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What's keeping the Microsoft beancounters awake at night?

By | February 8, 2011, 1:06pm PST

Summary: A source of mine passed on to me some information that seems to come from Microsoft’s own scorecarding system from the end of 2010 that detailed some high priority areas for Microsoft’s sales and marketing folks. Exchange and SharePoint both figure prominently.

Wall Street analysts, the media and other armchair pundits are full of advice for Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer. We’re quick to advise him to tweak Microsoft’s tablets so they run something other than Windows, hurry up with that first Windows Phone 7 update, and bring the Kinect to Windows sooner rather than later.

But are those the kinds of things that Ballmer and his top management team really spend most of their time thinking about? Maybe not.

A source of mine passed on to me some information that seems to come from Microsoft’s own scorecarding system from the end of 2010 that detailed some high priority areas for Microsoft’s sales and marketing folks. Not too surprisingly — in spite of all the public noise around the company’s consumer products — enterprise wares (which still result in the majority of Microsoft revenues) are getting a lot of internal attention.

Yes, Microsoft’s Business Division (the Office team) had a bang-up Q2 FY2011, as the most recent earnings statement made clear. But according to the scorecarding information I saw — which, as some have reminded me, is a small sample from inside the company, and not true of all regions — some Microsoft managers consider Exchange’s license and revenue growth over the last several years to be “anemic,” even though Exchange is currently a $2 billion business.

(If you’re wondering about Microsoft’s hard-core push to sell Exchange Online and to win education accounts over to online services, slower Exchange Server growth is seemingly at least part of the reason. Microsoft execs view education as a key early adopter of cloud-based services, and e-mail is “the gateway application” for schools.)

On the SharePoint front, the public story is that sales continue to be phenomenal, with more than 100 million SharePoint licenses having been sold to 17,000 customers. However, internally some managers are warning that the sales focus on servers has been low “because revenue-based incentive compensation does not reward selling relatively low-priced servers.

SharePoint license growth rates have dropped in the past year, and “naked CALs” — Client Access Licenses sold without servers attached — are now at 40 percent of the total, the aforementioned Softies acknowledged. To counter, Microsoft is counting on its higher-end search products, like FAST Search and its SharePoint for Internet Sites SKUs for growth.

Though not specifically called out by the scorecarders, the changing software distribution models are another watch point for the company. Microsoft traditionally derives about one-third of its revenue and half of its products via preloads from the OEM channel. But the emergence of cloud computing and other new business models is shifting that mix, creating new competitive pressures and changing customer preferences.

Microsoft is already no doubt well on its way toward delivering the next versions of Exchange and Exchange Online, given that Exchange 2010 RTM’d in October 2009 and Service Pack 1in the fall of 2010. And the next version of SharePoint (SharePoint 15, I’d assume), also is moving along the dev schedule, I’d think.

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Mary Jo has covered the tech industry for more than 25 years for a variety of publications and Web sites, and is a frequent guest on radio, TV and podcasts, speaking about all things Microsoft-related. She is the author of Microsoft 2.0: How Microsoft plans to stay relevant in the post-Gates era (John Wiley & Sons, 2008).

Disclosure

Mary-Jo Foley

Freelance journalist/blogger Mary Jo Foley has nothing to disclose. WYSIWYG (what you see is what you get). I do not own Microsoft stock or stock in any of its partners or competitors. I have no business ventures that are sponsored by/funded by Microsoft or any of its partners or competitors.

Biography

Mary-Jo Foley

Mary Jo Foley has covered the tech industry for 25 years for a variety of publications, including ZDNet, eWeek and Baseline. She has kept close tabs on Microsoft strategy, products and technologies for the past 10 years. In the late 1990s, she penned the award-winning "At The Evil Empire" column for ZDNet, and more recently the Microsoft Watch blog for Ziff Davis.

Got a tip? Send her an email with your rants, rumors, tips and tattles. Confidentiality guaranteed.

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RE: What's keeping the Microsoft beancounters awake at night?
dsfwrryd32-24353600993189123216773693375797 Updated - 10th Nov
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"because revenue-based incentive compensation does not reward selling relatively low-priced servers"

That certainly sounds familiar. National Cash Register (then NCR, then part of an old AT&T, now NCR again) had trouble in the 1960s because it was much easier for the sales force to make and exceed quota by selling cash registers than by selling computers. (The guy with the Rich's Department Store computer sales no doubt did very well.)

It took an earthquake at the top (William S. Anderson) to change that.

