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Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Don’t Panic! It’s only the Internet running out of Addresses

By | February 3, 2011, 9:17am PST

Summary: It’s official. The last five blocks of IPv4 addresses have been distributed to the five Regional Internet Registries and there aren’t anymore.

The various Internet management groups made it official this morning. We’re now out of Internet Protocol version 4 (IPv4) Internet address blocks. The final five blocks of IPv4 addresses were given out to the five Regional Internet Registries (RIR), which, in turn, will distribute these IP addresses to ISPs. That puts about 80-million more IPv4 addresses in play, but once they’re gone, they gone: IPv4 game over.

There was nothing unexpected about the Internet running out of IPv4 addresses, except for how quickly the last few address blocks have been used up. As Rod Beckstrom, Internet Corporation For Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN)’s President and CEO said in the announcement “This is truly a major turning point in the on-going development of the Internet. Nobody was caught off guard by this, the Internet technical community has been planning for IPv4 depletion for quite some time. But it means the adoption of IPv6 is now of paramount importance, since it will allow the Internet to continue its amazing growth and foster the global innovation we’ve all come to expect.”

What does that mean for you? Well, in the short run, nothing if you’re an ordinary user. If you’re a CIO, network engineer or administrator, you’ve got to start getting switch to over to IPv6. IPv6, with its 128-bit addresses, won’t be running out of addresses any time this century.

IPv4 is another matter though. The Asia-Pacific RIR, (APNIC) will be the first to run out. I expect APNIC to give up its last free address in the early summer. RIPE, which handles Europe, the Middle East and the former Soviet Union countries, will go next by year’s end, and the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN) will run out in early 2012.

If your business isn’t ready for IPv6, and darn few are, there are some transitional technologies such as dual stack, dual-IP stacks, and Dual Stack Application Level Gateways that will let you use IPv4 and IPv6 at the same time.

If all that’s Greek to you, talk to your networking vendor or your ISP. You’re going to need their help to switch over IPv6 anyway. Many of them, such as Allied Telesis, Mu Dynamics, and Hurricane Electric have IPv4/IPv6 transition products and services ready to go.

As Alain Durand, director of software engineering for Juniper Networks told me, “The expected announcement from the Internet Assigned Numbers Authority [IANA] that the remaining large IPv4 address blocks have now been assigned has long been forecast and should be kept in perspective as global Internet growth will continue without interruption for a long time to come. Juniper Networks has been assisting its service provider and enterprise customers with a continuum of IPv4 exhaustion solutions, IPv6-enabled products and IPv4/IPv6 coexistence strategies for many years. There will be no disruption of service for the vast majority of Internet users, both wireless and wireline.”

So long, that is, as you upgrade your network infrastructure for the brave new world of IPv6. If you don’t, well don’t be shocked if in a year or two, you won’t be able to get Internet addresses for your new office or your VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) programs won’t connect.

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Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system

Disclosure

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols is a freelance writer. He does not own stocks or other investments in any technology company.

Biography

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system; 300bps was a fast Internet connection; WordStar was the state of the art word processor; and we liked it.

His work has been published in everything from highly technical publications (IEEE Computer, ACM NetWorker, Byte) to business publications (eWEEK, InformationWeek, ZDNet) to popular technology (Computer Shopper, PC Magazine, PC World) to the mainstream press (Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, BusinessWeek).

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RE: Don't Panic! It's only the Internet running out of Addresses
JACOBSONR 14th Oct
Good day to confirm this comment I would appreciate T h e b e s t o f Z D N e t d e l i v e r e d your website very nice to everyone Yes, Oracle is the only one with shared-disk architecture, but that is there advantage. It means you can add or remove nodes and the database lives on. In a shared nothing architecture, if you lose a node, you lose the system. I'm sure Oracle appreciates EMC highlighting their advantage.I also desire to signal in your RSS feeds. Thank you as soon as once again and maintain up the great operate Awesome post! Thank you very much || thanks for nice content this is really benefit to me.
What, me panic?
Never!
Aaauuuuughhhh!!!!!!!!!!!
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Yea really
LarsDennert 3rd Feb 2011
@jsexton9@... Just shut down the middle east like Egypt and reclaim the space.
@LarsDennert

That's not a good idea. Too many truly patriotic activities going on. Like people dying so that their fellow citizens can live in a democracy. Do all of the Egyptions want democracy? Probably not, but enough to deserve your respect.

gary
@LarsDennert : excellent idea. Just create a new IPv5 standard for all countries that have massive firewalls. That way, we know they are on the net, but we really don't need to know each and every little IP address from them.

