For 2008 expect more Linux applications

For 2008 expect more Linux applications

Summary: The big technology trend of the current day is the merging of markets -- mobile, desktop, server, online -- into one big all-you-can-eat application buffet. Nothing serves that buffet, at every level, as well as Linux.

SHARE:

sick dog from Enterpreneurmoms.orgBefore heading out for some Christmas cheer let's leave a few moments to consider the future.

What will 2008 bring? Many of the answers are unknown, but here's something I'm fairly certain of.

It's going to bring a lot more Linux applications.(This poor guy was found at EntrepreneurMoms. Someone please get him an aspirin.)

The growth of the Linux application space until now has been hampered by a lack of market share, especially on the client side. Many of the most popular Linux applications, like McKesson's medical applications, are in fact proprietary.

This is going to change. Not only will we see more Linux applications, but we're going to see increasing pressure to make those applications available under an open source license, if their makers don't want to lose their markets.

There are several reasons for my confidence in making this prediction:

  1. Great new development tools, including Eclipse and Adobe Flex, along with new open source competitors like Appcelerator.
  2. Google's Android, which will need applications in the mobile space to be successful.
  3. Desktop Linux, which will need to grow its application suite.
  4. Google's Cloud, which will spur more online application development.
  5. A continuing desire by enterprises to drive down cost, which will spur not only more acceptance of open source applications, and contributions to them, but the growth of more projects.

The big technology trend of the current day is the merging of markets -- mobile, desktop, server, online -- into one big all-you-can-eat application buffet.

Nothing serves that buffet, at every level, as well as Linux. Linux works well in every niche. This will be the year applications start taking advantage.

Topics: Apps, Google, Linux, Open Source, Operating Systems, Software

Kick off your day with ZDNet's daily email newsletter. It's the freshest tech news and opinion, served hot. Get it.

Talkback

17 comments
Log in or register to join the discussion
  • Linux Desktop is pretty amazing ...

    It has shown an ability to thrive with a hardly measurable marketshare. It has easily the most highly energized fan base and the most highly motivated detractors of any computing technology in existence bar none. Each year it just keeps making a little more progress, dependably disappointing its adherents who are always expecting more, but always infuriating its foes who are always expecting that it will falter. This actually makes things pretty exciting each new year for those of use who use it. Steady, measured progress each year it not a bad thing actually. It is something wonderful to look forward to each year.
    George Mitchell
    • Wars are won

      one acre at a time. Considering how little capital is backing Linux in the grand scheme of things, I for one am very pleased with it's progress. Look at what it's up against.

      Microsoft, entrenched and a whole lotta capital behind it... yet Linux is making inroads on the desktop. Sure they are not large, but it is happening and significant enough that Redmond is aware.

      Macintosh, another entrenched OS. While no where near as powerful fiscally as Microsoft, still not a shlub to be ignored.

      Desktop Linux will not happen overnight, it will happen over time though and before we know it the marketshare will be double digit. And it will be a slow methodical rise. Although as more commercial applications become available the increase will become noticeable.

      I think what the Linux detractors are expecting is a massive inrush of Linux. Hence why they scoff at "This is the year of desktop Linux." Well, that year has actually come and gone. And while not a razzle dazzle explosion, it has progressed quite nicely. And this is why those against Linux are surprised. We are still here and we are still growing with no end in sight.

      Litigation has failed, lies have failed and outright FUD wars have failed to slow the inexorable tide of the penguin. Surfs up dude! ]:)
      Linux User 147560
  • It's going to be a green Christmas up here in Toronto

    Must be all the hot air.
    happyharry_z
  • Right On Brother! :)

    nt
    D T Schmitz
  • The future of applications looms?

    "Yankee Group has said in a recent report that Linux's open source platform will outperform Windows' proprietary in virtual appliances and will make way for independent software vendors (ISVs). ... As server virtualisation progresses and customers increase demand, virtual appliances could become the leading and only system for ISVs." http://www.bcs.org/server.php?show=conWebDoc.16522

    Current software security and compatibility challenges make this option extremely attractive. Could it be the future of the desktop as virtualization technology creeps from the server side to the desktop side?
    George Mitchell
  • No surprise here!

    I've been telling you people that Linux is going to displace windoze soon. Now everybody agrees that this milestone is only weeks away!
    Linux Geek
    • Actually...

      you have been p!ssing people off with trash talk ALL the time! If you actually posted something with an intellectual design to it... ]:)
      Linux User 147560
  • Expect more

    Expect more whining, more ideology, more apologists, more almost done open source software, more distros, more versions, more last century's development systems, more flaming on ZDNet, more people wondering what the hell is Linux and then not bothering to find out, and more geek support ;-)

    Linux, a wonderful operating system for the 20th century - a hobbyist's delight. Excuse me for wanting a little more choice, options, professional software, technical support, the latest games and for having a business that requires me to communicate with clients using the global OS - you know the one that over 92% of us use. If you don't have these requirements, then Linux is definitely the OS for you.