(National Cash Register was never timid about sales--John Patterson fired Thomas Watson Sr as his head of sales for not being aggressive enough. That worked out fairly well for Mr Watson.)
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Same with new small businesses. Hello, cloud (Google Apps, etc.). Goodbye, Exchange/GroupWise. It's more complicated than that, but that hits the spot.
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Until Google Apps can match the feature set...
GoodThings2Life 8th Feb 2011
... there is no way they will gain any significant growth on Exchange, which is why Google is currently filing lawsuits all over the place in an effort to gain sympathy points. Doesn't change the fact that Gmail is NOT a corporate e-mail solution, and it never will be until privacy concerns and feature sets are addressed.
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@GoodThings2Life Not necessarily, a small business or an individual running several small businesses out of their home can do quite nicely on Google Apps. Since (1) the world is quickly turning into one single giant monopolistic corporate beast and (2) there is massive unemployment right now, these smaller players stay under the radar and are cropping up in droves in certain industries, particularly with online sales.
@Socratesfoot (below) Sorry, pal, but the world doesn't stop at the Mexican border, y'know...

The USA is now just a small, heavily saturated and from a mobile telecoms perspective, very backwater, twee, middle-sized market. Here in the rest of the world trusting Google with our data would be about as safe as hiring King Herod as our baby sitter.

There's a very good reason Microsoft has damn near 100% market share in all of Asia (where your jobs are going) and it isn't because they're so expensive. They're not. It's because you guys sit around gazing at your navels Tweeting each other about how wonderfull Google, Facebook and Twitter are while we're all getting on with the job - used to be your job.
Doesn't change the fact that Gmail is NOT a corporate e-mail solution, and it never will be until privacy concerns and feature sets are addressed. buy essay | Buy Assignment | Buy coursework
Microsoft has blown it in mobile (phones and tablets). Microsoft's position (and reputation) in mobile is now unrecoverable.

Most people will do most of their computing on mobile devices. Microsoft's formats (eg Word, Excel etc) will have negligible presence. Witness how Microsoft was unable to succeed with Silverlight as a web standard, because it could not get adoption in mobile.

People will abandon Microsoft formats, because they won't be usable on the devices that most people will use in the future. Without its Windows / Office cashcows, Microsoft is destined to become just a shadow of its former self.
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Sounds like you have seen the future
adornoe@... Updated - 9th Feb 2011
with all of those "will" in your comments.

With that kind of prediction power, why don't you go out and play the power-ball lotto, and after you win all of those millions, come back and tell us about how we should also believe in your predictions regarding Microsoft.
@zndac "blown it in phones and tablets"....well, MS doesn't sell either, just the operating system to support them. And, from more than a few sources it looks like their phones are doing well. It's only been a couple of months since their new OS came out...

"MS's formats will have negligible presence.".... well, define "negligible". I don't think 90%+ of a market is negligible. Even all the alternatives are (1) partially compatible with MS formats or (2) compared to MS products in every review. Heck, wasn't Openoffice supposed to get a ribbon interface too?

"People will abandon MS formats..."...again, FUD and nonsense. ASP is going strong, Silverlight is doing well, and in every area - from Servers to game machines, keyboards and mice included (!) they are doing well.

I guess some people just don't read the financial pages ... zndac apparently likes to stick to the comic book part of the news.
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...And that in a nutshell is exactly why MS are struggling. Management doesn't get it.

Technology growth is defined by innovation. These are not consumable widgets. Software is pratically indestructible, if it works, there really is little need to replace it. If there is no innovation, there is no revenue.

It's why MS products become overly complicated, It's easy for Sales Trolls to sell features, not "efficiencies" or innovation.

MBAs/Beancounters are taught to sell what currently sells, they lack the ability to even conceive that what they sell is innovation, not product.
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and they haven't had any innovations in a long while. At least according to you.

So, what cave did you just come out of?
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As well they should
sportmac 8th Feb 2011
How long can they keep losing money on all these other things before the stock holders get up in arms? How many billions did they lose on xbox before it had a profitable quarter? Enough that it's going to take a lot more quarters to make profitable.
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What's wrong with being patient?
adornoe@... 9th Feb 2011
Like you mentioned, they lost money with the XBox for years, and now it's becoming a profitable endeavor. And, it could turn out the same with many of their other endeavors. If profits are supposed to be an overnight thing, nobody would ever take a chance on anything new or different.

If Microsoft were to use your kind of mindset, they would've closed shop soon after the first Windows came out.
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Awake?
james347 8th Feb 2011
A hemorrhaging company.
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Look it up.

You might start learning something.
@james347 Not hemorrhaging, they are very profitable; but they did spread themselves a little thin and now have to focus more. I question if their focusing on the right things; but in the end the consumer will decide if that's the case.
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What should be keeping them awake...
TripleII-21189418044173169409978279405827 8th Feb 2011
...Android tablets coming in droves, iPad selling like crazy and what does MS do, it releases a powerpoint presentation.

http://www.macobserver.com/tmo/article/microsoft_unleashes_powerpoint_presentation_to_combat_ipad/

It wouldn't be so laughable if it weren't so laughable. This has got to be the most lame attempt in history to try and freeze a market. Seriously, love MS or hate them (or just own stock), they have to do something and probably very very soon.

TripleII
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