How would it work. All the rest of the world would be
1.x.x.x.x and all closed, unfriendly societies like Iran, North Korea, Burma, Somalia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Cuba and Venezuela, would be 2.x.x.x.x.

This would give the whole world a break and let business focus on what the hell to do to stop Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain from going under.
IPV4 island for some time where packets are translated on the router. Then, each year, as people buy new equipment, more and more of the individual comuters will run IPV6.
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Contributr
@DonnieBoy Unfortunately, the various IPv4 IPv6 solutions aren't that compatible with each other. Messy times ahead for network engineers.

Steven
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Re: IP4 <--> IP6 migration "solutions"
Rick S._z Updated - 4th Feb 2011
@sjvn@...
I agree with your assessment. It was incredibly dumb not to reserve, and then define for actual use, some "extra" bits in the header for exactly such a migration problem.

A well-defined bit, EARLY in the header, to indicate that "IP-V6 Addresses are present in this Datagram" would have made the migration almost trivial.

The RFC is incredibly lame.
It's cool, I've got my towel.
@SlithyTove
I'm with you. It's just like the move to digital storage. A case of "So long, and thanks for all the fiche"!
@aldux But I do think we're in for A Long Dark Tea Time. Maybe we should hire Dirk to find those unused IPv4 addresses.
@aldux and @SlithyTove
You guys are such hoopy froods
This must be Thursday. I never could get the hang of Thursdays.
@Scubajrr

I'm not a tech-guy; But I think reclaiming unused old addresses is a good idea and might help with cross-over to newer addresses if it's needed.
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Cute!
kd5auq 3rd Feb 2011
This discussion has been going on for some time with vague "solutions" touted by so far nothing tangible other than the standard "take two aspirin and call me" advice.
Would one of you "Gurus" write something specific in layman's terms?
sad
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Contributr
@kd5auq It's coming. Look for my IPv6 FAQ next week.
I have four spare that I don't want/need, would gladly trade them for more bandwidth which AT&T says is not available. So far I am incline to believe them as I am lucky to get half of "max" bandwidth any given day.
IPv4 to IPv6 and vice versa

The key word for networks will be interoperability. The key words for users will be content and applications.

In 1995, the Internet Engineering Task Force (IETF), which is an unincorporated body of volunteers, tried to create the next generation or IP (for Internet Protocol) np (for next generation) which became version number 6.

The original specifications contained requirements that whatever the next generation was, be 100% fully interoperable with the existing "language" of the Internet, IP Protocol version 4 or IPv4.

Then, suddenly, the key requirement was removed by the "Editor" in 1996. This will go down as a possible "TRILLION" yes, you read that right, dollar decision.

Why? Because the entire network only "talks" one language right now. And developing and emerging economies will be unable to access the network without paying enormous sums to the "legacy" number holders who were given large allocations between 1981 to 1997. They were given huge swaths of "Internet Real Estate" and now do not use any of them. But no one can take it away from them. It is their property. (I'd love to see the Regional Internet Registries to try because they'd get stomped like grapes and then we'd get them back to being service focused companies)

So, is there a reason to "panic" ... no, absolutely not. We live in a countries that should be termed "incumbents". We have plenty of numbers for decades. So we are just fine.

Now emerging markets, well not so much. They should panic. India has less than 30m numbers. Indonesia, ha! Less than a /8 for the whole country. Don't even mention Pakistan or Nigeria.

So let's move to v6 ... not so fast. The largest ISPs have enormous built in incentives to NOT move to v6. It is called barrier to entry. If I were on the Board of Directors, I'd tell my staff to NOT GO THERE. As long as possible. So the leaders of the RIRs can plead and beg to go to v6 (They have HUGE incentives because they get paid for allocations, so once v4 goes away and no one cares about v6 they go AWAY) but in reality they control nothing. Nada ... zip.