    Let's just party like it's 1999. ;-)
    tonymcs@...
    • Yes that's why

      it beat Windows with 3D desktops by several years. That's why it's using modern coding practices with a proven security model from the word go.

      Linux is just as much a 21st century OS as Windows, which by the way is still based on the NT kernel. So if you are going to throw egg, better make sure it doesn't come back.

      The Windows kernel is not a complete re-write and in several instances shared critical vulnerabilities with Windows XP because it is a re-hash of the NT code base with a pretty and bloated front end.

      And contrary to your statement, Linux is more than capable of fulfilling the role of Windows, you can't blame the lack of applications on Linux. That falls squarely on the shoulders of the application vendors.

      Another thing, if you had half a clue, you would know there are only 4 major players for Linux vendors. The rest are for niche roles.

      Novell-SuSE
      Red Hat
      Ubuntu
      Mandriva

      I like many millions of others around the world, are using Linux day to day in the work place. I use it to do things that Windows either can't do or can't do without major contortions and I can do it for pretty much no cost. That in of itself is well worth using Linux.

      Linux is growing and it is moving out, accept this fact and you will be able to move forward. Deny it, and you may end up behind the curve. ]:)
      Linux User 147560
    • Technology is driving leading applications toward Linux ...

      There are growing indications that applications of the future will be Linux based since Linux better lends itself to virtulization and virtulization appears to be the future for desktop applications. In fact, virtualization could very well begin to blur the lines between server and desktop roles, as a given piece of hardware running a number of virtual sessions could easily play both roles simultaneously. Read about virtualized desktop applications known as virtual appliances here: http://www.vnunet.com/vnunet/news/2205928/virtual-appliances-offer-real
      George Mitchell
    • 1999?

      I guess you still run a Model T, or perhaps a de Lorean. Say, do you by chance happen to have a Microsoft rep helping your with your posts?
      ego.sum.stig
  • Changing my focus

    Dropping a very large .NET dev contract and switching to focus more on OSS applications. The plan was to take a couple months off but I've been pretty surprised by the demand. My phone rings every day and I haven't even started advertising yet.

    What's exciting is to see the scope and backing some of the OSS projects are getting.

    There's still plenty of .NET work out there, but the market is definitely changing.
    Chad_z
  • RE: For 2008 expect more Linux applications

    I'd expect more cross-platform applications, targeting both Windows and Linux with the same code base.

    Milan B
    http://www.guacosoft.com
    mbabuskov
  • Open Source vs Developer IP

    Doesn't open source take some of the incentive out of developing sophisticated software? Why should programmers not be able to own their works for licensing?
    arny27@...
    • Who said they don't own it?

      Do you want some number of up-front licenses, or an ongoing stream from support contracts? Red Hat and others seem to have done quite well for themselves shifting to the latter. Selling ongoing support for the 'sophisticated software' you talk about writing is probably a much more lucrative model than the one-time license fee. Look at where the traditional mid-range and mainframe companies have made their money, it's not on the upfront sale, it's all the ancillary stuff once they're in the door.
      rkhalloran
    • You're confusing Open Source with Public Domain

      Open Source licenses rely entirely on the original authors' ownership of the code to enforce those licenses and the original authors can use the code [i]they[/i] (not others) have contributed however they please including relicensing said code to a proprietary software company for a fee.

      The GPL reinforces this incentive in that the code [u]cannot[/u] be used in proprietary software without the express permission of the original authors which is precisely why it's so much more popular than the BSD or MIT licenses.
      odubtaig
  • Linux doesn't matter.

    As a user of Linux on the desktop for about two years now, I have become an admirer of the elegance and power of this remarkable operating system. As a person of limited resources, I am appreciative of the capabilities that Linux has given me at no cost whatsoever, and on hardware platforms that other people seem to regard as trash. Linux has been such a gift that I have come to care about it personally, and to wish it well.

    Appreciating the many, many advantages Linux offers, it continues to astonish me that the entire world does not instantly and suddenly abandon expensive, proprietary alternatives and adopt Linux wholesale. Why would anyone spend $400 per copy for an OS that requires 345 years to copy 70 GB of data from one drive to another, and that assumes you are a pirate and a cheat at every turn? I have never been able to wrap my mind around the paradox that is Microsoft. It does not seem possible that that company could survive for even a week! And yet, survive they do, and every week brings word of ever more stratospheric profits to the company that loves to abuse its customers.

    It is true that Linux has grown despite formidable opposition from Microsoft, but this growth has been too slow to matter. In 16 years, Linux has grown to occupy almost one half of one percent of the world's desktops! Yippee!!! At this rate, in another hundred years, we'll have 3.1% of the desktop market!
    trentreviso