Can we finally realize Alan Kay's Dynabook for $100?

Can we finally realize Alan Kay's Dynabook for $100?

Summary: The Dynabook. Source: A Personal Computer for Children of All Ages, Alan Kay, XEROX PARC 1968.

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dynabook.png

The Dynabook. Source: A Personal Computer for Children of All Ages, Alan Kay, XEROX PARC 1968.

November 5th, 2008 was the 40th anniversary since computer scientist Alan Kay devised the "Dynabook", a theoretical computing device which was aimed toward higher education and "children of all ages".

Since the device's theoretical conception in 1968 and a publication of a paper proposing its use in 1972 when Kay was at Xerox's PARC, many of the technologies that were in Kay's conceptual device finally did come to fruition such as portable and mobile computing, GUIs and object-oriented programming languages. But has the Dynabook truly been realized?

Click on the "Read the rest of this entry" link below for more.

In a nutshell, no. While we have made tremendous strides in computing and information technology in the last 40 years, it's hard to say that we've been able to go completely paperless and create the computing equivalent to the 1930's Volkswagen or the "People's PC".

And certainly, from the perspective of the Dynabook's true purpose as an educational tool, even the OLPC organization of which Kay is an active consulting member has fallen way short of its original lofty goals to getting a computer into the hands of every single student in the world at a cost of $100 per unit, not the $294.00 that Kay originally proposed in 1972.

dynabook-cost.jpg

Alan Kay's proposed cost of the Dynabook was $294.00 in 1972 money, which adjusted for inflation is roughly $1538.00 today.

I believe we have all the technologies necessary to create the Dynabook, but to get a tablet-type ebook/computing device into the hands of every single student in the entire world -- be it in developing countries or in our own educational institutions, we're going to have to try a lot harder in terms of cooperation between competing companies with their own technological agendas.

We're going to need to put a lot of petty differences aside and provide government incentives to these companies to bring the cost of manufacturing and development down in order to finally realize Kay's dream.

Also Read: A Kindroid in Every Pot? (ZDNet Education)

Certainly, Dynabook-like devices which meet or exceed  Kay's original design specifications exist today, such as Amazon's Kindle. The Kindle, however, sells for $359.00, which although far below the $1538.00 in parts cost that Kay originally estimated is out of the question in terms of being able to provide every single student in higher education with, let alone every single student in elementary or high school.

There are certainly similar devices that are slightly cheaper, such as Sony's, but $260-$300 is still too much money.

I've already suggested in another piece that Amazon focus on its e-book store, drop its own proprietary device, partner with Google and go with an Open Source Kindle device -- an "OpenKindle" or a "Kindroid" that any manufacturer could produce.

Such an Android-based e-book reader that had an open development platform would go a long way towards realizing Kay's Dynabook, provided economies of scale could be reached to bring the cost down where e-book readers are accessible to literally everyone.

As if the cost of the devices aren't enough of a barrier to getting ubiquitous computing and electronic texts to the educational masses, there's also the cost of textbooks themselves.

When I was in college, I remember even used texts costing me around $500-$700 per semester, and that was back in the late 80's. I was a liberal arts student, majoring in International Relations and Economics  -- I can only imagine what they cost today, never mind the pre-law and pre-med books which have to be even more expensive.

While some college textbooks are available in electronic form, and certainly most high school and common literature used at the university level can be obtained from Amazon's Kindle store, there hasn't been much incentive to move entire college and high-school curricula to go fully paperless or 100 percent e-book.

$5 per e-copy of the Complete Works of Shakespeare, which can't be transferred from Freshman English class student A in 2009 to Freshman English class student B in 2010 due to DRM restrictions is still too much especially when we are talking about stuff that is no longer a subject of copyright.

Inner-city High School students aren't going to buy $5 copies of Mark Twain anthologies when their parents can barely afford to give them lunch money and their school can supply them with a 5-year old beat-up paperback version for free, that is assuming that their school district budgets can even get them copies in the first place.

There's no reason why classic electronic media shouldn't be cheaper than dirt, if the objective is to improve education and literacy. This and lowering the cost of the hardware itself is an area where our new president and administration should clearly get involved.

My colleague Christopher Dawson, who writes ZDNet's Education blog, talks at length about what the benefits of doing this are, so I'm not going to repeat his column -- as an educator, he knows much more about the subject than I do.

However, I will say that going paperless and getting a cheap electronic tablet into everyone's hands --- not just students, is a very good idea for a ton of reasons. It's ultimately green, vastly reducing the shipment of paper books to university stores which eats up natural resources and adds to our carbon footprint.

Mass production and adoption of such a device would enable the use of social networking technologies -- so that education can be extended outside the classroom, such as for distance learning and part-time students.

For example, imagine electronic textbooks and works of literature that can be highlighted (remember the yellow highlighters we all used to carry in school?) and annotated by 100,000 students, all which can have forums/discussion boards and publicly viewable notes and tags with embedded hyperlinks that can be turned on and off by the reader.

