Wearable computing: Is there a real market?

Moderated by Steve Ranger | August 26, 2013 -- 07:00 GMT (00:00 PDT)

Summary: Do augmented reality headsets like Google Glass and smartwatches like Samsung Galaxy Gear herald the next wave of personal computing?

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Yes

or

No

Matt Baxter-Reynolds

Matt Baxter-Reynolds

Best Argument: No

50%
50%

Audience Favored: No (50%)

Closing Statements

Morning, August 28, 2033

Steven J. Vaughan-Nichols

Ack! It's morning again!

Time to wake up, check out of the hotel -- three right eye blinks to bring up the bill, tap on the table to pay it -- and get a taxi to LaGuardia -- double blinks and stick my thumb out in the old hitch-hiker's pose -- and I'm ready to go.

It's hard to think as the car automatically starts rolling from the Hotel Indigo to the airport that you used to have deal with taxi drivers. Now, the taxi automatically recognizes me and my reservation and we're on our way.

Oh well, I'd better get some work done. I reach out with my fingers, squeeze my eyes shut, reopen them, and my virtual keyboard "appears" on the laptop table in front of me. Funny how the name survives even though laptops are pretty much antiques. Of course, the keyboard isn't really there either. It's just the overlay my Google Lens displays on the surface for my convenience.

I could, of course, just start "writing" by speaking into the air, but I'm old-fashioned. I've been typing since I was a kid and there are some new tricks even an old tech dog doesn't want to learn.

This is going to happen, you know. Personal computing devices aren't science fiction. They're well on their way to being science fact.

I'm sure I have the details wrong. No one ever sees the future with 20-20 vision. But, in broad strokes, we're now on our way to a future where we'd no more go out without our integrated, networked computers than we would our pants.

Interesting times are ahead for us and I can't wait to see exactly how truly "personal" computing is going to turn out.

Smartphones: Where the real action is

Matt Baxter-Reynolds

Convergence is the path that all consumer electronics take, going from specialist devices (such as MP3 players, digital cameras, and in-car GPS receivers) to jack-of-all-trade devices that can carry out a myriad of tasks. And the king of the convergence devices is the smartphone.

The smartphone is king because it combines portability with the power to get work done. Sure, a PC or a notebook, or even a tablet is nice to have, but the best tool for any job is the tool you have on you.

And if you own a smartphone, I'll bet that it's rarely more than an arm's length away from you.

Also, the arbitrary line between smartphones and tablets is blurring. Samsung's Mega has a 6.3-inch screen, making it only a little bit smaller than the Nexus 7, a device that you can certainly do real work on.

Smartphones is where the real action is at.

See also:

Market isn't ready yet

Steve Ranger

Wearable tech has been just about to breakthrough for at least a decade (and probably longer) but this time there is enough enthusiasm (from the supplier side at least) which means some of the products might be attractive to the mainstream, and Steven makes a compelling argument that the time is right from a technology point of view.

But I have to agree with Matt that the mass market isn't ready – yet. Wearable tech will be a huge, all encompassing market, probably within a decade, but the products available now and over the next two or three years are really betas as use cases need to be tightened up and privacy addressed. I'm giving this one to Matt.

Talkback

60 comments
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  • Remember the watch?

    Remember the watch?

    That was wearable tech before ZDNet ever even existed.

    Where are they now?

    Apparently people would rather drag through their purses and briefcases looking for their cell phones than to have the convenience of telling the time right on their hand.

    That there tells me a lot about whether people *really* want the convenience of wearable tech.

    Watches are far more convenient than a cell phone: You can see the time merely by looking at your wrist.

    But apparently we're not caring as much about convenience as tech magazines would like us to believe. We're actually very happy digging through our bags to figure out the time. I personally don't see why we don't like watches anymore, but that's the reality of the situation.
    CobraA1
    Reply 5 Votes I'm for No
    • You are totally misconstruing why people don't wear watches

      In a world of convergence, you misconstrue the disappearance of the watch.

      A watch is a single-purpose device - it tells time.

      A smartphone is a ridiculously multi-purpose device. It can not only tell time like your watch, but it can organize it replacing your Franklin planner (when's the last time you carried one of those?). You get your news on it - and from many news sources, even. When's the last time you bought a physical newspaper? It doesn't make sense to get news from just one source - much less pay for it - much less carry and unfold and manage and dispose of a physical problem like a paper. You can even get your magazine subscriptions that way, and read books that way. How about a camera? Do you still own a separate point-and-shoot? Even if you do - which do you use more often? Do you lament not bringing your camera to parties or events? Or do you just take a few memories with the phone that's always in your pocket anyway? And how about listening to music? Do you carry a separate iPod on you? Really, do you? It's way easier than carrying all these separate things - I don't have enough pockets for that!!
      Oh yeah, and it's a phone. And you use it to message people. So it's always in your pocket. Those other things - not always on you. That makes them redundant with the functions built into that thing that always IS in your pocket.
      Each of them carries a compromise compared to a purpose built device - but collectively, each is "good enough" for our needs, and since it's already on us - "good enough!"