So, is it time, as the late Douglas Adams would say, to panic? Only if you live in the developing world.

(Oh, ask the People's Republic of China's State Security arm what they have decreed about v6? It goes through the Great Firewall without being able to inspect it throughly, so no v6 in China, sorry)
@etaggert Are you sure about China? I thought I read that they had huge IPv6 adoption?
@etaggert : sorry to remind you that we no longer live in a unipolar world.

Your argument would be valid before the 2008 meltdown. Today, IPv6 shift will surely be used as a power struggle, quite similar to the Metric System movement.

I think Brasil, Russia, India and China (the so called BRICs) will use IPv6 as an excuse to fork the Internet and essentially out maneuver the west in the transition.

Ever heard of LTE and 4G. Well, that's common place is Japan and now China. On the U.S., well it's coming, really slowly. What it means for IP addresses. Imagine millions of mobile phones directly connecting to the web at full speed. Currently on 3G that's done thru proxies. On 4G it's gonna be native. So there's another reason China, Malaysia and all Southern Pacific is gonna embrace IPv6 at this moment.

Us in the U.S. and surrounding vicinity will be left tunneling IPv4 (which ironically sounds as "before") under the emerging IPv6 backbone.
What I don't understand is, why can't the ISPs do like we do on a home network? We have one IP address that is for the home, then we assign different IPs to the home devices.
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Contributr
@jtarheel The technology they use to do that is called NAT, and it, and its big enterprise brothers, are already being used. They're not enough.
@jtarheel

There are two major problems with ISP's employing NAT. 1) They have enough trouble deploying REAL IP address leases. Depending upon what IP addressing scheme they use, it will create a bottle neck of traffic on one device, which of course can not be fault tolerent (only ONE NAT device can deploy a specific range of numbers at a time).
2) You are already using NAT in your ROUTER for your devices. Want to see your download speed really slow down, just use NAT on top of NAT.
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I can't even begin to fathom the amount of wasted IP addresses that already exist and will never be used or thrown back into the mix. Countless ISPs offer service with static IP addresses in 5 packs minimum (instead of just one) when the average small business or home user uses only ONE and NAT. There is no reason for a stand alone computer to be given a static IP address behind a router unless you're doing a DMZ or multiple routers. What we need is an audit of existing IP addresses in use and a restructuring. No one has even ventured to look.
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@I12BPhil Actually some very serious people did look at USC/ISI.

Xue Cai and John Heidemann's amazing research paper says that only about 14% of the routable numbers (which is about 3.7b, the whole Internet has 4.3b numbers total or 2 to the power of 32) are being used.
ftp://ftp.isi.edu/isi-pubs/tr-656.pdf
@I12BPhil It might help -- for now. But it would require a major coalescing effort, since there's a major fragmentation problem. You can't return an odd address here and there, you have to return big contiguous blocks of them since major routers can't keep routing info for each individual address. Since coalescing addresses will at times require major rewiring and sometimes have to go across physical hardware, it's not a simple problem of little cost or effort.

With 7 billion people in the world, many of whom have home and mobile devices which connect to the internet, we're gonna need more than 4 billion addresses sooner or later anyway. The longer we wait, the more exponentially difficult the problem becomes. Might as well convert to IPv6 now.
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@I12BPhil

i'm "weird" in that i use multiple IP addresses at home, but even so, i only use 3 of my 5, and the 3rd was only because i was lazy setting it up. i could easily have done port mapping rather than a 1:1 nat and only used 2 addresses...

that said, even if recovery of these unused addresses were feasible, we would still run out of IPv4 addresses and need to migrate to IPv6 anyway. perhaps in the migration some of those wasted addresses will be recovered?

in my own example, i'm actively using 3 IP addresses on my home broadband. there are also 3 smart phones, each with their own (sometimes multiple) IP addresses, depending on services active at the time.

so, based on 1 IP for me on the broadband and 1 on the cell phone, and a population of 7 billion on the planet, as more and more people have data capable devices (smart phones, GPS devices with live traffic updates, cars that have built in GPS/traffic/etc), 2 or 3 IP addresses per person is not unreasonable, and the 4 billion IPv4 has, even if not wasted by lack of use, would be insufficient.
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Don't worry...
james347 3rd Feb 2011
...I won't.
There is no reason that IPv6 and IPv4 can't live on the same network together. Any OS, which has IPv6, also has IPv4. This dual-stack is said to be "transitional". Why? The IPv4/IPv6 dual-stacks can live on indefinitely.

