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Linux and Open Source

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols & Paula Rooney

Android, MeeGo & WebOS need to get going on tablets: Now

By | March 2, 2011, 3:37pm PST

Summary: If Android, MeeGo, webOS, and yes Windows too, want to play a role in tablets, they need to make moves NOW or the iPad 2 is going to run them over.

I have a confession to make. I use Linux more than I do any other operating system by a wide margin, but I also use a lot of Apple products. In house at the moment are two Mac Minis; a MacBook Pro, a pair of iPod Touches, and, oh yes, an iPad mark 1. I know I’m not the only Linux or Windows guy who likes his Mac stuff too. In recent months I’ve been to both open-source and Windows tech. shows and I’ve seen MacBooks, iPhones and iPads everywhere. Now, with the iPad2 on the runway, if Android, MeeGo, webOS, and yes Windows too, want to play a sizable share of the tablet market, they need to make moves now or the iPad 2 is going to run them over.

First, while the iPad 2 doesn’t look to me like a great upgrade over the first model of the iPad, it further extends its lead over the existing tablets. I’ve seen and played with, to name a few, the Motorola Xoom; the Fujitsu Stylistic Windows 7 slate; and a host of other, older Android tablets. None of them are competitive yet with the first iPad, never mind the iPad 2.

So is it game over for iPad’s would-be competitors? No, but here’s what I think Google, Intel, HP and Microsoft need to do to make a fight of it.

First, everyone needs to go low on price. Forget about fighting it out on the high-end. Apple under Jobs has always been the premium brand. No one’s going to move them out of that spot of the market anytime in the next few years.

As part of that, all the other players are going to need to get a handle on how Apple handles its supply chain. This is one area where MeeGo and webOS, since both are tied to one vendor, have a potential edge.

Android: First, Android 2.x is fine for smartphones. I love my Droid 2 smartphone with Android 2.2. But, no version of Android 2.x works that well on full-scale tablets. Oh, certainly you can use it on a small tablets like Barnes & Noble’s Nook Color, but Android 3, aka Honeycomb, needs to be out and in the hands of OEMs and developers yesterday.

Google also must clean up Android’s security holes. Yes, being open is a good thing, but at least in Apple’s closed software garden, there’s only one throat to throttle: Apple’s, if something goes wrong. At the very least, Google needs to assign quality assurance and security people to the Google App Store to make sure this kind of crap doesn’t get through to customers.

It’s beyond Google’s control, but all the many would-be Android tablet players also need to pay close attention to design and style. Why do you think Apple keeps making billions anyway? It’s not because they’re the cheapest-they’re never that-or always technically the best, but their devices just look and feel good. Chances are you don’t have someone with Steve Jobs’ design aesthetic sense, but Android OEMs have to try harder.

Once they had good-looking designs. Android vendors can also try, more easily than the others, to go cheap. If someone can manage to make a good, not great, but full-sized tablet for say $250, they’ve got a real chance of cleaning up the mid-range market.

MeeGo First, Nokia deserts her for that tramp Windows Phone 7, and now she has to face a new model iPad. What’s an open-operating system to do? Well, MeeGo has all the problems that Android, but it also has a much smaller developer community and no OEMs to speak of since Nokia bolted. If MeeGo wants to play on tablets, and not just in in-vehicle infotainment (IVI hardware, Intel needs not only to push the software out to developers fast, it needs to start work yesterday on a great design. Good luck MeeGo, I like you, but you’re going to need all the help you can get.

Page 2: [WebOS & Windows] »

Topics

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system

Disclosure

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols is a freelance writer. He does not own stocks or other investments in any technology company.

Biography

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols, aka sjvn, has been writing about technology and the business of technology since CP/M-80 was the cutting edge, PC operating system; 300bps was a fast Internet connection; WordStar was the state of the art word processor; and we liked it!

His work has been published in everything from highly technical publications (IEEE Computer, ACM NetWorker, Byte) to business publications (eWEEK, InformationWeek, ZDNet) to popular technology (Computer Shopper, PC Magazine, PC World) to the mainstream press (Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, BusinessWeek).