Can the Dynabook for Children of All Ages be realized in the current economy? Or can popularizing electronic media and e-books get us out of our educational rut? Talk Back and Let me know.

Topics: Mobility, Hardware, Software Development

About

Jason Perlow, Sr. Technology Editor at ZDNet, is a technologist with over two decades of experience integrating large heterogeneous multi-vendor computing environments in Fortune 500 companies. Jason is currently a Partner Technology Strategist with Microsoft Corp. His expressed views do not necessarily represent those of his employer.

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37 comments
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  • Dynabook for $100?

    "I have a dream" Unfortunately like Martin Luther King, Alan Kay's Dynabook is nothing more at this time.I wish it wasn't so but like socialism it requires a level of cooperation at so many levels that in a capitalist society where profit is the bottom line and competition is the rule not the exception, it will not see the light of day. At least not in our lifetime. The Dynabook is the Holy Grail of the Open Source Community requiring not just the software but hardware and firmware as well. May the gods be willing.
    Mike062
    • Well, if we can cooperate on something as huge as the Linux kernel, I see

      no reason why we can not cooperate on something like this. If you think it will not happen in your lifetime, you must be very, very old.
      DonnieBoy
    • Faulty assumptions

      "I wish it wasn't so but like socialism it requires a level of cooperation at so many levels that in a capitalist society where profit is the bottom line and competition is the rule not the exception"

      Capitalism has its own mechanisms for keeping prices low, so the idea that socialism will lead to lower prices than capitalism is a questionable assumption at best, and a complete fallacy at worst.

      Competition and cooperation are not mutually exclusive, and I question whether a "pure cooperative" situation will really lead to lower prices. If there is no competition, what kind of checks and balances are there against abuse of the system?

      Therein lies an incredibly faulty assumption: The assumption that we can somehow get rid of abuses by wishing them away and pretending they don't exist. There [b]must[/b] be checks and balances of some sort. Wishing away our troubles won't make them go away.
      CobraA1
      • Stupid, Stupid, Stupid, Stupid, All of It!

        My second (or third, depending) point below is the more germane one so if you're not going to read all, please start further down at the *.
        <br><br>
        This is all stupid because it is all founded on the current wisdom of the Haves, who in their arrogance, feel they know what the Have Nots need and want. A prime example of the Road to Hell being paved with Good Intentions.
        <br><br>
        How about we first see to it that all the fathers have jobs, health care and pension so all the families have fathers who then can, in concert with the family, decide who needs what for what course of study.
        <br><br>
        * Aside from the elitist crap, all a $100 notebook does is further entrench the Have Nots by limiting their choices. As a young person, would YOU want to design your future on one of those pieces of Toast with a Keyboard?
        <br><br>
        If I had nothing, I'd rather have my own fast, 100Gig USB flash drive and a library down the block with totally full blown computers with unlimited, 24/7 access.
        <br><br>
        Oh, sorry. We might have to pay as much as $500 per year in taxes for that. One working man's car payment. For a library and excellent, maintained, on line access. Oh, sorry again. That would create another actual job or two.<br><br>

        <a href="http://www.westernnewsco.com/wine/winearb.html">Wine Arbitrage here</a>
        Seamus O'Brog
        • Stupid?

          "This is all stupid because it is all founded on the current wisdom of the Haves, who in their arrogance, feel they know what the Have Nots need and want."

          A meaningless and artificial distinction. I know plenty of "haves" who will never be satisfied, and plenty of "have nots" that are happy to have very little, and couldn't care less that they don't own the latest gizmos and gadgets.

          Yes, it is good to have programs that help people who find themselves in exceptional situations. But just because a program benefits a number of people in extreme situations does not imply that the program will work for the entire economy.

          "How about we first see to it that all the fathers have jobs, health care and pension so all the families have fathers who then can, in concert with the family, decide who needs what for what course of study."

          Problem is, you're asking something that ignores situational distinctions. I'm living off of my savings right now, and I've planned it carefully to last until I graduate from college. Technically, I'm unemployed, but that doesn't mean I'm in any danger of dying of starvation. Even under ideal conditions, there will be some level of unemployment.

          Yes, it is good to have programs to service those in extreme situations - but to base our entire economy on such programs is stupid. They do not scale well, they do not encourage hard work, and they handle corruption poorly. They are not suited for large scale economies.

          Quite often, the answer is not in one extreme or another, but rather somewhere in the middle.
          CobraA1
        • Huzzah

          I'm not in all the same "camps" as you, but you are one shrewd dude.
          rick@...
  • You're missing the point

    The point of the Dynabook is *not* about a cheap e-book
    reader (and btw if OLPC had sold 50 million instead of 500
    thousand machines then the unit price would indeed
    already be below $100).

    The Dynabook is not (primarily) about reading, it is about
    using a personal computing device to amplify thinking.
    And for that, the hardware is quite secondary, it can and
    has been engineered already. What is missing is the
    software, there simply is no good learning software that
    would teach a child important ideas.

