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3D HDTV shipments to grow nearly 500 percent in 2011. Does anyone care?

By | May 8, 2011, 9:13am PDT

Summary: Whether you’re going to use it or not, the odds are getting better and better that your next TV will be a 3D set. For evidence, look no further than new IHS iSuppli research, which shows that 3D HDTV shipments will jump from 4.2 million units in 2010 to 23.4 million units this year. There’s no [...]

Whether you’re going to use it or not, the odds are getting better and better that your next TV will be a 3D set. For evidence, look no further than new IHS iSuppli research, which shows that 3D HDTV shipments will jump from 4.2 million units in 2010 to 23.4 million units this year.

There’s no indication that a groundswell of consumer interest is responsible for this nearly fivefold growth. Instead, manufacturers have recalibrated their marketing approach, slashing 3D prices and positioning it more as another feature than a radical new way of watching television.

Prices for 3D sets have plummeted 9 percent just from February to March, and further declines are possible as new TVs using passive 3D glasses rather than costlier active ones start hitting the market. Passive 3D image quality is generally seen as inferior to active 3D, but the cost of glasses is a fraction of the price for active-shutter specs.

More and more 3D content will become available over the coming months and years, so the trend toward 3D viewing in the home will keep gaining strength. By next year, IHS iSuppli predicts that 22 percent of the global flat-panel market will be 3D-based, and that by 2015 a majority of flat-panel shipments will be 3D.

But does this matter to most viewers today? Have you purchased a 3D set yet? If so, do you use it for any 3D viewing at all? If you’re in the market for a new HDTV, are you more or less likely to buy a 3D television? Let us know in the Comments section.

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Topics

Sean Portnoy is a freelance technology journalist.

Disclosure

Sean Portnoy

Sean Portnoy is a freelance technology journalist; currently, all work that Sean does is on a contractural basis. Sean has also written corporate communications documents for CA.

Sean does not accept gifts from companies he covers. All hardware products he writes about are purchased with his own funds or are review units covered under formal loan agreements and are returned after the review is complete.

Biography

Sean Portnoy

Sean Portnoy started his tech writing career at ZDNet nearly a decade ago. He then spent several years as an editor at Computer Shopper magazine, most recently serving as online executive editor. He received a B.A. from Brown University and an M.A. from the University of Southern California.
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Yes, I care and so should you until ultraHD arrives!
Rickyc111 10th May 2011
Looks like I'm in the minority here. I'm all for 3D sets--I own a 50" Samsung 3D ($800 with 2 pairs of free glasses, plus it upgrades 2D to 3D & downgrades 3D to 2D). It's amazing to watch. Universal 3D glasses can be bought for $75 a piece on line (even Sears sells them). I will NOT own another 2D TV set because 3D is clearly superior in every way to 2D dispite the petty concerns of naysayers whom all remind me of those that preferred black & white over color in the late 1960's. Most used the very same kind of arguements that anti-3Ders now use. They swore never to own a color TV until...blah, blah, blah.... The same applies to those that preferred standard def to high def. Get over yourselves! There will always be the 'stubborn ones.' I watched the 2011 Super Bowl in 3D with friends using universal 3D glasses. We compared the 2D viewing experience with the 3D. Guess what? Nobody wanted to switch back to 2D! Every single one of them bought their own 3D sets once they saw how superior it was. Nobody--I repeat--NOBODY got headaches from wearing the glasses. I wear corrected lenses too and I've never had a headache that was caused by viewing TV or a 3D movie in the theater. All those '2D was good enough for my grandfather...it's good enough for me' jokers are just shortsighted (sic). While I feel for those persons who may not be able to enjoy full 3D due to physical restrictions it doesn't change the future of TV. 3D capable sets will eventually be included with all TV's sold--soon for a reasonable cost to the masses--with or without glasses, it doesn't matter. By then I expect the next big dicussion will be UltraHD (higher than 1080P rez) or maybe holographic tv. Case closed!
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No
Joe_Raby 8th May 2011
What's 500% of 17 sets anyway?

