Tech Broiler

Jason Perlow and Scott Raymond

CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market

By | January 9, 2012, 11:07am PST

Summary: The Android tablet market is already overcrowded, and the new products at CES 2012 aren’t improving the situation. Will Android tablets ever be adopted on a wide scale?

Back in 2011, numerous manufacturers debuted dozens of Android tablets at CES. Most of them either failed or never went to market. A handful achieved a modicum of success, such as the Samsung Galaxy Tab 10.1.

CES 2012: See CNET’s news and product coverage

Android smartphones have surpassed Apple’s iPhone offerings. But pitted against the Apple iPad and iPad2, the Android tablets have struggled to compete. The Android 3.x operating system, Honeycomb, proved to be unstable and buggy at first, which hurt its chances of success.

Personally, I feel that the new Android 4.0 OS, Ice Cream Sandwich, will prove to be a major improvement, much in the same way that Windows 7 was a vast improvement over Windows Vista without substantially changing the overall operating system experience.

This year we are seeing tablets using the new quad-core Tegra3 chipset, such as the Asus Transformer Prime and the Acer Iconia Tab A700. The Acer and the new model of Asus Transformer Prime have a larger screen resolution for playing 1080p video natively.

The leading factors in the low adoption rate of Android tablets seems to be hardware cost, and shortage of tablet-optimized apps. Even subsidized tablets from the mobile carriers tend to be fairly expensive. The low-cost options that are well-built and supported are the Amazon and Barnes & Noble 7″ tablet offerings. For some functions, however, they are too small for the full tablet experience.

There are a number of very handy applications suited for larger tablets, such as office suites, and there are tons of games. But there are also many Android applications designed solely for mobile phones, and they don’t scale effectively.

Android 4.0 has the ability to scale the screen so that apps meant for smaller screens can be run on a higher resolution screen without losing functionality. Of course, it’s quite obvious when an application is being stretched to fit the larger screen; it typically looks blurry.

It seems odd that while the new Tegra3 chipset for Android tablets is available, many of the new offerings from manufacturers are using either Tegra2 chipsets, or faster dual-core chipsets. There’s nothing wrong with them, but the performance of the quad-core CPU allows for proper playback of high-quality video that most Tegra2 devices are incapable of achieving.

It seems that the majority of the focus on the new tablets is based on making them thinner, lighter, with better battery life and the new Android 4.0 OS, such as the new Toshiba Excite X10.

The biggest concern for all of these devices is market saturation. If Android 4.0 ICS is the improvement that finally turns things around for Android tablet acceptance, then an expanding market might provide room for at least some of these devices to compete.

If not, then the new devices will resume the continuing struggle that they’ve had up until now; they will remain sidelined as a niche market for people that like to tinker with technology. Apple has perfected the marketing art of getting people to need and buy devices that they didn’t realize they needed until Apple told them they did. Android tablets do not inspire this same level of desire.

In addition to this, Google’s Eric Schmidt has hinted at a Google-branded device to be released within 6 months. Much of what has been reported on this statement is pure speculation, which is likely the effect that Google is shooting for.

Microsoft, for instance, has a history of announcing products sometimes years in advance of having an actual product to deliver. This vaporware method was deliberate, in order to scare off potential competition from vying to compete in that market sector. Whether or not this tactic will work for Google remains to be seen.

Regardless, the Android tablet market is over saturated right now. It looks like only a handful of major players, Samsung, Asus, Motorola, Acer and Toshiba are the only ones currently having any measure of success. In order for them to truly succeed, there needs to be a major upward shift in Android tablet adoption. Is 2012 going to be the year when things finally turn around? I’m hoping it is, but I won’t be holding my breath.

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Topics

Scott Raymond has been a technologist and system administrator for over 25 years.

Disclosure

Scott Raymond

I am the IT Manager for a high end audio and network systems integrator in northern Califronia. My wife works at Adobe Systems, Inc. Whenever I write an article that might involve Adobe or its products, I add a disclaimer at the top of the article to make sure she is not involved in any way. We have a small bit of stock with AT&T and no other major investments that would cause conflict.

Biography

Scott Raymond

Scott Raymond has been a technologist and system administrator for over 25 years. Starting as a hobbyist in his teens, Scott quickly learned that he could translate his passion and knowledge into a full-time career. He currently works as the IT Manager for a high end audio and network systems integrator in northern California. He has written technology articles for various publications in the past and began contributing to ZDnet as a guest blogger on Jason Perlow's Tech Broiler. Scott and Jason met in New York in the 1990s where they co-managed the New York City Palm Pilot Users' Group.