We will move to IPv6. There is no doubt, but IPv4 will live on the Internet for many decades along side IPv6.
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and seek out the hoarders of IPV4 space. Yes, we need to move to IPV6 quickly, but there are entities out there with largely unused class B nets that could be used to ease the transition.
Agreed, I cannot think of any reason General Electric (3.x.x.x) or IBM (9.x.x.x) seriously need a contiguous block of 16777216 IP addresses. Make them justify the use or give it back to the RIR for reallocation.
All that talk and nothing definitive about anything. Search engines are giving up the info though.
The Sky is falling.. run..run
And then you have Hewlett-Packard owning 2 class A address spaces after buying Compaq, namely 15. and 16. If they gave up at least one of those we wouldn't be running out of IP4 address this week!
Looks like there are lots of racists out there who think that they are better than the people of Egypt, Syria, Iran, etc. Who the hell do you think you are? They are still people like you and me. So, stop this prejudice and behave like civilized people who should embrace the effort of the people of these regions of the world who are trying to go against their tyrant governments in order to be democratic like you people tag yourselves with.
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IPv6 is STILL PREMATURE
anthonymaw 7th Feb 2011
Put it into perspective: Running out of public globally unique IPv4 addresses are only a problem for Internet Service Providers and large glutonous governments, schools and corporations. Most organizations use only one or two public numbers and NAT their own controlled, firewalled, scanned, logged and monitored networks with private IPv4 address spaces so this won't be a problem at all for the forseeable future. When ISP's do roll out IPv6, only the corporate firewall and border routers really need to be upgraded. Converting internal networks to IPv6 is a total waste of time and money and I wouldn't buy shares in an outfit that spent money on it's IT grease balls to do it.
@anthonymaw

the translations between IPv4 and IPv6 have their limits, and i am very doubtful that some of those limits will be addressable at all... i am planning to upgrade to IPv6 on my home network when i have the chance and run both in parallel for a while so i can test pieces that may or may not work correctly through a translator gate
y2k all over again?
You are slipping. But you'd be right. The uptake of windows obviously made the internet what it is today and the growth and expansion of internet technologies goes right back to Windows invasion of the world.
Can you imagine, before MS DOS and then the following onslaught of PC clones, what the internet landscape would look like today.
There was nobody poised to make affordable home PCs that would so quickly top one billion users.
We'd just be entering Web 1.0 after Apple got around to making a machine that was afforable to at least the middle class. We'd still be far behind.
Same with IBM. Their prices and closed hardware technology would have made PC ownership cost prohibitive to most people.

Thank you Bill Gates for your visioin and building the infrastructure that has driven all of today's technologies.
No Windows....No Google. They piggybacked obviously via search with 99% of it's users on windows machines.

No ipads, itouch or ipod even. No windows infrastructure to run itunes. It would have been a small niche market.

It's amazing the businesses, jobs and spreading around of decent jobs around the globe MS has contributed to the world, which in turn has kept the family unit strong, the economy strong and allowed the mass sharing of data, our lives and videos etc
Kudos Microsoft!

A blessing to the world and even FOSS people would not be where they are today w/o what is already in place due to Microsoft.
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Good day to confirm this comment I would appreciate T h e b e s t o f Z D N e t d e l i v e r e d your website very nice to everyone Yes, Oracle is the only one with shared-disk architecture, but that is there advantage. It means you can add or remove nodes and the database lives on. In a shared nothing architecture, if you lose a node, you lose the system. I'm sure Oracle appreciates EMC highlighting their advantage.I also desire to signal in your RSS feeds. Thank you as soon as once again and maintain up the great operate Awesome post! Thank you very much || thanks for nice content this is really benefit to me.

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