Give me glasses-less 3DTV, and no headaches, and I'll show you real 3DTV adoption. The only way to do this economically is the old-fashioned way: holographic projection onto a concave mirror. They did it 20 years ago with the old laserdisc arcade game, Time Traveller. Why not with TV?
I've never considered 3d tv and never will.
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NO
kikl 8th May 2011
I think its rubbish. There is hardly any software ready for this and most people don't want to wear special glasses in order to watch 3D TV.
3D is too expensive and you know what, I never had an issue with the old style 3D that our normal sets supported!

If I were to buy a new TV it would be that Samsung 7000 Model but it wouldn't be because it is 3D, it would be because it simply has the best picture I've seen! Honestly, I would bet that I would never use the 3D.
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So basically
oncall 8th May 2011
No "consumer" demand for 3D TV's with special glasses, they are just going to flood the market with 3D TV so in a few years all new HDTV's sold will be 3D or 3D "capable".
Not sure how many have experienced an LED backlit 3D TV yet, I own a Sony EX720. Here is my take, when I was looking to buy a tv, I was not looking at 3D at all. However the 3D TVs invariably come with a better refresh rate and good color depths. It is a bonus that they are generally in the higher end of the spectrum which means they are all feature rich.

The short answer to whether I bought the TV for 3D is a BIG NO. But I like the fact that it has this feature along with a host of other features I really need.
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Average selling prices need boosting
terry flores 8th May 2011
The ASP for "standard" LCD TVs took a tremendous hit over the last two years. For a while, LED TVs took up the slack and kept ASP propped up, but those have started rapid declines as well. Now 3D is the next excuse for selling TVs at higher margins. But as many people have noted, there is very little use for it and the technology has not stabilized like color TV did in the 1960's. Save your money. 3D in its current form is nothing but a headache for me (literally) so I'm not interested.
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3D Sucks
kb2504@... 8th May 2011
3D looks completely un-natural and is distracting. All it looks like is a number of 2d images superimposed on each other. I don't understand why anyone thinks it's remotely viewable. The Viewmaster I had as a kid looked more realistic than the best HDTV 3D images I've seen. It's laughable. When 3D actually looks like what I see with my own two eyes, I MIGHT think it is worth it. Until then, give me a high quality Blu-Ray good ol' fashion 2D image any day.
@kb2504@... It's odd that you say 3D "looks like a number of 2D images superimposed", then say that your Viewmaster looked more realistic. Why? Because this "multiple flat planes" imaging is commonly derrogated as the "Viewmaster effect".

A properly made 3D movies shows objects as you see them -- having their own depth and roundness.
@GrizzledGeezer , I was being sarcastic, lol. I stand by my statement that I have never seen a 3D demo that had a "realistic" sense of depth. I would never waste my money on it. If you think it looks good, that's great. People think MP3's and those crappy Apple ear buds sound good too. No denying the success of those.
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You are correct
sboverie 9th May 2011
@GrizzledGeezer
The view master effect as you described comes from composing as if 2D and not thinking 3D. The current crop of 3D movies have the same problem, the director is composing the shots in 2D and not 3D. 3D is waiting for a director who can compose the scene in 3D without resorting to gimmicks like pointing sticks at the audience. When films went from b&w to color, there was a transistion from relying on lighting and contrast to using color to help set the mood of the scene.
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Waiting for the price to drop.
3DLouieg 8th May 2011
I'm just waiting for the price to drop for the Samsung and partner Real3D RDZ sets with built in active shutter technology in the actual display. So you can use the cheaper passive glasses and still have true HD 3D. When the price drops on the larger over 50 inch sets I'll buy it.
Holographic television, please! happy

Otherwise, my family does not WANT 3D due to my visual impairment. My loved ones might have issues with 3D, but then I'll never know, so other than that, 3D is off until holographic television comes out.
I've never had a problem with watching things in 3D but I will not buy a 3D TV until the price drops down to below the $450 mark. Right now at $1000 its just crazy and the glasses at $150 a piece. In a few years when they are cheaper I'll consider it.
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I like 3D...
GrizzledGeezer 9th May 2011
...and planned on waiting for an agreed-on standard before purchasing an HD set. That plan was derailed when Pioneer announced its exodus from the TV business, and I grabbed a 2D KURO.