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Android 3.0 is Fresh Build!
Monarky Updated - 9th Mar 2011
@jeremychappell ......unlike iOS simply running on a giant iPod Touch and having Apps with just a slight adjustment and optimized for it!

The reality is the number of actual Apps designed ground up for it are laughable compared to what's now been either converted from FLASH (that's already) on the Web for PC's and what has come from iPod iPhone App optimization. Or do Apple users really think ground up App development can be near instant (done in months, weeks or days) on quality Apps coded in clunky old school Objective C? It's a joke of an Tablet OS.... compared to Honeycomb being a purpose built, ground up design that is naturally starting from scratch with few Apps specifically designed for it!

What? You think Adobe Air and Air 2 are bad SDK's??? Have you ever used them? I don't think so and obviously you are either an Apple or Microsoft .NET fan for runtime environments. Adobe is incorporating newest "3D MoleHill" API's into AIR from FLASH's New Next Generation Wrappers as well. But let your ignorance of FLASH cloud your perceptions of it's power to keep FLASH with it's Millions of Developers in a job for a now great Future ahead!

You only had to be at the 3D Molehill's release party and try out the demos to see that FLASH is not only NOT DEAD.... but just got it's second wind! ....try the 3D Max Racer Demo on a good PC and check the CPU cycles. Near none! ....and you can't count the polygons see it run 1080p 60FPS Graphics Goodness as fast as a native App in your Browser!!! ....all running fully accelerated using D3D and OpenGL API GPU Hardware to render in Real Time!

Give RIM a chance and they've proven they can come out of the crowd to give professional results. I don't see any of these competitors to Apple not having a future. A future that can only make our future as consumers brighter! Competition? Bad for them and Good for US!!!

The Future is Open on a wide Freeway aboard the Web. That Freeway may be paved by HTML5, but only Open Cross Platform Applications will see lasting success. Closed proprietary narrow minded network environments have died and we only need to look back at Apple's past in light of what they should have learned from Compuserve and AOL Hell's Closed Garden Walled environments compared to FLASH's own phenomenal success in being on near every hardware platform and OS in existence to see what works long term. Now with more developers than on any of it's competitors developer base..... guess who'll still be around with innovative cross platform Web based App and Business model? wink

After all Apple got a hint and are just claiming to support HTML5 knowing that it has no secure transaction processing system or DRM model to be a competitor to their App market. But.... Adobe FLASH.... DOES!!! grin
Steven,

Great article.
@choyongpil
It is a good article and one that I enjoyed reading; however, as with so many other articles it focuses on devices and/or OSes only with little to no mention of the overall eco-system.

My opinion, and it is just my opinion, is that the eco-system is far more important. Someone who owns an iMac, iPod and iPhone is more likely to buy an iPad than a Win7, WebOS or Android tablet. Someone with a PC, Zune and WP7 phone is more likely to buy a W7 pad than one of the others. It comes down to apps and music. If a person has purchased apps and music from eco-system then they are more likely to only buy devices compatible with that eco-system. Few will want to have to buy aps and music multiple times from multiple eco-systems eg - buying apps from an iPhone from Apple and music from MS for a Zune to then purchase an Android pad and need to purchase apps and/or music from an Android store. To me, it makes no sense.
buying drm'd music now, even if youre silly enough to be still be using itunes. meego and webos are DOA, if they arrive at all. android will have a short life until W8 takes off. 5 or 6 years from now it'll probably be 80/20 W8/ipad
@ptorning

I think Apple would say that it had 9 million examples -- from last year alone -- that show that it's not just Mac users buying iPads. Windows owners are buying them, too. And Linux people, too.

Again, millions upon millions of Windows customers use iTunes to buy music, movies, whatever. iTunes is (I believe) the biggest distributor of music in the world now. And the songs/shows from it work on consumers' PC, iPod, iPhone, iPad, AppleTV. So, in a sense, you're right: the ecosystem drives device sales. The biggest ecosystem is Apple's, so they're getting the most device sales.
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That used to be the case...
cosuna 3rd Mar 2011
... but it no longer applies, @ptorning. I had two ex managers who had Windows based tablets (one HP convertible and the other had a UMPC with stylus), both of them abandon them in frustration.

