Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

Summary: Windows 7's share of the PC market is continuing to grow steadily, while Apple's, Linux's and Google's shares are making slow inroads, according to new worldwide PC usage data from Gartner Inc.

SHARE:

By the end of 2011, 42 percent of PCs in use worldwide will be running Windows 7, according to new forecast by Gartner Inc.

Gartner is also predicting that 94 percent of new PCs will ship with Windows 7 installed this year, analysts said on August 9.

Improvements in IT spending in 2010 and 2011 are accelerating deployment of Windows 7 in the U.S. and Asian Pacific enterprise markets, Gartner said.

"However, the economic uncertainties in Western Europe, political instability in selected Middle East and Africa (MEA) countries and the economic slowdown in Japan after the earthquake and tsunami in March 2011 will likely lead to slightly late and slow deployment for Windows 7 across those regions," analysts warned.

Other predictions from Gartner's "Forecast Analysis: PC OS Market, Worldwide, 2008-2015, 2011 Update":

  • "Windows 7 is likely to be the last version of Microsoft OS that gets deployed to everybody through big corporatewide migration. In the future, many organizations will also use alternative client computing architectures for standard PCs with Windows OS, and move toward virtualization and cloud computing in the next five years."
  • "By the end of 2011, nearly 635 million new PCs worldwide are expected to be shipped with Windows 7."
  • Apple's share of the PC market continues to grow. By the end of 2011, Mac OS will be on 4.5 percent of PCs worldwide, up from 4 percent in 2010. By 2015, that number could reach 5.2 percent.
  • Linux's share on the desktop will "remain niche" over the next five years, with below 2 percent share.
  • Google's Chrome OS, Android and webOS won't gain any significant share on PCs in the next few years.
  • In 2012 will the market will "reach the point of crossover between Windows-specific and OS-agnostic applications for enterprises, as 50 percent of the applications will be OS-agnostic." In the consumer market, that crossover already has happened, as a result of the growing acceptance of Web applications.

In June of this year, analysts with Forrester found that Windows 7 was running on 21 percent of corporate desktops, with Windows XP still on 60 percent of all business PCs.

Topics: CXO, Hardware, IT Priorities, Microsoft, Operating Systems, Software, Windows

About

Mary Jo has covered the tech industry for 30 years for a variety of publications and Web sites, and is a frequent guest on radio, TV and podcasts, speaking about all things Microsoft-related. She is the author of Microsoft 2.0: How Microsoft plans to stay relevant in the post-Gates era (John Wiley & Sons, 2008).

Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily email newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.

Talkback

75 comments
Log in or register to join the discussion
  • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

    Good. The faster folks hop onto a modern OS, the better. Windows XP needs to die a quick and painful death.
    The one and only, Cylon Centurion
    • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

      @Cylon Centurion
      Yes. Apple will have bright future ahead.

      BTW this may save MS. You know if they will release DX11.1(12), then they will skip WinV. So Win7 need to have good market penetration. On the other hand any XP machine with DX11 level hwd can run OpenGL 4.2 :)

      However the day MS will stop releasing security updates for WinXP, WinXP should be considered crime on computer connected to the net.
      przemoli
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @przemoli

        It should be considered crime now, TBH. XP is as insecure as they come. :(
        The one and only, Cylon Centurion
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @przemoli

        I don't want to use XP, but I certainly won't be using FreeBSD, no matter how much lipstick Apple puts on that OS/x pig. If you want to move forward from XP, you don't go backwards ;-)
        tonymcs@...
    • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

      @Cylon Centurion -- What in the hell is your problem? XP is just fine and will be around (supported) for two more years and much longer after support ends so get over it.<br><br>I'd like a full disclosure from you as to what your financial or other interest is in Windows 7. It is an un-mitigated piece of crap IMHO and no safer than XP.<br><br>I'm awaiting your disclosure!
      Rodo1
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @Rodo1

        I have no "interest" in it, minus the fact that I am a huge proponent of constant upgrade cycles. Those grasping to older more problem prone technology cause more problems then they don't. 10 years is <I>way</I> too long to be using such insecure and problematic technology.
        The one and only, Cylon Centurion
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        [i]I have no "interest" in it, minus the fact that I am a huge proponent of constant upgrade cycles.[/i]

        Well you could have fooled me, given your hysterical statements up above. People will switch over when they're ready, not when you're ready.

        [i]Those grasping to older more problem prone technology cause more problems then they don't. 10 years is way too long to be using such insecure and problematic technology.[/i]

        Given the outrageous retail price they charge, 10 years is fair.
        ScorpioBlue
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @Scorpio,

        Apple users don't have problems rushing out to buy overpriced junk, I have yet to see anyone still using 10 year old Macintosh equipment.
        The one and only, Cylon Centurion
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        [i]Apple users don't have problems rushing out to buy overpriced junk, I have yet to see anyone still using 10 year old Macintosh equipment.[/i]

        Well here's a clue. This isn't about Apple.