    Putting books in every child's hands is a first step of
    course, and if the book could actually teach the child to
    read itself that would already be a huge step forward, but
    it would still fall way short of Alan Kay's original Dynabook
    vision.

    Perhaps you should read the Dynabook paper instead of
    relying on secondary sources:
    http://www.mprove.de/diplom/gui/Kay72a.pdf
    bert_f
    • An Android-based Dynabook...

      Would address ALL of Kay's needs from his 1972 paper.

      The learning software, while indeed important, would come as a result of a movement to get these devices in the hands of children in the first place.
      jperlow
      • Extremely good point. We need to get these into the hands of children, THEN

        the software will come, followed by reduced prices and a second round where even more children get one of these.

        But, you do have to get started. The OLPC was a huge inspiration, and got everybody thinking.
        DonnieBoy
        • No, Bad Point.

          We already have a mechanism for manufacture and distribution of computers.
          <br><br>
          It's called (Insert Brand here, Lenovo, Acer, whoever) and (Insert Sales org here, Best Buy, whatever).
          <br><br>
          Anyone who can pay can get the lightest, smallest, anything they want right NOW.
          <br><br>
          Which brings me back to fathers and good jobs and children who can choose what kind of PC they want rather than a blog deciding for them.
          <br><br>
          <a href="http://www.westernnewsco.com/wine/winearb.html">Wine Arbitrage here</a>
          Seamus O'Brog
          • You could have said the same thing about operating systems too, but, Linux

            emerged and is a treasure for all of the world now. The same will be true for open hardware designs and books as well. The government also has the role to step in as a volume buyer to get hardware prices down.
            DonnieBoy
          • Call us...

            when Linux is as easy to use as Windows and OSX. We'll wait...
            gypkap@...
          • What number do you want to be called at?

            My Asus Eee PC with Linux is a lot easier to use than Vista IMHO. I have yet to find something I can plug into a USB port that it can't find a driver for. And I didn't have to spend 10 minutes on the phone activating it either.
            914four
  • you forget one thing

    battery life. Classrooms are not equipped to power 30-35 devices every class period. I think they will need to find a way for batteries to last longer than 2 hours before these will be successful. The other thing that I have a problem with is the smaller keyboards. I suppose if a student can type with his/her thumbs to text, a smaller keyboard is not truly an issue.
    bohnsack
    • Battery life shhouldn't be an issue

      Real books should be used in the classroom. E-readers should be used to insure that each child can access the information covered in the classroom for homework or further study, so battery life shouldn't be an issue.
      I would love to see something like this become reallity as my 14 year old son currently carries 40 to 60 lbs. of books home every day in his back pack, and that can't be good for his back. Wouldn't it be nice if his load could be reduced to only a few pounds?
      rolnmrbl@...
    • Re: you forget one thing

      You forgot one thing too. Eink technology. This only uses power when the screen is changed. So you get a tremendous number of page turns per battery.
      tschroeder
  • Your Economics are Backwards

    I love reading how Alan's ideas (40 years old!) get closer and closer to fruition. I would disagree on a couple of points:

    1. Increasing taxes to subsidize this global program is not appropriate -- the experience curve effect will drive down costs plus people value what they pay for. The government and people of Chad, just to pick an example, need to decide this is a priority, not a bunch of well-intentioned Americans and Europeans.

    2. Rather than critizing vendors for charging for rights protection, for example, we instead want the profit motive to fund innovation and distribution. Unlike blog writers, few work for free. Here in the US, there is plenty of money in just about every single school system to pay these fees -- it's just a matter of resorting priorities.

    3. Alan November (novemberlearning.com) as you probably know has written a lot on how to use tools like the Dynabook (and ipods and blackberies etc) in refashioning education.
    celderkin@...
    • The governments of the world have a history of supporting education. Why

      should it be any different as we transition to new technology? For the software side of this, we can cooperate much as we cooperated with the Linux kernel, and it does NOT have to be a government project. Ditto for open hardware designs.
      DonnieBoy
  • Another point: back problems

    In third grade, my daughter had back problems as a result of carrying so many books to/from school. I carried her backpack, but an e-book reader for her text books would have been great. At the time, (8 years ago) e-book versions of her text books were not available. Readers were several hundred dollars, but we were willing and able to pay it to relieve her pain.

    She is well now, but I hear from Pediatricians that this remains a problem.

    e-books of texts are a great benefit. A $100 reader would make this easier to implement.
    Q'sDad
  • RE: Get the government involved?

    Really!! The US Government??
    Why?? Because they do such wonderful things now?
    Oh I get it, now that we have the wonderful King Obama we'll acomplish great things never seen before.
    The US government should have one directive, defense of our country.

    Social programs should be left to the states and counties or even better the towns and organizations closest to the people LIKE YOU!
    If you think something should be done why don't you do something like advertise your old PC for free to someone in need?
    Everyone should be charitable!
    When the government is, that's called Socialism.
    Brian G