Vertical markets aside, Windows tablets haven't garnered any significant clout, primarily because they were very poorly developed devices. Just like Windows Mobile, consumers saw no advantage to them.

Win8 could even be worse, as it will break most compatibility with existing Windows. It might leverage the "ecosystem" (aka Zune, Office, Xbox) but might be too little for too few.
Honeycomb is out to devs and OEM's as it is. And they have put it on good hardware. Its going as we speak. The problem isn't that. The problem is the price. The devices just cost to much when everybody expected them to match or undercut Apple. If you ask me the only thing stopping the non Apple faithful from running to the Xoom for instance is the price.
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RE: Android, MeeGo & WebOS need to get going on tablets: Now
jeremychappell Updated - 2nd Mar 2011
@storm14k Ya think? What about the UI? Xoom's home screen is object lesson on wasted screen space. Or the fear of malware? Or the lack of apps? Or the bad UI choices (the calendar being the poster child here for "WTF?").

No Google need to get this sucker more fully baked. And actually maybe ChromeOS would be a better option anyway - Google do nice WebApps, if the thing can be "always connected" wouldn't that be the more "Google-ish" way to do it?

HP's webOS looks like it might be fantastic, needs more apps, but hey, it's "new". But HP need to get it out, in the worst way - otherwise they might find themselves staring down the iPad3... or at least the prospect of it (and that's probably worse as people imagine Apple's "next big thing" is going to do everything).

MeeGo? I dunno, I'd like to see it happen, but with Nokia not onboard... I dunno.

As for RIM? So the thing runs Android apps, but it isn't Android. The "native" apps are written with Adobe Air. And it has no email, instead needing a "leg up" from a Blackberry smartphone. My questions are: How well do the Android apps run (and how many don't)? What's point in writing native apps, if Android ones work? What the hell are they smoking to not get email working - they are RIM for crying out loud?!
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lol
jivester 2nd Mar 2011
@jeremychappell ...you sound like someone who has read to many techblogs but hasn't actually touched or spent the time to get to know the products you so" thoroughly" review. Honeycomb isn't half baked, but it doesn't have an app ecosystem yet...yet.
@jeremychappell

It's a stretch to think that Apple is going to get both the iPad2 and the iPad3 out before HP gets the Touchpad out as it was announced before either of those two. Apple's cycle isn't going to get an iPad 3 out for some time - let's let them get the iPad 2 out first.

HP has 10" Touchpad Topaz coming in the summer and 7" Touchpad Opal coming in the fall (according to many sources). Since the Touchpad hardware already looks better than the Ipad2, Apple should be looking to get a Mini iPad2 (7" version) by the fall.
0 Votes
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Android 3.0 is Fresh Build!
Monarky Updated - 9th Mar 2011
@jeremychappell ......unlike iOS simply running on a giant iPod Touch and having Apps with just a slight adjustment and optimized for it!

The reality is the number of actual Apps designed ground up for it are laughable compared to what's now been either converted from FLASH (that's already) on the Web for PC's and what has come from iPod iPhone App optimization. Or do Apple users really think ground up App development can be near instant (done in months, weeks or days) on quality Apps coded in clunky old school Objective C? It's a joke of an Tablet OS.... compared to Honeycomb being a purpose built, ground up design that is naturally starting from scratch with few Apps specifically designed for it!

What? You think Adobe Air and Air 2 are bad SDK's??? Have you ever used them? I don't think so and obviously you are either an Apple or Microsoft .NET fan for runtime environments. Adobe is incorporating newest "3D MoleHill" API's into AIR from FLASH's New Next Generation Wrappers as well. But let your ignorance of FLASH cloud your perceptions of it's power to keep FLASH with it's Millions of Developers in a job for a now great Future ahead!

