new devices and services.”

“Also, while the expiration of any of our current exclusivity arrangements could increase churn and reduce postpaid customer additions, we do not expect any such terminations to have a material negative impact on our Wireless segment income, consolidated operating margin or our cash from operations.”

It’s pretty clear that people don’t like AT&T. On top of that, the iPhone has subjected its network to insane data loads which have caused problems that require massive investment to solve. A big reason for that load has been the unlimited data plans that the company offered. In an attempt to put the brakes on users sucking relentlessly on the data teat, AT&T first tried to educate users, before applying the brakes on new users.

But the iPhone is a huge customer magnet for AT&T, with the iPhone 4 drawing in huge numbers of new customers to the network.

So, what will happen once other networks get their hands on the iPhone?

Poll

What will the end to the iPhone exclusivity arrangement mean to AT&T?

The way I see it, I can’t see losing the iPhone being good for AT&T. Given the kind of feedback I’ve been getting from customers, I’d bet on there being a rapid evaporation of customers.

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Adrian Kingsley-Hughes is an internationally published technology author who has devoted over a decade to helping users get the most from technology.

Disclosure

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

All opinions expressed on Hardware 2.0 are those of Adrian Kingsley-Hughes. Every effort is made to ensure that the information posted is accurate. If you have any comments, queries or corrections, please contact Adrian via the email link here. Any possible conflicts of interest will be posted below. [Updated: February 23, 2010] - Adrian Kingsley-Hughes has no business relationships, affiliations, investments, or other actual/potential conflicts of interest relating to the content posted so far on this blog.

Biography

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes is an internationally published technology author who has devoted over a decade to helping users get the most from technology -- whether that be by learning to program, building a PC from a pile of parts, or helping them get the most from their new MP3 player or digital camera.

Adrian has authored/co-authored technical books on a variety of topics, ranging from programming to building and maintaining PCs. His most recent books include "Build the Ultimate Custom PC", "Beginning Programming" and "The PC Doctor's Fix It Yourself Guide". He has also written training manuals that have been used by a number of Fortune 500 companies.

Adrian also runs a popular blog under the name The PC Doctor, where he covers a range of computer-related topics -- from security to repairing and upgrading.

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RE: What will the end to the iPhone exclusivity arrangement mean to AT&T?
non-biased 18th Aug 2010
@mikie38834 I was just talking to somebody about the 2 year contracts and the end of the exclusive deal the other day. The contracts will keep a lot of people with AT&T for the time being and potential improvements in service will keep them on board once the contract is up. Those of us in areas that have great coverage with our iPhones are in no hurry to leave so if they still have the iPhone we may or may not stay. I just went out of contract with me 3G but am waiting to see what happens. While I have no issues with AT&T I hope other carriers are available just to see what AT&T will do to keep a long time customer on their network. Of course they most likely won't do anything but at least with other carriers I can shop around if I want to stick with the iPhone which at this point I plan on doing.
Who said they would lose the iPhone? Losing exclusivity is another matter entirely. They may still be able to sell the iPhone. I hope to goodness Verizon doesn't end up being exclusive. No multi tasking, i.e., being able to talk and access another program at the same time. I had Verizon for a decade and if you want to talk about dictatorial and overpriced, Apple doesn't hold a candle to Verizon. "Can you hear me now?" Sure, but not always clearly and not with a good data plan or ring tones or.....
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Sorry man, weak excuse...
Peter Perry 11th Aug 2010
@dheady@... The verizon 4G implementation is going in early next year and addresses this issue (personally it has nevr bothered me).

As for over priced, I pay far less with verizon and 2 droids for the same seevice AT&T with 2 iPhones would cost me. Believe me, my daughter and her fianc? were paying more without true smart phones and their connection was lame.
@Peter Perry :not sure why you "paid far less" if you put Verizon's plans next to a&t they are the same on voice and well att is cheaper on data? i work for att and my roommate works for Verizon...we can all live in peace;)

i guess the over priced part is perception ...i just wanted you to know that they are almost identical prices happy
@dheady@...
What? Did you just say no multitasking or good ring tones? Ummm the multitasking depends on the phone not the service lol and ringtones what do you mean you can download or make any ring tone you want for free with any provider...AT&T signal is one of the worse in the industry you sure your not drunk??
One item that continuously gets overlooked and underappreciated is the wifi network that AT&T has put in place. They have, hands down, the largest number of wifi hotspots in the country. This means that at many hotels, starbucks and mcdonalds all over the country, you can use your iPhone or iPad on a better performing network than anybody?s 3G or even 4G network and at no additional cost beyond your AT&T data plan. Verizon and Sprint have nothing comparable.

I live in the nation?s capitol and love my iPhone and am delighted with AT&T?s service. When we experienced a huge power blackout. I fired up my laptop and conducted a web presentation using my AT&T card and my iPhone. As rated by speedtest.net, my download speed was > 5mb/s. Astonishing! I was able to deliver my presentation to my client without missing a beat or experiencing a dropped call.