In his spare time, Scott is a trained chef and avid bicycling enthusiast, as well as a voracious reader of historical, science and horror fiction. He is a huge fan of pop culture, with a wide range of interest in TV shows, movies and games.

Talkback Most Recent of 52 Talkback(s)

  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    Like it matters, everyone just puts root kits on them and loads Cyanogen anyway. You would think vendors would realize this and stop restricting them.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Socratesfoot
    9th Jan
  • ZDNet Blogger

    RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @Socratesfoot Not everyone is savvy enough to do it, or willing to do it. Some folks prefer to leave the OS alone.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Scott Raymond
    9th Jan
  • Error message
    SYS10677: Line 1: "Everyone" encountered where "a few geeks" was expected.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Robert Hahn
    9th Jan
  • +1 for funny
    @Robert Hahn
    thanks for making me laugh this afternoon
    ZDNet Gravatar
    davebarnes
    9th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @Robert Hahn Yep, that's a great line. I'm going to steal it. happy
    ZDNet Gravatar
    brble
    9th Jan
  • The Nook Simple Touch is now free with a subscription
    The Nook Simple Touch is now free with a subscription to the NYT

    But you won't see anything at ZDNet about it until several days after, or ever. Perhaps 1 blog by Ricardo or Gloria.

    If it were Amazon the one giving away the Kindle, automatically at least Perlow, Adrian, Dignan would be blogging about it. The first would tell us "I told you so", the second would tell us "it's doomed, buy a US$500+ iPad instead", and the third would be posting a financial chart of Amazon and making predictions.

    ZDNet has become too hostile or indifferent to anything except Apple and sometimes Amazon
    ZDNet Gravatar
    markbn
    9th Jan
  • Propaganda, take me home....
    @Robert Hahn ... If 10 times as many Microsoft tablets were sold or unveiled, it would be called "enviable market share".

    Silly reader, ZDNet is for kids.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Joe.Smetona
    10th Jan
  • ZDNet Gravatar
    Loverock Davidson-
    10th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @markbn

    Do you even understand the difference between an Nook Simple Touch (e-ink) and an iPad/tablet device? And that NYT subscription is $20 a month which equals to $240 each year.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    dave95.
    10th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    24 million Android tablets in 2011. More units than the entire 2010 tablet market. Abundant choices for everyone. This is a problem? I wonder what good would be.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    symbolset
    9th Jan
  • Upward revision
    @symbolset As long as we're making stuff up, why not make it 100 million Android tablets? That'll sound even better.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Robert Hahn
    9th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @Robert Hahn I had posted a link, but ZDNet ate it. Look it up yourself.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    symbolset
    9th Jan
  • Filtering to help the cause.
    @Robert Hahn - Symbolset... They use filtering to prevent "offensive to Microsoft" links or keywords. It you have comments about competitors, you have be very selective or disguise your links or keywords.

    For now if you use "microsoft.com", that's fine, but if you use "linux . com" without spaces, the whole post gets blown away. And who says ZDNet is not a Microsoft sponsored propaganda outlet? I've' been fighting this censorship as long as I can remember. I'm sure a lot of people just gave up. It's Un-American and cowardly to say the least.

    ZDNet hates Apple and Android. When it looks like they like ether one, they are trying to create infighting or have the shills lined up far an ambush. Microsoft is the real prince here.

    So if you ever replied or posted here, and it initially looked fine, but when you refreshed it, it disappeared, you were a victim. If you like Microsoft, monopolies, price fixing, or redundant double dipping, you're fine.
    ZDNet Gravatar
    Joe.Smetona
    10th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @Joe.Smetona ZDNet hates Apple? Com'on... They adore Apple and compare anything with "omg but it's not like iPad or iphone, not simple enough blah blah" stuff every day...
    ZDNet Gravatar
    AmediaN
    10th Jan
  • RE: CES 2012: Overcrowding the Android tablet market
    @symbolset RE:
    "@Robert Hahn I had posted a link, but ZDNet ate it. Look it up yourself."
    Sorry, the way this works is you make the wild claim, you provide the reference. I suggest "50 gazillion android tablets sold in 2011". Proof provided upon request
    ZDNet Gravatar
    jondrew
    9th Jan

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