      Since there's so many compelling reasons to carry a smartphone, and it already tells time, wearing a watch is redundant - even if in some situations it's more convenient to look at a watch, you aren't doing it that often, and when you have to it's not a big deal to take 3 seconds to pull your phone out and look at it than it is to use 1 second to look at your watch.

      People aren't shunning wearable technology - in fact the smartphone is a big, huge embracing of convergence.

      Why SMART watches HAVEN'T taken off is because they don't replace the smartphone - they augment it. It's an extra bit that people perceive they don't need - just like wearing a watch is perceived to no longer be needed since I've always got the time available on my phone. Might some people still buy a smart watch? Of course, for the same reasons some people buy bluetooth ear dongles. It's a convenient accessory for some people's lives use cases. Might some people buy a wearable thing like Google Glass? Sure, if it makes some aspect of their lives easier or better.
      How about everyone? Not unless it could totally replace the smartphone - otherwise it's going to be perceived as redundant or not necessary or too expensive for what might be only a mild benefit for some people - just like the 2 second savings for the few times you glance at a watch throughout the day.
      geolemon
      Reply Vote I'm Undecided
      • Newspapers

        I get a newspaper thrown in my driveway 7 days a week because they are EASIER to read; I don't want to hold a device that is 100 times heavier then my paper and a fraction of the size!

        As to watches, only idiots don't wear them!
        jimbritttn
        Reply 2 Votes I'm Undecided
        • A rather ignorant reply

          Only "idiots" don't wear watches, hmm? Very intelligent and mature of YOU, sir.
          And completely ignorant of the majority in society.
          We won't accuse you of being a society person.
          Or of being up on the times.

          And a paper is pretty damn heavy - a smartphone weighs a fraction of a newspaper. According to ask.com the average newspaper weighs about a pound (16 ounces). And of course your local Sunday paper is easily double that, probably triple.
          By comparison:
          An iPhone weighs 3.95 ounces.
          Even a tablet - a Nexus 7 weighs 10.2 ounces.

          But you exposed yourself as ignorant in the closer there. I expect your prejudices are what actually led you to both write that response as well as give you an excuse to not try to embrace what the rest of society is rapidly moving towards.
          geolemon
          Reply 2 Votes I'm Undecided
          • most of society IS ignorant

            in fact, most of society are not even worth saving..so that was a bad start to your argument.
            TrishaDishaWarEagle
            Reply 1 Vote I'm Undecided
          • Fool

            Long myopic and specious arguments. Watches will outlast tablets.
            QuantaII
            Reply Vote I'm Undecided
        • I stopped....

          ...wearing a watch when I started carrying a cell phone around, long before smartphones. I sit in front of a computer most of the workday, and when I am not, I looked at my phone if I need to know the time. A watch is an accessory like a bracelet. I don't wear bracelets.

          I stopped getting even the free paper when I bought a smartphone. I commute by bus/train into NYC and I really do not have any use for newspapers. I get all the news that I need on my phone, or on the web.

          As for the debate topic, I do not see Google Glass being more than a niche product. Unless they can make it look less obnoxious. I really don't like the whole concept, or to think people are walking around wearing these things. They might be great for tourists just walking around a city they are visiting, or as a part of tour. But I don't see people putting these on walking out the door headed to work.
          toph36
          Reply Vote I'm Undecided
        • No, the newspaper is NOT easier to read.

          It's big--in most cases large enough to physically cover the typical computer desk.
          It's flimsy--you constantly have to 'shake' the paper to restore that curve that holds the pages upright in a reading position.
          It's clumsy--you either have to fold it into quarters for easy reading or hold it up high, forcing you to crank your neck into odd angles just to read the typically tiny text.
          It's thin--with any kind of backlight page 2 or the inside back page let enough light through that the text of the front/back page is easily legible, making reading the page you want significantly more difficult
          It's disorganized--Sure, you have your Sections, but you have to scan across a lot of data you don't even want to see just to find the data you're looking for.

          As to watches; I'm not an idiot nor is my life controlled by a clock. Sure, sometimes I want to know the time, but not often enough to wear a clock on my wrist full time. Add to this the fact that some jobs require no jewelry on the hands and arms due to safety considerations (heavy equipment, repair, electrical, etc...) and it becomes the idiot that DOES wear the watch.

          You cannot make prejudicial statements like that without qualification.
          Vulpinemac
          Reply 2 Votes I'm Undecided
        • Time to Move ...

          To the UK. Here they go to the trouble of placing your newspaper through the letterbox in your front door!
          DJL64
          Reply 1 Vote I'm Undecided
      • I'm not entirely convinced.

        "A smartphone is a ridiculously multi-purpose device. "

        My reasoning is still perfectly valid and still stands - the watch is more convenient, even if is *is* a single purpose device. Theoretically, that should be a factor. What's curious is why it apparently isn't.

        "and it already tells time, wearing a watch is redundant "

        And? It's still more convenient. The redundancy doesn't (theoretically, at least) really matter. The convenience *should* be a factor, regardless of redundancy.

        In fact, the reason why convergence is successful is BECAUSE of convenience (it's more convenient to carry around one device than 100). The "convergence" argument is merely another form of a convenience argument.

        Which leads to the question - is the convergence of the phone really more convenient than the watch? I still think there's more to it than convergence.
        CobraA1
        Reply 1 Vote I'm Undecided