One final thought, it would be interesting to put a Samsung Captivate on AT&T up against a Droid X on Verizon and see how they perform side by side. Then we might have more of an (non)-apples to (non)-apples comparison.

Finally, AT&T has one of the lowest churn rates in the industry which does not jive with what I believe is an overblown expression of dissatisfaction with the network. I for one, will stick with AT&T regardless of whether Verizon gets it or not. My guess is that by the time the iPhone is availabe on othe networks, it will be a mute point. After all AT&T survived the loss of exclusivity of the Motorola Razor.
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A couple of points here
Peter Perry 11th Aug 2010
@snow53 AT&T has one of the lowest churn rates because Apple has one of the highest rates for repeat customers.

As for the hot spots, AT&T made them all free so that doesn't even matter.

Now as for comparison speed, when LTE rolls out AT&T loses any advantage they had and Verizon is still more reliable.
@snow53
Yeaahhh um not sure if you know but McDonalds Burger king, Star Bucks and almost any hotel offer free wi fi to anyone on any network so AT&T is irrelevent in your arguement and your right sprint blows AT&T speeds out the water 3G is like dial up compared to 4G sooo your entire statemnt is pointless lol
@snow53: I owned an iPhone 32 GB for two weeks & bought several apps. But I don't live in a big urban area. Despite AT&T's map showing coverage (a) the best I ever got was Edge, and (b) too often I got "no service for even voice. So, despite having waited for several iterations I returned the iPhone and CNXed the AT&T contract because my wonderful device couldn't reliably perform its primary function: making and receiving calls.

I returned to Verizon that I've had for years with wonderfully reliable phone connectivity. If they get a CDMA iPhone, I'll wait a bit (no first adopter I) to see how it works out. I will miss the video tel calls with my sons who live in highly wired urban areas.
@mmacdona Get an HTC Evo or HTC Incredible and you'll be able to do video calling in HD compared to the crappy iphone camera, oh and you dont need wireless.....
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It means
Peter Perry 11th Aug 2010
It means the end of AT&T as we know it...

The sad part is the fact that many studies have been released showing the Apple products were the issue and not the network but iPhone fans don't want to believe that... Of course Apple will fix the antenna issue and make it look like they were never the problem.
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Good for AT&T
erikswanson 11th Aug 2010
Why? Let the other networks try to keep up with iphone data usage. See what happens.
@erikswanson - Verizon is already more heavily prepared for 3G traffic - at least here in Phoenix and in San Diego. My son can't even get a reasonable CDMA signal in either of those 2 cities with his iPhone let alone a 3G signal. I'm live the whole time with my Droid on Verizon. I think things will be just fine.
@Timpraetor


Ummm verizon is cdma and AT&T is 3G gsm so what your saying really makes no sense? If you cant get a cdma signal then your droid will not work as its not on a 3G gsm network its on evdo cdma with verizon
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It will not be a major loss
Teacee 11th Aug 2010
I will stick with AT&T, Sprint, T-mobile, verizon, and many others are not available in my area, AT&T still has the largest coverage area, plus I save by having phone, direct tv, home phone, dsl and cellular all bundled in one package.
@Teacee - "available in my area"

That's the thing - "in your area." In "my" area, AT&T has very poor support and atrocious customer service. In fact, while I love so many things Apple, AT&T is the reason I DON'T own an iPhone.
@Teacee
My family was with a Verizon plan for many years while traveling in our RV. Once we settled in the community we now reside in, Sprint and Verizon do not have coverage in this area. Verizon wanted to charge aound $200 for a "booster box," yet others in our community got them free from Sprint rather than lose customers. When I called Verizon to tell them I was porting my numbers and leaving for AT&T there was no compassion, nor any attempts as keeping us as customers. I love my iPhone through AT&T and for the first time in 4 1/2 years I am able to use my cell phone from inside my home! AT&T has my vote. If people leave, they will be back! Sincerely, Sunseeker in Zellwood, FL.
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@Teacee

Yeah, AT&T might have the largest coverage area, until you look at 3G, then they have the SMALLEST area.
What is their current 4G? Non-existant? Sprint has some up already, and obviously Verizon/Alltel (Some markets still operate under the Alltel name) is to have some next year.