        Doh.
        ScorpioBlue
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @Scorpio

        Same principal. Apple has an aggressive update cycle. According to Wikipedia, Lion is the only currently "supported" release, with Leopard and Snow Leopard getting security updates only. It's a very aggressive update cycle, but people still buy into it.

        That's the kind of update cycle I wish more people would take.
        The one and only, Cylon Centurion
      • No answer, ScorpioBlue?

        @Rodo1
        You always bring MS into an Apple argument, so why not the other way around? Is it because he's using Apple as an example to use your words against you?

        Or was it an honest mistake?

        When someone makes the statement [i]Given the outrageous retail price they charge, 10 years is fair [/i], the first thing the majority of people think you're talking about is an Apple product!

        Come
        William Farrell
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @Rodo1

        You have been completely, totally misled if you think XP is as secure as the later OSs. It's simply not true. I'm just in the process of cleaning up a fully patched XP box with quality, up-to-date AV. The non-admin user clicked a business oriented link in Google search results and installed both a rootkit and a trojan. The AV immeditely caught the rootkit, but the trojan did all kinds of damage before I got it cleaned out. This would not have been possible with Vista or Win7 because malware running in the non-admin user context would not have been able to write or change files outside the user profile.
        1DaveN
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        <i>@Rodo1<br>You always bring MS into an Apple argument, so why not the other way around? Is it because he's using Apple as an example to use your words against you?</i><br><br>Well for one thing I'm not @Rodo1, but if you want to believe that I am then please do so.<br><br>Or you don't know who to respond to properly in the tree.<br><br>So which is it?<br><br>And for another thing I don't bring up Microsoft in every Apple discussion, even though you'd like to deflect this conversation here and believe so.<br><br><i>When someone makes the statement Given the outrageous retail price they charge, 10 years is fair , the first thing the majority of people think you're talking about is an Apple product!</i><br><br>Nope, the first thing I think of is XP and the disaster MS had when it abandoned Longhorn back in 2005. Thanks to that boneheaded decision, they are now stuck with an OS that will last almost 14 years.
        ScorpioBlue
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        [i]That's the kind of update cycle I wish more people would take.[/i]

        But I don't own an Apple so I really don't care. That doesn't concern me.

        But I still have an XP machine that I use on occasion. That's where this article comes in.

        Try to stay on topic, will ya. ;)
        ScorpioBlue
      • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

        @DaveN_MVP

        <em>You have been completely, totally misled if you think XP is as secure as the later OSs. It's simply not true.</em>

        No, you're misled. Win7 is just as prone to zero day as WinXP or Vista ever have been.

        <em>The non-admin user clicked a business oriented link in Google search results and installed both a rootkit and a trojan. The AV immeditely caught the rootkit, but the trojan did all kinds of damage before I got it cleaned out. This would not have been possible with Vista or Win7 because malware running in the non-admin user context would not have been able to write or change files outside the user profile.</em>

        Isn't that the claim for WinXP as well (and Win2K and WinNT)? That a non-privileged user can't install system-wide software within their context? Yet it happens all the time in all descendants of WinNT.
        benched42
    • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

      [i]I'd like a full disclosure from you as to what your financial or other interest is in Windows 7. It is an un-mitigated piece of crap IMHO and no safer than XP.[/i]

      Yeah, I'd like to know that too. It seems to be an obsession with him.
      ScorpioBlue
    • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

      @DaveN_MVP -- Since you are so enamored with the security of Vista/Win7, perhaps you would like to read this:

      http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/print/9218916/Malware_turns_off_Windows_UAC_warns_Microsoft?taxonomyName=Security&taxonomyId=17

      Also, in yesterday's patches, several were for the same problem in both XP and Vista/Win7. Windows 7 is a whole new operating system? Quit fooling yourself.

      I've been involved with Windows for over 20 years, and I am tired of "the best and most secure Windows yet" BS.

      Your sample of one fails to impress!
      Rodo1
  • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

    @iluvmsft <br><br>I agree. Horse and buggy are here to stay. Ask an Amish.
    Return_of_the_jedi
    • Bad analogy...

      because, that "horse and buggy" will still be running circles around anything else out there, no matter what the platform or form factor.

      Let us know when a full-blown OS starts being less powerful and less capable than whatever else you think is out there now that will become the future.
      adornoe
    • RE: Gartner: 42 percent of PCs will be running Windows 7 by year-end

      @adornoe@... First point Tablets while new have as they develop had increases in processing power like the iPad to iPad2. From the original iPad to today the OS has had several upgrades and with each the abilities of the OS have increased.... As a matter of fact iOS 5 will soon be out and it won't stop there. The most important part/question is just how many people actually need/want a full blown OS?

      Pagan jim

      adornoe@...
      08/09/2011 10:13 AM
      Flag
      James Quinn