Microsoft to become Micro-ad?

Summary: Does a Microsoft Yahoo buy make sense? Would Microsoft have been better served by sticking to its software knitting and continuing to chip away at online advertising as a side business, instead of trying to turn online advertising into its core franchise?

If the $44 billion Yahoo acquisition proposed by Microsoft on February 1 goes through, Microsoft will be a very different company than it is now.

In spite of its Software + Services push, Microsoft has been and still is a software vendor. Windows and Office still are how Microsoft makes the bulk of its money. Microsoft's online services business is a relatively tiny piece of Microsoft's overall business and is likely to remain in the red for years to come, company officials admitted during last week's earnings conference call.

If Microsoft adds Yahoo to its mix, overnight, online services -- and specifically online advertising -- will become more than a struggling side business for Microsoft. Chief Financial Officer Chris Lidell said Microsoft believes it would break even in the second year post closing of the deal. During the same conference call with press and analysts on February 1 where Lidell made this remark, Microsoft Platforms & Services President Kevin Johnson said a Yahoo acquisition would allow Microsoft to take advantage of scaled economies in search, online advertising and the datacenter infrastructure to run these online services.

Microsoft has been beefing up its online-advertising-focused investments for months now by buying a variety of smaller companies which own pieces of the online advertising pie. Until now, the biggest aquisition Microsoft had ever made was online-advertising powerhouse aQuantive, which it bought last year. While that buy had substantial impact on Microsoft's overall strategy and priorities, it still didn't result in Microsoft becoming more of an advertising vendor than a software vendor. But a Yahoo purchase would irrevocably change the kind of company Microsoft is.

What's your take? Does a Microsoft Yahoo buy make sense? Would Microsoft have been better served by sticking to its software knitting and continuing to chip away at online advertising as a side business, instead of trying to turn online advertising into its core franchise?

Topics: Microsoft, Social Enterprise

About

Mary Jo has covered the tech industry for more than 25 years for a variety of publications and Web sites, and is a frequent guest on radio, TV and podcasts, speaking about all things Microsoft-related. She is the author of Microsoft 2.0: How Microsoft plans to stay relevant in the post-Gates era (John Wiley & Sons, 2008).

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33 comments
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  • Very, very risky acquisition. Just goes to show you how desperate MS is.

    This is a complete culture miss-match.
    DonnieBoy
    • Ya, record earning

      will make any company shaky and desperate!
      Let me guess, they are 'about to go under' once again?
      This will be the year of Linux again?
      Must be nice living in a fantasy world.

      but I digress.
      It's a bad move. MS is a software company, and needs to remain focused there. Competing with everyone on just about everything will get in the way of that.
      mdemuth
      • MS understands very well that they can not milk the twin cash cows forever.

        They are also watching in dismay as Google just keeps gaining share and revenues skyrocket. Google has a huge advantage in their ability scale rapidly and cheaply. And, MS knows that applications are quickly moving to the cloud, and Google is busy offline enabling everything. A perfect storm . . . .

        And, this is not about Linux, other than it gives Google (and others) a HUGE competitive advantage.
        DonnieBoy
    • MS not desperate but culture problems abound

      MS is making lots of $$ so they are not desperate in any sense of the word. however, I do agree that their corp culture is one that has driven away a lot of talent recently and if I were CEO, fixing this would be a top priority.
      otaddy
      • I don't know, Googles rapid rise and second to none wordwide infrastructure

        has to be VERY troubling for MS. Sure, they have so far been able to keep the twin cash cows on the tracks, but there are many troubling signs. The switch to cloud computing is upon us, and Google WILL win the wireless auction. If I were Google, I would not waste one second thinking about the MS/Yahoo combo, and invest whatever necessary to win all of the 700 MHz spectrum. Let MS/Yahoo flounder and fall even farther behind while Google sticks to its knitting.
        DonnieBoy
    • How desparate they are?

      So buying a company is a disparate move these days? I wonder what you could do when your going along successfully.

      As if other companies don't buy companies.
      quikboy
      • Spending FIFTY billion on a company losing market share that is COMPLETELY

        incompatible with you platform (requiring a complete change out) and has a COMPLETELY different company culture?????

        Not exactly your every day simple transaction. This is desperate.
        DonnieBoy
        • How about writing in real English?

          That mess is kinda hard to read.

          Microsoft and Y! will probably merge their platforms into one cohesive platform. And gain users, features, marketshare, ad revenuse, etc.

          This is awesome you dolt.
          quikboy
      • Others see the same: ...d?sespoir de Microsoft...

        http://lapresseaffaires.cyberpresse.ca/article/20080201/LAINFORMER/80201111/5891/LAINFORMER01
        theo_durcan
        • English please NT

          NT
          quikboy
  • The information superhighway...

    ...is getting cluttered with billboards. And it ain't pretty.
    Userama
    • There will be lots of real billboards close to Yahoo offices. Google and

      others will be drooling over the Yahoo engineers.
      DonnieBoy
      • my thoughts exactly

        I would think a lot of Yahoo employees will be updating their resumes this weekend and if I was Google I'd be getting in contact with my headhunters and preparing offers for the best and brightest that Yahoo has to offer.
        mgarfein
  • I don't see the wisdom. Should buy Amazon.

    I could see a partnership (revenue sharing) with Yahoo to try to slow Google down, but why spend ~90% of all your cash reserves to become a distant second? Amazon makes a better acquisition target. Google is not really anywhere with Google checkout or marketplace, whereas Amazon is the big dog. It make sense to integrate the Amazon MP3 marketplace with the Zune, put more ads on Amazon (it already has tons of ads elsewhere).

    Look at what MS could do with this. Keep Amazon wide open as it is now, but build services that only work with MS products to offer seamless wireless tune purchase via the Zune, or CE, or whatever.

    If the deal goes through, I see MS lamenting this purchase down the road.

    TripleII

    P.S. They could offer 25% premium on Amazon, be #1 in a huge online market, and save 20% over the Yahoo purchase.
    TripleII-21189418044173169409978279405827
    • The problem is, Amazon is also based on Linux and would also be a huge

      culture clash. MS is obviously desperate.
      DonnieBoy
      • It still makes more sense.

        They don't have to integrate Amazon, just interface to it. I would not say that MS is desperate, but they know the days of 100% margins on their cash cows is coming to an end, sooner or later.

        TripleII
        TripleII-21189418044173169409978279405827
        • Right, I do agree that it make MORE sense that buying Yahoo. But, still, at

          Amazon, there would be the same types of culture clashes, and Amazon WOULD have to convert to MS operating systems, MS databases, etc. For MS to leave part of their business on Linux open source would cause no end of problems for them.
          DonnieBoy
          • Good point.

            People still get mileage out of the fact that Hotmail runs on BSD (still true?)

            TripleII
            TripleII-21189418044173169409978279405827
          • No.

            Sad, but true that people still believe this. Reality couldn't be further from these claims, however.
            de-void-21165590650301806002836337787023
          • True, amazon would have to retool everything

            That would be a big expense....
            otaddy