You only had to be at the 3D Molehill's release party and try out the demos to see that FLASH is not only NOT DEAD.... but just got it's second wind! ....try the 3D Max Racer Demo on a good PC and check the CPU cycles. Near none! ....and you can't count the polygons see it run 1080p 60FPS Graphics Goodness as fast as a native App in your Browser!!! ....all running fully accelerated using D3D and OpenGL API GPU Hardware to render in Real Time!

Give RIM a chance and they've proven they can come out of the crowd to give professional results. I don't see any of these competitors to Apple not having a future. A future that can only make our future as consumers brighter! Competition? Bad for them and Good for US!!!

The Future is Open on a wide Freeway aboard the Web. That Freeway may be paved by HTML5, but only Open Cross Platform Applications will see lasting success. Closed proprietary narrow minded network environments have died and we only need to look back at Apple's past in light of what they should have learned from Compuserve and AOL Hell's Closed Garden Walled environments compared to FLASH's own phenomenal success in being on near every hardware platform and OS in existence to see what works long term. Now with more developers than on any of it's competitors developer base..... guess who'll still be around with innovative cross platform Web based App and Business model? wink

After all Apple got a hint and are just claiming to support HTML5 knowing that it has no secure transaction processing system or DRM model to be a competitor to their App market. But.... Adobe FLASH.... DOES!!! grin
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You do realize over these past few years
James Quinn 2nd Mar 2011
@storm14k
People who have purchased iPods, iPhones and now iPads are NOT all Macintosh users right? There are many an iPod owner or iPhone owner who work with PC's and have one or more at home. This whole blame the Apple faith full for Apple's wild success can't logically explain Apple's sales numbers not those loyal Macintosh user/fans alone that is. They've had to have a huge helping from those who were not Apple fanatics at least until they got their hand onto an Apple product and became one of the many Apple satisfied customers:)

Pagan jim
@James Quinn

You are quite right sir. I being one of them. I have always hated Apple, being a Windows guy, but I gave the 3GS a try after it launched and instantly fell in love with it. I bought an iPhone 4 and pretty much think I have sealed my own fate with phones in the future. I am not knocking Android, I happen to love Android devices, but as sad as it makes me to say it, my heart now belongs to iOS. Most of the people I know with iPhones are also avid PC users.

I will most likely pick up a WM7 phone in the future for a work phone, but I can guarantee that there will always be an iPhone in my pocket.
@James Quinn
Precisely.

Apple almost went under when all it did was cater to its exceedingly-loyal Mac owner base.

It didn't skyrocket to success until it had products that appealed to mainstream consumers -- those with PCs, and those who don't have PCs.

Their products may cost a little more (and that isn't even terribly true these days) but the perceived value is higher, and, in the real world, they tend to "just work" more than competitors alternatives, which is all that matters to non-geek consumers (i.e., to folks who wouldn't ever think of visiting this site).

Apple makes consumer products, not "geek" products. (They're good geek products, too ... they just hide all that for those who don't want to see it.) And consumers have spoken: they like Apple's stuff.

That really can't be argued, given Apple's unit sales, record revenue, and record valuation.
Wrong. Some people don't want to have anything to do with iTunes on their main computing computer. Some people don't have a main computer, which means they can't use an iPad at all (no iTunes to tether to).

So no, iPad will never, ever become a monopoly, because it doesn't fit most people's needs for mobile computing.
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Not exactly
oncall 2nd Mar 2011
@Droid101

You need to hook your iPad up to an iTunes machine to activate it which can be done at the Apple store. After that no you need not connect it to a computer at all if that's your wish. It's a risky way to go though because iTunes backs up your entire iPad so you could lose purchased music or movies, you also won't get software updates to the main OS. However, you can also do both of those on any computer with iTunes even if you don't own it. Being a mobile device, why would you NOT want to back it up though?
instead of cloud storage? Or be limited to getting os updates that way. That's good to have as a choice but it flat out sucks if its the only way.
magically convert to "most" by your last paragraph. Sorry. It is "some" and always will be "some." Until some other tech company actually realizes that letting EE's run your design department = FAIL, Apple will be running in front by miles.
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Then you do not understand
Mister Spock 2nd Mar 2011
@frgough@...
which explains why you endlessly continue to praise Apple, as well as sell all others short.