Oh yeah, one other thing AT&T has the largest of: The Deposit upon a new contract.
Get rid of these Smartphones and opt for a prepaid cell phone! Who can afford these 2 year contracts with crazy early termination fees with this out of control economy?!
My service is with US Cellular and I am not planning on going anywhere else, but I would lobe for them to get the iPhone...I might try it then, but for mow I am sticking with my HTC smartphone...I Love it.
IMHO, it will mean that AT&T will stop taking the rap for Apple's bad engineering. I'm anxious to see who the smug fanbois will blame afterward for Apple's junk engineering.
@Micrahard - Put some logic behind what you're saying - if it's Apple's fault, why aren't international customers witnessing the same service issues that we see in the US? If the problem was inherent in Apple's phone design, the problem would be in every location and not just AT&T's US environment. I have a friend in Bristol UK on O2's plan and they never have voice or data connectivity issues.
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Re: iPhone exclusivity loss to AT&T
Jeffrey.lincoln 11th Aug 2010
Hopefully I will be able to talk to my associates that use iPhones on AT&T without dropped calls when they move to more reliable carriers with better coverage. When I was briefly on the AT&T network I would drop calls in the middle of Long Beach, CA, and of my associates with AT&T/iPhones I cannot complete a call without a dropped signal lost call. It doesn't do much good to have the awesome bandwidth capability in some places if the network routinely drops calls in metropolitan areas like Seattle. All the data bandwidth AT&T may provide in DC cannot make up for poor cell phone coverage where you need it and expect it. I think that there will be an initial surge in moves to other providers that get the iPhone, and the loss will thereafter be steady and financially debilitating to AT&T.
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I Look Forward to It
JRMcBride 11th Aug 2010
I will stick with AT&T with my two Blackberry phones and my two iPhones on the family plan. AT&T has more coverage across the country. What they do not have is reliable service. If many of the iPhone users leave for other systems, maybe we normal data users will suddenly have a pretty good network to ourselves and 3G service will improve dramatically. I suspect AT&T would rather lose some of the iPhone traffic rather than have to upgrade the expensive network. I'm sticking it out and hoping for less traffic on the AT&T 3G network.
Sure, some customers will move to Verizon, but don't forget all those 2 year contracts that obligate all Iphone users. You can't just walk away, and in 2 years, the network will be improved. Either way ATT wins.
You overlook the 2 year contracts with ATT. by which time the network will be improved and a few less Iphone customers will mean more bandwidth for us.
@mikie38834 I was just talking to somebody about the 2 year contracts and the end of the exclusive deal the other day. The contracts will keep a lot of people with AT&T for the time being and potential improvements in service will keep them on board once the contract is up. Those of us in areas that have great coverage with our iPhones are in no hurry to leave so if they still have the iPhone we may or may not stay. I just went out of contract with me 3G but am waiting to see what happens. While I have no issues with AT&T I hope other carriers are available just to see what AT&T will do to keep a long time customer on their network. Of course they most likely won't do anything but at least with other carriers I can shop around if I want to stick with the iPhone which at this point I plan on doing.
"It?s pretty clear that people don?t like AT&T." Say what? I consider myself to be part of your description of "people" and I do not dislike AT&T. As a matter of fact, I have had excellent service from them on all the devices that my family uses on their network, inclusive of Iphones. Next time stay away from sensationalism and stick to objective reporting. Like old Sgt. Friday used to say in Dragnet; "just the facts madam".....
It means that ALL iPhone users will get screwed! Why? Because there will suddenly be a lot more iPhone users and all of them will need "appointments" at the very limited number of Apple Stores around the country. Appointments to have a cellphone looked at. Stupidest thing I've ever dealt with in my entire life. When a cellphone dies, you need it looked at THEN, and not at some distant point in the future when you can get a so called appointment at Apple. Miss your appointment by 5 minutes and you are screwed. Show up on time and learn that Apple has triple booked your appointment time. Now add in all the new Verizon iPhone customers and all of us are f00ked. It is this idiotic "appointment" crap that has kept me from upgrading my current iPhone's and will probably have me switching to an Android phone like the Samsung Captivate or the Dell Slate in the near future.
For me, not much. I moved into an area where I am one of the 3% of he people in the country that doesn't see AT&T's 3G service. I'm lucky to get one bar on E. I figure that with the Family Plan with one iPhone and my iPad data I've been giving AT&T about $1900 a year. In a way I'll be glad to keep that in my pocket.

It's really AT&T's crap (read non-existent) customer service that got me to this point. I tried to extend my data plan on the iPad but AT&T doesn't recognize the service address as valid, not withstanding the fact that I get a wireless bill and landline bill from AT&T delivered to that address. And, BTW, given a choice between chatting with a Customer Service Rep and driving 40 miles round trip to see one has made me decide to terminate at the end of my contract 12 days from now.

What will losing exclusivity with the iPhone do to AT&T? Probably nothing much. But they'll lose out due to their "great" Customer Service.
This is good news to people who wanted to get hold of iPhone without the exclusive contract of having to stay with an operator that they do not want. This means freedom to choose which operator you intend to get connected for service/s! That's why there is always competition, huh?
I think we consumers are getting smarter & more cost conscious. Our buying decisions will I hope eventually, force cellular providers to modify their business models a la those in other, now better connected countries, e.g., call pays; receiver doesn't. Mike
Everyone that blames AT&T as the only problem, instead of realizing the iPhone itself causes some of the network issues, will leave for Verizon and those of us that stay will have better service because of it. I have used various Nokia phones with AT&T for 10 years and have had better coverage and call quality than family and co-workers with iPhones or with Verizon, until the EDVO network evened the services (although several co-workers changed from Verizon to AT&T for better customer service and coverage before then). LTE will make comparing services much easier since the same phone will be able to work on all companies, but until then people will go with whatever company they believe is better.
I tell you what. I'll care once AT&T starts adding coverage to rural areas and also once Apple quits being so arrogantly proprietary with their equipment.

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