Given that there are few 3D movies worth watching, and no interesting 3D TV shows, I have little regret that my TV isn't 3D. When the studios decide to reissue "classic" 3D films from the 50s, I will reconsider.
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Horrible Technology
adeleskie@... 9th May 2011
3D technology is horrible. It's a sad state of affairs that this is the direction things are going. As others have said, it induces headaches, is only half implemented, distracting and looks like 2D layers.
It's basically a scam to tack a premium onto the price of TVs.
It's very difficult to find any favorable reviews for the techology unless you are an insider and you are talking about profits.
Ugh, I hate TVs that use the passive glasses. They make my eyes hurt seconds after putting the glasses on, I couldn't imagine watching an entire movie like that. But the price of active shutter glasses is ridiculous.
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No
Cardhu 9th May 2011
We are indiiferent to 3D televisions.
Unfortunately we will have to swallow 3D to get the other features we want. Case in point, Samsung D8000 series plasma. To get the advanced black filter enhancement and contrast capability, you have to buy that set, and 3D tags along.
The glasses are an absolute deal killer and until it's actual 3D and not some silly gimmick, I have zero interest.

From what I've read, now it's just a good way to get dizzy and ill.
I was in the market for my first HD TV. After researching the pros and cons I bought a Vizio 47 inch 240 refresh rate TV. I'm not interested in having to wear glasses to watch a program.

I think 3D is just a gimmick.

BTW, Amazon has decent prices for 3D TVs if anyone is interested.
In seeing that I have to wear glasses for vision correction reasons, the idea of buying a TV which would require me to wear glasses over my glasses would be purely absurd. Show me a 3-d TV that don't need them and I'll think about it.
When consumers and not the manufacturers start calling some flavor of 3D-TV natural-looking, and it doesn't take glasses on top of the ones we wear already, we'll have something worth purchasing, even if at a relatively steep price.
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Faux 3d at best...
pmcm 9th May 2011
I still don't know why it's even called 3d...It's not 3 dimensional...unless your TV is really deep. '3d-like' maybe...
I have a Panasonic VT25 and love it. we watch both 2 D and 3 D on it. It was time to replace the existing flat panel we had, so we opt to purchage on sale during the holiday season. To me, we need early adopters to promote growth and advancement in technology. Will my TV be obsolete in a year or two... probably... what technology isnt!
here in backwoods Australia the 3dtv seems to have taken a big dive out of sight. When it first made its appearance it was talked about but now it has just disappeared. We had a few tv shows shown in 3d but all gone now. dont think I'll bother anytime soon.
Short answer : NO. long answer until the tech is fixed and streamlined to where all systems are the same and you don't need these glasses with this set of these glasses with this one. Or any glasses at all. I could really care less about 3D tv.
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3D TV
crownarmourer 9th May 2011
Yes but still nothing on TV to watch.
i would never pay a premium over such an inferior and immature technology. by having tis extra 'feature', i believe the weight of the tv itself must be increased too.
0 Votes
+ -
Looks like I'm in the minority here. I'm all for 3D sets--I own a 50" Samsung 3D ($800 with 2 pairs of free glasses, plus it upgrades 2D to 3D & downgrades 3D to 2D). It's amazing to watch. Universal 3D glasses can be bought for $75 a piece on line (even Sears sells them). I will NOT own another 2D TV set because 3D is clearly superior in every way to 2D dispite the petty concerns of naysayers whom all remind me of those that preferred black & white over color in the late 1960's. Most used the very same kind of arguements that anti-3Ders now use. They swore never to own a color TV until...blah, blah, blah.... The same applies to those that preferred standard def to high def. Get over yourselves! There will always be the 'stubborn ones.' I watched the 2011 Super Bowl in 3D with friends using universal 3D glasses. We compared the 2D viewing experience with the 3D. Guess what? Nobody wanted to switch back to 2D! Every single one of them bought their own 3D sets once they saw how superior it was. Nobody--I repeat--NOBODY got headaches from wearing the glasses. I wear corrected lenses too and I've never had a headache that was caused by viewing TV or a 3D movie in the theater. All those '2D was good enough for my grandfather...it's good enough for me' jokers are just shortsighted (sic). While I feel for those persons who may not be able to enjoy full 3D due to physical restrictions it doesn't change the future of TV. 3D capable sets will eventually be included with all TV's sold--soon for a reasonable cost to the masses--with or without glasses, it doesn't matter. By then I expect the next big dicussion will be UltraHD (higher than 1080P rez) or maybe holographic tv. Case closed!

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