I would believe that many here laugh at you. Is that your desired outcome?
plain
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Mister Spock when logic fails insult.
James Quinn 2nd Mar 2011
@Mister Spock
A very "emotional" reaction.

Pagan jim
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@Mister Spock
fr_gough 3rd Mar 2011
It's precisely why I praise Apple. But I do not sell all others short. I simply observe and conclude.
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@Droid101

I remembered how "some" people wanted nothing to do with iTunes for their MP3 player. The only problem was those "some" people are nothing but a very tiny vocal community. iTunes continued to grow each year to the very top spot, now with 200 million user account (credit cards). And iPod still dominates.

Seriously I don't know why some feel the need to point out that a very small tiny subset dislike iTunes. Does it really matter?
@dave95.

Except that it's not a tiny subset. iTunes is well documented by many tech industry writers for being a memory hog of a software program.

The problem is that people lack the choice since no one else can get the music licenses at the same price points. There's a difference between Apple's Bizdev team being awesome (it is) and the poor engineering effort in the iTunes software itself. Unfortunately the two are conflated since access to the store can only be done with the software.

It reminds me a little how people argue against webOS based on the poor hardware and marketing the devices have had. They have the same problem of conflating things that shouldn't be.
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Meego is dead. I won't keep any hope for that OS.
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The OEMs and carriers keep telling us they are afraid of Android dominance.

If that's the case, they should all get together behind MeeGo, the most open mobile OS of them all.
power consumption is way too high. Some good ones, like su9600 with TDP 10w, is itself around $500 of retail price.

Microsoft adoption of arm for window 8 may change tablet landscape.
getting started 3-5 years from now and intel could easily have something very competitive by then...
Steve,
You completely forgot RIM. What about it?
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DOA. Like meego, like webos, DOA
Johnny Vegas 2nd Mar 2011
if you have RIM stock...
@Johnny Vegas
happy. Since I didn't see any mention about it, I thought he had a different opinion about it
@Johnny Vegas
Except that it isn't. IT departments that I am familiar with have been playing with it and love it.
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Contributr
@Rama.NET I think RIM is much, much too late to this game to matter. I wish it wasn't so, but there it is. Thanks to Intel, I think even MeeGo still has a small shot at the big-time, but RIM? No, I can't see it.

Steven
Won't help.
dfhujtiy
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iPad "killer"
putt1ck 3rd Mar 2011
Will come from where you least expect it. Not just in terms of the OS it runs, but in terms of country of design, approach to specification, sales; everything. It will not just compete on price, it will destroy on price; it will be more useful, more portable and longer-lived. A true disruptor that will do all the important things the iPad and other tablets do but be cheap enough to be ubiquitous; fun enough for play while essential for work. I'd tell you what it is, but that might create too much competition in their pre-order system and mine might get delayed...
The relatively lame duck that was unleashed yesterday will not really post any fear in the competition. My main worry is that they will figure that they have another year to get it done, but they don't.

All the other vendors need to sit up, smell the blood and pounce if they intend to feed on any of this lucrative market...

The iPad was a good START, the iPad2 did little to continue that journey. I am hoping to see someone come up with something a bit more evolved.
@bmacfarland

The first iPad was released in April 2010. iPad is being released IN Apple stores March 11, 2011.

So your argument makes no sense. At this rate iPad3 will be out in February of 2012.
All this speculation, with most of it not based on facts at all.
The one pinion expressed that I have heard from every associate recently is that Android Tablets- even the better quality/Name brand units need to be much lower in price to attract their attention or purchase.
I agree, if I am outputting that much money, I would choose iPAD.
WebOS is a feint. It's a simulation of an attack to get our guard down in a different area. It's a very expensive feint, but that's what it is.

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